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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    KC vs Jax. Beat the odds!!

    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
    Indydog
    Ilovefootballs
    SportsIntuition
    JimmyGape
    arch1969
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 5165
    Posts: 132
    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
     
    Indydog
    Indydog
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 1:06 PM ET #51

    Quote Originally Posted by CJL1989:

    All in bet was 7K the other day

    And now "max max max" bet is only $2000? LOL

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by CJL1989:

    All in bet was 7K the other day

    And now "max max max" bet is only $2000? LOL

     
    Ilovefootballs
    Ilovefootballs
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 1:06 PM ET #52

    He went to Google and came back. I knew him very well on here for many years. His intention was to put people confidence down and hurt their feelings. He doesn’t post his picks but always sounds like a great capper. He will dig the bottom of my picks every time a bet is lost; he wanted people to avoid my picks and lose money in order to sabotage his lost feelings. He is not as sincere as the rest of us in analyzing the game. Why do I still respond to his posts? Because I want to tell him I’m a real capper, not just an average Joe like he thought. 

    Reply

    He went to Google and came back. I knew him very well on here for many years. His intention was to put people confidence down and hurt their feelings. He doesn’t post his picks but always sounds like a great capper. He will dig the bottom of my picks every time a bet is lost; he wanted people to avoid my picks and lose money in order to sabotage his lost feelings. He is not as sincere as the rest of us in analyzing the game. Why do I still respond to his posts? Because I want to tell him I’m a real capper, not just an average Joe like he thought. 

     
    SportsIntuition
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 1:09 PM ET #53

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs:

    Last night's game was an easy win for the public, which set the stage for them to double down on the Jags.

    Except the Pats weren't the public team, the Bills were and by a large margin.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs:

    Last night's game was an easy win for the public, which set the stage for them to double down on the Jags.

    Except the Pats weren't the public team, the Bills were and by a large margin.

     
    JimmyGape
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 1:10 PM ET #54

    Quote Originally Posted by SportsIntuition:

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs: Last night's game was an easy win for the public, which set the stage for them to double down on the Jags. Except the Pats weren't the public team, the Bills were and by a large margin.

     

    an_light

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by SportsIntuition:

    Quote Originally Posted by Ilovefootballs: Last night's game was an easy win for the public, which set the stage for them to double down on the Jags. Except the Pats weren't the public team, the Bills were and by a large margin.

     

    an_light

     
    Ilovefootballs
    Ilovefootballs
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 1:12 PM ET #55

    Quote Originally Posted by Indydog:

    Quote Originally Posted by CJL1989: All in bet was 7K the other day And now "max max max" bet is only $2000? LOL

    You didn't realize he was one of my followers, did you? He likes to pick on my picks with a little bit of humor. You need to go back and read it again. It seems like you didn’t finish high school, or you must have been somewhere that didn’t teach English. Reading comprehensive is very important.

    bigsmilepaint_help

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Indydog:

    Quote Originally Posted by CJL1989: All in bet was 7K the other day And now "max max max" bet is only $2000? LOL

    You didn't realize he was one of my followers, did you? He likes to pick on my picks with a little bit of humor. You need to go back and read it again. It seems like you didn’t finish high school, or you must have been somewhere that didn’t teach English. Reading comprehensive is very important.

    bigsmilepaint_help

     
    arch1969
    arch1969
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 1:31 PM ET #56

    The game last night was very easy to cap.

     

    1. Pats have a new coach.

    2. If you look at the Bills vs Pats games over the years, they never play in week 5.  Until now.

    3. The Bills don't cover big spreads against good teams. Especially at home.   Pats are a good team.  You have not been watching these games.

    4. The biggest spread that the Bills covered since 2021 was 4.5 points.

     

    Reply

    The game last night was very easy to cap.

     

    1. Pats have a new coach.

    2. If you look at the Bills vs Pats games over the years, they never play in week 5.  Until now.

    3. The Bills don't cover big spreads against good teams. Especially at home.   Pats are a good team.  You have not been watching these games.

