All Forums | Pro Football

Baltimore at New England (01/10/2010)

...
Participants:
Search
Views: 16229
Posts: 142
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 131
Posted: #26

 Vegas knows this is a "tight to the vest" game.  Just look at line. I haven't see Pats the run the rock with passion and energy in 15 months. Forget Fred Taylor, he's washed up. Ray Rice and Mr "Underated", Willis Mcgaee are very tough. They will finish runs. Yes, weather is a big factor here. For me, the Pats lose thier first home playoff game under Tom Brady since 2001.  Pats are facing a tougher, stronger team here. I know Ravens are boring, but if they get that running game going, look out. Lets take the Ravens on the money +155. Falco and Heap move the chains. Baltimore 23 Pats 20.

 P.S.--Ray Lewis makes a mark on this game, maybe a fumble or sack or pick. Just got a feeling.

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 5051
Posted: #27
   Changing my tune, and my finally bet will be on the Ravens. Defense wins playoff games.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 984
Posted: #28
BAL ML +155: Based on the loss of Welker and opportunity to double up on Randy Moss, the Ravens should win SU. Trust me, the rookie Edelman is no Welker and the Ravens will take advantage of his loss. Score: Ravens 28-Patriots 21 (4 units).
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 883
Posted: #29

Quote Originally Posted by vue21849:

   Changing my tune, and my finally bet will be on the Ravens. Defense wins playoff games.

 

Your amazing me every week. GB change and now Ravens.. :) Thoughts would much appreciated.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2006
Posts: 1440
Posted: #30
I still will side with NE here in round one at home.  However I may buy the hook on this one to get it at -3.    Warren and Wilfork are expected to return to the Patriots DL, though we'll see how effective they are. 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 674
Posted: #31
baltimore plus the points for me. with welker out and brady a tad bit banged up. i'll take lewis and co. any day. gl to all.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 99
Posted: #32
This is for rekamyenoM, a couple of weeks ago you stated that the Pats will beat the Colts in the AFC Championship game. At that time I asked if you'd care to make a side wager on that statement for $100. You never responded, so I'll extend the offer one more time. If the Pats play the Colts for the AFC Championship game, would you like to wager on it ? At least you could respond by saying yes or no this time. I mean afterall, I figure anyone making claims that one team will beat another team, should be willing to back it up............right ?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 1743
Posted: #33

Quote Originally Posted by mika23g:

break a bookie

I don't think that you can get an accurate account of New Englands offense from the week 2 game against the jets.  Brady looked terrible for the first few weeks.

Your 100% right... I am not using those games to cap this game....  I was just saying of the one common opponent that Welker and Edleman faced..... there was a HUGE gap in the stats... Also, Randy Moss was a non-factor in both games (2nd game he had a td, but Revis locked him up)

the point I was trying to prove was that Welker to Edleman is a HUGE downgrade at a key position....

 

I like Baltimore with the points.... but I am not completely sure I'm going to bet against Brady and Belicheck in the Playoffs.... This might be a no-play for me...

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 5051
Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by bouncer07:

 

Your amazing me every week. GB change and now Ravens.. :) Thoughts would much appreciated.

    I amaze you? Hell, sometimes I even amaze myself! After flying high on a 5 week winning streak, I came back down to planet earth with a hard crash landing LW. Also had a big dent to the bankroll! Like I said in my GB/'ZONA thread, the playoff need to be analyzed with more conventional approaches. For the teams- it's "put up or shut up time"! Ditto that for me too! I'm looking to close out the season profitably-so it's back to square #1. Might add that I also love the under in the NE/BALT tilt.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 477
Posted: #35

The OVER is the Bet!!  Gonna go over 43 without a doubt..Both teams Def.  suspect...Both teams will score...whether it's running or passing..It's gonna be about how Ravens handle the big stage..Penalties --turnovers--DROP Passes  ..the only reason they lost many of their games this year..Lock of the week!!!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 477
Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by bvdmoney:

The OVER is the Bet!!  Gonna go over 43 without a doubt..Both teams Def.  suspect...Both teams will score...whether it's running or passing..It's gonna be about how Ravens handle the big stage..Penalties --turnovers--DROP Passes  ..the only reason they lost many of their games this year..Lock of the week!!!

