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Iowa Caucus ** IN-GAME **

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Posted: #1





 
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Posted: #2
So Trump was leading the polls a week ago by 2% but the latest poll has him ahead by 30%

https://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2320

BTW - I am considering betting against Quinnipiac mens basketball team tonight
 
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Posted: #3
Feel the Bern ??
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by Mike_Francesa:

So it's basically Trump vs Cruz in GOP.  Cruz is +200 at Bookmaker.  Is that a good line? 

Nope

Cruz is out.  It will be Trumpt vs Rubio... which is not what I was hoping for.  I would like to see a Trump/Rubio card but that now is unlikely
 
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Posted: #5
I don't agree with SF much (ever), but Cruz might be the worst bet at those odds. Keep in mind that a politics bet for the nomination or White House ties up your money for a lengthy time, thus you really need to play something where you feel the odds are in your favor. 

The other thing to remember with politics is that people bet with their hearts more than in normal plays. 

On the R side, Cruz cannot carry the undecided or moderate Rs. If you are looking for value, find who you think will be the anti-Trump for those. Rubio seemingly should be but hasn't gained traction. Bush and Kusaich may be heard from and can appeal to those who are looking for a candidate that can win the White House. 
 
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Posted: #6
Yes I understand the wager - I have been following this closely and I predict Trump/Rubio/Cruz/Bush

The odds are not keeping up, so I would advise you to put some action on Rubio.  5dimes does not offer odds for 2nd place if they did I would bet it.  Odds for Trump are -320 and I agree so no value 
 
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Posted: #7
Actually I would put 1/2 unit on Rubio to win Iowa if I had the chance... all I can do is select "field" for +240

I don't feel strongly enough for Rubio for 1st place, I think Trump takes it easily.  Rubio will take 2nd
 
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Posted: #8
   Sanders in an upset over Hillary. Watch !
 
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Posted: #9
Trump just changed to -380.... intel is getting out.
 
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Posted: #10
I predicted Trump winning Iowa a couple weeks ago when the odds and the polls said he would not.  This is one of several predictions that are playing out just as I said.
 
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Posted: #11
Keep in mind, in Iowa the GOP voters come in and place a vote and leave, they have been doing that all day.  It is not like the DNC in which they do some primitive peer pressure group mentality way to shame voters to their side.
 
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Posted: #12
Trump now -300

crazy the swings
 
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Posted: #13

Trump blasting Cruz today in a last minute scare tactic...

Iowa Ethanol will suffer under Texas Oil and Cruz.
~~~~~ZOSO~~~~~
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by haydenvalley:

   Sanders in an upset over Hillary. Watch !

I very much doubt it... but if you feel that way you should wager it
 
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Posted: #15
i did Bernie taking iowa, nh nd ice qn gettingher indctmnt its a trifactor here
 
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Posted: #16
If trump wins in communicates to the entire nation and world how badly the GOP is in shambles.  I hope as many GOP do that he will go away and let a legit candidate take a shot at president.

Trump win = Hillary win

Trump supporter = Hillary supporter 
 
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Posted: #17
If trump wins in communicates to the entire nation and world how badly the GOP is in shambles.  I hope as many GOP do that he will go away and let a legit candidate take a shot at president.

Trump win = Hillary win

Trump supporter = Hillary supporter 
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by haydenvalley:

   Sanders in an upset over Hillary. Watch !

Why would you play against the most recent polls? 

As for Trump, he comes across as someone who will actually do better when one votes in a hidden booth as compared to the polls. 

With that being said, in the long run, my thoughts are betting the opposite of Nature1970 will make a profit. 
 
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Posted: #19
Huge turnouts being reported.... should benefit Trump and Sanders
 
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Posted: #20
sweet got 1 to 2 on trump and 3-1 on sanders each for  grant here
 
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Posted: #21
cnn
my observation



trump looks like an expectant father in a waiting room
 
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Posted: #22
cnn
my observation



trump looks like an expectant father in a waiting room
 
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Posted: #23
Starting to smell that Bernie desperation.  It's weird how the GOP is in such chaos looking for anything that could possibly resemble good news 
 
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Posted: #24
dad heat wth tump / cruz sanders8 points behind 1 quarter over
 
 
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Posted: #25
looks like 78 % not voting for establishment........
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