CD Newsletter Week 3

Let's get this over tonight. Lines from Betonline. 

Patriots @ Jets -6.5(-105) 37.5

TNF divisional showdown. Totals like the one above seem to be the norm this season, and it probably could be lower for this contest.

The Patriots have been dogs in every game but playing above expectations. I was wrong about Jarod Mayo as a HC. In the pre season they looked completely unprepared. They've looked buttoned up so far in 2 games, and Belichick's blueprint is still there. Yea, they're vanilla. 

The Jets first 2 games were on the road and came out of it 1-1 with a healthy Aaron Rodgers. He definitely looked better vs the Titans than he did in week 1. Although the Jets probably don't cover, maybe even lose if Will Levis doesn't give away another game.

I've bet against the Pats in week 1 and 2 and came out 0-1-1 in doing so. I will not bet against them again. If the # hits 7 I'd be inclined to bet on the Pats.

Giants @ Browns -6.5(-105) 38.5

The Gmen lost their kicker to injury during the game. They didn't kick any fg's or attempt any extra points. They're defense didn't give up any TD's to the Commanders. And still lost to the Commanders who picked up a kicker off the street who kicked 7, count em 7 field goals.

The Giants are in a world of trouble, with the Cowboys on deck for TNF in week 4. They're season might be over by then.

The Browns bounced back strong in week 2 after the whole world castrated DeSean Watson after week 1. And rightfully so the guy is a scumbag. 

I thought the line would be 7, it's not and the juice is saying it's headed to 6. I don't think that everything is fine and dandy in Cleveland just yet. They didn't exactly blow the doors off the Jags. And everyone except Getty thinks the Jags are pretty shitty. Gun to head I'd take the points with the Giants, thinking they play hard to avoid 0-3. I'm sure others are thinking the same, not a game I want to invest in.

Bears @ Colts -1.5(-115) 42.5

Stop it with these inflated totals in Bears games just because the Bears have Caleb Williams. This is stupid I will be on the under. The world got to see what the Bears o line has to offer last night. I know that you guys know how I feel about the defense. That was no easy task in holding the Texans to 19 points when the offense had 2 turnovers. The Texans are a really good team, like top of the nfl good. Stroud might be right up there with Mahomes. 

The Bears could easily be 0-2 because they have only 2 units that are playing well, and it doesn't involve the offense. They are a dead nut under team till they prove us wrong.

The Colts are 0-2 like the rest of the afc south minus the Texans. Their run D is absolutely pathetic. Which is especially interesting here because the Bears run offense is nearly non existent. Who makes the right adjustments to be less shitty than the other team? I have no clue.

Anthony Richardson looks like he can be a very dangerous qb in the league one day, but he's yet unpolished. I don't know what to think of Caleb yet. Everyone in Chicago is blaming the pass protection and it's not his fault. The same people who never blamed the same pass protection for Justin Fields last year, just blamed Justin Fields. If you guys remember in the summer newsletter I mentioned something about Justin being 70% of the Bears run offense the last 2 years, that element is gone. 

The Colts have 3 home games in their first 4 weeks of the season. A loss here would be deflating as from weeks 5 through 9 they have 4 road games out of the 5, which includes 3 divisional games otr.

I don't know about a side here. If anyone here takes the over I will slap you.

Texans -2.5(-115) @ Vikings 45

Two 2-0 teams. Here's one everyone should want to watch.

Daniel Hunter should want to have a good showing against his ex team. The Texans D ends are super good at getting pressure, so this could be a heat check for Sam Darnold. It's not the only thing going against the Vikings as they are coming off a huge win vs the Niners. And Justin Jefferson's health is in question. Although they said it's just a quad contusion, and he himself said that he'll play. 2 really tough b2b games for the Vikings but they get em at home.

Both teams have divisional games on deck.

I don't know if I want any piece of this game but it should be a great watch. 