    4. The biggest spread that the Bills covered since 2021 was 4.5 points.

     

     
    emchu
    emchu
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 1:39 PM ET #57

    coolIt’s KC or nothing an_cheers. Ride or die with the Chiefs.

    Reply

    coolIt’s KC or nothing an_cheers. Ride or die with the Chiefs.

     
    joeflaccid
    joeflaccid
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 1:55 PM ET #58

    @RONDO_T3L3S

     The game is in Florida

    Reply

    @RONDO_T3L3S

     The game is in Florida

     
    Maukaboy
    Maukaboy
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:02 PM ET #59

    Quote Originally Posted by arch1969:

    The game last night was very easy to cap.   1. Pats have a new coach. 2. If you look at the Bills vs Pats games over the years, they never play in week 5.  Until now. 3. The Bills don't cover big spreads against good teams. Especially at home.   Pats are a good team.  You have not been watching these games. 4. The biggest spread that the Bills covered since 2021 was 4.5 points.
    Should have posted this before the game started peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by arch1969:

    The game last night was very easy to cap.   1. Pats have a new coach. 2. If you look at the Bills vs Pats games over the years, they never play in week 5.  Until now. 3. The Bills don't cover big spreads against good teams. Especially at home.   Pats are a good team.  You have not been watching these games. 4. The biggest spread that the Bills covered since 2021 was 4.5 points.
    Should have posted this before the game started peace_5

     
    Ilovefootballs
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:07 PM ET #60

    Quote Originally Posted by joeflaccid:

    @RONDO_T3L3S  The game is in Florida

    Covers, please take this spam out of my post.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by joeflaccid:

    @RONDO_T3L3S  The game is in Florida

    Covers, please take this spam out of my post.

     
    arch1969
    arch1969
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:11 PM ET #61

    @Maukaboy

     Why?

     

    I have capped tonight's game.  

    I may lose.  I am taking KC -3.5.

    You have seen most of how I cap.  

    Of course, Anything can happen, but, I am betting on KC.

     

    Here's a question to everyone.  Why is week 5 so important?

     

    Reply

    @Maukaboy

     Why?

     

    I have capped tonight's game.  

    I may lose.  I am taking KC -3.5.

    You have seen most of how I cap.  

    Of course, Anything can happen, but, I am betting on KC.

     

    Here's a question to everyone.  Why is week 5 so important?

     

     
    getcarter
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:11 PM ET #62

    @Ilovefootballs

     "Bigget Bet, All in" for 5K in one post, then...

    "Small wagers, weekly profit is the goal", on another post, then...

    "Im all in 10K" in another post", whats next?

    If anything it was an interesting read...just kinda meandered all over the place for my liking. 

    Best of luck on KC...regardless how you got there!

     

    Reply

    @Ilovefootballs

     "Bigget Bet, All in" for 5K in one post, then...

    "Small wagers, weekly profit is the goal", on another post, then...

    "Im all in 10K" in another post", whats next?

    If anything it was an interesting read...just kinda meandered all over the place for my liking. 

    Best of luck on KC...regardless how you got there!

     

     
    VicVega91
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:13 PM ET #63

    Quote Originally Posted by arch1969:

    4. The biggest spread that the Bills covered since 2021 was 4.5 points.

     

    Why are you posting false information ?? The Bills covered two game last year with lines of 10+

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by arch1969:

    4. The biggest spread that the Bills covered since 2021 was 4.5 points.

     

    Why are you posting false information ?? The Bills covered two game last year with lines of 10+

     
    Luv2Win06
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:14 PM ET #64

    The pats were actually a decent team bills underestimated them and got smoked. We move on 

    Reply

    The pats were actually a decent team bills underestimated them and got smoked. We move on 

     
    Capmoney
    Capmoney
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:14 PM ET #65

    Don’t forget momentum of KC and record as you have pointed out   Trevor’s passing accuracy is off , too much time looking at bank balance maybe . 

    an_cheers Let’s throw down ! win

     

    Reply

    Don’t forget momentum of KC and record as you have pointed out   Trevor’s passing accuracy is off , too much time looking at bank balance maybe . 

    an_cheers Let’s throw down ! win

     

     
    Capmoney
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:16 PM ET #66

    Arch   Week 5 is everything KC do to bad start ! 

