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    All Forums | Other

    NBL - Australian Men's League Week #1

    «First Previous 123456
    AussieDownUnder
    tozer
    robocop123
    thefloss
    Target2million
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    «First Previous 123456
     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2013 - 12:52 AM ET #126

    OK so my season is looking horrible. 

    Season is 11-14-1 so tail lightly. Will have some plays soon..
    Reply
    OK so my season is looking horrible. 

    Season is 11-14-1 so tail lightly. Will have some plays soon..
     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2013 - 12:58 AM ET #127

    Ok lets try again and win some money!!!. This league is very tough. Teams inconsistent each week so I think I will stick with totals rather than ATS.

    Tonight we have Cairns vs Hawks. Lets look at some stats

    Cairns @ Home: 1-2. Average Points 81.33, allow 86
    Hawks on the road: 0-4. Average points 71.75, allow 89.25

    Complete season stats: Cairns 2-5, Average 83.71, allow 87.42
    Hawks 1-6, Average 76.71, allow 89.14

    So far this season, the average game score between all teams this season is 168.22 per game. This total is 7 points under this average.

    Cairns game totals have been 176 (Tigers), 153 (Perth), 185 (Kings), 160 (Tigers), 171 (36ers), 171 (NZ) and 195 (Townsville). So they are 5-2 over 161.5

    Hawks game totals have been 165 (Perth), 157 (Tigers), 186 (NZ), 134 (Perth), 166 (Townsville), 165 (NZ) and 188 (36ers).. So they are 5-2 as well over 161.
    Combined, its 10-4 over 161 with these teams in their games so far.

    I think this total is too low. If you take Perth and Tigers games (best defences & only teams allowing less than 80) out of the equation for both these teams, the have combined for over 161 in their games 8-0. I like them odds.. 

    Both Cairns and Hawks allow 87 and 89. The Hawks average (take that first Perth game out of the equation) 82. The Taipans are averaging 83. So, im playing the over in this game due to the lack of defense both teams bring.

    Cairns vs Hawks: over 161.5.

    Im thinking the Taipans should hit something around 85, and the Hawks maybe 77+... Here's hoping.




    Reply
    Ok lets try again and win some money!!!. This league is very tough. Teams inconsistent each week so I think I will stick with totals rather than ATS.

    Tonight we have Cairns vs Hawks. Lets look at some stats

    Cairns @ Home: 1-2. Average Points 81.33, allow 86
    Hawks on the road: 0-4. Average points 71.75, allow 89.25

    Complete season stats: Cairns 2-5, Average 83.71, allow 87.42
    Hawks 1-6, Average 76.71, allow 89.14

    So far this season, the average game score between all teams this season is 168.22 per game. This total is 7 points under this average.

    Cairns game totals have been 176 (Tigers), 153 (Perth), 185 (Kings), 160 (Tigers), 171 (36ers), 171 (NZ) and 195 (Townsville). So they are 5-2 over 161.5

    Hawks game totals have been 165 (Perth), 157 (Tigers), 186 (NZ), 134 (Perth), 166 (Townsville), 165 (NZ) and 188 (36ers).. So they are 5-2 as well over 161.
    Combined, its 10-4 over 161 with these teams in their games so far.

    I think this total is too low. If you take Perth and Tigers games (best defences & only teams allowing less than 80) out of the equation for both these teams, the have combined for over 161 in their games 8-0. I like them odds.. 

    Both Cairns and Hawks allow 87 and 89. The Hawks average (take that first Perth game out of the equation) 82. The Taipans are averaging 83. So, im playing the over in this game due to the lack of defense both teams bring.

    Cairns vs Hawks: over 161.5.

    Im thinking the Taipans should hit something around 85, and the Hawks maybe 77+... Here's hoping.




     
    tozer
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2013 - 3:27 AM ET #128

    hi there

    if you like comparing totals that way, you could also say...

    every total (with these sides involved) has gone over 80.5pts first half
    (if you take the 3 perth games out)

    best of luck
    Reply
    hi there

    if you like comparing totals that way, you could also say...

    every total (with these sides involved) has gone over 80.5pts first half
    (if you take the 3 perth games out)

    best of luck
     
    robocop123
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2013 - 4:55 AM ET #129

    i followed the over!!
    Reply
    i followed the over!!
     
    robocop123
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2013 - 5:04 AM ET #130

    wow. went 3 mins without a pt :(
    Reply
    wow. went 3 mins without a pt :(
     
    thefloss
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2013 - 11:19 PM ET #131

    plays later?
    Reply
    plays later?
     
    thefloss
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2013 - 2:55 AM ET #132

    36ers -9
    Under 175.5

    BOL aussie
    Reply
    36ers -9
    Under 175.5

    BOL aussie
     
    Target2million
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2013 - 4:01 AM ET #133

    Wow gone up 171.5 to 175.5. Good luck man. I like under too
    Reply
    Wow gone up 171.5 to 175.5. Good luck man. I like under too
     
    NotASingleDoubt
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2013 - 4:34 AM ET #134

    under looks dead..both teams are running tonite
    Reply
    under looks dead..both teams are running tonite
     
    thefloss
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2013 - 5:10 AM ET #135

    looking good buddy
    Reply
    looking good buddy
     
    thefloss
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2013 - 5:40 AM ET #136

    i guess this adelaide is a poor ats team huh?
    Reply
    i guess this adelaide is a poor ats team huh?
     
    thefloss
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2013 - 5:49 AM ET #137

    1-1 today
    Reply
    1-1 today
     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 12:44 AM ET #138

    Ok i am back...

