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Indianapolis at Miami (09/21/2009)

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Posted: #76
medium strength winds, possible rain, trends on both teams lean on under.....neither quarterbacks really impressed in week 1 but throwing won't occur anyway until playaction and 1-on-1 matchups.  Thus, analyze each running game and running D along with receiving weapons and corners.   with constant running and too much of weapons out of reggie wayne and dallas clark....indy and under through the front door of the bank.
 
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Posted: #77
Quote Originally Posted by Mush_Man:

The MNF game is one of the most highly wagered games of the week.  Indy is the obv pick (public)
 
Here are my concerns:
 
All props to indys pass rushers aside, the fins are probably going to run the ball at least 35 times, unless they find themselves behind by more than 2 touches, in that case they are fkkkd anyway.

Line movement:  I am not one to read too much into line movement, but how is it that Indy is such the public play, and the line got hit immediately after it openend in vegas and never went up?  Accordign to this site, LVH has indy -3 @ 100 (even money)!  Basically they are offereing no juice to get more money on indy without moving the number off of 3...
 
I need to do more research cuz this one has me spooked...I actually may pass on a MNF game while I am up on the wknd
 

ROOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOK

 
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Posted: #78
TAKING UNDER AND FINS... WILL BE 10-7 GAME TOSS UP... TAKE POINTS...
 
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Posted: #79
DOLPHINS

 
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Posted: #80
Under 41
 
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Posted: #81
Indianapolis Colts @ Miami Dolphins

Miami always has great problems when faces teams which have great chances to go to the playoffs or are usual presences in the playoffs, it is rare to see a Dolphins' win, like it happened on the Week 1 and on the last season, when Miami had one good record.

In their first game, the Miami's QB suffered several sacks and that damaged their Offense, causing a lot of turnovers in the process. Tonight they will have to deal a strong team, both offensively and defensively, which will deal a lot of troubles both to Miami Offense and Defense.

Indianapolis despite their win in the Week 1, had very issues on their Offense, but I expect them to improve that for this game, since they are very agressive when they have the ball and their franchise QB Peyton Manning has returned to his old form since his last injury and he can also make history on the NFL, going for his 119th victory, which would break a tie with Johnny Unitas for the franchise record.

The Colts' Defence showed good qualities, they do a lot of pressure on their opponents' QB, which leads to several provoked errors. Indy will surely play by the Air, because that is their strong spot in the Offense, still they also have good players for the rushing game, but their preference is really the passing game, thanks to their star QB.

Whe have to remember that this is a Monday Night Football game, with a lot of Motivation for both sides: the Dolphins have the home advantage and they want to do a great game, on the other hand this is an opportunity for the Colts to give a win to their franchise QB Peyton Manning and do history in the NFL, believing that they will deal with the pressure of being the road favorites for this game.

Despite the fact the Dolphins will play at home, I believe that the Colts will manage to win this game, with their Offense to show their edge, supported by their Defense deles, which will cause a lot of difficulties to the Dolphins' Offense. I see the Colts scoring at least 25 points and I don't expect the Dolphins to exceed the mark of the 17 points in this exciting game.

Pick: Indianapolis Colts -3 -110 (1,91) The Greek

 
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Posted: #82
U 42.  Miami appears to be alluding to a ball control offense to keep it out of Peyton's hands.   If Miami succeeds at it the heat/humidity  would kick in eventually .  I don't see any more than about  4-5 TD's in this scenario.   Close game probably at any rate.


"Peak success is when you become uninterested in money, compliments or publicity"- Wolfe
 
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Posted: #83
PRIME TIME HOME TEAM DOG RULE! Taking Fins +3, Over GL Errverybody!   
 
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Posted: #84
Quote Originally Posted by MrMannix:

Already played the Over at 42.
 Never fade a MNF home dog.

with much respect, SHUT UP!
!cheers
 
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Posted: #85
U guys are kidding!!! Colts win by 2 TD's at least. Also like the over. Manning/ Clark 2 TD's tonight. Good Luck
 
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Posted: #86
As I have started this season as one of the worst handicappers in the world (8th percentile) you should be aware that I picked

COLTS -3
UNDER 41

Bet the opposite of me.
 
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Posted: #87
MIAMI +3.....all day
 
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Posted: #88

Big D - sorry for the fins, but this may be a tough night.  I am laying road wood and hope that the 4th string WR for the Colts knows the plays  See below- playing on MNF is like the playoffs, and the fins are not playoff ready

The Dolphins are 1-5 over the past three seasons against the spread as a home underdog of three points or less. Miami has failed to cover in 13 of its last 16 games home games.

