KC vs Jax. Beat the odds!!

@Ilovefootballs

 Jaguars defense is certainly not middle of the pack; They have one of the top running defenses ( 1TD Allowed), and are second to the Houston Texans with drives ending in either a Turnover or Punt ( 56.5%).

Over the last 8 matchups between the Chiefs and Jaguars, the average margin of victory for Kansas City is: Average Win Margin: 11.9 points

Here’s how that breaks down:

Game Date Score KC Win Margin
Sep 17, 2023 Chiefs 17 – Jags 9 +8
Jan 21, 2023 Chiefs 27 – Jags 20 +7
Nov 13, 2022 Chiefs 27 – Jags 17 +10
Sep 8, 2019 Chiefs 40 – Jags 26 +14
Oct 7, 2018 Chiefs 30 – Jags 14 +16
Nov 6, 2016 Chiefs 19 – Jags 14 +5
Sep 8, 2013 Chiefs 28 – Jags 2 +26
Oct 24, 2010 Chiefs 42 – Jags 20 +22

Chiefs -3.5 ??? Should we take the Chiefs?

Don't let the Jaguars' win over the 49ers fool you. History has repeated itself. The Chiefs own Jax, and this will demonstrate that they are the best team.

As y’all told me last night, the Pats' recent head-to-head against Buffalo showed nothing more than 7 points, and the Chiefs have shown nothing less than 7 points as well. Chiefs are executing at a higher level and has a history of dominating Jacksonville. We shall see if the real Chiefs are going to show up tonight.

Good analysis of you there and I like it.

@RONDO_T3L3S

 Game is in Jacksonville

@Ilovefootballs

 I appreciate your deconstruction of the matchup.'

Its about sharing angles.

I agree with your analysis, KC has owned Jax.

Jax know this though, and they are much improved on defense this year.

Prime Time, KC coming off a big win, where they played all out

At 2.5 I Take KC, at 3.5, a lot more thought needed,

I learned this from a professional capper who told me, "If something you don't know will hurt you," and my professor, who once told me, "Study your ass off, my boy." Every week on here, people complain about their losses, but with me, we stand tall and make money, and everyone is happy because I busted my balls every week for 10-20 hours of research, analyzing the game as deeply as possible. I will not accept anything less than 60%. Forget about how I'm losing. Books pay my friends. I love football; it is my hobby. The records are showing who we are. Talk is cheap with no respect.

I like real people like you; we put our work into researching the game and don’t like people talking trash. We find every angle and all the possibilities to put together a real analysis about the outcome. The point is to win money.

@ONENESS129

Thanks

To much talking like the United States government going on here and not enough action lol let your picks speak for themselves gentlemen. The end goal here is for all of us to make money. That being said. 

Jax + 3.5 

You don’t know a thing about my record, so keep my name out of your mouth. If you’re not bringing facts stay off my post. All that noise from you might as well stay in Cuba.If you want to be understood, try writing in English. This isn’t a puzzle.

@Ilovefootballs

 Thanks for the winners!  And appreciate your insights.  I am worried the Chiefs might be a little overvalued here.  Last week's offensive performance doesn't impress me.  Baltimore's D made CJ look like the second coming of Joe M yesterday(or any QB that plays them).  Just my two cents.

Where there's money there's corruption.

Sports have always been heavily controlled and influenced.

KC getting worthy back was HUGE and it showed last game. i think they start piling on some wins from here on out. and i do agree, jax probably looks "good" to the public eye 

Lately we've been on the same side a lot but like Buffalo last night, the Chiefs are in a really bad spot.

I don’t see anything stating 10k here 

People believe teams play teams, so they researched everything about the two teams. We are gamblers; we don't root for teams to simply win. We are basically playing against the house, against their odds. How do the books know which team to give the odds to when there are so many teams in the world and millions of games every year and billions of people are betting? Players got paid so much money, so where did this money come from? Not by selling tickets. There would be no more games to bet on. If they didn’t control the games.

What is the bad spot?

@SportsIntuition

 As you know from last night's game, I am well aware of the Pats' recent history against the Bills, but I still bet on the Bills. My wife gave me a fistful this morning. She asked why I was doing that given my knowledge of their history, and my AI was picking Pats with a higher percentage. I won't be posting games like that anymore. Last night's game was an easy win for the public, which set the stage for them to double down on the Jags. This game is full of Vegas traps. Everyone thought the Rams would blow out the 49ers, but then the same thing happened tonight in the second half. You watch and see the Jags take the first half to lure more bettors into taking the Jags in the second half as well, then Vegas cleans house in the end. They would say we are on the right side and blame it all on the refs. 

@Ilovefootballs

 BOL    

Please explain why this is a bad spot

He tried to prove my picks were incorrect for many years by pretending to be my fan, but then he appeared to confuse people on the other side. A few years ago, he debated everyone that was on my side before disappearing. Now he reappears. I still respect his viewpoint, but I stand by my research and analysis.

And no Im not trolling you man. Just trying to make sense of your reasoning. In any case good luck to you.