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    All Forums | Other

    AFL R11

    binomial
    showmethemoney1
    tozer
    Miracle1976
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    binomial
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2008 - 2:06 AM ET #1

    YTD: 36-32  +13.8u
     
    Sydney -22  2u
    I like Sydney's chances of smashing rival WC when they are down.
     
    Waters is suspended and I have read Kennedy and Rosa are out injured. Think the line might grow when teams are announced so played it early.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    YTD: 36-32  +13.8u
     
    Sydney -22  2u
    I like Sydney's chances of smashing rival WC when they are down.
     
    Waters is suspended and I have read Kennedy and Rosa are out injured. Think the line might grow when teams are announced so played it early.
     
    showmethemoney1
    showmethemoney1
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2008 - 2:18 AM ET #2

    Reply
     
    binomial
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2008 - 2:59 AM ET #3

    Adelaide to miss final 8 $8 1.5u (got a bit at $10)
    I had 3u on Adelaide to make the finals at $2.10 before the start of the season, so some of this is a hedge but most of it is a value bet as i think the price should be around $3.50.
     
    Adelaide have a tough run coming up and if they play like they have in the last two weeks they will be
     
    11 7/06/2008  Richmond Away MCG
    12 14/06/2008 Hawthorn Home AAMI Stadium
    13 21/06/2008 Brisbane Lions Away Gabba
    14 4/07/2008 Geelong  Home AAMI Stadium
    15 12/07/2008 Collingwood Away MCG
    16 20/07/2008 Port Adelaide Away AAMI Stadium
    17 26/07/2008 Sydney  Away SCG
    18 2/08/2008 Carlton  Home AAMI Stadium
    19 10/08/2008 Richmond Home AAMI Stadium
    20 16/08/2008 Essendon Away Telstra Dome
    21 24/08/2008 St. Kilda Away Telstra Dome
    22 30/08/2008 Western BulldogsHome AAMI Stadium
    My estimate is they will win 6 games giveing them 13 wins and a comfortable position in the 8. However I wouldn't be suprised if they lose their next 7. It could wekk come down to the final game with the WBs.
    Reply
    Adelaide to miss final 8 $8 1.5u (got a bit at $10)
    I had 3u on Adelaide to make the finals at $2.10 before the start of the season, so some of this is a hedge but most of it is a value bet as i think the price should be around $3.50.
     
    Adelaide have a tough run coming up and if they play like they have in the last two weeks they will be
     
    11 7/06/2008  Richmond Away MCG
    12 14/06/2008 Hawthorn Home AAMI Stadium
    13 21/06/2008 Brisbane Lions Away Gabba
    14 4/07/2008 Geelong  Home AAMI Stadium
    15 12/07/2008 Collingwood Away MCG
    16 20/07/2008 Port Adelaide Away AAMI Stadium
    17 26/07/2008 Sydney  Away SCG
    18 2/08/2008 Carlton  Home AAMI Stadium
    19 10/08/2008 Richmond Home AAMI Stadium
    20 16/08/2008 Essendon Away Telstra Dome
    21 24/08/2008 St. Kilda Away Telstra Dome
    22 30/08/2008 Western BulldogsHome AAMI Stadium
    My estimate is they will win 6 games giveing them 13 wins and a comfortable position in the 8. However I wouldn't be suprised if they lose their next 7. It could wekk come down to the final game with the WBs.
     
    tozer
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2008 - 3:05 AM ET #4

    They sure do have a very hard run in the next 7 weeks, this weekend against the tigers is a must win for them

    Reply

    They sure do have a very hard run in the next 7 weeks, this weekend against the tigers is a must win for them

     
    Miracle1976
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2008 - 8:41 AM ET #5

    Gl bin...see the Swans game as very low scoring, but don't see how they the Eagles will be able to handle the one-on-one pressure that the Swans will use, especially considering the amount of youngesters that are still in the Eagles side at the moment 
    Reply
    Gl bin...see the Swans game as very low scoring, but don't see how they the Eagles will be able to handle the one-on-one pressure that the Swans will use, especially considering the amount of youngesters that are still in the Eagles side at the moment 
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2008 - 10:04 AM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Miracle1976:

    Gl bin...see the Swans game as very low scoring, but don't see how they the Eagles will be able to handle the one-on-one pressure that the Swans will use, especially considering the amount of youngesters that are still in the Eagles side at the moment 

    -22.5 looks like a gift, especially with Roos calling for fortitutde this round.  However, there is an aura between these two teams and you know the story.  Scares me off the line right now.  Anyone heard of any injury news for West Coast?