Eagles @ Saints

No line as the Eagles are playing currently on MNF. I saw a look ahead of Eagles -2, I took the Saints ML at +110 earlier today. I did not notice the total.

I'm a believer in the Saints offense with the new coordinator. You don't just trample the Cowboys at Arlington like that on accident. After week 1 when they did it to the Panthers and ofcourse it was normal to react to it the way we did. They are using motion a bunch, play action, and being very creative. Also their o line is blocking in an attacking manor. All the scoring has somewhat overshadowed their defense. It's fucking good.

The Eagles imo have been over rated by a bunch of people all off season. Saquon has looked spry so far early in the season. But we know how we feel about RB's here.

New Orleans is a tough place to play.

When a line is posted again after this game I'd be shocked if they hang Phillly -2 again.

Chargers @ Steelers -1(-116) 35

Icon pointed out that Harbaugh is keeping the boys out east all week for practice. So as much as Hugh has warned us about the whole west coast team playing out east thing, you really have to throw it out completely here.

Both teams are 2-0. One team's point differential is +35, and the other's is +15.

The Chargers have allowed the fewest points, and the Steelers have allowed the second fewest.

Both teams have faced shitty opponents in weeks 1 and 2.

Both coaches are the best around, in a league full of dipshit coaches.

The Steelers staff should be familiar with Greg Roman's offense as they faced the Ravens for all those years.

This is the Steelers first home game, Heinz should be rocking. As much as I will be rooting for Fields, I don't think I want to back him, nor fade him. This is another must watch game for me.

Broncos @ Buccaneers -7(-105) 39

Strong line for the Bucs after being +7.5 at Detroit. I know that they looked good, and that the Broncos suck, but this is the kind of spot where you hold your nose and take the Broncos right?

CD would do it, should we?

Packers @ Titans -3(even) 36.5

The Titans are 0-2, and you have to bet on them or don't bet at all. If you do bet on the Titans just pray that Will Levis doesn't under hand flip the ball to the other team for a 3rd week in a row. They aren't that bad of a team, I've watched both their games so far and dare I say that they are kind of good.

The Packers had their "rally for our fallen soldier" game at home vs the Colts. Can they run the ball like they did on the Colts and protect Malik Willis 2 weeks in a row?

Panthers @ Raiders -5 (40.5)

As we all know the spread opened at 7, and Icon couldn't keep his weiner in his pants for that line. Until the Panthers announced Andy Dalton the starter the line dropped. 

It may matter, but probably not. Unless the players on the team really despise Bryce Young that much? They may get up for this one to prove to the world that they aren't that awful.

Shockingly to some, the Raiders beat the Ravens in Baltimore. 

But I wouldn't put $ on the Panthers, nor the Raiders. Just leave it alone.

Dolphins @ Seahawks -5 (41)

Who would of thought that the Seahawks sit alone atop of the nfc west after 2 weeks, with a real shot to go 3-0 against a Tua-less Dolphins?

I thought about betting the Phins just because Tua is out, but holy crap Skylar Thompson is awful. Also, I don't like Mike McDaniel. To be honest he's too feminine to be a football coach. How does any player rally for that guy?

I won't be betting on this game in any way.

Lions -3(-102) @ Cardinals 53

Have to back Dan Campbell after a loss, why wouldn't we?

The juice is telling me that the public is all over the Cards, getting points at home after they just posted 41 points against a depleted Rams roster. The Lions just lost to the Buccaneers. 

Betting is that easy right?

Welcome to the NFL Marvin Harrison Jr. Dude had 131 yards and 2 td's after 1 quarter. His dad's biggest yardage game ever was 111 yards.

Do the Cardinals have a d line capable of pressuring Goff up the middle like the Bucs did? If not, he will pick them apart.

I'll wait on this game, look into more stuff before betting, but leaning Lions.

Ravens -1 @ Cowboys 48.5

The Ravens are in a tough spot. 0-2 and trying to avoid 0-3 in Arlington. Against a Cowboy team that just got embarrassed. 

