Sticking with Miami
Good Luck to everyone who thinks otherwise. Hoping this will be a good year.
agree 100%
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agree 100%
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| GAME: Miami Dolphins @ Kansas City Chiefs Aug 16, 2007 8:00PM |
| SPORT: National Football League Picks |
| PICK: under |
| REASON FOR PICK: 4* MIAMI/KANSAS CITY Under Some editing is due here as we move this play to the free area, and perhaps a good lesson in patience as the long gridiron campaign begins. When this play was first posted yesterday afternoon 34.5 was the consensus number, but not only did that get crashed, but the game ran right through the 34's as well, with as low as 33 now out there in some key precincts. This play only works at 34 or better, so use that as your guide - should it go back up you have a play, but one should never force action. Now to recap the original analysis - In Week #2 of the pre-season, the starters on offense begin to play a bit more, and as such the oddsmakers begin to set the Totals higher. The fact that we can win on a “34” right now in this one is evidence of that, despite the fact that this game only partially fits previous patterns. Yes, there will be ample time for the starters on offense, but the problem is that these starting units simply are not very good. Cam Cameron wanted to see something from Trent Green in his Miami debut last week, and as such gave the first team offense the entire first half vs. Jacksonville, something rarely done in a pre-season opener. Because of that, there is not the usual Game #1 – Game #2 offensive “boost”. And not only did the move not energize the offense; it may have backfired. They only managed two first downs on the first six drives, and only a short field created by a Jaguar fumble enabled them to get a field goal in the final minute before intermission. The ugly halftime numbers showed four first downs and 64 yards, and in 17 pass plays they netted only 50 yards, with two sacks and an interception in that mix. Since we chart an interception as being worth 40 yards, our “true net” comes out to two feet per pass attempt. Was it just rustiness for Green? Was it a case of a QB still learning the system, and his teammates? We can not think of a better answer than a somewhat amusing, but most telling, commentary from a Palm Beach Post reporter after Tuesday’s practice this week - ”It might be timing with new receivers, it might be age or maybe both, but Trent Green, 37, continues to throw behind his receivers. In the morning session, Green threw two passes behind Ted Ginn Jr. that CB Michael Lehan intercepted. He also was short on a pass down the middle to tight end David Martin that safety Yeremiah Bell dropped to squander another interception.” That is enough for us. And behind Green there is not much to fear, with Cleo Lemon no more than a journeyman, and John Beck still learning an NFL playbook. As bad as the Dolphins were on offense last week, the Chiefs nearly matched them. A team that is trying to get either Damon Huard or Brodie Croyle to step up and take over the starting QB role simply does not have the support pieces for their limited talents to be successful. An OL that was the NFL’s best a couple of years ago now rates among the weakest following the retirements of Willie Roaf and Will Shields; Larry Johnson will not be lugging the ball for several weeks; Priest Holmes is not available yet and is questionable to ever get back to speed; and the WR corps is extremely limited, particularly with rookie Dwayne Bowe late to camp. As such, it was no surprise that they had a disastrous time moving the football vs. Cleveland on Saturday – they did not score a single point behind either Huard or Croyle, and when we do our interception factoring, they actually averaged minus yards per pass attempt with each of them on the field. Yes, the pre-season is all about making corrections. But in this case we are not convinced that either of these offenses is up to the task at hand. The first five pre-season games coached by Edwards at Kansas City have finished a collective 40.5 points below the posted Totals, and that includes the rather fluky count at Cleveland, when there were TD’s by the defense and special teams, plus a safety, and yet the game still played Under. So does this one. Got this info off of Dave Malinsky a professional capper. Hope it might help someone on this game. |
| GAME: Miami Dolphins @ Kansas City Chiefs Aug 16, 2007 8:00PM |
| SPORT: National Football League Picks |
| PICK: under |