Give me a Dime on it Please!!

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2006
Posts: 3457
Posted: #37

Simplify things people......look at the basics.  New England and Minny are the only 2 undefeated teams at home this year!!!  Baltimore played good on and off all year.....yes they are dangerous if the D gets hot and they run it well.......but every win they have this year is against a losing team!!!  Every one of them!!!!  So does that mean that ALL 7 losses came against winning teams?????  ........and Edleman will fill in nicely for Welker.....the world doesn't stop turning when one little quick guy with 3 TD's this year goes down.  Especially when there is another quick little posession guy to come in and take his place.  It's what the Pats have been doing for years now people!!! 

Patriots aren't going down at home in the first playoff game they have been in over two years to a team that can't beat a good team all year!!!!!  It's not 6-7 1/2 points here.......it's a field goal game. 

 
Covers Rehab
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 133
Posted: #38
RAVENS DEFENSE WILL WIN THIS GAME,BRADY PANICS UNDER PRESSURE.   RAVENS +4
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2005
Posts: 1433
Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by Irisheyez:

Simplify things people......look at the basics.  New England and Minny are the only 2 undefeated teams at home this year!!!  Baltimore played good on and off all year.....yes they are dangerous if the D gets hot and they run it well.......but every win they have this year is against a losing team!!!  Every one of them!!!!  So does that mean that ALL 7 losses came against winning teams?????  ........and Edleman will fill in nicely for Welker.....the world doesn't stop turning when one little quick guy with 3 TD's this year goes down.  Especially when there is another quick little posession guy to come in and take his place.  It's what the Pats have been doing for years now people!!! 

Patriots aren't going down at home in the first playoff game they have been in over two years to a team that can't beat a good team all year!!!!!  It's not 6-7 1/2 points here.......it's a field goal game. 

Dude, look at the Patriots wins.  They are against what i would consider sub par teams.   Face the music, the Pats are not the same team they once were. The defense is soft, the running backs are average, Brady isnt the same, and Randy Moss is the lone bright spot and he has had a few pretty weak performances.

Ravens running backs are damn good. Recievers are average. Defense is better than pats. Flacco aint half bad. Brady will probably throw two picks

Ravens just seem to be a little bit scarier.

RAVENS ML

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2005
Posts: 1433
Posted: #40

UNDER

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 4103
Posted: #41
One good point nobody seems to remember. Brady is playing with a cracked rib, broken index finger. With all that, I'll take my chances with balt.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2006
Posts: 1440
Posted: #42
Brady and Belichick both slammed any notion that he has cracked ribs.  That is nothing but an unconfirmed rumor.   I imagine they're bruised though.  If he had 3 cracked ribs we would be seeing more evidence of that.  I think the finger issue is real.

Patriots have not lost at Foxboro since 2006.  Pre-spygate.  For those down on him, you may have missed the fact he just won the Comeback Player of the Year award.  He's had his 2nd best season stat-wise, 2nd only to the record-breaking 2007 season. 

Game time temps will be in the mid-20s on Sunday.  This is New England football weather guys.  The Pats practice in this weather all the time. 

Edelman is no Welker, but he really is getting closer to that kind of production.  To compare his performance in week 2 of his rookie season is a little unfair to him, don't you think?   After subbing in last week he had 10 catches and 100 yards.

The loss of Welker gets a lot of attention, but is not the core issue. These Patriots will go as far as their defense takes them.  Just how far that is remains to be seen but I think it takes them through this week for sure.

Ask yourself why you really want to bet money against these trends:
  • Pats have won 11 straight home playoff games
  • 8-0 at Gillette this year
  • 5-0 lifetime against the Ravens

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 1743
Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by danstyk:

Brady and Belichick both slammed any notion that he has cracked ribs.  That is nothing but an unconfirmed rumor.   I imagine they're bruised though.  If he had 3 cracked ribs we would be seeing more evidence of that.  I think the finger issue is real.

Patriots have not lost at Foxboro since 2006.  Pre-spygate.  For those down on him, you may have missed the fact he just won the Comeback Player of the Year award.  He's had his 2nd best season stat-wise, 2nd only to the record-breaking 2007 season. 

