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    All Forums | Poker

    Going to AC this weekend...question about pot odds

    CrusCrnshw
    tkf18ny
    Mr. Insight
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 259
    Posts: 3
     
    CrusCrnshw
    CrusCrnshw
    MVP
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2005
    Posts: 16017
    Posted: Jan. 19, 2007 - 12:46 PM ET #1

    Im actually a fairly experienced poker player. I dont play for huge stakes but I've played quite a bit over the last 3 years. Anyways..here is my question....
     
    Say I have 98off
    guy im against has QJ off
     
    FLOP: Qd7c6c
     
    Pot has 30 bucks in it....Im roughly a 37% chance to win this hand...I obv dont know what the other guy has, but I have straight draw plus chance at runner runner  club or runner runner trips...
     
    What amount of money does he have to bet to make my odds not worth it. I always thought since I was a 33-37% chance to win the hand, that I would only call if I was getting 3-1 odds to call...
     
    For example if he bets 15...that makes the pot 45...and I only have to put in 15 to win the 45 (Im assuimng I dont add the 15 Im putting in), so I would be at odds..but it seems if he can put in 30..and Im only a 2-1 dog, so it would make sense (from an odds standpoint) to call a 30 dollar bet that he puts in to make the pot 60....
     
    Can someone clear this up for me...and maybe use another scenario?? Thanks
     
     
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Im actually a fairly experienced poker player. I dont play for huge stakes but I've played quite a bit over the last 3 years. Anyways..here is my question....
     
    Say I have 98off
    guy im against has QJ off
     
    FLOP: Qd7c6c
     
    Pot has 30 bucks in it....Im roughly a 37% chance to win this hand...I obv dont know what the other guy has, but I have straight draw plus chance at runner runner  club or runner runner trips...
     
    What amount of money does he have to bet to make my odds not worth it. I always thought since I was a 33-37% chance to win the hand, that I would only call if I was getting 3-1 odds to call...
     
    For example if he bets 15...that makes the pot 45...and I only have to put in 15 to win the 45 (Im assuimng I dont add the 15 Im putting in), so I would be at odds..but it seems if he can put in 30..and Im only a 2-1 dog, so it would make sense (from an odds standpoint) to call a 30 dollar bet that he puts in to make the pot 60....
     
    Can someone clear this up for me...and maybe use another scenario?? Thanks
     
     
     
    tkf18ny
    tkf18ny
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2001
    Posts: 1625
    Posted: Jan. 19, 2007 - 1:53 PM ET #2

    It depends a lot more on stack sizes and how he plays  so its hard to give a blanket answer
    if he is very tight and deepstacked you may want to raise him now since he would probably just fold. Or if you call him you may want to represent the hand if a club or ace hits.
    If he is unbluffable bit never folds just call-raising is pointless and hope to hit and he bets 15 call  (once again if he is very deep this is even better because you may make 4 or 500 if an oppsuit 5 pops off)
    Also consider the fact the you may hit something like the 10 of clubs which could give your opponet a flush and cause you to lose a lot of money

    By the way going runner runner is good if you had something here like 89 of diamonds so if you cauvght running doamonds you could win a big pot
    Here if you have 89 witht he 8 of clubs running clubs  usually wont do you much good. If it comes running clubs you really cant value bet it as he may have a club himself. The river would probably just go check check. Bluffing would be pointless because if he doesnt have a club he would fold and you would win anyway and if he has a club hes never foldiing (noone folds live)

    Sorry for such a long answer but unless this is limit the answer isnt cut and dry
    Reply
    It depends a lot more on stack sizes and how he plays  so its hard to give a blanket answer
    if he is very tight and deepstacked you may want to raise him now since he would probably just fold. Or if you call him you may want to represent the hand if a club or ace hits.
    If he is unbluffable bit never folds just call-raising is pointless and hope to hit and he bets 15 call  (once again if he is very deep this is even better because you may make 4 or 500 if an oppsuit 5 pops off)
    Also consider the fact the you may hit something like the 10 of clubs which could give your opponet a flush and cause you to lose a lot of money

    By the way going runner runner is good if you had something here like 89 of diamonds so if you cauvght running doamonds you could win a big pot
    Here if you have 89 witht he 8 of clubs running clubs  usually wont do you much good. If it comes running clubs you really cant value bet it as he may have a club himself. The river would probably just go check check. Bluffing would be pointless because if he doesnt have a club he would fold and you would win anyway and if he has a club hes never foldiing (noone folds live)

    Sorry for such a long answer but unless this is limit the answer isnt cut and dry
     
     
    Mr. Insight
    Mr. Insight
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2006
    Posts: 3738
    Posted: Jan. 21, 2007 - 11:53 PM ET #3

    You should stay away from open enders when there are two suited cards on the board because it reduces your outs, especially if a few people call.  Personally, I hate calling open enders heads up because those are hands where you want a few people in the pot.  But my guess is if you call the flop, unless he hits a jack on the turn, you probably will get to see a free river. 
    Reply
    You should stay away from open enders when there are two suited cards on the board because it reduces your outs, especially if a few people call.  Personally, I hate calling open enders heads up because those are hands where you want a few people in the pot.  But my guess is if you call the flop, unless he hits a jack on the turn, you probably will get to see a free river. 
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