I'm sorry Red, but this is as bad as it gets. And with the shuffled new o line that's not gelling, and an old over priced RB, it's a lot to shoulder for Lamar. It's also a game where you'd want Patrick Queen back.

I can only lean to the Cowboys here. When I dig to find the "Mccarthy after a loss" trend, it will finalize my bet.

I'll let all you guys discuss this game ad nauseum. 

49ers -7.5 @ Rams 43

The Rams injury bug has struck hard and early. Both Puka and now looks like Kupp are out. The Rams are 26th in scoring, and 31st in scoring defense. Real bad start for Sean McVay.

The Niners have their injury woes as well, with CMC and Deebo out.

I feel like that hook is asking for Rams $, and it does look like a decent home dog line. But the HFA isn't shit in LA especially when playing SF. I don't want either side.

Chiefs @ Falcons

No line, I didn't look for the look ahead.

Let's guess it. I say KC -5, total 44.

Pacheco out for the Chiefs, a blow cause he's a spark plug. But I wouldn't be worried as a Chiefs fan, they plug n play better than anyone. 

The Chiefs won in shady fashion as usual. The meme's and Instagram posts of the refs stroking off Mahomes were plenty.

The Falcons just beat the Eagles, awesome 

MNF double header special 

Jaguars @ Bills -5.5(-107) 45.5

Another afc south team trying to avoid 0-3. You'd have to think that this is a hard spot for Trevor Lawrence and that offense to fix their ways. I have to ask Getty who is calling the plays? In the summer newsletter I wrote that Pederson was letting the OC call plays in pre season, but he wasn't sure if he would let him during the regular season. That didn't sound like a bright idea to me at the time, and could be the root of the problem.

Doug Pederson has been riding the coattails of one SB how many years ago? I don't think he's that good.

The Bills barely got by a good AZ team week one, then rolled the Dolphins after knocking out Tua. They didn't exert too much effort after that, and are  now on extended rest. After this game the Bills have 3 tough road games in a row vs Baltimore, Houston, and NYJ. They should want to take care of business on prime time here.

Commanders @ Bengals -8 (48.5)

Strong line for the Bengals, but it seems warranted. It looked like they had they Chiefs beat at Arrowhead until they got Mahomesed.

As much as I like Jayden Daniels, he's still just a rookie and needs to find a way to get his team in the end zone.

This feels like a game that it will be hard to stay awake for. Not sure if any betting interests me unless something resonates later in the week.

I think that's all of em. Good luck everyone 

@undermysac

 Outstanding 

And you made it through the entire schedule without one of the knuckleheads breaking up the flow with a meaningless post. 

Anthony Richardson may turn out to be a better version of the crab thief. 

Good grab of Saints ml +  I'm seeing Saints - 1' and believe it to hit 2'.

A true HATER......

Henry looked great Sunday....

but his false start...cost big in the 4th....

Queen is not missed....

Why are the Ravens -4  if at a neutral site....

Figure it out Tigger.....

Great  ink.....

Sometime a game that looks too easy does turn out that way. Finns losing Tua possibly for good has to have an effect on the team. From what I understand he is well liked by his teammates. Now we just had a similar situation with the Packers but they were at home and the troops rallied, I just think if Seahawks jump on them early its game over OR they could take Finns lightly and Skylar does just enough to keep it within the 6 that this  # is bound to hit.

Excellent write ups 

If they ever put a Reservoir Dogs 2 into production and Tarantino doesn’t want to do it I’ll be nominating you to write it over that potato nosed Tim Roth . 

Great write up Sac , Ugly card this week 

@undermysac

Tremendous effort!

that guy isnt very talented...

ask Noneed4luck....

@bigred84

 Let us pray that sunday's tilt does not come down to coaching wits, Harbs is like 2 - 14 in recent challenges.

Clueless...