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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    KC vs Jax. Beat the odds!!

    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
    Ilovefootballs
    VicVega91
    SportsIntuition
    arch1969
    MakerBayfield
    ...
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    Views: 5165
    Posts: 132
    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
     
    Ilovefootballs
    Ilovefootballs
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    Joined: Aug, 2021
    Posts: 2838
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 3:04 PM ET #76

    Quote Originally Posted by Way2Good:

    @Ilovefootballs  you lost me when you said it was based on your perception.  if you gamble based on your personal instincts without data to back you up then you are as good as the trolls here posting glorious amount just to boost your ego. seeking validation on your posts when you get it right and seeking sympathy when you get it wrong.

     

    You’re just out here from the rock, and a hater never bothered to read the analysis I posted and only quick to dismiss what you don’t understand. Stay in your lane and keep your weak aas off my thread. 
    thumbs_down

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Way2Good:

    @Ilovefootballs  you lost me when you said it was based on your perception.  if you gamble based on your personal instincts without data to back you up then you are as good as the trolls here posting glorious amount just to boost your ego. seeking validation on your posts when you get it right and seeking sympathy when you get it wrong.

     

    You’re just out here from the rock, and a hater never bothered to read the analysis I posted and only quick to dismiss what you don’t understand. Stay in your lane and keep your weak aas off my thread. 
    thumbs_down

     
    VicVega91
    VicVega91
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    Posts: 1831
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 3:47 PM ET #77

    @arch1969

     Ok, that makes more sense. Thanks for the clarification 

    Reply

    @arch1969

     Ok, that makes more sense. Thanks for the clarification 

     
    SportsIntuition
    SportsIntuition
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    Posts: 2172
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 3:53 PM ET #78

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs:

    As I mentioned several times last night, I chose Buffalo to test the handicapped software chatbox because it was written by a software engineer who works in Vegas that I know because he helped me a lot, and I trusted him even though I knew I would lose. Sometimes I lose with a friend, and that's my way of life. I went out of the box, and last night was the exception of the Buffalo game; everything has gone perfectly for the system. I told my people that if they don't like it, they can stay away because I want to go deeper with the system. Even my AI told me to take the Pats +7.5 too. I bought back the 2H Pats +6.5 and still lost $2k.

     

    Does your AI tell you what to eat for dinner too?

    And if you knew it was going to lose why did you bother posting it? And "max max max play"?

    You've been doing great but just scratching my head over this?

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs:

    As I mentioned several times last night, I chose Buffalo to test the handicapped software chatbox because it was written by a software engineer who works in Vegas that I know because he helped me a lot, and I trusted him even though I knew I would lose. Sometimes I lose with a friend, and that's my way of life. I went out of the box, and last night was the exception of the Buffalo game; everything has gone perfectly for the system. I told my people that if they don't like it, they can stay away because I want to go deeper with the system. Even my AI told me to take the Pats +7.5 too. I bought back the 2H Pats +6.5 and still lost $2k.

     

    Does your AI tell you what to eat for dinner too?

    And if you knew it was going to lose why did you bother posting it? And "max max max play"?

    You've been doing great but just scratching my head over this?

     
    arch1969
    arch1969
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2022
    Posts: 38
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 3:56 PM ET #79

     

    AI tells me to eat cookies and cake.   So, I do.

    Reply

     

    AI tells me to eat cookies and cake.   So, I do.

     
    Ilovefootballs
    Ilovefootballs
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    Posts: 2838
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 3:57 PM ET #80

    Quote Originally Posted by SportsIntuition:

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs: Quote Originally Posted by arch1969: The game last night was very easy to cap.   1. Pats have a new coach. 2. If you look at the Bills vs Pats games over the years, they never play in week 5.  Until now. 3. The Bills don't cover big spreads against good teams. Especially at home.   Pats are a good team.  You have not been watching these games. 4. The biggest spread that the Bills covered since 2021 was 4.5 points. As I mentioned several times last night, I chose Buffalo to test the handicapped software chatbox because it was written by a software engineer who works in Vegas that I know because he helped me a lot, and I trusted him even though I knew I would lose. Sometimes I lose with a friend, and that's my way of life. I went out of the box, and last night was the exception of the Buffalo game; everything has gone perfectly for the system. I told my people that if they don't like it, they can stay away because I want to go deeper with the system. Even my AI told me to take the Pats +7.5 too. I bought back the 2H Pats +6.5 and still lost $2k. Does your AI tell you what to eat for dinner?