    Season: 11-15-1 (tough league)

    Wildcats @ Breakers: Over 169.5
    Just read on the NBL website that the Breakers have allowed the Wildcats to go to the free throw line 30 times in each of their 2 games this season, other opponents only allow the Wildcats 16. I hope this trend continues to help with the over. They have played twice already this year and the totals have been 186 and 185 so hopefully this continues.


    Reply
    Ok i am back...

    Season: 11-15-1 (tough league)

    Wildcats @ Breakers: Over 169.5
    Just read on the NBL website that the Breakers have allowed the Wildcats to go to the free throw line 30 times in each of their 2 games this season, other opponents only allow the Wildcats 16. I hope this trend continues to help with the over. They have played twice already this year and the totals have been 186 and 185 so hopefully this continues.


     
    Icemunger
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 2:01 AM ET #139

    overs fukd after thats 1st quarter jesus
    Reply
    overs fukd after thats 1st quarter jesus
     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 3:35 AM ET #140

    And they wonder why no-one watches this league. It is just awful The WNBL is more consistent and the girls actually hit baskets.. Unbelievable Ice. What a horrible game.. 
    Reply
    And they wonder why no-one watches this league. It is just awful The WNBL is more consistent and the girls actually hit baskets.. Unbelievable Ice. What a horrible game.. 
     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2014 - 2:56 AM ET #141

    Season: 11-16-1

    Need to get this season back on track and what better way to do it then my home team the Sydney Kings.

    Sydney vs NZ Breakers: over 174.5

    These teams played last weekend, score was 105-87 (192) NZ win. Not the bookies release 174.5. The game before that as well between these teams hit 182 and even the last time they played last season the total hit 187. Will take this over. The line opened at 172.5 and its the NBL, it doesn't take much money to move the line around so I will follow the line and take the overs.

    Cairns vs Townsville: Cairns -5.5 & over 167.5

    Cairns have played Townsville 3 times this season winning by 11, 13 and 11. Will take them again ATS as Townsville are on a B2B after beating high flying Perth last night and I think this rivalry will be won by the home favs quite easily. I think Cairns will hit around 90-95 and Townsville will need to hit around 73-78 for the over to happen which i think it will. Im thinking 92-80 to Cairns.

    BOL everyone (if there is anyone reading LOL)

     

    Reply

    Season: 11-16-1

    Need to get this season back on track and what better way to do it then my home team the Sydney Kings.

    Sydney vs NZ Breakers: over 174.5

    These teams played last weekend, score was 105-87 (192) NZ win. Not the bookies release 174.5. The game before that as well between these teams hit 182 and even the last time they played last season the total hit 187. Will take this over. The line opened at 172.5 and its the NBL, it doesn't take much money to move the line around so I will follow the line and take the overs.

    Cairns vs Townsville: Cairns -5.5 & over 167.5

    Cairns have played Townsville 3 times this season winning by 11, 13 and 11. Will take them again ATS as Townsville are on a B2B after beating high flying Perth last night and I think this rivalry will be won by the home favs quite easily. I think Cairns will hit around 90-95 and Townsville will need to hit around 73-78 for the over to happen which i think it will. Im thinking 92-80 to Cairns.

    BOL everyone (if there is anyone reading LOL)

     

     
    Icemunger
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2014 - 3:25 AM ET #142

    like the over on the breakers
    Reply
    like the over on the breakers
     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2014 - 5:07 AM ET #143

    Glad we were both on this Icemunger

    Breakers @ Kings over 174.5

    Reply

    Glad we were both on this Icemunger

    Breakers @ Kings over 174.5

     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2014 - 6:29 AM ET #144

    Cairns -5.5

    Over 167.5

    2-1 today. Will take that in this league anyday of the week

    Reply

    Cairns -5.5

    Over 167.5

    2-1 today. Will take that in this league anyday of the week

     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2014 - 6:41 AM ET #145

    Seas: 13-17-1

    Wollongong Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers: over 169.5

    2 meetings already this season, totals have been 188 & 163 so this total given to us is some what in between. Lately the Hawks have been terrible offensively hitting just 67 on the road to Townsville and 78 at home to Melbourne. Adelaide on the other hand have beeing getting 87, 93, 92, 89 and 99 in their past 5 games. Hawks play a lot better at home and they are 3-5 at home and average around 82 points at home and allow 85.5. Adelaide on the road average around 88 and allow 93. As both teams are known for their defense, I think this one get around 175 points. Both teams should hit high 80's.

