Posted:
#1126
chase iz chase
General Sharps 2014-2015 NHL Picks
Posted:
#1129
Quote Originally Posted by GeneralSharp:
If you bothered to read the thread, you would see I have said NUMEROUS times these are NOT parlays I bet. These are just my best guess parlays. I was asked by many people to post them because they just want to bet for action. That is why the record is separate.
Oh really? Because in this earlier quote of yours you say that you _do_ bet the parlays and there is no mention of people begging you to post picks that you don't actually bet. My bad on assuming that you would include all of your recommended bets in your overall record. Sometimes I just assume that people have integrity. I have to remind myself that it's not always a given.
Quote Originally Posted by GeneralSharp:
Parlay Special: This is a very, very rare play, but I absolutely love
this parlay. I do parlays very rarely in NHL, but once in awhile I will
combine a few big favorite plays with some soft lines (SJ, LAK).
Sure sounds like you actually intended to bet that first parlay. I don't know at what point in your epic losing streak you changed your tune, but regardless, it strikes me as kinda shady.
Quote Originally Posted by GeneralSharp:
It blows my mind how stupid you are. This isn't the first time you made false accusations. Why don't you get a life instead of try to attack others without merit. I feel sorry for you because I know you probably bet your last cash advance on one of my plays and lost and are just venting. It's ok. I forgive you.
I'm making false accusations about you, but you accuse me of betting your picks (lol) with my last cash advance? Way to go squeezing that amount of hypocrisy into one short paragraph. In the future maybe you should spread it out a bit so that it's not so obvious.
I never insult the intelligence or looks of other people, but it's clear that you have no such scruples. It's actually very sad, but serves to explain your rather overt narcissism. How much money are you going to let your covers cult lose before you stop bullshitting them?
As I said before, schadenfreude is really not something I engage in, but I know a charlatan when I see one (and a nasty one at that). Cheers, General. 
Posted:
#1131
Quote Originally Posted by magyarsvensk:
Oh really? Because in this earlier quote of yours you say that you _do_ bet the parlays and there is no mention of people begging you to post picks that you don't actually bet. My bad on assuming that you would include all of your recommended bets in your overall record. Sometimes I just assume that people have integrity. I have to remind myself that it's not always a given.
Quote Originally Posted by GeneralSharp:
Parlay Special: This is a very, very rare play, but I absolutely love
this parlay. I do parlays very rarely in NHL, but once in awhile I will
combine a few big favorite plays with some soft lines (SJ, LAK).
Sure sounds like you actually intended to bet that first parlay. I don't know at what point in your epic losing streak you changed your tune, but regardless, it strikes me as kinda shady.
Quote Originally Posted by GeneralSharp:
It blows my mind how stupid you are. This isn't the first time you made false accusations. Why don't you get a life instead of try to attack others without merit. I feel sorry for you because I know you probably bet your last cash advance on one of my plays and lost and are just venting. It's ok. I forgive you.
I'm making false accusations about you, but you accuse me of betting your picks (lol) with my last cash advance? Way to go squeezing that amount of hypocrisy into one short paragraph. In the future maybe you should spread it out a bit so that it's not so obvious.
I never insult the intelligence or looks of other people, but it's clear that you have no such scruples. It's actually very sad, but serves to explain your rather overt narcissism. How much money are you going to let your covers cult lose before you stop bullshitting them?
As I said before, schadenfreude is really not something I engage in, but I know a charlatan when I see one (and a nasty one at that). Cheers, General.
You must be a complete idiot. Every play I make is not exactly every single play I post here. I said this over and over but you selectively pick out things that mislead people. People can bet parlays, singles, whatever they want. What I personally bet isn't exactly what is posted. I post +EV plays, and what I think are good parlays.
You obviously are an angry person. I am sorry your life is pathetic and you feel the need to make me look bad to reinforce your pathetic mind. If you got beat up in high school, or your girlfriend cheated, or you lost all your money at sports, I am truly sorry for you. Get some help and get a life.
Posted:
#1132
Was a decent night. Went 3-0 in NBA, and won +1.79 units profit on singles. Parlay lost. Was a long shot, but all things considered was a good night. It's funny how when you win, the haters don't show up. When you lose, they are all over you. I really feel sorry for these people. No life and so much hate. Sad. Oh well.