    Now your true colors are showing and no doubt you’ve been the hidden hater all along. I see through the act. No respect for you, no more.

    thumbs_down

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by SportsIntuition:

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs: Quote Originally Posted by arch1969: The game last night was very easy to cap.   1. Pats have a new coach. 2. If you look at the Bills vs Pats games over the years, they never play in week 5.  Until now. 3. The Bills don't cover big spreads against good teams. Especially at home.   Pats are a good team.  You have not been watching these games. 4. The biggest spread that the Bills covered since 2021 was 4.5 points. As I mentioned several times last night, I chose Buffalo to test the handicapped software chatbox because it was written by a software engineer who works in Vegas that I know because he helped me a lot, and I trusted him even though I knew I would lose. Sometimes I lose with a friend, and that's my way of life. I went out of the box, and last night was the exception of the Buffalo game; everything has gone perfectly for the system. I told my people that if they don't like it, they can stay away because I want to go deeper with the system. Even my AI told me to take the Pats +7.5 too. I bought back the 2H Pats +6.5 and still lost $2k. Does your AI tell you what to eat for dinner?

    Now your true colors are showing and no doubt you’ve been the hidden hater all along. I see through the act. No respect for you, no more.

    thumbs_down

     
    MakerBayfield
    MakerBayfield
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    Joined: Jan, 2024
    Posts: 67
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:04 PM ET #81

    Mahomes has only lost 1 game in the state of Florida. That was to Tom Brady in super bowl LV

    Reply

    Mahomes has only lost 1 game in the state of Florida. That was to Tom Brady in super bowl LV

     
    Indydog
    Indydog
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:07 PM ET #82

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs:

    Quote Originally Posted by Indydog: Quote Originally Posted by CJL1989: All in bet was 7K the other day And now "max max max" bet is only $2000? LOL You didn't realize he was one of my followers, did you? He likes to pick on my picks with a little bit of humor. You need to go back and read it again. It seems like you didn’t finish high school, or you must have been somewhere that didn’t teach English. Reading comprehensive is very important.

     

    From your initial pick:  Take Buffalo-7.5 to da bank max max max bet.

    From this thread:  Last night's game was completely on me, and it cost me $2k

     

    I didn't realize your max, max, max bet was only $2K.  Most of your max bets I've seen are $5K.  I think my reading comprehension is pretty good, correct me where I'm wrong.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs:

    Quote Originally Posted by Indydog: Quote Originally Posted by CJL1989: All in bet was 7K the other day And now "max max max" bet is only $2000? LOL You didn't realize he was one of my followers, did you? He likes to pick on my picks with a little bit of humor. You need to go back and read it again. It seems like you didn’t finish high school, or you must have been somewhere that didn’t teach English. Reading comprehensive is very important.

     

    From your initial pick:  Take Buffalo-7.5 to da bank max max max bet.

    From this thread:  Last night's game was completely on me, and it cost me $2k

     

    I didn't realize your max, max, max bet was only $2K.  Most of your max bets I've seen are $5K.  I think my reading comprehension is pretty good, correct me where I'm wrong.

     
    Ilovefootballs
    Ilovefootballs
    Banned
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    Joined: Aug, 2021
    Posts: 2838
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:16 PM ET #83

    Quote Originally Posted by SportsIntuition:

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs: As I mentioned several times last night, I chose Buffalo to test the handicapped software chatbox because it was written by a software engineer who works in Vegas that I know because he helped me a lot, and I trusted him even though I knew I would lose. Sometimes I lose with a friend, and that's my way of life. I went out of the box, and last night was the exception of the Buffalo game; everything has gone perfectly for the system. I told my people that if they don't like it, they can stay away because I want to go deeper with the system. Even my AI told me to take the Pats +7.5 too. I bought back the 2H Pats +6.5 and still lost $2k.   Does your AI tell you what to eat for dinner too?And if you knew it was going to lose why did you bother posting it? And "max max max play"?You've been doing great but just scratching my head over this?