    Reply

    Arch   Week 5 is everything KC do to bad start ! 

     
    arch1969
    arch1969
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:23 PM ET #67

    @VicVega91

     Sorry.

     

    It should've said the biggest line vs the Pats since 2021

    Reply

    @VicVega91

     Sorry.

     

    It should've said the biggest line vs the Pats since 2021

     
    Ilovefootballs
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:27 PM ET #68

    Quote Originally Posted by arch1969:

    The game last night was very easy to cap.   1. Pats have a new coach. 2. If you look at the Bills vs Pats games over the years, they never play in week 5.  Until now. 3. The Bills don't cover big spreads against good teams. Especially at home.   Pats are a good team.  You have not been watching these games. 4. The biggest spread that the Bills covered since 2021 was 4.5 points.

    As I mentioned several times last night, I chose Buffalo to test the handicapped software chatbox because it was written by a software engineer who works in Vegas that I know because he helped me a lot, and I trusted him even though I knew I would lose. Sometimes I lose with a friend, and that's my way of life. I went out of the box, and last night was the exception of the Buffalo game; everything has gone perfectly for the system. I told my people that if they don't like it, they can stay away because I want to go deeper with the system. Even my AI told me to take the Pats +7.5 too. I bought back the 2H Pats +6.5 and still lost $2k.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by arch1969:

    The game last night was very easy to cap.   1. Pats have a new coach. 2. If you look at the Bills vs Pats games over the years, they never play in week 5.  Until now. 3. The Bills don't cover big spreads against good teams. Especially at home.   Pats are a good team.  You have not been watching these games. 4. The biggest spread that the Bills covered since 2021 was 4.5 points.

    As I mentioned several times last night, I chose Buffalo to test the handicapped software chatbox because it was written by a software engineer who works in Vegas that I know because he helped me a lot, and I trusted him even though I knew I would lose. Sometimes I lose with a friend, and that's my way of life. I went out of the box, and last night was the exception of the Buffalo game; everything has gone perfectly for the system. I told my people that if they don't like it, they can stay away because I want to go deeper with the system. Even my AI told me to take the Pats +7.5 too. I bought back the 2H Pats +6.5 and still lost $2k.

     
    arch1969
    arch1969
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:28 PM ET #69

    Ok.

     

    Week 5.

     

    The NFL season is too long.  Teams chop it up into segments.  Each segment is 4 weeks.  So, week 5 is a fresh start.  or, for the Jags, a time to look back and pat yourself on the back for a 3-1 record.  Also, since the preseason is now only 2-3 weeks with no mandatory offseason workouts, the new preseason is weeks 1-4. 

    Reply

    Ok.

     

    Week 5.

     

    The NFL season is too long.  Teams chop it up into segments.  Each segment is 4 weeks.  So, week 5 is a fresh start.  or, for the Jags, a time to look back and pat yourself on the back for a 3-1 record.  Also, since the preseason is now only 2-3 weeks with no mandatory offseason workouts, the new preseason is weeks 1-4. 

     
    Ilovefootballs
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:33 PM ET #70

    Quote Originally Posted by getcarter:

    @Ilovefootballs  "Bigget Bet, All in" for 5K in one post, then... "Small wagers, weekly profit is the goal", on another post, then... "Im all in 10K" in another post", whats next? If anything it was an interesting read...just kinda meandered all over the place for my liking.  Best of luck on KC...regardless how you got there!

    Relax dude. I was being sarcastic with the other dude. If you missed that, maybe sit this one out and let the grown ups talk pick.

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by getcarter:

    @Ilovefootballs  "Bigget Bet, All in" for 5K in one post, then... "Small wagers, weekly profit is the goal", on another post, then... "Im all in 10K" in another post", whats next? If anything it was an interesting read...just kinda meandered all over the place for my liking.  Best of luck on KC...regardless how you got there!