| REASON FOR PICK: 4* MIAMI/KANSAS CITY Under Some editing is due here as we move this play to the free area, and perhaps a good lesson in patience as the long gridiron campaign begins. When this play was first posted yesterday afternoon 34.5 was the consensus number, but not only did that get crashed, but the game ran right through the 34's as well, with as low as 33 now out there in some key precincts. This play only works at 34 or better, so use that as your guide - should it go back up you have a play, but one should never force action. Now to recap the original analysis - In Week #2 of the pre-season, the starters on offense begin to play a bit more, and as such the oddsmakers begin to set the Totals higher. The fact that we can win on a “34” right now in this one is evidence of that, despite the fact that this game only partially fits previous patterns. Yes, there will be ample time for the starters on offense, but the problem is that these starting units simply are not very good. Cam Cameron wanted to see something from Trent Green in his Miami debut last week, and as such gave the first team offense the entire first half vs. Jacksonville, something rarely done in a pre-season opener. Because of that, there is not the usual Game #1 – Game #2 offensive “boost”. And not only did the move not energize the offense; it may have backfired. They only managed two first downs on the first six drives, and only a short field created by a Jaguar fumble enabled them to get a field goal in the final minute before intermission. The ugly halftime numbers showed four first downs and 64 yards, and in 17 pass plays they netted only 50 yards, with two sacks and an interception in that mix. Since we chart an interception as being worth 40 yards, our “true net” comes out to two feet per pass attempt. Was it just rustiness for Green? Was it a case of a QB still learning the system, and his teammates? We can not think of a better answer than a somewhat amusing, but most telling, commentary from a Palm Beach Post reporter after Tuesday’s practice this week - ”It might be timing with new receivers, it might be age or maybe both, but Trent Green, 37, continues to throw behind his receivers. In the morning session, Green threw two passes behind Ted Ginn Jr. that CB Michael Lehan intercepted. He also was short on a pass down the middle to tight end David Martin that safety Yeremiah Bell dropped to squander another interception.” That is enough for us. And behind Green there is not much to fear, with Cleo Lemon no more than a journeyman, and John Beck still learning an NFL playbook. As bad as the Dolphins were on offense last week, the Chiefs nearly matched them. A team that is trying to get either Damon Huard or Brodie Croyle to step up and take over the starting QB role simply does not have the support pieces for their limited talents to be successful. An OL that was the NFL’s best a couple of years ago now rates among the weakest following the retirements of Willie Roaf and Will Shields; Larry Johnson will not be lugging the ball for several weeks; Priest Holmes is not available yet and is questionable to ever get back to speed; and the WR corps is extremely limited, particularly with rookie Dwayne Bowe late to camp. As such, it was no surprise that they had a disastrous time moving the football vs. Cleveland on Saturday – they did not score a single point behind either Huard or Croyle, and when we do our interception factoring, they actually averaged minus yards per pass attempt with each of them on the field. Yes, the pre-season is all about making corrections. But in this case we are not convinced that either of these offenses is up to the task at hand. The first five pre-season games coached by Edwards at Kansas City have finished a collective 40.5 points below the posted Totals, and that includes the rather fluky count at Cleveland, when there were TD’s by the defense and special teams, plus a safety, and yet the game still played Under. So does this one. Got this info off of Dave Malinsky a professional capper. Hope it might help someone on this game. |
Make it just a hunch. But i think ur wrong about the Dallas pick RAIFORD. Goin against u... Indi first game. Hot pick for preseason. Hop on the bandwagon.
raiford good picks on thursday was wondering what you thought abouot fridays games or this weekends games
Raiford I did what you said on Steelers and on Cowboys I tripled!!!! Thanks for the pointers and don't listen to those bashers. Don't stop what you are doing I really appreciate it and I know others do too. Again thanks for your time and effort.
THANKS GUYS TRYING TO HELP
ACTION REVERSE
BUFFALO+7
UNDER 36
ROUND ROBIN PARLAY
MIN EV
BUF+7
NYJ -1.5
PARLAY:
MIN
TB
NYJ
TB
NE OVER 35
GL TONIGHT!!
I COULD NOT FIND THIS POST YESTERDAY!!
I HAD GB WITH THE UNDER 32
CAR, WASH, MIAMI, CLEV AND OAKLAND
I WILL POST THE SEATLLE V SD GAME IN A LITTLE WHILE!!
Raiford I did what you said on tonights game and you came through again. (Thank you!!!) What is your forecast for tomorrow? Baltimore and San Francisco to win or......
Again thanks for your posting.
Hi Raiford, I've been watching your posting but I didn't follow it so I didn't do good . May I have your email address so that I can contact you in case this one will remove someday.
What is your post tomorrow?
Thanks
MONDAYS FREE PICKS
I HOPE THESE PICKS ARE HOPING YOU GUYS OUT!
I WILL POST FREE THROUGH THE NFLX
MY PRICES ARE PROBLEY THE LEAST EXPENSIVE AND MOST LEGIT YOU WILL FIND ANYWERE ON THE NET. I WILL LIST THE EMAIL ADRESS AT THE END OF THE PRESEASON
DEN +3
BALT -3.5 (BUY HOOK DOWN TO -3)
PHILLY@BALT OVER 31
PLAY THESE 3 STRAIGHT AND ROUND ROBIN PARLAY THEM
4 TEAM PARLAY:
DEN+3
BALT-3.5
PHILLY@BALT OVER 31
DEN@SF UNDER 35
GL ON MONDAY NIGHT!!