    At the time, my mind was preoccupied with the Buffs, and I forgot to change the title due to so many phone calls and text messages and the game about to kick off, so when I posted, it didn’t allow me to change. You didn’t care to read what I said? Covers did not let me change the title as soon as I posted. You need to read the entire story. Go back and read it and all here too. Does it make you feel better if I lose a few more games to compensate for your hurt feelings that everyone is losing their ass by betting on football? It's a good feeling to put all your anger outside of here on me? Or such that you fade my picks and lose all your money? Whatever it is, you need to start making money like everyone else that’s with me. I work my ass off to cap games and for free. We don’t need to hate each other; what we need is to beat the books. Are you American?

    peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by SportsIntuition:

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs: As I mentioned several times last night, I chose Buffalo to test the handicapped software chatbox because it was written by a software engineer who works in Vegas that I know because he helped me a lot, and I trusted him even though I knew I would lose. Sometimes I lose with a friend, and that's my way of life. I went out of the box, and last night was the exception of the Buffalo game; everything has gone perfectly for the system. I told my people that if they don't like it, they can stay away because I want to go deeper with the system. Even my AI told me to take the Pats +7.5 too. I bought back the 2H Pats +6.5 and still lost $2k.   Does your AI tell you what to eat for dinner too?And if you knew it was going to lose why did you bother posting it? And "max max max play"?You've been doing great but just scratching my head over this?

    At the time, my mind was preoccupied with the Buffs, and I forgot to change the title due to so many phone calls and text messages and the game about to kick off, so when I posted, it didn’t allow me to change. You didn’t care to read what I said? Covers did not let me change the title as soon as I posted. You need to read the entire story. Go back and read it and all here too. Does it make you feel better if I lose a few more games to compensate for your hurt feelings that everyone is losing their ass by betting on football? It's a good feeling to put all your anger outside of here on me? Or such that you fade my picks and lose all your money? Whatever it is, you need to start making money like everyone else that’s with me. I work my ass off to cap games and for free. We don’t need to hate each other; what we need is to beat the books. Are you American?

    peace_5

     
    Flyguy1700
    Flyguy1700
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    Posts: 3661
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:19 PM ET #84

    @Ilovefootballs

     What source you using for AI? 

    Reply

    @Ilovefootballs

     What source you using for AI? 

     
    Tjtorok11
    Tjtorok11
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    Joined: Dec, 2017
    Posts: 435
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:21 PM ET #85

    @Ilovefootballs

     Minnesota wasn't exactly the same, Minnesota wasnt true away team. Both of them were in London. London where Minnesota is now 4-0. Basically a home game for them

    Reply

    @Ilovefootballs

     Minnesota wasn't exactly the same, Minnesota wasnt true away team. Both of them were in London. London where Minnesota is now 4-0. Basically a home game for them

     
    Ilovefootballs
    Ilovefootballs
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    Joined: Aug, 2021
    Posts: 2838
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:21 PM ET #86

    Quote Originally Posted by Indydog:

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs: Quote Originally Posted by Indydog: Quote Originally Posted by CJL1989: All in bet was 7K the other day And now "max max max" bet is only $2000? LOL You didn't realize he was one of my followers, did you? He likes to pick on my picks with a little bit of humor. You need to go back and read it again. It seems like you didn’t finish high school, or you must have been somewhere that didn’t teach English. Reading comprehensive is very important.   From your initial pick:  Take Buffalo-7.5 to da bank max max max bet. From this thread:  Last night's game was completely on me, and it cost me $2k   I didn't realize your max, max, max bet was only $2K.  Most of your max bets I've seen are $5K.  I think my reading comprehension is pretty good, correct me where I'm wrong.

    You’re moving with hate and jealousy and it’s loud, it’s obvious, and it’s tired. Try showing up with something real instead of acting like a bitter background character. 

    thumbs_down.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Indydog:

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs: Quote Originally Posted by Indydog: Quote Originally Posted by CJL1989: All in bet was 7K the other day And now "max max max" bet is only $2000? LOL You didn't realize he was one of my followers, did you? He likes to pick on my picks with a little bit of humor. You need to go back and read it again. It seems like you didn’t finish high school, or you must have been somewhere that didn’t teach English. Reading comprehensive is very important.   From your initial pick:  Take Buffalo-7.5 to da bank max max max bet. From this thread:  Last night's game was completely on me, and it cost me $2k   I didn't realize your max, max, max bet was only $2K.  Most of your max bets I've seen are $5K.  I think my reading comprehension is pretty good, correct me where I'm wrong.