    Relax dude. I was being sarcastic with the other dude. If you missed that, maybe sit this one out and let the grown ups talk pick.

     

     
    Ilovefootballs
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    Posts: 2838
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:33 PM ET #71

    Quote Originally Posted by emchu:

    It’s KC or nothing . Ride or die with the Chiefs.

    Good luck to us bruh

    peace_5an_cheers

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by emchu:

    It’s KC or nothing . Ride or die with the Chiefs.

    Good luck to us bruh

    peace_5an_cheers

     
    arch1969
    arch1969
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2022
    Posts: 38
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:37 PM ET #72

    BTW,

     

    most cappers start looking at the stats and the situational stats and make up a spread and adjust it for other factors.  Why?  All you are doing is repeating the work of the linesmakers.   And they do it better than you.  Go find the opening lines put out on Sunday night before the "sharps" move it with $500 and $1K bets. 

     

     

    Reply

    BTW,

     

    most cappers start looking at the stats and the situational stats and make up a spread and adjust it for other factors.  Why?  All you are doing is repeating the work of the linesmakers.   And they do it better than you.  Go find the opening lines put out on Sunday night before the "sharps" move it with $500 and $1K bets. 

     

     

     
    Philip808
    Philip808
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2024
    Posts: 137
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:43 PM ET #73

    Keep killing it bro 

    Reply

    Keep killing it bro 

     
    Ilovefootballs
    Ilovefootballs
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2021
    Posts: 2838
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:45 PM ET #74

    I promised to bring us back the winner with the Chiefs. I’m sure the Chiefs are going to cover against the Jags. I’m 90% confident in my system. We spent three hours simulating for this game.

    Patrick Mahomes has 939 passing yards, 7 TDs, 1 INT — plus 130 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs
    He’s KC’s leading rusher and passer, and he just torched Baltimore for 37 points. Jaguars’ secondary ranks 23rd in pass defense and they’re not built to handle Mahomes’ tempo.

    Chiefs Defense Is Top 5
    KC allows just 19.0 PPG (5th in NFL) They rank 7th in pass defense and have elite pressure from George Karlaftis and Drue Tranquill. Jaguars struggle when pressured Trevor Lawrence has 4 INTs and a sub-90 passer rating under duress.

    Andy Reid vs. Liam Coen (rookie head coach) is a mismatch.
    KC has playoff-tested leadership and game management. Jaguars are still figuring out their identity. KC already knows theirs.

    peace_5

    Reply

    I promised to bring us back the winner with the Chiefs. I’m sure the Chiefs are going to cover against the Jags. I’m 90% confident in my system. We spent three hours simulating for this game.

    Patrick Mahomes has 939 passing yards, 7 TDs, 1 INT — plus 130 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs
    He’s KC’s leading rusher and passer, and he just torched Baltimore for 37 points. Jaguars’ secondary ranks 23rd in pass defense and they’re not built to handle Mahomes’ tempo.

    Chiefs Defense Is Top 5
    KC allows just 19.0 PPG (5th in NFL) They rank 7th in pass defense and have elite pressure from George Karlaftis and Drue Tranquill. Jaguars struggle when pressured Trevor Lawrence has 4 INTs and a sub-90 passer rating under duress.

    Andy Reid vs. Liam Coen (rookie head coach) is a mismatch.
    KC has playoff-tested leadership and game management. Jaguars are still figuring out their identity. KC already knows theirs.

    peace_5

     
     
    Way2Good
    Way2Good
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2022
    Posts: 3469
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2025 - 2:50 PM ET #75

    @Ilovefootballs

     you lost me when you said it was based on your perception. an_timeout if you gamble based on your personal instincts without data to back you up then you are as good as the trolls here posting glorious amount just to boost your ego. seeking validation on your posts when you get it right and seeking sympathy when you get it wrong. 

    Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
    Reply

    @Ilovefootballs

     you lost me when you said it was based on your perception. an_timeout if you gamble based on your personal instincts without data to back you up then you are as good as the trolls here posting glorious amount just to boost your ego. seeking validation on your posts when you get it right and seeking sympathy when you get it wrong. 

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