neither will mine. Trump pretty much needs to win all of these states to have a shot at the presidency. How his odds are only +350 to win it all are beyond me.
neither will mine. Trump pretty much needs to win all of these states to have a shot at the presidency. How his odds are only +350 to win it all are beyond me.
You usually do not see props parlayed like this. Those type of liberal rules to allow that type of freedom for the gambler are pretty rare I would imagine.
I do not think it is a matter of being worried about grouping a bunch of long shots and protection of the book. In fact it is the other way around and the exact opposite in allowing people to group high probability events and reduce the chalk.
Books would welcome outlandish groups of low probability events.
Simple math and probability here
You usually do not see props parlayed like this. Those type of liberal rules to allow that type of freedom for the gambler are pretty rare I would imagine.
I do not think it is a matter of being worried about grouping a bunch of long shots and protection of the book. In fact it is the other way around and the exact opposite in allowing people to group high probability events and reduce the chalk.
Books would welcome outlandish groups of low probability events.
personally, i still believe he will win so +350 to me is still good value. However when the books are placing all the states he needs to win at +300 and above, I think his odds should be even higher. Books, based on how they are projecting individual states, should have Trump at 6/1 or 7/1
personally, i still believe he will win so +350 to me is still good value. However when the books are placing all the states he needs to win at +300 and above, I think his odds should be even higher. Books, based on how they are projecting individual states, should have Trump at 6/1 or 7/1
Yeah but getting +350 on something that is +600-+700 does not seem like good value. Perhaps your idea of loading up on states makes more sense and you could win those bets with out trump winning it all.
Yeah but getting +350 on something that is +600-+700 does not seem like good value. Perhaps your idea of loading up on states makes more sense and you could win those bets with out trump winning it all.
yeah, ohio and florida to me look almost automatic. North carolina also. Pennsylvania is going to be the deciding factor in this election.Trump at 3/1 in florida and ohio is absurd.
I think a play on Trump to take Florida is $$$. His rallies are twice a week minimum and are overflowing. Latino vote is more conservative than California Mexican voters. Trump has long ties in Florida with major golf course and hotel ventures, and appears popular beyond the sheer loyalty vote of # of democrats. I am never sure how Ohio will go. It has been a major focal point, from Cleveland convention, and Trump splits time between the two states. Wouldn't hurt to play both heavy . At least you will split these two at worst, but looks like both in Trump victory column.
Penn? Trump is Pres Trump if he wins it.
Quote Originally Posted by smartapple123:
yeah, ohio and florida to me look almost automatic. North carolina also. Pennsylvania is going to be the deciding factor in this election.Trump at 3/1 in florida and ohio is absurd.
I think a play on Trump to take Florida is $$$. His rallies are twice a week minimum and are overflowing. Latino vote is more conservative than California Mexican voters. Trump has long ties in Florida with major golf course and hotel ventures, and appears popular beyond the sheer loyalty vote of # of democrats. I am never sure how Ohio will go. It has been a major focal point, from Cleveland convention, and Trump splits time between the two states. Wouldn't hurt to play both heavy . At least you will split these two at worst, but looks like both in Trump victory column.
personally, i still believe he will win so +350 to me is still good value. However when the books are placing all the states he needs to win at +300 and above, I think his odds should be even higher. Books, based on how they are projecting individual states, should have Trump at 6/1 or 7/1
Trump has no shot winning.....think about it.
51% of U.S. is female.......at most, 25% of ALL women vote for Trump
49% are males.....at most, 2/3 of men will vote Trump (67%)
Add the two together......Trump is looking at a factor of 92 out of 200 (100% males/100% female voters)
Conversely, Hillary would be a factor of 108 out of 200.....landslide win by 8% at worst.....
TRUMP HAS NOT CHANCE......mathematically speaking
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Quote Originally Posted by smartapple123:
personally, i still believe he will win so +350 to me is still good value. However when the books are placing all the states he needs to win at +300 and above, I think his odds should be even higher. Books, based on how they are projecting individual states, should have Trump at 6/1 or 7/1
Trump has no shot winning.....think about it.
51% of U.S. is female.......at most, 25% of ALL women vote for Trump
49% are males.....at most, 2/3 of men will vote Trump (67%)
Add the two together......Trump is looking at a factor of 92 out of 200 (100% males/100% female voters)
Conversely, Hillary would be a factor of 108 out of 200.....landslide win by 8% at worst.....
I think a play on Trump to take Florida is $$$. His rallies are twice a week minimum and are overflowing. Latino vote is more conservative than California Mexican voters. Trump has long ties in Florida with major golf course and hotel ventures, and appears popular beyond the sheer loyalty vote of # of democrats. I am never sure how Ohio will go. It has been a major focal point, from Cleveland convention, and Trump splits time between the two states. Wouldn't hurt to play both heavy . At least you will split these two at worst, but looks like both in Trump victory column.
Penn? Trump is Pres Trump if he wins it.
Not going to win the state where both Hillary and her vice president were born.....not gonna happen.....would be like saying G.W. Bush would not win Texas votes
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Quote Originally Posted by Relax_Dude:
I think a play on Trump to take Florida is $$$. His rallies are twice a week minimum and are overflowing. Latino vote is more conservative than California Mexican voters. Trump has long ties in Florida with major golf course and hotel ventures, and appears popular beyond the sheer loyalty vote of # of democrats. I am never sure how Ohio will go. It has been a major focal point, from Cleveland convention, and Trump splits time between the two states. Wouldn't hurt to play both heavy . At least you will split these two at worst, but looks like both in Trump victory column.
Penn? Trump is Pres Trump if he wins it.
Not going to win the state where both Hillary and her vice president were born.....not gonna happen.....would be like saying G.W. Bush would not win Texas votes
personally, i still believe he will win so +350 to me is still good value. However when the books are placing all the states he needs to win at +300 and above, I think his odds should be even higher. Books, based on how they are projecting individual states, should have Trump at 6/1 or 7/1
I will offer you 7-1 on a Trump win. Here's the catch. If Trump never exceeds 201 electoral votes than you pay me 7-1. If Trump loses but exceeds 201 EV than the bet is no action. It's a sweet offer for those who think that Trump will outperform media expectations. On a $50 bet, $350 will change hands. Who wants action? I'll accept (3) offers.
Quote Originally Posted by smartapple123:
personally, i still believe he will win so +350 to me is still good value. However when the books are placing all the states he needs to win at +300 and above, I think his odds should be even higher. Books, based on how they are projecting individual states, should have Trump at 6/1 or 7/1
I will offer you 7-1 on a Trump win. Here's the catch. If Trump never exceeds 201 electoral votes than you pay me 7-1. If Trump loses but exceeds 201 EV than the bet is no action. It's a sweet offer for those who think that Trump will outperform media expectations. On a $50 bet, $350 will change hands. Who wants action? I'll accept (3) offers.
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