    You’re moving with hate and jealousy and it’s loud, it’s obvious, and it’s tired. Try showing up with something real instead of acting like a bitter background character. 

    thumbs_down.

     
    Indydog
    Indydog
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:25 PM ET #87

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs:

    Quote Originally Posted by Indydog: Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs: Quote Originally Posted by Indydog: Quote Originally Posted by CJL1989: All in bet was 7K the other day And now "max max max" bet is only $2000? LOL You didn't realize he was one of my followers, did you? He likes to pick on my picks with a little bit of humor. You need to go back and read it again. It seems like you didn’t finish high school, or you must have been somewhere that didn’t teach English. Reading comprehensive is very important.   From your initial pick:  Take Buffalo-7.5 to da bank max max max bet. From this thread:  Last night's game was completely on me, and it cost me $2k   I didn't realize your max, max, max bet was only $2K.  Most of your max bets I've seen are $5K.  I think my reading comprehension is pretty good, correct me where I'm wrong. You’re moving with hate and jealousy and it’s loud, it’s obvious, and it’s tired. Try showing up with something real instead of acting like a bitter background character.  .

    you seriously might be the biggest assclown i've seen on this forum and that's saying a lot.  good day to you.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs:

    Quote Originally Posted by Indydog: Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs: Quote Originally Posted by Indydog: Quote Originally Posted by CJL1989: All in bet was 7K the other day And now "max max max" bet is only $2000? LOL You didn't realize he was one of my followers, did you? He likes to pick on my picks with a little bit of humor. You need to go back and read it again. It seems like you didn’t finish high school, or you must have been somewhere that didn’t teach English. Reading comprehensive is very important.   From your initial pick:  Take Buffalo-7.5 to da bank max max max bet. From this thread:  Last night's game was completely on me, and it cost me $2k   I didn't realize your max, max, max bet was only $2K.  Most of your max bets I've seen are $5K.  I think my reading comprehension is pretty good, correct me where I'm wrong. You’re moving with hate and jealousy and it’s loud, it’s obvious, and it’s tired. Try showing up with something real instead of acting like a bitter background character.  .

    you seriously might be the biggest assclown i've seen on this forum and that's saying a lot.  good day to you.

     
    Ilovefootballs
    Ilovefootballs
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:29 PM ET #88

    Quote Originally Posted by Flyguy1700:

    @Ilovefootballs  What source you using for AI?

    I built my own chatbox. I used Autogen and CrewAI. I tested ChatGPT and other AI, and they only fed me supervised data, whereas the Agentic AI agents I built behaved like human -AI. It's similar to two people communicating with each other, but with AI models added in the source codes 

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Flyguy1700:

    @Ilovefootballs  What source you using for AI?

    I built my own chatbox. I used Autogen and CrewAI. I tested ChatGPT and other AI, and they only fed me supervised data, whereas the Agentic AI agents I built behaved like human -AI. It's similar to two people communicating with each other, but with AI models added in the source codes 

     

     
    Sacramoni
    Sacramoni
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    Posts: 722
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:35 PM ET #89

    Imagine hating on somebody who provides free winners? Better you than me Ilovefootballs. Tough crowd. Thank you for what you do. I'm grateful for you and a lot of people on here are too. 

    Bolpeace_5

    Reply

    Imagine hating on somebody who provides free winners? Better you than me Ilovefootballs. Tough crowd. Thank you for what you do. I'm grateful for you and a lot of people on here are too. 

