Houston at Tennessee (10/26/2014)

Quote Originally Posted by Dogjimbo:

Mettenberger making 1st start against that Houston D? 

TEXANS  -2.5 

Quote Originally Posted by Dracul:

Folks, this game will be won by the Tennessee Titans by a score of 24-10.  If you compare the major statistics of both of these teams relative to per play yardage versus the statistical opposite ie. (yards per pass relative to schedule in contrast to league averages, versus the defense of your opponents pass yards given per play relative to the schedule they have played's average vs league avg) than you will find that the Texans are simply a good passing team but have a highly overated running game, a below avg pass and rush defense; just a good record and beloved all of a sudden by just about everyone).  In comparison, Tennessee is excellent at rushing the ball, below avg in passing it (Metternberger can hardly make things worse), have a great secondary and a slightly above rush defense.  Tennessee are actually a better team based on statistics that I think are best predictive in determining success which are yards per rush/pass play based upon strength of schedule comparative to league average and how teams match-up because of it.  Tennessee have to win to have any hope of an outside run into the playoffs.  I believe they are the 16th best team in the NFL but have a record of something like a 26th best team, and the public is tricked into thinking the Titans are a bad team.  Houston has an above average passing game and is below or well below average in the other aspects of the game.  As well, Houston has got to be deflated after losing a tough game at Pittsburgh on MNF.  Short week for the Texans against a hungry Tennessee team that is significantly better than their record or the spread indicates.  Bet the Titans ML with absolute confidence.

Quote Originally Posted by Dracul:

Folks, this game will be won by the Tennessee Titans by a score of 24-10.  If you compare the major statistics of both of these teams relative to per play yardage versus the statistical opposite ie. (yards per pass relative to schedule in contrast to league averages, versus the defense of your opponents pass yards given per play relative to the schedule they have played's average vs league avg) than you will find that the Texans are simply a good passing team but have a highly overated running game, a below avg pass and rush defense; just a good record and beloved all of a sudden by just about everyone).  In comparison, Tennessee is excellent at rushing the ball, below avg in passing it (Metternberger can hardly make things worse), have a great secondary and a slightly above rush defense.  Tennessee are actually a better team based on statistics that I think are best predictive in determining success which are yards per rush/pass play based upon strength of schedule comparative to league average and how teams match-up because of it.  Tennessee have to win to have any hope of an outside run into the playoffs.  I believe they are the 16th best team in the NFL but have a record of something like a 26th best team, and the public is tricked into thinking the Titans are a bad team.  Houston has an above average passing game and is below or well below average in the other aspects of the game.  As well, Houston has got to be deflated after losing a tough game at Pittsburgh on MNF.  Short week for the Texans against a hungry Tennessee team that is significantly better than their record or the spread indicates.  Bet the Titans ML with absolute confidence.

Quote Originally Posted by thekirk:

Quote Originally Posted by vue21849:

HOUSTON     -   2.5     (PRIME PLAY!)

Quote Originally Posted by Dracul:

The Texans running game is average at best.  Compare their yards per rushing play versus the rushing yards per played allowed by their opponents on average and tell me they have an above average rushing game.  Tennessee is way under the radar and I expect them to go on a run and finish around 7-9, but think they are a 9-7 team that was unfortunate in the early stages of the season in an unforgiving NFL.