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Miracle1976:

    Gl bin...see the Swans game as very low scoring, but don't see how they the Eagles will be able to handle the one-on-one pressure that the Swans will use, especially considering the amount of youngesters that are still in the Eagles side at the moment 

    -22.5 looks like a gift, especially with Roos calling for fortitutde this round.  However, there is an aura between these two teams and you know the story.  Scares me off the line right now.  Anyone heard of any injury news for West Coast?

     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2008 - 10:06 AM ET #7

    WEST Coast's injury woes have continued with midfielder Matt Rosa set to miss the next six to eight weeks with a fractured ankle.

    The 21-year-old has missed just two games this AFL season and his absence for Saturday's clash against Sydney at Subiaco Oval is a bitter blow for an Eagles outfit looking to bounce back from last week's humiliating 100-point loss to Collingwood.

    News of Rosa's injury came just a day after promising forward Josh Kennedy was ruled out of action for up to three weeks with a knee strain.

    And with Shannon Hurn (fractured fibula), Chad Jones (ankle) and Beau Waters (suspended) all unavailable for selection this week, West Coast coach John Worsfold may be forced to rush Adam Hunter back from injury.

    Hunter has not played since hyper extending his knee against the Bulldogs in round six.

    But the premiership swingman has made a return to the training track and is edging closer to a playing return.

    Rosa's injury could open the door for injury-plagued midfielder Sam Butler's return to the senior side.

    Butler last played for the Eagles in their 2006 grand final triumph over Sydney but has been plagued by a succession of groin injuries ever since.

    However, the talented 22-year-old has stuck to a rigid rehabilitation program and has strung together five games in the WAFL, impressing coaching staff with his skill level and work ethic.

    Forward Ashley Hansen and ruckman Mark Seaby are others pushing hard for a recall.

    Reply

    WEST Coast's injury woes have continued with midfielder Matt Rosa set to miss the next six to eight weeks with a fractured ankle.

    The 21-year-old has missed just two games this AFL season and his absence for Saturday's clash against Sydney at Subiaco Oval is a bitter blow for an Eagles outfit looking to bounce back from last week's humiliating 100-point loss to Collingwood.

    News of Rosa's injury came just a day after promising forward Josh Kennedy was ruled out of action for up to three weeks with a knee strain.

    And with Shannon Hurn (fractured fibula), Chad Jones (ankle) and Beau Waters (suspended) all unavailable for selection this week, West Coast coach John Worsfold may be forced to rush Adam Hunter back from injury.

    Hunter has not played since hyper extending his knee against the Bulldogs in round six.

    But the premiership swingman has made a return to the training track and is edging closer to a playing return.

    Rosa's injury could open the door for injury-plagued midfielder Sam Butler's return to the senior side.

    Butler last played for the Eagles in their 2006 grand final triumph over Sydney but has been plagued by a succession of groin injuries ever since.

    However, the talented 22-year-old has stuck to a rigid rehabilitation program and has strung together five games in the WAFL, impressing coaching staff with his skill level and work ethic.

    Forward Ashley Hansen and ruckman Mark Seaby are others pushing hard for a recall.

     
    ecoute
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2008 - 12:26 AM ET #8

    GL mate
    Reply
    GL mate
     
    binomial
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2008 - 2:40 AM ET #9

    Geelong -35.5 2u
     
    Played this morning.
    Reply
    Geelong -35.5 2u
     
    Played this morning.
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2008 - 6:17 AM ET #10

    Reply
     
    ecoute
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2008 - 9:04 AM ET #11

    Not a good way to start for us. Anyhow lets finish the weekend in the black.
    Reply
    Not a good way to start for us. Anyhow lets finish the weekend in the black.
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2008 - 9:56 PM ET #12

    Reply
     
    binomial
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2008 - 10:24 PM ET #13

    Yep I am finding it tricky of late.
     
    Richmond 1-39 $3 2u
    Crows record is inflated IMO. They have only beaten one top 8 side NM all season and their last two weeks have been hideous. Burton and Griffen are out
     
    Kane Johnson is a big out for the Tigers but Delidio has got his act together playing in the midfield and Kotchin has some class about him.
     
    Meant to be a bit of rain so it seems fairly unlikely Richmond will win big so $3 looks value to me.
     
    Hawthorn 1-39 $2.40 1u
    Thinking Essendon might keep this close.
     