    Bolpeace_5

     
    Ilovefootballs
    Ilovefootballs
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    Posts: 2838
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:36 PM ET #90

    Quote Originally Posted by Indydog:

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs: Quote Originally Posted by Indydog: Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs: Quote Originally Posted by Indydog: Quote Originally Posted by CJL1989: All in bet was 7K the other day And now "max max max" bet is only $2000? LOL You didn't realize he was one of my followers, did you? He likes to pick on my picks with a little bit of humor. You need to go back and read it again. It seems like you didn’t finish high school, or you must have been somewhere that didn’t teach English. Reading comprehensive is very important.   From your initial pick:  Take Buffalo-7.5 to da bank max max max bet. From this thread:  Last night's game was completely on me, and it cost me $2k   I didn't realize your max, max, max bet was only $2K.  Most of your max bets I've seen are $5K.  I think my reading comprehension is pretty good, correct me where I'm wrong. You’re moving with hate and jealousy and it’s loud, it’s obvious, and it’s tired. Try showing up with something real instead of acting like a bitter background character.  . you seriously might be the biggest assclown i've seen on this forum and that's saying a lot.  good day to you.

    I already reported you. Take your anger elsewhere, and Covers will not tolerated for people like you to call others by name. This is America and professional behaviors only. You should be banned.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Indydog:

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs: Quote Originally Posted by Indydog: Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs: Quote Originally Posted by Indydog: Quote Originally Posted by CJL1989: All in bet was 7K the other day And now "max max max" bet is only $2000? LOL You didn't realize he was one of my followers, did you? He likes to pick on my picks with a little bit of humor. You need to go back and read it again. It seems like you didn’t finish high school, or you must have been somewhere that didn’t teach English. Reading comprehensive is very important.   From your initial pick:  Take Buffalo-7.5 to da bank max max max bet. From this thread:  Last night's game was completely on me, and it cost me $2k   I didn't realize your max, max, max bet was only $2K.  Most of your max bets I've seen are $5K.  I think my reading comprehension is pretty good, correct me where I'm wrong. You’re moving with hate and jealousy and it’s loud, it’s obvious, and it’s tired. Try showing up with something real instead of acting like a bitter background character.  . you seriously might be the biggest assclown i've seen on this forum and that's saying a lot.  good day to you.

    I already reported you. Take your anger elsewhere, and Covers will not tolerated for people like you to call others by name. This is America and professional behaviors only. You should be banned.

     
    Rafucho01
    Rafucho01
    Prospect
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    Posts: 65
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:43 PM ET #91

    @Ilovefootballs

     

    greetings brother blessings excellent explanation let's play chiefs -3.5 what plays from other sports that you like if you can tell me please thank you if it's not too much abuse my wasap +1(385)3126764

     an_cheers

    Reply

    @Ilovefootballs

     

    greetings brother blessings excellent explanation let's play chiefs -3.5 what plays from other sports that you like if you can tell me please thank you if it's not too much abuse my wasap +1(385)3126764

     an_cheers

     
    Ilovefootballs
    Ilovefootballs
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    Posts: 2838
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:43 PM ET #92

    Quote Originally Posted by Sacramoni:

    Imagine hating on somebody who provides free winners? Better you than me Ilovefootballs. Tough crowd. Thank you for what you do. I'm grateful for you and a lot of people on here are too.  Bol

    Thanks. They simply vented their rage on me because they lost their games and I am winning. They hate seeing me win because others who support me are also winning, and they need someone to share their pain that are losing like them.

    Good luck to you too.

    peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Sacramoni:

    Imagine hating on somebody who provides free winners? Better you than me Ilovefootballs. Tough crowd. Thank you for what you do. I'm grateful for you and a lot of people on here are too.  Bol

    Thanks. They simply vented their rage on me because they lost their games and I am winning. They hate seeing me win because others who support me are also winning, and they need someone to share their pain that are losing like them.

    Good luck to you too.

    peace_5

     
    saigon
    saigon
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    Joined: Apr, 2005
    Posts: 14070
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:43 PM ET #93

    an_cheers

    Reply

    an_cheers

     
    Rafucho01
    Rafucho01
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    Posts: 65
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:45 PM ET #94

    @Rafucho01

     

    Reply

    @Rafucho01

     

     
    Rafucho01
    Rafucho01
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 4:48 PM ET #95

    @Ilovefootballs

     

    Reply

    @Ilovefootballs

     

     
    getcarter
    getcarter
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    Posts: 664
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 5:23 PM ET #96

    @arch1969

     1000% and thats why the hook comes into play 90% of the time (90% is my own humble sarcastic guesstimate).

