Aussie B'Ball Finals

Cheers my friend.. Missing Harris tonight was massive for the Hawks and the fatigue from the other night eventually kicked in 2H with some horrible shot options and turnovers. Perth to dominate at home. Game #2 is on Wednesday night back in Illawarra. Not sure exactly how long Harris is out for but I don't know how AJ is going to be feeling after this game either. I wish the game total went over tonight though because I would have slammed the under in Game# 2 and I still might depending on the total and this being the Hawks 3rd game in 6 nights on Wednesday night and Perth's offense isn't as potent on the road compared to home. We shall see. 

Line is out for Game #2. Hawks laying just -1.5 at home vs the Wildcats. The got slaughtered on the boards last night. AJ definitely not 100% either. Not sure about Harris. This series could be over in 3 if they don't find a solution to limiting 2nd chance points. Haven't made a decision yet on the game. 

Yep, the offensive rebounds of Perth just killed the Hawks in Game #1 and thats crazy hey, 19 more shots in 4 quarters. Turnovers and 2nd chance points just too much for the Hawks. Hawks did well though shooting close to 50% and thats what they can possibly do at home on Wednesday night but Game #3 is back in Perth after this game so its already do or die pretty much. 

As you can see above, the Hawks took just 55 shots and hit 49% of them and the game total hit 166 points. We all know how much they love to play at home in front of the crowd and we know they will try and run and gun in this game. Beveridge knows how to make adjustments and he does this well. Books have raised this total by 2 points from the last meeting which went under because the fact is the Hawks home court seems to have softer hoops. If you haven't seen a game there, you should. The rings are super bouncy and the ball seems to go in a lot easier. You probably think I am crazy for thinking that but the amount of springback the rings have in Wollongong is just crazy. Plus, the Cats are relying heavily on D this playoff series. Yes they kept the Taipans to just 66 in Game #2 in Perth but the Taipans did that to themselves with horrible shooting, it wasn't because of good D. Anyways, I'm looking for the Hawks to put up at least 70 shots this game, not 55. Beveridge always said that he wants his men to shoot at least 80 per game, I don't expect that much but at least 70 and if they can possibly shoot 45% from the field then I will be happy. 

I just saw Buckleys post as well, Marvelle Harris back tonight makes me happy as well for the offense of the Hawks to be better than the other night..

Yep love it... All good my friend. Love when i see some reverse line movement and Sportsbet over juices the under.. Saw the over at $2.00 and under $1.81 before at Sportsbet.. 

Yeah it's all over the place but I don't look into that. Heck, Sportsbet had Marvelle Harris player points as a market for game 1 and everyone knew he was out. 

Cheers D-Play and lets hope the Hawks get a win tonight to extend this series a little more.. Hoping for something like 92-88 Hawks. 

Well if this is a trap line i will fall for it but no matter what, I have to take the Fire at home, in a must win game at home. This line is currently with Sportsbet. Yes the Flames absolutely thrashed them the other night with 61% shooting from the floor but the Flames haven't been on the road for basically a month and with the hostile environment up in Townsville with a crowd that will heavily influence the atmosphere and motivation for the Fire, I just have to take the Fire at home as underdogs. 

Not far off... but the Hawks could have helped just a little bit more.

The same thing happened in the Adelaide game vs the Hawks. Adelaide blew out from -4.5 to -7.5 right before tip off and they got smoked... 

That line has moved to +2.5... how do you feel about the ML?

I would shop around if you can mate, Sportsbet has +4.5 right now? Flames do have their number, when I saw +5.5 I had to grab it purely because I think they can keep this close but +2.5 is very risky IMHO. Get those few extra points if you can mate.

Well I will be shocked if we get another UNDER in this series. Lynx's offense has been stopped in its footsteps by the hot Rangers perimeter D. Can't they bring it though on the road? Not sure. They couldn't defend the perimeter vs a red hot Flames team (allowed 81), they couldn't stop Townsville either (allowed 83). Before that they went to Perth and allowed a crazy 52 points in the 1H and 87 overall in that game. The only offense they have kept to below 80 on the road are the 2 worst, Boomers and Adelaide and thats since the break after Christmas. Gotta take the over in this game as I think Perth will score more points at home compared to what they have done in Dandenong over the past 2 weeks.