     
    Played under 98.5 for 1.5 in the netball today.
     
     
     
    Reply
    Yep I am finding it tricky of late.
     
    Richmond 1-39 $3 2u
    Crows record is inflated IMO. They have only beaten one top 8 side NM all season and their last two weeks have been hideous. Burton and Griffen are out
     
    Kane Johnson is a big out for the Tigers but Delidio has got his act together playing in the midfield and Kotchin has some class about him.
     
    Meant to be a bit of rain so it seems fairly unlikely Richmond will win big so $3 looks value to me.
     
    Hawthorn 1-39 $2.40 1u
    Thinking Essendon might keep this close.
     
     
    Played under 98.5 for 1.5 in the netball today.
     
     
     
     
    binomial
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    Posted: Jun. 7, 2008 - 6:52 PM ET #14

    Copping a severe mauling so far this round, but i continue:
     
    Western Bulldogs -11.5 $1.95  2u
    The flat track bullies belted Melbourne last week, but i am betting that they will continue to be shown to be well behind the best sides.
     
    Port 1-39 $2.35  2u
    Form, weather, history, teams, schedule don't suggest a big Port win to me.
     
     
    In netball played:
    Tactix +12.5 2u
    Firebirds +5.5 3u
    Reply
    Copping a severe mauling so far this round, but i continue:
     
    Western Bulldogs -11.5 $1.95  2u
    The flat track bullies belted Melbourne last week, but i am betting that they will continue to be shown to be well behind the best sides.
     
    Port 1-39 $2.35  2u
    Form, weather, history, teams, schedule don't suggest a big Port win to me.
     
     
    In netball played:
    Tactix +12.5 2u
    Firebirds +5.5 3u
     
    Miracle1976
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    Posted: Jun. 7, 2008 - 9:17 PM ET #15

    Like both AFL pick's bin...don't know a thing about Netball, so won't make a comment but to simply say GL.
     
    Haven't understood the Bulldogs line all week, but then again I didn't understand the Cat's line either...and we all know how that went!  And I think that with Port coming back from WA last week, and as my research last week I found that the covering of sides coming back after playing in the WA the week before is something like 3-7...
     
    GL and may the force be with you
    Reply
    Like both AFL pick's bin...don't know a thing about Netball, so won't make a comment but to simply say GL.
     
    Haven't understood the Bulldogs line all week, but then again I didn't understand the Cat's line either...and we all know how that went!  And I think that with Port coming back from WA last week, and as my research last week I found that the covering of sides coming back after playing in the WA the week before is something like 3-7...
     
    GL and may the force be with you
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jun. 7, 2008 - 9:35 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by Miracle1976:

    Like both AFL pick's bin...don't know a thing about Netball, so won't make a comment but to simply say GL.
     
    Haven't understood the Bulldogs line all week, but then again I didn't understand the Cat's line either...and we all know how that went!  And I think that with Port coming back from WA last week, and as my research last week I found that the covering of sides coming back after playing in the WA the week before is something like 3-7...
     
    GL and may the force be with you




    Exactly.  Why I am laying off, yet still salivating over the Bulldogs -13.5.  And why, in part, I also love Carlton this round.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Miracle1976:

    Like both AFL pick's bin...don't know a thing about Netball, so won't make a comment but to simply say GL.
     
    Haven't understood the Bulldogs line all week, but then again I didn't understand the Cat's line either...and we all know how that went!  And I think that with Port coming back from WA last week, and as my research last week I found that the covering of sides coming back after playing in the WA the week before is something like 3-7...
     
    GL and may the force be with you




    Exactly.  Why I am laying off, yet still salivating over the Bulldogs -13.5.  And why, in part, I also love Carlton this round.
     
    binomial
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    Posted: Jun. 7, 2008 - 10:12 PM ET #17

    I think Murphy being suspended has something to do with it. He has been one of the best in the comp so far and getting better. I think they have enough players playing well to get the job done with ought him, however my judgement has been terrible so far.
    Reply
    I think Murphy being suspended has something to do with it. He has been one of the best in the comp so far and getting better. I think they have enough players playing well to get the job done with ought him, however my judgement has been terrible so far.
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jun. 8, 2008 - 2:05 AM ET #18

    Bulldogs looking good so far in the 3rd Quarter.
    Reply
    Bulldogs looking good so far in the 3rd Quarter.
     
     
    hansivonmueller
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    Posted: Jun. 8, 2008 - 2:12 AM ET #19

    Go doggies.
    Reply
    Go doggies.
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