LET ME KNOW IF THESE FREE PICKS ARE HELPING YOU GUYS MAKE SOME $$ ??
GO WITH DALLAS (NEW COACH) HUNGRY!!
ALSO CINNCY OVER DETROIT (HISTORY ON BENGALS SIDE!!)
TOTALS
BOTH UNDERS 34
BET ROUND ROBIN
DAL
CIN
DAL UNDER 34
ACTION REVERSE:
CIN
DAL
GL THURSDAY (LIKE TAKING CANDY FROM A BABY!!
Make it just a hunch. But i think ur wrong about the Dallas pick RAIFORD. Goin against u... Indi first game. Hot pick for preseason. Hop on the bandwagon.
raiford good picks on thursday was wondering what you thought abouot fridays games or this weekends games
Raiford I did what you said on Steelers and on Cowboys I tripled!!!! Thanks for the pointers and don't listen to those bashers. Don't stop what you are doing I really appreciate it and I know others do too. Again thanks for your time and effort.
THANKS GUYS TRYING TO HELP
ACTION REVERSE
BUFFALO+7
UNDER 36
ROUND ROBIN PARLAY
MIN EV
BUF+7
NYJ -1.5
PARLAY:
MIN
TB
NYJ
TB
NE OVER 35
GL TONIGHT!!
I COULD NOT FIND THIS POST YESTERDAY!!
I HAD GB WITH THE UNDER 32
CAR, WASH, MIAMI, CLEV AND OAKLAND
I WILL POST THE SEATLLE V SD GAME IN A LITTLE WHILE!!
Raiford I did what you said on tonights game and you came through again. (Thank you!!!) What is your forecast for tomorrow? Baltimore and San Francisco to win or......
Again thanks for your posting.
Hi Raiford, I've been watching your posting but I didn't follow it so I didn't do good . May I have your email address so that I can contact you in case this one will remove someday.
What is your post tomorrow?
Thanks
MONDAYS FREE PICKS
I HOPE THESE PICKS ARE HOPING YOU GUYS OUT!
I WILL POST FREE THROUGH THE NFLX
MY PRICES ARE PROBLEY THE LEAST EXPENSIVE AND MOST LEGIT YOU WILL FIND ANYWERE ON THE NET. I WILL LIST THE EMAIL ADRESS AT THE END OF THE PRESEASON
DEN +3
BALT -3.5 (BUY HOOK DOWN TO -3)
PHILLY@BALT OVER 31
PLAY THESE 3 STRAIGHT AND ROUND ROBIN PARLAY THEM
4 TEAM PARLAY:
DEN+3
BALT-3.5
PHILLY@BALT OVER 31
DEN@SF UNDER 35
GL ON MONDAY NIGHT!!
LET ME KNOW IF THESE FREE PICKS ARE HELPING YOU GUYS MAKE SOME $$ ??
I can't seem to find the page your talking about Raiford. Do you mind just posting the web link.
I HAVE A LINK ABOVE YOUR BOX. IF IT DOES NOT WORK GO TO THE AUGUST 8TH COVERS.COM
coaching the preseason:who plays to win?
(ARTICLE ABOUT COACH'S AND HOW THEY DO IN THE PRESEASON)
IT IS STILL THERE I POST THERE EVERY DAY.
CHECK IT OUT TODAY!!
THANKS
RAIFORD
I can't seem to find the page your talking about Raiford. Do you mind just posting the web link.
I HAVE A LINK ABOVE YOUR BOX. IF IT DOES NOT WORK GO TO THE AUGUST 8TH COVERS.COM
coaching the preseason:who plays to win?
(ARTICLE ABOUT COACH'S AND HOW THEY DO IN THE PRESEASON)
IT IS STILL THERE I POST THERE EVERY DAY.
CHECK IT OUT TODAY!!
THANKS
RAIFORD

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GO WITH DALLAS (NEW COACH) HUNGRY!!
ALSO CINNCY OVER DETROIT (HISTORY ON BENGALS SIDE!!)
TOTALS
BOTH UNDERS 34
BET ROUND ROBIN
DAL
CIN
DAL UNDER 34
ACTION REVERSE:
CIN
DAL
GL THURSDAY (LIKE TAKING CANDY FROM A BABY!!