Week 7 Winners (35-11 YTD Record)....

Question

....Ladies and Gentlemen, Boys and Girls, Children of All Ages....Last Week we suffered our Worst Winning Percentage of the Season, Hitting 4 of 7 Bets. Luckily for us, we did hit our Best Bet so we did Finish &#x2B;3 Units (for those accounting for the Juice, thats &#x2B;2.7). This week, we&#x27;re looking to keep the Winning Ways ALIVE!!! Even though 4-3 isnt quite a "Bad Week" by traditional standards, I have set the bar high for myself and I cant afford another "4-3 Type" of Week if I expect to meet and exceed my Season Goal. I plan on making up for lastwks "mediocre" performance with some VERY Solid and Calculated Bets... TRAIN69 was polite enough to point out to me that my First few Bets are/were Usually VERY Solid and then I "press" for more Picks and I usually end up going 50% or Less on those Additional Picks (lastwk 0-2 on added picks and prior to that 1-1, etc...) So this week, I&#x27;ll ONLY be adding my Favorite Initial Plays and thats it! I happen to like a fair amount of games this week, so even though I wont be "Adding" Picks, I will be playing 6-7 Games... The ONLY Picks that ill be adding are the Sunday Night Game and the Monday Night Game (as I actually Really Like these Match-ups!). If you guys have been tailing me, you&#x27;ve noticed that I usually lay-off the MNF Games and only sometimes play the SNF Games, but this Week, Im almost certain that I&#x27;ll be playing them Both!!! I Will Not be Posting my SNF and MNF Picks until before game-time... So stay tuned!!Someone made the VERY Accurate point, that I should NOT be "Buying the Hook" so frequently, as it&#x27;s a Vegas Scam or a Sucker&#x27;s Play, but this Particular Week, there are Waaaayy too many 3-Pt Spreads, I Have to Buy the Hook down on 3-Pt Plays, its a MUST! There are 9-Total 3 to 3.5 Point Spreads this Week, that is BY FAR the MOST 3-Pt Spreads of the Season!!! Anyways.... Well onto the Main Event:Week 7 WINNERS:San Diego -2.5 vs New England: Even though this game is on at 4, I&#x27;m posting it 1st because it is my Best Bet of the Week! This game couldn&#x27;t be MORE up my alley! SD is the ULTIMATE Jekyl and Hyde team, Playing AWFUL on the Road and Very GOOD at Home!!! They happen to be coming off of 2-straight Road Losses where they were favored in both, so bettors are Very against taking San Diego and New England just came off a HUGE Home Victory against Baltimore... This game is set up so beautifully!!! The betting public is ALL Over New England thus far, picking them at a 72% Rate, and thats EXACTLY what I was hoping for!!! San Diegos 2 Wins on the Season were at Home and both blowouts, granted they weren&#x27;t against the greatest of opponents, their play looked MUCH Better at Home. The Chargers Offensive and Defensive Stats "look" pretty good, their Offense AND Defense Ranking 1st in Total Yards AND Passing Yards and BOTH Sides of the Ball... So they Pass well and accumulate Yards well, while also Defending the Pass well... They also have the 5th highest Points Scored so they can Definitely put Points on the Board. Lastwk, I was shocked to see them struggle so mightily against St Louis, but again, this was on the Road and this week I think some "Home Cookin" is just what the Doctor Ordered!!! Phillip Rivers is an ELITE QB but I will admit the injury to Antonio Gates does concern me because Malcom Floyd is already Out of this contest so even though Rivers is ELITE, he needs to have Weapons. Legedu Nanee and Patrick Crayton will look to be Rivers Go-To Options in the Passing Game, with Floyd Out and Gates "practicing", with the intent of Playing... at Worst, Gates should atleast "play" and be a very good diversion. New England&#x27;s Defense hasn&#x27;t been very good this season, in-fact their Primary Weakness has been their Passing Defense, as they Rank 29th against the Pass, 30th in Total yards allowed, and 25th in Points Allowed, meaning they are prone to allowing A LOT of Yards/Points through the Air. Their Offense Ranks Tops (or near the Top) in A LOT of the same Categories so thats why they&#x27;ve had success thus far, but I expect SD to slow-down the Top-Rated Offense, atleast enough to Win this Contest. I expect this game to "Potentially" become a shootout between 2 of the Leagues Premier QBs, so for those who Bet totals, 2 Elite Passing Teams, Both Top 5 In scoring, Over 47 seems like a pretty good Bet to me!!! With that said, Im ONLY playing San Diego for now! (Laying 3-Units on the Chargers)

