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General Sharps 2014-2015 NHL Picks

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Posted: #1151
Quote Originally Posted by Rushao:

General i couldnt understand also what u said about betting on certain picks u post here.
Can u explain it better?


-Every single bet, meaning singles (not parlays) posted here I personally bet
-I don't bet every parlay posted
-Every play I personally make isn't posted here, some days I post on the fly and I don't have time to log in on covers and tell everyone




 
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Posted: #1152
2-4. Close on the MTL@DET game. Ducks...

WPG@NAS UNDER 5 1.88 (-113) - LOSE $100
SJ ML 1.80 (-125) - WIN $180
DAL@CHI OVER 5.5 2.00 (+100) - WIN $200
MTL@DET OVER 5.5 2.31 (+131) - LOSE $100
ANA PL -1.5 2.52 (+152) - LOSE $100
ARI@EDM OVER 5.5 2.05 (+105) - LOSE $100

Parlay: 1 unit
SJ ML 1.80 (-125) - WIN
DAL@CHI OVER 5.5 2.00 (+100) - WIN
ANA PL -1.5 2.52 (+152) - LOSE
9.07:1, +807, $100 to win $907, $807 profit - LOSE $100


Overall cost of bets: $600
Overall profit: $380
Overall profit: -$220, -2.20 units



2014-2015 NHL Season Single Record to Date: 88W - 109L

Method: Flat betting Single picks 1 Unit ($100)

Starting Bankroll: $10,000
Current Bankroll: $10,383

Total Single Bet Profit in $: +$383
Total Single Bet Profit in Units: +3.83 units


Thus far in the 2014-2015 NHL season, overall Single bet profit is +3.83 Units, or $383 flat betting $100 per pick


Parlay Record is 0W-15L, -$1500, -15.00 Units

Strongest Play of the Day Record: 1W-1L, -$20, -0.20 Units



Just one game tomorrow. I will be back Tuesday. I am going to go over the entire season so far and find out what is going on. 3.83 units profit thus far is not acceptable to me. Even though its been only 6 weeks, I should have far better results.

Have a good night gentlemen. 

 
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Posted: #1153
See you in 48 hours
 
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Posted: #1154
No problem Gen, get back even stronger
 
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Posted: #1155
General, im asking this because in my region some good betters live only with the money they win in bets... u do it too?

 
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Posted: #1156
Real strange start to the season so far, but only a month in. Let's get it from here on out General
 
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Posted: #1157
I'm sorry man... I've been keeping an eye on your proceedings and Its clear that you don't even know what "expected value" is. What is your expected value? How many parlays are you in reality going to hit?
How many SU wins? Are you expecting to hit 60+% or 55+%? Beacuse the Ducks are playing the Panthers in no way is that automatically a +EV play. Advice lay off the puck
Iine plays and worry about getting some SU wins going for you first. And ditch the parlays all together.
GL
 
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Posted: #1158
Quote Originally Posted by puckluck61:

I'm sorry man... I've been keeping an eye on your proceedings and Its clear that you don't even know what "expected value" is. What is your expected value? How many parlays are you in reality going to hit?
How many SU wins? Are you expecting to hit 60+% or 55+%? Beacuse the Ducks are playing the Panthers in no way is that automatically a +EV play. Advice lay off the puck
Iine plays and worry about getting some SU wins going for you first. And ditch the parlays all together.
GL

This is all relative. We all have our own models, systems, betting methods. I don't believe one is better than the other. You may believe yours is +EV and mine is not. That's ok. I will be the first to admit even my betting methods are not the best they could be. However, what I do works. It works good enough for me. I win profit. I make enough money each year to support my current lifestyle.

Everything could be more efficient. We should all strive to squeeze out every last bit of EV from a betting situation. I don't because I don't need to. I am happy winning what I win. Not this year, but overall each year. I expect there will be bad months, or even a bad year. 

If you strive to make as much money as you can, so you can have more money than you need, then all the power to you.

Last night I believed the Ducks PL was a good bet. Not the ml, not the regulation bet. The puck line at +150. Perry was back. The team was healthier. They were rested, but... they laid an egg. It happens. I highly doubt anyone thought the Florida panthers, a much inferior team, coming off a east coast to west coast flight,  were going to destroy the Ducks. It happens. That is sports.

