New York at New England (12/06/2010)

jets with the points & under

In a game of conference and divisional rivals......with first place on the line......with identical records......take the field goal and the hook.  The book knows that New England doesn't lose at home in these cenarios very often.  That's why they threw the hook on the spread.  Look at the game last night between the other two teams that are divisional foes......playing for first place.  Another game decided by a 3 point spread??  HHMMMMMM........Jets have a better ATS record..........have played 3 of the last 4 games down to the last possession of the game, coming out on top of all three.  No question who has the better defense.......the Jets.  I really don't like either of these teams........so I'm no fan of either.  This is just one man's opinion.  Take the Jets and the 3 1/2 in a huge game.  New England barely held off Indy on that field three weeks ago......Indy is not a good team.......The Jets, if they lose, won't lose by more than 3.  This will be a tough, physical game that won't get over the total.....similar to last night's game. 

Old Fashioned Shootout !!!!!!! 

Not a homer here just a stone cold factoid dropping fool. A few things that favor the pats. Jets defender Jim Leonhard out, hes a big element of their d. The pats have deep threats, Branch, Tate, see Minn game for explanantion but prefer the use of screens and hit the te's all day. It will hard to cover them with the jets lb's. OL will handle the jets blitz. The Pats have two of the main things that win you the most games in this league, Belichick and Brady. Would you trust Sanchez with your dollars in this game? Hes a pick or overthrown pass 3rd down conversion master. Pats convert higher on third down. Pats Def stats are teriible but i  think that mcourty comes up big and that will hep your over. BIg plays will decide this!  Pats and OV for the large!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Out of their last 6 games, the only convincing Jets win was Turkey Day against the crappy Bungles. Jets could've very easily been 6-5 or 5-6 right now. Rex Ryan's been talking trash all week - his wife is a "Supermodel" too like Gisele Bunchen? Modeling that NFL gear - gimme a break.
Meanwhile - Patriots have been soundly beating everybody they've played (except their 2 losses, and both of those were on the road)
So, let's run down the checklist - Pats at home? In December? At Night? On Monday? Belichick with the extra time off to prepare? Jets already beat them once this season? C'mon people

Pats - 35
Jets - 24

but, it won't even be as close as the score I've put down - game should be in the bag by the 3rd quarter 

Patriots & Over

 Yup

The Patriots were picked apart easily by Sanchez and the receiving core earlier this season, with Jets winning the first matchup 28-14.  But replicating that in New England will be a much more difficult task, a place where they haven’t lost in recent memory.  New England will most likely try to neutralize Revis and Cromartie spread the ball around to their abundance of tight ends and backs.  Brady and Sanchez should both have their way through the air, so look for this score to go over.

rekamyenoM haven't you fried that little guy enough.  With ya on the Pats tonite i still think the Jets and Sanchez are "mildly"  overated.   There is nothing i would like to see better than Ryan lose by double digits after saying he was coming in to kick the Pats ass.

New England Patriots -3.5

I agree with you on the fact that there are high scoring games in bad weather conditions.... but I don't think thats the case between these 2 teams...

I just checked the weather again and it's not going to be snowing anyway lol...

I do still see a tight low-scoring game...

I also think that NE will exploit the middle of the field using their tight ends as opposed to testing 2 of the best corners in the league.... in my opinion I don't see alot of deep routes against one of the best pass defenses with out Randy Moss on the field.... obviously welker will have his dick and dunks as well as screen opportunities...

 

 

the Patriots have a REDICULOUS turnover ratio in the last 5 games...

they have zero tunrovers since the Cleveland Loss....

I agree with your analysis on the tight low-scoring game...

that is unless Sanchez gets wild and throws INTs for scores like he did last year in NE...

 

GL TO ALL!

another thing that scares us Jets fans.... and it's been all over the ny radio...

how is california-boy-sanchez going to handle freezing conditions...

 

i agreed bro but dont you think this sound too easy? pats might win by a field goal

pats

That's right.... I wonder if this is his coldest game played in yet? & what his stats are in clod weather?

TOM BRADY GETS IT DONE TONIGHT ....

     and i guess if u like new england u gotta be thinkin over too........

Jets

Over is 5-0 in Jets last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Over is 6-0 in Jets last 6 road games.

Over is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Over is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

Over is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games following a ATS win.

Over is 5-1-1 in Jets last 7 games as an underdog.

Over is 14-3-1 in Jets last 18 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Under is 13-3 in Jets last 16 games in December.

Over is 8-2 in Jets last 10 games overall.

Over is 4-1-1 in Jets last 6 vs. AFC East.

Over is 4-1-1 in Jets last 6 games as a road underdog.

Under is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Over is 4-1-1 in Jets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Pats

Over is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 games overall.

Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games following a S.U. win.

Under is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 games in December.

Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games as a favorite.

Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Over is 6-0 in Patriots last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Over is 7-1 in Patriots last 8 games on fieldturf.

Over is 6-1 in Patriots last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Over is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games as a home favorite.

Over is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 home games.

Over is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games following a ATS win.

Over is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Over is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 9-2 in Patriots last 11 vs. AFC.

Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.

 Can you say OVER

-4.5 on my book now

I'm Just hoping this game plays out exactly the way it looks like it should go on paper.

GLTA!

The Jets played a different Patriots team last time.  The face of the Patriots offense has changed...for the better.  Jets have stayed the same.  Patriots failed to convert in the redzone last game and were shut out in the second half, dont think it will happen again.  Homefield advantage is huge.  I dont think there will be snow but it will be cold, Brady vs Sanchez? come on.  Patriots have really started to roll right now...Green-Ellis emerging as a solid back with Woodhead stepping in for a change of pace, Tate can run deep, especially with the tight ends hernandez and gronkowski catching passes underneath, deion branch is solid as well...like I said the face of the Pats has changed since the first meeting between these two teams.  I THINK I WANT MY MONEY ON BRADY AND BELICHIK IN FOXBOROUGH ON A COLD MONDAY NIGHT IN A DIVISIONAL REVENGE GAME.

*wow Pats are -3 for 1st half and -3.5 for game???

*PATS -3 1ST HALF AND -3.5 FOR GAME

and that's exactly what is going to happen - and the reason you should take the over

easy or not, I always go with my gut - and my gut says Pats blowout - it also is saying I need some lunch, so I'm going to go get a Goddamn snack (thanks Rex Ryan, for that) - Good Luck everybody

Bottom line...

The Pats are the team to beat. Especially at home and the Jets can beat the Pats. They did it already this season. The Jets have a better Defense and this should be one hell of a game to watch (we hope).