Tennessee at Jacksonville (11/16/2008)

"The first eight teams to beat Detroit went 0-8 against the spread in their next ballgame."

I got this from the "free picks". 

NEED I SAY MORE?!?!?!?

Titans -3 with the over for me.

tomorrow* started rambling and missed the typo.

I don't care how shitty last Sunday went! 

Today I'm taking Jax ML for an EXTRA LARGE play!!!!

FPRONK...HOPE YOU ROLLED WITH ME ON NOTRE DAME...WASNT PRETTY BUT ILL TAKE IT.....SHOULD HAVE WON BY 20 LIKE I SAID

your NUCKIN FUTS to play Jags....I am going to post this again.

"The first eight teams to beat Detroit went 0-8 against the spread in their next ballgame."


TENNESEEE!!!!!!!!!

TENNESSEE whole game -3
TENNESEEE 1st half -1/2   <------LOCK

Lots of running and plenty of defense for both teams I'm leaning on the under for this one, but of course I could be way off and the total could go into the 60's.

 

bingo!

Why are they due to lose...To me that does not make any sense...Keep taking a winner until they lose...Just like the stock market you can't time it just ride it out...Except in the NFL you can be 8-1 ATS and lose just one week and if you want to get off then more power to you, but why take a loser now?

 

Imprezive I still like your insight, but you seem to resort to taking all dogs no matter what the situation and look solely at line movement. I line to see where the sharps are myself, but come on! Ohh wait I did see you take one favorite last weekend...Chargers -15... I just joshing you...

that stat is not accurate... Houston covered a 9 point spread against cincy the weak after beating detroit... also, most of those games where either on the road or against the against an elite team.. never going HOME after beating the lions, to face a division rival who they want vengence against... this situation is too unique to lean on a stat like that imho.  Jags haven't been playing THAT well, but they know how to play tennessee and i'm willing to believe that this soft spread is so small for a reason

JAX +3/ML

titans have been good to me this year.

betting against a team because they are due to lose or "wont go undefeated" seems stupid to me.  i think tenn will be the hungrier team here.

tennessee -2.5 (2 units)

yeah bro all was gravy until last Sunday when the books/public/me got hammered.  I had many winning weekends that thankfully let me build up that bankroll.  Yeah I expected that blowout last weekend but it didn't happen.  SD can dissappoint a lot =(. 


HEY GUYS!  I just wanted to bring this to your attention.   This game is going off as MY GAME OF THE YEAR!  Only once in a blue moon do I make such a large play on a regular season game.  I am not on tilt I'm over last weekend I'd make this play irregardless.  I know I said I was taking off NFL for awhile, but fuck that.  Not with a game like this haha. 

Check this out!  These are two lines from right now, 7:00 A.M. EST.  This is hardly ever seen when pinnacle is so far off from my book but I LOVE IT because pinny is so damn sharp.  I love how my book is trying to offer an attractive price for TItans

I see the line @ Titans -3 (+105) and Jax +3 (-125) at sportsbook.com

and

I see the line @ Titans -1 (-123) and Jax +1 (+115) at pinnacle

Keep in mind pinny dropped their line from 3 to 1 while the public is hammering the Titans.  It's a division game and Jax is @ home which I love.  Now other than that I don't like anything except the line.  I mean Titans should clearly come out and destroy Jax which has been one major disappointment this year after their nice playoff performance last year.  Sorry guys.  ESPECIALLY after a week where the books got murdered, they are NOT setting this line as some sort of gift to Titants backers.  They have set this line as a gift to themselves, a true moneymaker that will be the largest moneymaker this season for me and one of the largest for Vegas.  THE TRAP IS SET!  Indy couldn't do it a couple weeks ago, the Bears couldn't quite get over the hump last week, BUT THIS WEEK YES JAX WILL DO IT! 

Got Jax ML for an EXTRA LARGE play and
Got Jax +3 for a GOY PLAY! 

Let's get this one!

Let's cash this one today lobos!

Many brag about how they cashed on an "extra large" play. Please clarify extra large..5 units above your norm?

Anyhow, I am not saying bet Tennesse but I caution betting against a team that is 8-1 ATS just because they are due. I havent seen much logic in Jacksonville winning except that this is a must win for playoff contention. At this point in the season, I'd guess that 90% of the teams in league feels that way..

Good luck on whoever you decide to take. I will as usual lay low on the NFL and wait for the college lines to be posted...GLA