Detroit at Tampa Bay (12/19/2010)

Tampa Bay -4.5

Tampa Bay is 4-0-1 against the spread when playing a team with a losing record, 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six against the NFC, and 3-14 against the spread in their last 17 home games. Detroit is 8-1 against the spread when playing a team with a winning record, 6-1 against the spread against NFC teams, and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games overall. Detroit has covered in six of the last seven meetings of these two.

This is one of those match ups where it's strength on strength and weakness on weakness though neither of these teams is really too unbalanced. Tampa Bay's run defense is a little weaker than their pass defense but Detroit's run offense is weaker, it's the same as far as both teams and the pass. When we flip things Tampa Bay's run offense is stronger than their passing game but Detroit's run defense is the stronger part of that unit. I think the bulk of this game is played between the 20's as neither of these teams ever seem to be in much of a rush to do anything. With the total set at 43, that's the very top of the range for these two making the under the better play here.

UNDER is The Play

the line has gone down from -6 to -4.5

Bucs at home aginst the we just cant win Lions

If you won all the others in your teaser M/L for the LIons would have really increased that payout.