bets2win · Answer

....Ladies and Gentlemen, Boys and Girls, Children of All Ages....Last Week we suffered our Worst Winning Percentage of the Season, Hitting 4 of 7 Bets. Luckily for us, we did hit our Best Bet so we did Finish &#x2B;3 Units (for those accounting for the Juice, thats &#x2B;2.7). This week, we&#x27;re looking to keep the Winning Ways ALIVE!!! Even though 4-3 isnt quite a "Bad Week" by traditional standards, I have set the bar high for myself and I cant afford another "4-3 Type" of Week if I expect to meet and exceed my Season Goal. I plan on making up for lastwks "mediocre" performance with some VERY Solid and Calculated Bets... TRAIN69 was polite enough to point out to me that my First few Bets are/were Usually VERY Solid and then I "press" for more Picks and I usually end up going 50% or Less on those Additional Picks (lastwk 0-2 on added picks and prior to that 1-1, etc...) So this week, I&#x27;ll ONLY be adding my Favorite Initial Plays and thats it! I happen to like a fair amount of games this week, so even though I wont be "Adding" Picks, I will be playing 6-7 Games... The ONLY Picks that ill be adding are the Sunday Night Game and the Monday Night Game (as I actually Really Like these Match-ups!). If you guys have been tailing me, you&#x27;ve noticed that I usually lay-off the MNF Games and only sometimes play the SNF Games, but this Week, Im almost certain that I&#x27;ll be playing them Both!!! I Will Not be Posting my SNF and MNF Picks until before game-time... So stay tuned!!Someone made the VERY Accurate point, that I should NOT be "Buying the Hook" so frequently, as it&#x27;s a Vegas Scam or a Sucker&#x27;s Play, but this Particular Week, there are Waaaayy too many 3-Pt Spreads, I Have to Buy the Hook down on 3-Pt Plays, its a MUST! There are 9-Total 3 to 3.5 Point Spreads this Week, that is BY FAR the MOST 3-Pt Spreads of the Season!!! Anyways.... Well onto the Main Event:Week 7 WINNERS:San Diego -2.5 vs New England: Even though this game is on at 4, I&#x27;m posting it 1st because it is my Best Bet of the Week! This game couldn&#x27;t be MORE up my alley! SD is the ULTIMATE Jekyl and Hyde team, Playing AWFUL on the Road and Very GOOD at Home!!! They happen to be coming off of 2-straight Road Losses where they were favored in both, so bettors are Very against taking San Diego and New England just came off a HUGE Home Victory against Baltimore... This game is set up so beautifully!!! The betting public is ALL Over New England thus far, picking them at a 72% Rate, and thats EXACTLY what I was hoping for!!! San Diegos 2 Wins on the Season were at Home and both blowouts, granted they weren&#x27;t against the greatest of opponents, their play looked MUCH Better at Home. The Chargers Offensive and Defensive Stats "look" pretty good, their Offense AND Defense Ranking 1st in Total Yards AND Passing Yards and BOTH Sides of the Ball... So they Pass well and accumulate Yards well, while also Defending the Pass well... They also have the 5th highest Points Scored so they can Definitely put Points on the Board. Lastwk, I was shocked to see them struggle so mightily against St Louis, but again, this was on the Road and this week I think some "Home Cookin" is just what the Doctor Ordered!!! Phillip Rivers is an ELITE QB but I will admit the injury to Antonio Gates does concern me because Malcom Floyd is already Out of this contest so even though Rivers is ELITE, he needs to have Weapons. Legedu Nanee and Patrick Crayton will look to be Rivers Go-To Options in the Passing Game, with Floyd Out and Gates "practicing", with the intent of Playing... at Worst, Gates should atleast "play" and be a very good diversion. New England&#x27;s Defense hasn&#x27;t been very good this season, in-fact their Primary Weakness has been their Passing Defense, as they Rank 29th against the Pass, 30th in Total yards allowed, and 25th in Points Allowed, meaning they are prone to allowing A LOT of Yards/Points through the Air. Their Offense Ranks Tops (or near the Top) in A LOT of the same Categories so thats why they&#x27;ve had success thus far, but I expect SD to slow-down the Top-Rated Offense, atleast enough to Win this Contest. I expect this game to "Potentially" become a shootout between 2 of the Leagues Premier QBs, so for those who Bet totals, 2 Elite Passing Teams, Both Top 5 In scoring, Over 47 seems like a pretty good Bet to me!!! With that said, Im ONLY playing San Diego for now! (Laying 3-Units on the Chargers)

