Denver at San Diego (10/15/2012)

Ugh.. Game could go either way.. SD has a better run game though, with Matthews starting to get going.. Defensively I think they are equal.. Home field obviously goes to SD.. Coaching, Denver has an advantage as I don't trust Norv Turner at all.. Tough game to call..

denver+3.5-189.

11-2 under dogs

Gotta go with the better QB, better Coach and with who I think is the better team........T.H.E..D.E.N.V.E.R..B.R.O.N.C.O.S......Peyton wont lose this game, you can bet that hehehe.

Denver  28

SDiego  24

It's DENVER for me.

You wanted the doc you got it, Just performed some cpr to bail out crappy college sat. No tears.

The biggest bet is over. Den can puts up 20 or more on you quick. So can phillip rivers. That will get you there. Road underdogs following a road loss cover the spread two-thirds of the time. Line going back and forth. Peyton Manning rules as an underdog on Monday night. Dont put latest ATL game in there.  The consensus usually gets crushed so your safe there. Besides, it wouldn't totally surprise me to see something go wrong for the Chargers.
I mean when your star QB is yelling at you for not punting when you should of...well Norm is an idiot.  Bad coaching kills in this league...wade, reid, schottenheimer, that guy that said you play to win the game guy. DEN and OV for the large!!!!!!

San Diego

YTD: 28-19-1 (59.6%)

Also I'm taking San Francisco -7 next Thursday (10/18) against Seattle.

lets c, its a division game!! den avg. 287yd passing and san diego D allows 260yds per game. okay u cant run on san diego, but u can pass like crazy on them!!  chargers avg. 231 yds passing and Denver D allows 215yd per game!! denver rushing D isnt all that!! so with these statistics and san diego playing home and its division game with the spread only being 1pt, im goin to go with a teaser and take +4PTS DENVER AND THE OVER ON THIS GAME!!!!

OoO0ohhh i dunno who says a mister peyton is 100 purcent ? he can not throw as a long and a powerful as a before but he can a still open the wine bottle gud ! tonite chargerz win !!! pleaz mister vue i dunno ! is true coverz ban you once ?? why ?  becoz  of many psudos  you have to stroki youself ? i dunnoo0 yur piks no looking so tooo gud but is more importante to making yu look gud ? gud luck and a go santa diegos !!!

-1 TO SD +1 TO THE DEN IN THE DEN.JUST WAIT HAHA JUST WAIT $$$$$$

SO YALL THINK IF I TEASE THE GAME +4PTS DENVER AND OVER 42PTS, DO U THINK I CAN WIN THAT BET?????

Broncos +1

Under and the chargers 

I don't think Peyton will have two bad Monday night games in a row.. I really like SD here, but I think Peyton goes off.. Denver should be able to get pressure on Rivers.. My only question is will Denver be able to stop the run game of SD??.. The only way they do that is if they can get a good lead and make Rivers throw, which is what Indy used to do with Mathis and Freeny for so many years.. It helps that they have one of the best corners of all time in champ bailey, so they can afford to pay a little more attention to the run game..

Strong lean on Denver as of the moment..

In the last 3 years there have been 95 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite (San Diego in this case) by 1.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like initial underdog (Denver) did better against the spread, going 50-43-2 (53.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.3 points.

Add this to the fact that Peyton's back is against the wall and you have it

DENVER +1 and leaning OVER

Hit a 3 team parlay-moneyline with Packers Cards baseball and Fever, like SD and over.

The better QB is Rivers!

Leaning Under....everyone was on the Over in last night's game and it hit. Nice gift to the public (80%+ was on the Over I think). Don't think that'll happen back to back nights. 

Yes, I am a fan of Peyton Manning, and yes I'm taking the Broncos.

Broncos have this 1 imo.... Peyton is seeing Eli become such a GREAT leader it's gonna drive Peyton to have the same leadership tonight and defeat a WEAK chargers team!!!  I had the Giants, Packers, Tigers, Cards to win yesterday !! And today Broncos and Cards get it done with the OVERS in both!!!!!!

I am right here Petey. U have to be an idiot to bet on NFL...and last week I was making that point. That the game was a toss up. College gives u a much larger potential edge. If I had to bet, no way would I take the chargers, tho they can win. Why would I bet anyway, when I make money playing poker? But as I said last week...most games come down to 4 big plays in NFL...and u want too bet on that? Good Luck with that. 

Definitely better plays to be had yesterday, but the action junkie must get his fix. I'll put a small play in on the under 48, mostly as a public fade in a game that could easily go either way on both the total and spread. When in doubt, the law of fade the public shall apply.

I've thought about this game for a while and I've decided the Chargers are the play, but I'm far from "all in" on them.  The stakes are EXTREMELY HIGH for both of these teams as a win by the Bolts would further distance themselves into 1st place at 4-2 & would bring the Broncos to 2nd place at 2-4 (yes, the AFC West is that mediocre).  A Broncos win puts them in a tie for 1st place at .500.  

The Bronco's offense has definitely been upgraded with the addition of the Sheriff as they now rank 6th in the league in yards per game.  I also think they're defense is still an above average unit even though they were totally unprepared for New England's extremely fast no-huddle offense last week.  John Fox, in my opinon, is one of the better coaches in the league and I was really surprised they weren't more prepared.   Willis Mcgahee will probably tell you he was the reason they lost last week (and deservedly so), but their rush defense was the main culprit as they allowed New England to run for 251 yards!! I look for the Broncos defense to have a sense of urgency tonight (as they won't want to be 2-4 going into the bye), but I'm just not sure it will be enough.  The Chargers are also on the bye next week and are coming off a loss too, so I don't think its the upcoming bye weeks provide a tangible advantage for either side. 

The Chargers, for some damn reason, have been like kryptonite for Peyton Manning.  In his 7 career games against them with the Colts, he has a passer rating of 72.5, thrown 16 interceptions vs only 12 touchdowns.  And I know the Chargers had Cromartie for a lot of those years (who has an unbelievable track record against Peyton), but Quentin Jammer has seen quite a bit of the Sheriff as well & he will not be easily fooled.  The Chargers secondary was really embarassed on national television last week by Drew Brees, and I look for them to play a little better this week.  

If Norv Turner is smart (for the record, I dont think he is), the Chargers will give the Broncos a heavy dose of Ryan Matthews, who looked really impressive against a very desperate Saints team going into the bye last week (84 yards on 12 carries).  That being said, I don't trust the Chargers enough to make this a strong play.  

But if I had to take it: CHARGERS and the UNDER.

Hope you guys have been following my picks this week.  I swept the board with the Browns, Bucs, Jets, Giants, and Packers.  I also said it looked too easy to take the Vikings, but didn't have the moxy to take the Skins yesterday.