Game time temps will be in the mid-20s on Sunday.  This is New England football weather guys.  The Pats practice in this weather all the time. 

Edelman is no Welker, but he really is getting closer to that kind of production.  To compare his performance in week 2 of his rookie season is a little unfair to him, don't you think?   After subbing in last week he had 10 catches and 100 yards.

The loss of Welker gets a lot of attention, but is not the core issue. These Patriots will go as far as their defense takes them.  Just how far that is remains to be seen but I think it takes them through this week for sure.

Ask yourself why you really want to bet money against these trends:
  • Pats have won 11 straight home playoff games
  • 8-0 at Gillette this year
  • 5-0 lifetime against the Ravens


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2005
Posts: 131
Posted: #44

Here's my question:
4 team parlay......
Looking at all 4 matchups this weekend.....and looking for value....all the visiting teams have a great chance at winning.....so here goes:

 

Jets     ML +110 (kicked Cin butt last week)

Eagles ML +165 (last year Pitt/Balt.. was the only time I can remember that a team beat the same team 3X in one season...look it up)

Balt     ML +160  (with Welker hurt and Brady banged up...Balt has a shot)

GreenBay   +1 -110 (GB is the better of the 2 teams)

 

 

 

lay $100 to win $2662.............just IMO

What does everyone think?

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2005
Posts: 131
Posted: #45

Here's my question:
4 team parlay......
Looking at all 4 matchups this weekend.....and looking for value....all the visiting teams have a great chance at winning.....so here goes:

 

Jets     ML +110 (kicked Cin butt last week)

Eagles ML +165 (last year Pitt/Balt.. was the only time I can remember that a team beat the same team 3X in one season...look it up)

Balt     ML +160  (with Welker hurt and Brady banged up...Balt has a shot)

GreenBay   +1 -110 (GB is the better of the 2 teams)

 

 

 

lay $100 to win $2662.............just IMO

What does everyone think?

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 2818
Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by wonbadappl:

Here's my question:
4 team parlay......
Looking at all 4 matchups this weekend.....and looking for value....all the visiting teams have a great chance at winning.....so here goes:

 

Jets     ML +110 (kicked Cin butt last week)

Eagles ML +165 (last year Pitt/Balt.. was the only time I can remember that a team beat the same team 3X in one season...look it up)

Balt     ML +160  (with Welker hurt and Brady banged up...Balt has a shot)

GreenBay   +1 -110 (GB is the better of the 2 teams)

 

 

 

lay $100 to win $2662.............just IMO

What does everyone think?

Did someone just take a dump in the punchbowl?

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2006
Posts: 1440
Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by wonbadappl:

Here's my question:
4 team parlay......
Looking at all 4 matchups this weekend.....and looking for value....all the visiting teams have a great chance at winning.....so here goes:

 

Jets     ML +110 (kicked Cin butt last week)

Eagles ML +165 (last year Pitt/Balt.. was the only time I can remember that a team beat the same team 3X in one season...look it up)

Balt     ML +160  (with Welker hurt and Brady banged up...Balt has a shot)

GreenBay   +1 -110 (GB is the better of the 2 teams)

 

 

 

lay $100 to win $2662.............just IMO

What does everyone think?



With all due respect, this is just a bad bet.  4 team parlays are very very hard to hit.  Plus you're playing with fire betting on the Jets, and I think you're on the wrong side with the Ravens too.  As much as I want the Eagles to win, that is a risk too.  GB is the only solid pick.  If you must play parlays, stick to two-teamers.

Good luck...  
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 99
Posted: #48
Danstyk is right here, at least about 4 team parlays. If ya gotta bet 4 or 5 team parlays, do it in baseball. Although picking winners is much easier with no spreads involved ( as in baseball ) there's no guarantee anytime. That's why they call it gambling ! I am with you on the Ravens however. The Pats aren't what a lot of people think they are this year and they just lost their best offensive weapon. This will be a good game and won't be decided til late.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 99
Posted: #49
And rekamyenoM has vanished again !
 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 12012
Posted: #50
Pats tough to beat at home in the playoffs. Would like nothing more than Brady to lose. But this is about making money and I think the Pats win by 4 to 8 points. GLTA
All Forums | Pro Football
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Privacy Choices Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo
Covers Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 Genius Sports. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.