     

    Reply

    Seas: 13-17-1

    Wollongong Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers: over 169.5

    2 meetings already this season, totals have been 188 & 163 so this total given to us is some what in between. Lately the Hawks have been terrible offensively hitting just 67 on the road to Townsville and 78 at home to Melbourne. Adelaide on the other hand have beeing getting 87, 93, 92, 89 and 99 in their past 5 games. Hawks play a lot better at home and they are 3-5 at home and average around 82 points at home and allow 85.5. Adelaide on the road average around 88 and allow 93. As both teams are known for their defense, I think this one get around 175 points. Both teams should hit high 80's.

     

     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2014 - 8:54 PM ET #146

    Season: 14-17-1

    Went 3-1 last weekend which was suprisingly with this league. Going to stick with totals, I just cant figure out the ATS.

    NZ Breakers vs Cairns Taipans: Over 172.5

    The Breaks have found some offense of late hitting the 100's in their last 2 home games. I think this trend will continue against the Taipans. On meeting this year and the total hi 171, with the new offense that NZ has found, I think this one hits at least 180.

    Perth Wildcats vs  Adelaide 36ers: over 172.5

    Perth will be angry about their loss last week. 2 meetings this year, one was 177 & 163. This total is pretty much in the middle. I think Perth hits around 92 which means Adelaide at least needs to hit 81 for the over.

    Wollongong vs Townsville: under 169.5

    Yes the Hawks hit 102 last week against the 36ers but the history of these 2 teams this season is 2 games under this total, 147 & 166. Will take a risk with the under because I don't believe that Hawks hit 100 again. Prior to last week, they were only hitting 70's so I think they will hit 78ish and then Townsville will have to hit 91 of less which I think they will.

    BOL this weekend fellas

    Reply

    Season: 14-17-1

    Went 3-1 last weekend which was suprisingly with this league. Going to stick with totals, I just cant figure out the ATS.

    NZ Breakers vs Cairns Taipans: Over 172.5

    The Breaks have found some offense of late hitting the 100's in their last 2 home games. I think this trend will continue against the Taipans. On meeting this year and the total hi 171, with the new offense that NZ has found, I think this one hits at least 180.

    Perth Wildcats vs  Adelaide 36ers: over 172.5

    Perth will be angry about their loss last week. 2 meetings this year, one was 177 & 163. This total is pretty much in the middle. I think Perth hits around 92 which means Adelaide at least needs to hit 81 for the over.

    Wollongong vs Townsville: under 169.5

    Yes the Hawks hit 102 last week against the 36ers but the history of these 2 teams this season is 2 games under this total, 147 & 166. Will take a risk with the under because I don't believe that Hawks hit 100 again. Prior to last week, they were only hitting 70's so I think they will hit 78ish and then Townsville will have to hit 91 of less which I think they will.

    BOL this weekend fellas

     
    Icemunger
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    Posted: Feb. 14, 2014 - 1:11 AM ET #147

    gonna roll with breakers over again they have to win this game so id say they'll be goin hard
    Reply
    gonna roll with breakers over again they have to win this game so id say they'll be goin hard
     
    Icemunger
    Icemunger
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    Posts: 614
    Posted: Feb. 14, 2014 - 4:18 AM ET #148

    just hit man that was close
    Reply
    just hit man that was close
     
    AussieDownUnder
    AussieDownUnder
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    Joined: Jun, 2013
    Posts: 21208
    Posted: Feb. 14, 2014 - 5:20 AM ET #149

    Yeah very close Ice.. Got the under as well in Hawks vs Townsville. Hope the over hits for a clean sweep tonight in Perths match
    Reply
    Yeah very close Ice.. Got the under as well in Hawks vs Townsville. Hope the over hits for a clean sweep tonight in Perths match
     
     
    AussieDownUnder
    AussieDownUnder
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    Joined: Jun, 2013
    Posts: 21208
    Posted: Feb. 14, 2014 - 8:14 PM ET #150

    Nice, went 2-1 yesterday.

    Getting my season a little better.

    Sydney Kings vs Wollongong Hawks.: Kings -4.5
    Sydney Kings have been a on a roll lately at home and I think this continues against a Hawks team on a B2B tonight. I expect this line to hit maybe 6 before tip-off so will get in early with this play.

    Also revenge on the mind of the Kings after the Hawks beat them last time in Sydney in December.
    Reply
    Nice, went 2-1 yesterday.

    Getting my season a little better.

    Sydney Kings vs Wollongong Hawks.: Kings -4.5
    Sydney Kings have been a on a roll lately at home and I think this continues against a Hawks team on a B2B tonight. I expect this line to hit maybe 6 before tip-off so will get in early with this play.

    Also revenge on the mind of the Kings after the Hawks beat them last time in Sydney in December.
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