bets2win · Answer

Tampa Bay -2.5 vs St Louis: St Louis has played considerably well at Home this season, but they're 0-2 on the Road (they arent quite the jekyl and Hyde status of the Chargers, but they are Good at Home and Winless on the Road). The two opponents that they Lost to on the Road were Oakland and Detroit, so its not like they've faced 'stiff opponents' on the Road, infact those 2 opponents were 'pretty bad' teams. Tampa Bay did get Blown Out lastwk by New Orleans but I think everyone can understand why N'awlens, one of their Division Rivals, was able to handle the Bucs so badly, the Saints were 'due' for a Breakout Game and Tampa Bay was Exactly what the Doctor ordered for them... I do not hold that Loss against TB, infact their 2 Losses were to NO and Pittsburgh, whereas their 3 Wins were against Cleveland, Carolina, and Cincinnati. So in other words, TB knows how to beat the 'bad teams' but isn't quite good enough to beat the 'good teams'. While I do think St Louis is a 'pretty good' Home Team, they're pretty shabby on the Road. I expect Tampa Bay to force A LOT of errors out of the Rams offensive unit, Sam Bradford is DEFINITELY the "Real Deal" but he is infact a Rookie and Tampa Bays Defense will Force him into looking like a typical 'error-prone' Rookie. I expect TB to force 3+ Turnovers and I plan on them protecting the ball. This game will be Won by the team who Protects the Ball and Wins the Field Position Battle, as I fully expect TB to have GREAT Field Position all afternoon and they should be able to capitalize with "atleast" FG's, transitioning some of them into TD's, I expect something like a 26-13 Win by the Home-Team. I like Tampa Bay here... (Laying 1-Unit on TB)

Carolina +3.5 vs San Francisco: San Fran FINALLY Picked up Win #1 on the Season! ....and now theyre Laying Points on the Road!?Really!? Carolina's NOT a very good football team, infact they might be worse than the 49ers but they are coming off their bye-week and theyre at Home. Plus, Steve Smith expects to be healthy and back in action this week, so they finally have their biggest offensive threat back suited up and ready to play. Im not too concerned with who starts at QB for them, either Claussen or Moore, its pretty much pick your poison here but the most important thing is who can hand the ball off the best and throw screen passes to Smith. Though I expect them to throw the occasional deep ball to Smith to keep the Defense honest, they're coming off their bye-week and should have had enough time to gain some chemistry with their #1 WR. Carolina still has their 2-Headed Rushing Attack to lean on and I expect whoever is QBing to have a Heavy Dose of handoffs and tosses to the ELITE RBs on the Panthers squad. Both backs will be 100% rested with 100% fresh legs and they should be able to just pound the ball All Day Long... Despite their AWFUL play thus far, Carolina does Rank 5th Against the Pass and 12th in Total Points, so they can Defend quite well and should Alex Smith be forced to "keep up", he could run into some trouble against Carolinas underrated Pass Defense. Many view SF as a "Good Rushing Team", who only passes when they have to, when infact they only rank 28th in Rushing Offense and 15th in Passing Offense, so they Pass A LOT more than youd expect ( ...even though this might be due to the fact that they're playing catch-up quite often). Plain and Simple, the 49ers should NOT be Favored on the Road, no matter who their Opponents are!! The funny thing about this is that the Betting Public is "almost" 70% on SF, but I completely expect Carolina to get this one done infront of their Home Crowd... When a team Runs as well as the Panthers do, giving them 3-Pts at Home, coming off a Bye-week, seems like a Solid Play to me... (Laying 1-Unit on Carolina)