    Not to mention they will take "the public" or "eye test" or "what have you done for me lately" take and possibly anticipate the future moves to "middle".

    @ILOVEfOOTBALLS

    Nevermind, I was going to reply, but its not worth it...Liked your theories/takes but contradictions stood out to me?  Not knocking you, just questioning.

    Now I think I will respond..only due to your condesending GROWN UPS remark, what?  The "mommy's basement" wasn't available at good enough odds?

    As you were hankering down on the "ODDS" angle (which seemed to be the point of the thread), which is fine...Big bets, All Ins, Smart small wagers for weekly Profits aside, now you abandon the "odds" angle???  Now you are spitting out STATS to support your pick?  Again, another conottradicktion...

    In summation, I liked your thread, an interesting read.  However, the contradictions take away from 'my own appreciation' of my takeaway from your thread. 

    And your silly "grown ups" reply just makes me lose all "credibility" in you...One who gets defensive and name calling when attempting to support a pick is lame. Which makes me feel that you are trying to convince yourself of your pick.   

    You put your pick out there, either support your pick with the "odds" angle, "All Road Dogs of 3.5 Win" angle, "State all the STATS" angle...or hell use ALL THREE of them, which in and of itself is by definition...a contradiction.

    AGAIN, GL on your pick regardless of how you came to it!

    The way this week is going I may take Jax ML, with some player props.

    And yes, I live by your theory of small wins and profits each week is the way to go, for me.  I've been profitable every weekend with NCAA and NFL.  But i did go big on DET against my Bungles (not against a Big Bet when it presents itself).

    Keep up what your doing, as I do look for your post as a positive informative read.  I am not here to follow, or influence my picks, but for general geographical information to compare to my own research and/or gut feelings.

    Best of luck on a profitable year!

     

    Reply

    @arch1969

     1000% and thats why the hook comes into play 90% of the time (90% is my own humble sarcastic guesstimate).

    Not to mention they will take "the public" or "eye test" or "what have you done for me lately" take and possibly anticipate the future moves to "middle".

    @ILOVEfOOTBALLS

    Nevermind, I was going to reply, but its not worth it...Liked your theories/takes but contradictions stood out to me?  Not knocking you, just questioning.

    Now I think I will respond..only due to your condesending GROWN UPS remark, what?  The "mommy's basement" wasn't available at good enough odds?

    As you were hankering down on the "ODDS" angle (which seemed to be the point of the thread), which is fine...Big bets, All Ins, Smart small wagers for weekly Profits aside, now you abandon the "odds" angle???  Now you are spitting out STATS to support your pick?  Again, another conottradicktion...

    In summation, I liked your thread, an interesting read.  However, the contradictions take away from 'my own appreciation' of my takeaway from your thread. 

    And your silly "grown ups" reply just makes me lose all "credibility" in you...One who gets defensive and name calling when attempting to support a pick is lame. Which makes me feel that you are trying to convince yourself of your pick.   

    You put your pick out there, either support your pick with the "odds" angle, "All Road Dogs of 3.5 Win" angle, "State all the STATS" angle...or hell use ALL THREE of them, which in and of itself is by definition...a contradiction.

    AGAIN, GL on your pick regardless of how you came to it!

    The way this week is going I may take Jax ML, with some player props.

    And yes, I live by your theory of small wins and profits each week is the way to go, for me.  I've been profitable every weekend with NCAA and NFL.  But i did go big on DET against my Bungles (not against a Big Bet when it presents itself).

    Keep up what your doing, as I do look for your post as a positive informative read.  I am not here to follow, or influence my picks, but for general geographical information to compare to my own research and/or gut feelings.

    Best of luck on a profitable year!

     

     
    Ilovefootballs
    Ilovefootballs
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    Posts: 2838
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 5:34 PM ET #97

    @getcarter

     

     


    Appreciate the read, but let’s clear a few things up. You say contradictions stood out, but what you’re calling contradictions are layered angles. Odds, stats, trends and they’re not mutually exclusive. They’re tools. I use what’s relevant to the matchup, not what fits a single narrative.

