All Forums | Politics

California primary

...

Participants:

Posts: 7

BIG-SHOT-BOB

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2010

Posts: 319

Posted: Jun. 6, 2016 - 9:34 AM ET #1

What does everyone think of the California democratic primary tomorrow? A little surprised there hasn't been any discussion on this. Polls and media suggest it's a dead heat but the odds on Sanders and Clinton are all over the place. Thoughts?

Europa

Legend

Joined: Dec, 2003

Posts: 42786

Posted: Jun. 6, 2016 - 12:35 PM ET #2

HRC has 61% of winning Democratic California Primary in a political prediction market. Her odds of winning tomorrow it is -530 at one book. Can Bernie upset her tomorrow? It's possible but quite unlikely though.

DogbiteWilliams

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2015

Posts: 6497

Posted: Jun. 6, 2016 - 3:40 PM ET #3

Most polls show HRC with a very narrow lead. HRC -530 could win, but I think it is a horrible bet.

DogbiteWilliams

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2015

Posts: 6497

Posted: Jun. 6, 2016 - 3:42 PM ET #4

This poll gives Sanders a 1% lead, but HRC is up 10% with likely voters.

https://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-latimes-presidential-primary-poll-20160602-snap-story.html

Beaman17

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2009

Posts: 480

Posted: Sep. 8, 2016 - 5:36 PM ET #5

Quote Originally Posted by BIG-SHOT-BOB:

What does everyone think of the California democratic primary tomorrow? A little surprised there hasn't been any discussion on this. Polls and media suggest it's a dead heat but the odds on Sanders and Clinton are all over the place. Thoughts?

Hit me up if you're still looking for a local. Found a real solid guy in #edgemere!