Seattle at Dallas (11/01/2009)

its alot of points in my opinion and wont be taking them this week

really enjoyed the win and cover last week

The cowboys aren't as inconsisent as people think, they are 6-2 ATS the last 8 home games, and are usually a safe bet at home against weak teams this early in the season.  Its a regular non divisional game with no primetime or big game pressure

ya i like DAL here

Seattle is a train wreck.  Dallas coming off a big victory against Atlanta.

Take Dallas -9.5

I have my eye on a tease that I can't see passing up...

I think Romo & Hasselbeck both have great games... I think Dallas has the better defense and will ultimately win the game. However; I don't like taking Dallas -10, because they're notorious for making mistakes.

Along with the two QBs mentioned above, I also feel P. Manning & Smith have strong games.The 49ers DBs are not "great" & the Colts Defense is good, but Smith should be able to find some holes.

With this said, I've made a large play on the below Teaser...

Dal/Seattle- Ov 40 & Indy/49ers- Ov 39

No guarantees, but I like the play ALOT.

Good luck to all!!

 

Screw these large lines, tease the dogs or take the home team ML.  

             AZ, DAL, CHI, INDY  ML parlay 

Last Sunday's game was the first game out of 6 that Dallas lead at halftime.

The numbers a little big because Dallas won and Seattle loss. Books made it big because they know fans will jump on it and books know Dallas won't cover.

The tease looks pretty good as both have at least one good offense (Indy primarily and Dallas as of late), defenses that give up adequate points and that also cause turnovers. I hate taking more than one total in a teaser but I'll go ahead play this small.  

The books never really "know" anything for sure, they just want equal action and they know everyone will pound Dallas without a higher impost. The line should be closer to -7, so I took them ML in a parlay covering all the key numbers,3, 5, 6, 7, & 10. Romo is gelling with the receivers of late and Seattle doesn't travel well. Because of turnovers I am not laying the impost as I wouldn't be surprised to see a 27 - 23 kind of game. Might tease Seattle/over hoping to middle.

I might tease at least 3 of the dogs these teams are playing as well, (risky proposition the way the favs are covering) but would only lay a third of the  as the 4 team ML parlay.

I have some bias opinions about the Cowboys so I'm staying away before I hurt myself but once in a lifetime, I like the Cowboys in this situation.  In their 6 recent meetings, Cowboys are 6-0 ATS.  Plus Romo is looking a lot better since he found a new toy, Miles Austin.  Seattle has a poor pass defense so expect Romo to exploit it.  Plus if they must, they will use their Barber-Jones punch to open up the passing game.  I like the under in this game as well.  I don't see Seattle scoring more than 2 TDs in this game.

The books never really "know" anything for sure, they just want equal action and they know everyone will pound Dallas without a higher impost. The line should be closer to -7, so I took them ML in a parlay covering all the key numbers,3, 5, 6, 7, & 10. Romo is gelling with the receivers of late and Seattle doesn't travel well. Because of turnovers I am not laying the impost as I wouldn't be surprised to see a 27 - 23 kind of game. Might tease Seattle/over hoping to middle.

 

 

 

 

 

vegas may not know 100% , but Spytheweb is right in alot of areas.  Vegas is right like what...70% of the time?   there is a reason they stay in business.  think about it, vegas has access to accuscore which can play any game over 20,0000 times to predict the outcome.  can anyone on here do that???   didn't think so.  I"m not saying Dallas won't cover, but they are very inconsistent in terms of wagering.  they win big in games they shouldn't (ala the atl game) and sometimes lay an egg in "easy games" like the kansas city game (WTF?).       Remember...."any given Sunday".....

True that the books never really know anything.  And true that they want equal action.  But if they know everyone will pound Dallas, is that really getting equal action?

Dallas' only two losses came against two decent teams; NYG and DEN, both games, Dallas was withing a score.

Seattle's only two wins came against a couple scrubby teams; STL & JAX. 

Sure, SEA could play tough and keep it close coming out of a bye and DAL could be concerned about PHI next week, but with PHI and NYG beating up on each other this week, DAL will want to definitively come out on top in this one.  I'll lay the points...just like the books want...or do they?

If PHI beats NYG, DAL will need this game to stay in the fray.  If NYG win, DAL would really need this.

The Trends. Edge: Seahawks.

 Seahawks are 10-18 ATS on the road since 2006.

 Tony Romo is 21-11 ATS as a starter before Dec. 1.

 Tony Romo is 5-10 ATS as a favorite of -7 or more excluding Thanksgiving.

 Opening Line: Cowboys -9.5.

Sea. is 3-16-1 ATS after bye week and as a road dog they are 0-6 ATS

Dallas should roll    Seattle has OL problems  They have started 12 different combos on the OL over the last 22 games and will have their 4th LT of the season

 

tuff one. i will pick dallas because romo found his #1 receiver in miles austin.

Seattle Seahawks +10

Going PickinVet 's way....

Seahawks +9.5

 

haha well that's good.... I've been reading your posts and I agree with your logic in most cases....

This isn't going to be a good week for me... I just don' t like the games this week, tough one... so it's proabably a good sign that we differ on opinion for you

as far as this game.... Dallas in a blowout

 

Dallas first half -6.5.  Seahawks banged up on defence and OL a mixed bag of nuts.  Big day for the Dallas D.  See at least 1 defensive score for touchdown. 

Todays Picks

DEN ml +80

HOU -3.5

IND -13....bob sanders back stronger run d against a runn strong SF

NYG--2

Dal -10 

Cowboys -10