All the best to you. I will continue to do what I do and at the end of the season only than will I consider it a victory or defeat. Not over a 1 month sample size.

 
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Posted: #1159
Getting SU's right is the key. Parlays are Vegas heaven. The fact you even suggested parlays to entice those geared for action is negligent and you should know that.
 
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Posted: #1160
Quote Originally Posted by Learnersrealm:

Getting SU's right is the key. Parlays are Vegas heaven. The fact you even suggested parlays to entice those geared for action is negligent and you should know that.

People are going to do what they are going to do. I never encouraged people to bet parlays. I merely provided parlay picks as requested. I encourage people again and again to practice bankroll management. If you read over the thread, you will see I have said this many times and to even reduce the size of bet on the parlay. 

I have 15 parlay bets in this thread and 202 singles bets. It's pretty obvious that encourage people to bet singles. You should know that. 
 
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Posted: #1161
Let's put it this way I questioned the man earlier about betting hockey and basketball given his thread and personal feelings about the game. I do not know 1 person who lives and breathes the game of hockey and caps nba, so I questioned his motives in my head. I don't personally trail him on plays in the nhl, I do respect him on posting plays daily and definitely do not dispute his legitimacy in winning in the long run. I respect his thought process in his plays to prevent the really bad nights. His plays imo add drama each and every night in terms of the odds he's typically on. Too Make real money and last the season betting nhl imo your bets should be at least 75% on teams not laying juice because goalie play influences results too much. Thanks for the nba picks sir and keep grinding!
 
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Posted: #1162
You don't encourage people to bet parlays but you have a parlay every day and you have made a special mention on nearly every occasion. You should run for office general. You would fit right in there. I could imagine in a bellowing voice.. 'I don't encourage parlays, but here is a parlay every day for you action minded' or words to that effect.

 
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Posted: #1163
It's like your baseball season which started late and died. Stick to few SU's or you will crash and burn.
 
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Posted: #1164
Quote Originally Posted by Learnersrealm:

It's like your baseball season which started late and died. Stick to few SU's or you will crash and burn.

Hey disgruntled loser. First off, I don't care what you think. I have read over your posts and see just how much of a loser you are.

You like to go into peoples threads and attack them. It's too bad your life is so pathetic that's all you do. I see you have posted many losers. It's all over your posts and covers space record. No wonder you are so miserable. Your life is so empty and you are a broke loser. I pity you. 

If you find comfort coming in here, and you feel the need to attack me to distract you from your insecurities and shy away from your pathetic life, well...you can find refuge here. Welcome loser.
 
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Posted: #1165
No plays Monday. Did go 4-2 in NBA, so doing ok there. Thread is:
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101988405&page=1


Re-worked NHL model and made some changes. Back tested with good results. 



Today's Plays: Tuesday November 18th, 2014 - All lines are from Pinnacle Sports at the time of post.

6 plays. 5 singles and 1 parlay. Flat bet $100 each. Good luck guys.

STL ML 1.98 (-102)
SJ PL -1.5 2.32 (+132)
PIT ML 1.89 (-111)
NAS@TOR OVER 5.5 2.11 (+111)
DAL PL -1.5 2.77 (+177)
ANA ML 1.85 (-117)

Parlay:
SJ PL 2.32 (+132)
DAL PL -1.5 2.77 (+177)
ANA ML 1.85 (-117)
LAK ML 1.55 (-182)
17.71:1, +1671, Bet $100 to win $1771, $1671 profit




 
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Posted: #1166
*Correction, 7 plays. 6 singles, 1 parlay

Good night gents.
 
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Posted: #1167
Lets get them tonight. GL
 
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Posted: #1168
BOL General
 
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Posted: #1169
Thanks for taking the time to post.  Have a great day.
 
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Posted: #1170
Good luck General. FYI, the sh*tty Sabres has Sharks number 
 
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Posted: #1171
BOL guys! 
 
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Posted: #1172
Suprised you don't have any ties tonight, some real tight match ups tonight. BOL
 
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Posted: #1173
I hope General does do well tonight. He seems really stressed out. 
 
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Posted: #1174
STL & DAL BOL
 
 
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Posted: #1175
Thanks for the picks Gen...lets have a huge night!
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