    As for the “grown-ups” line and if that hit a nerve, maybe ask why. It wasn’t aimed at you until you made it about you. I don’t name-call, I call patterns. And when someone skims the thread, skips the context, and jumps to critique, that’s not analysis and that’s reaction.

    You’re free to ride Jax ML and props. I’m not here to convince anyone but I’m here to win. And I’ll keep using every angle that sharp bettors use: odds, stats, trends, film. If that’s too much for your taste, cool. But don’t confuse depth with contradiction.

    peace_5

    Reply

    @getcarter

     

     


    Appreciate the read, but let’s clear a few things up. You say contradictions stood out, but what you’re calling contradictions are layered angles. Odds, stats, trends and they’re not mutually exclusive. They’re tools. I use what’s relevant to the matchup, not what fits a single narrative.

    As for the “grown-ups” line and if that hit a nerve, maybe ask why. It wasn’t aimed at you until you made it about you. I don’t name-call, I call patterns. And when someone skims the thread, skips the context, and jumps to critique, that’s not analysis and that’s reaction.

    You’re free to ride Jax ML and props. I’m not here to convince anyone but I’m here to win. And I’ll keep using every angle that sharp bettors use: odds, stats, trends, film. If that’s too much for your taste, cool. But don’t confuse depth with contradiction.

    peace_5

     
    Jimmy_Cats
    Jimmy_Cats
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 5:46 PM ET #98

    Quote Originally Posted by Yanasaur:

    This is how you cap a game? The other game this week with the same line covered so this one will cover too because of "odds"? Good luck. This is akin to asking the oracle at adelphi to slaughter a lamb and read the innards for a sign.  Just realize that this entire analysis is based on assumptions with no data and what you think "the public" is doing. You are the public dude. I dont know why you assume there is some lopsided betting on JAX bc they beat SF, but not for KC who put up 37 pts and looked amazing boatracing Balty. That is a just a random assumption based on your own thinking.  I hope you win, but you need to know your process is totally guessing on randomness. Minnesota covering 3.5 has nothing to do with what KC does. Just because they were the away team? And you realize the game was played in London and they were already there right? They were listed as away but it was way more home for them than Cleveland.  Good luck man

    Great Post!

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Yanasaur:

    This is how you cap a game? The other game this week with the same line covered so this one will cover too because of "odds"? Good luck. This is akin to asking the oracle at adelphi to slaughter a lamb and read the innards for a sign.  Just realize that this entire analysis is based on assumptions with no data and what you think "the public" is doing. You are the public dude. I dont know why you assume there is some lopsided betting on JAX bc they beat SF, but not for KC who put up 37 pts and looked amazing boatracing Balty. That is a just a random assumption based on your own thinking.  I hope you win, but you need to know your process is totally guessing on randomness. Minnesota covering 3.5 has nothing to do with what KC does. Just because they were the away team? And you realize the game was played in London and they were already there right? They were listed as away but it was way more home for them than Cleveland.  Good luck man

    Great Post!

     
    Badmoonrisen88
    Badmoonrisen88
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 5:49 PM ET #99

    @Ilovefootballs

     Just asking, if you realized what had happened and knowing you have people following you didn’t you feel an obligation to tell the thread about your second half play? 

    Reply

    @Ilovefootballs

     Just asking, if you realized what had happened and knowing you have people following you didn’t you feel an obligation to tell the thread about your second half play? 

     
     
    Ilovefootballs
    Ilovefootballs
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    Posts: 2838
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 5:50 PM ET #100

    Quote Originally Posted by Tjtorok11:

    @Ilovefootballs  Minnesota wasn't exactly the same, Minnesota wasnt true away team. Both of them were in London. London where Minnesota is now 4-0. Basically a home game for them
     

    You clearly didn’t read my post properly and missed the context, misunderstood the breakdown, and still felt the need to run your mouth. That’s not analysis, that’s noise.

    an_shake

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Tjtorok11:

    @Ilovefootballs  Minnesota wasn't exactly the same, Minnesota wasnt true away team. Both of them were in London. London where Minnesota is now 4-0. Basically a home game for them
     

    You clearly didn’t read my post properly and missed the context, misunderstood the breakdown, and still felt the need to run your mouth. That’s not analysis, that’s noise.

    an_shake

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