Indianapolis is 5-2 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the past three seasons. They’ve been in 15 MNF games since 1992 and are 10-5 in those games.

 
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Posted: #89
Got a feeling that INDY will be 1-1 at the end of the game tonight.
NE 1-1
Titans 1-1
Pittsburgh 1-1
My new favorite teams Jets 2-0 for first time
 
In NFL, it's about parity for all teams....Any teams can beat each others, exception Detroit Lions can't beat anyone yet....lolz.
 
***Bills (Tuna) & Tony Saparno & Chad will come together to put this team pumb up and ready for Colts.
Only my concern is how well Miami defense will containing Peyton Mannings ?.. If they keep him off balance on his throwing...get couple picks..then Miami will be in business....
 
Come to my conclusion that UNDER is my play...but for side ...leaning to Home DOG!
 
Good Luck to all
 
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Posted: #90
Excuse me, but I have a question for u: What about Williams vs Indy's DL? how many carries and yards he can Do??

tnx
 
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Posted: #91
I'm hotter than a popcorn fart on the nfl...college missed all my picks on saturday...two weeks ago sunday I hit all 8 of my nfl picks..only one I missed yesterday was tennessee and switched them out with baltimore at the last second.. feeling colts tonite..
give up three points...I feel it....
 
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Posted: #92
 Teased Colts +4 with the under 48
 
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Posted: #93
hank baskett is out for the colts as of twenty minutes ago. I like the dolphins here. there were some people here saying that they were chasing going into tonights game. when i see a comment like that sometimes its good to fade them. no offense. its impossible to win all the time on your own so therefore we all need some extra help here and there. peyton mannings colts are not the same team as they once were. especially on the road. they once were equivelent to the greatest show on turf but not anymore. 20-19 colts.
 
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Posted: #94
How good are the Colts? They
barely beat the Jags, who in turn
got lit up from the Cards. Colts very
rarely blow anyone out, not that they
would have to to cover. miami might
be in desperation mode, cause they
gotta go to San Diego next. An 0-3
start not very promising. Miami to win.
GL to all....  
 
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Posted: #95
 
Quote Originally Posted by maldini:

Line opens at Indy -3.5 and DROPS a half point despite the public going big on the Colts. Smart money is on the Dolphins. 

A couple other points: Who's going to play WR for Indy? And how unimpressive is that Jax win looking now?

I'm going with the Fins. Small play.
  great point maldini, all that money going on indy yet the line is still dropping, makes you wonder huh?  like the finns
 
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Posted: #96
Still depressed from the Pats losing outright to the Jets yesterday.I like the Dolphins +3 tonight even though I hate em as much NYJ.
 
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Posted: #97
Quote Originally Posted by jgenti:

hank baskett is out for the colts as of twenty minutes ago. I like the dolphins here. there were some people here saying that they were chasing going into tonights game. when i see a comment like that sometimes its good to fade them. no offense. its impossible to win all the time on your own so therefore we all need some extra help here and there. peyton mannings colts are not the same team as they once were. especially on the road. they once were equivelent to the greatest show on turf but not anymore. 20-19 colts.

Yeah I agree, the Colts line would have been -7.5 to -9.5 back then even on the road. MNF (or any primetime) brings out the best and the worst (turnovers....like Sunday night). The team with less turnovers will likely win this and I have to lean Indy on that end. Teasing it to be safe tonight...if there is a safe bet.

+4 INDY UNDER 48 looks good on paper....

 
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Posted: #98
indy isn't the same old indy. they are very beatable as the line will tell you. 75% concensus on indy everyone and there mothers are betting indy yet the line is dropping!!!!  smart money home dog!!!  like the 3 1/2 points on the buy and the over small. both teams played under last week and everyone is hammering the under, there for i will go opposite and play the game over!!!
 
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Posted: #99
That finger wag getting underneath some peoples skin, evidently.
I'll still take the MNF home dog.
MIA +3.5 and Over 42 
GLTA 
 
 
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Posted: #100
Quote Originally Posted by positive:

As I have started this season as one of the worst handicappers in the world (8th percentile) you should be aware that I picked

COLTS -3
UNDER 41

Bet the opposite of me.

 

 

Thats some funny shit right there!

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