Posted:
#26
I am NOT an alias for Pro Z! All I know is he's an arab from Jordan. Maybe he got deported for making too many vile comments on this site!
San Diego at Kansas City (10/25/2009)
Posted:
#28
Chargers can't run the football, they can't protect their quarterback, they can't pressure the opposing quarterback. They stole two against the chiefs (dropping both ATS) last year and i guarantee the chiefs remember those games, especially the last one that they had all but locked up until the last couple minutes of the game.
honestly, only public perception has the chargers favored by more than a FG here in my opinion, and sure enough the public jumped right on the chargers and continute to pound them ATS, but that would be the wrong play here.
in the 4 meetings between these two teams in KC since KC was last a home favorite against the chargers, they are 3-1 ATS, 2-2 SU against the bolts. and there are plenty more trends:
Underdog is 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings
Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings
Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite
Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC West
Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win
Chiefs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 7 (don't know how much this matters, but interesting enough to note)
KC +6 (come gametime)
Posted:
#30
I'm going with KC. This game has the makings for an upset. KC is a solid home dog, they typically play well at home, and SD has not shown me anything special this year. Theres upsets every week in the NFL and this game (aside from ATL vs. Dal and possibly MIN vs. PIT) does not have one team thats clearly better than the other.
KC will definitly cover, and its worth putting a small play on the $ line. Dwayne Bowe and Cassel are starting to connect, LJ is playing better. San Diego will dissappoint a ton of people tomorrow.
Posted:
#31
Quote Originally Posted by wangichu:
Chargers can't run the football, they can't protect their quarterback, they can't pressure the opposing quarterback. They stole two against the chiefs (dropping both ATS) last year and i guarantee the chiefs remember those games, especially the last one that they had all but locked up until the last couple minutes of the game.
honestly, only public perception has the chargers favored by more than a FG here in my opinion, and sure enough the public jumped right on the chargers and continute to pound them ATS, but that would be the wrong play here.
in the 4 meetings between these two teams in KC since KC was last a home favorite against the chargers, they are 3-1 ATS, 2-2 SU against the bolts. and there are plenty more trends:
Underdog is 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings
Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings
Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite
Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC West
Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win
Chiefs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 7 (don't know how much this matters, but interesting enough to note)
KC +6 (come gametime)
My thoughts exactly. I see KC keeping this close the whole way. However, they always seem to find a way to lose close games (i.e. Dallas) late in the 4th, and they could lose by a TD here. Rainy weather should favor the run and will dampen SD's passing attack. SD coming off short week after a huge divisional game and has to travel to KC...
I'm more comfortable teasing up to +11.5 and playing the under at 50.5
GL to all
. with that said...
Posted:
#44
There have been 6 MNF games this year. That would be 6 teams that covered and 6 teams that didn't cover. The trends says the team that covered MNF spread will cover the next game they play. The trend also says the team that didn't cover the MNF spread will not cover their following game...
The trend is 11-1 ATS with only the Cowboys bucking. They covered against Carolina Monday the 28th and followed up with a loss ATS to Denver.
You can only lead the horse to the water....can't make it drink!!
GL
Posted:
#45
San Diego was coming off of they bye-week, playing a rival in their home stadium, and on nat'l tv. Not only did they not win that game, but they couldn't even keep it close (losing by approx. 10 pts). Oh yeah, they're also going on shorter rest than usual b/c of that MNF game.
The Chiefs aren't great, but they can probably be trusted to win more than ONE game this season. They nearly beat the visiting Dallas Cowboys. How many people saw that one coming.
(H) CHIEFS +6 (-120)
The Chiefs aren't great, but they can probably be trusted to win more than ONE game this season. They nearly beat the visiting Dallas Cowboys. How many people saw that one coming.
(H) CHIEFS +6 (-120)
Posted:
#48
I have been screwed to many times by the SD. This team has zero pass rush and on the reverse they have trouble blocking a four man rush. Last monday was a must win and they didn't get it done. In fact they looked terrible. I am going with the chiefs and I think that Dwayne Bowe is going to have a big day
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