bets2win · Answer

Philadelphia &#x2B;3.5 @ Tennessee: Both teams are coming off Big Wins, one against the Jags and one against the Falcons. Kolb looks to be Starting for the Eagles for his 3rd Consecutive Week, giving him yet another Week to pickup the Eagles Aerial Attack. The Eagles have proven that they can Win on the Road, Collecting 3 Road Wins in ALL 3 of their Road Games, whereas Tennessee hasn&#x27;t been one of those Home Teams who is "untouchable" at Home, infact they&#x27;ve suffered Both of their Losses at Home. This Eagles team might be the Best team that the Titans have played so far. They played Pittsburgh before Big Ben returned and the Giants in Wk3 before they started playing well. When you look at how well this Eagles Team has been playing, it "might be" the best opponent they&#x27;ve played so far. Phillys Defense is Top 10 in all the "primary" defensive stats, so they should be able to limit Tennessee&#x27;s already mediocre Offense. Its no surprise that Tenn&#x27;s Offense is predicated around the Run, as they Rank 3rd in Rushing Offense but 29th in Passing Offense and 26th in Total Yards. Phillys Rushing Defense is solid enough to slow down Tenn&#x27;s Rushing attack, as they Rank 8th... Tennessee&#x27;s Defense is ok, but IMO, this Eagles attack is the best offense they&#x27;ve faced yet. I expect the Eagles to continue to be Road Warriors and improve to 4-0 on the Road.... (Laying 1-Unit on Philly)Seattle -5.5 vs Arizona: Seattle is another one of those teams who plays Great at Home, but poor on the Road (despite their BIG Victory against Chicago lastwk) and Seattles 12th Man on Defense is a BIG Part of that reasoning!! Arizona&#x27;s been mediocre on the Road, posting a 1-2 Record with their 2 Losses being blowout Losses to SD and Atlanta, allowing 41 Pts in BOTH Contests, while scoring 7 and 10 respectively... Arizona&#x27;s Defense is just AWFUL, as they Rank in the bottom 5 of the League in Every Single Important Defensive Stat (Rush, Pass, Total Yds, and Points). Their Offense hasnt been much better and their QB Play has been a big reason for that! They have attempted to Rush the ball more this season but haven&#x27;t been able to bc teams are just stacking up against the Run and forcing their Awful QBs to beat them... and its NOT happening!! Seattle&#x27;s Defense Ranks 2nd against the Rush and I expect them to not only shut down Arizona&#x27;s Mediocre Rushing Attack, but I expect them to also force whoever is QBing into A LOT of mistakes. Seattle has added Marshawn Lynch to a football team in need of a "real" Every Down Back and Lynch has already proved in his Career that he can be that workhorse. He&#x27;s now had 2 weeks to fully learn Seattles Offense and should look a lot better in this contest. I expect Seattle&#x27;s Offense to look "crisp" and "complete", posting Solid All-Around Numbers, Passing and Rushing, while also playing "Stout Defense"!! A lot of this Offensive Production will be because of how bad Arizona&#x27;s Defense is, but nevertheless, I expect Seattle to look really good and post a Solid, all around football game and I think Arizona notches ANOTHER Blowout Loss to Seattle this Sunday!!! (Laying 2-Units on Seattle)Well that&#x27;s 5 Plays for now... Only 2 More to Come, the SNF game and the MNF game! Im feeling pretty good about these picks this week so I expect some VERY GOOD results!!! ... and as always...BOL to Everyone!!!  Those With Me   Those Against Me   Lets Hope the Good-Times ROLL!!!!

slomotion · Answer

excellent write up...thanks for the insight...let&#x27;s hope this thread stays a little shorter

scubedoo18 · Answer

Looking forward to another winning week

MoneySRH · Answer

GL

thewild · Answer

respect

DrKylePile · Answer

you lead, we follow.  keep it up

Laroja · Answer

Love the SD pick man! BOL as always!

THE-KID · Answer

GL! Love SD.

flyguybry21 · Answer

BETS WIN OR LOSE YOU THE MAN,WON ME PLENTY,AS I LAY ON THE COAT TAIL 1 MORE WEEK,THANKS,LETS GET THAT CHEESE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

manstar10 · Answer

thanks dude! im going with all your picks this week.

MoneyShot · Answer

GL on your picks bet2win, where did you get &#x2B;3.5 on Carolina, it is &#x2B;3(-110 to -120) everywhere??&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;Im with you on TB, loved them at only -2.5 from the moment i saw it..

manstar10 · Answer

i cant beleive i just placed 3 units on san diego!

and i cant beleive i placed a unit on philly with deseasn hurt!

and then i bet 2 units on a parley with tb and seattle. i have faith in u

o god. i hope you pull thru.

luckyly · Answer

LOOKS LIKE A 4-0 WK.... GREAT WRITE UP...&#xD;&#xA;HAVE DENVER FOR A LARGE PLAY..

Timmyd · Answer

I&#x27;m with u for the better or worst.

AcesBooted · Answer

GL B2W! Lovin Sd, Philly and Sea as well! Lets cash this!

davidn28 · Answer

GL !

luckyviet · Answer

nice looking forward to this weekend!

faith12 · Answer

Keep up the Great Work B2W!&#xD;&#xA;Love the writeups.......Look forward to your insight.&#xD;&#xA;Liking SD&#x2B;SEA top plays.&#xD;&#xA;Take it Easy

frankieb615 · Answer

Hey Bets2win, I have a quick question. My site was N.E -3 (-125) and St.Louis &#x2B;3 (-120), shouldn&#x27;t i just sit tight rather than buying the hook? To me it seems like those line are going to move in my favor.

Week 7 Winners (35-11 YTD Record)....

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