NYR@PIT OVER 5.5 2.11 (+111) - LOSE $100
NJ ML 1.95 (-105) - LOSE $100
MTL ML 1.63 (-160) - WIN $163
TOR@BUF OVER 5.5 2.13 (+113) - WIN $213
TOR PL -1.5 2.47 (+147) - LOSE $100
WPG@NAS UNDER 5 1.98 (-102) - WIN $198
SJ PL -1.5 2.96 (+196) - LOSE $100
NYI@TB OVER 5.5 1.78 - WIN $178
TB PL -1.5 2.75 (+175) - WIN $275
STL PL -1.5 2.52 (+152) - WIN $252
OTT ML 2.02 (+102) - LOSE $100
Overall cost of bets: $1100
Overall winnings: $1279
Overall profit: +$179, +1.79 units
Parlay:
NJ ML 1.95 (-105)
TOR ML 1.52 (-193)
SJ ML 1.68 (-147)
TB ML 1.60 (-166)
STL ML 1.52 (-190)
OTT ML 2.02 (+102)
24.46:1, +2346, Bet $100 to win $2446, $2346 profit - LOSE $100
2014-2015 NHL Season Single Record to Date: 86W - 105L
Method: Flat betting Single picks 1 Unit ($100)
Starting Bankroll: $10,000
Current Bankroll: $10,603
Total Single Bet Profit in $: +$603
Total Single Bet Profit in Units: +6.03 units
Thus far in the 2014-2015 NHL season, overall Single bet profit is +6.03 Units, or $603 flat betting $100 per pick
Parlay Record is 0W-14L, -$1400, -14.00 Units
Strongest Play of the Day Record: 1W-1L, -$20, -0.20 Units
Posted:
#1134
Quote Originally Posted by magyarsvensk:
90% of my wagers are on dogs, favorites bottom out at -110 max. In professional sports, the "better team" is the dog that WINS that particular matchup, on that particular day; and activates max ROI..mathematically is the use of sabermetrics/formulated stats that are attached to "situational play" handicapping systems, it's a proccess, those that choose to use their own mind, methodology, understand the true value of the "winning edge" you don't make money betting favorites
Excuse me? I've been on covers since July perhaps. This is not an alias, this is a real person, and I have never used General's picks.
My words "guess" and "figure it out" show a type of realism about betting on sports that comes from having a rigorous mathematics background. No one knows which team will win! Especially in professional sports, these guys are all very good and mostly evenly matched. I think it is easy to overestimate how good a team is based on a very small sample of outcomes. That is what the books WANT you to do. They want you to think that this or that game is a "lock" and that the "cappers fell asleep on this one". Trust me, they wouldn't be in business if they couldn't predict the outcome of games between a +-2.5% margin of error in the long run. If you want to win, you have to accept their expertise as a given and slice and dice the numbers in a way that gives you an edge.
Mathematically, that is the only way to win. Picking the "better team" will not yield a profit.
Posted:
#1136
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:
90% of my wagers are on dogs, favorites bottom out at -110 max. In professional sports, the "better team" is the dog that WINS that particular matchup, on that particular day; and activates max ROI..mathematically is the use of sabermetrics/formulated stats that are attached to "situational play" handicapping systems, it's a proccess, those that choose to use their own mind, methodology, understand the true value of the "winning edge" you don't make money betting favorites
yes you do. I make a lot of money betting favorites in mma. and decent in other sports. You don't bet who his usually the best, you take the % of chance a team will win VS the odds and you choose if their his value in the bet. Exemple.. I would think Anderson silva has a 90% chance to win against nick diaz on one specific night. and has a 1.25 odds. that means the books or public.are giving him a 7/10 shot when I think he has a 9/10 shot. which means the bet has value. this apply to every sports. if you are good at the sports you cap and take into consideration all the angles and still think the bet has value. then its nonsence to say theyre his no profit bo be made in betting favorites.
90% of my wagers are on dogs, favorites bottom out at -110 max. In professional sports, the "better team" is the dog that WINS that particular matchup, on that particular day; and activates max ROI..mathematically is the use of sabermetrics/formulated stats that are attached to "situational play" handicapping systems, it's a proccess, those that choose to use their own mind, methodology, understand the true value of the "winning edge" you don't make money betting favorites
Posted:
#1137
[quote]You must be a complete idiot. Every play I make is not exactly every single play I post here. I said this over and over but you selectively pick out things that mislead people. People can bet parlays, singles, whatever they want. What I personally bet isn't exactly what is posted. I post +EV plays, and what I think are good parlays.
You obviously are an angry person. I am sorry your life is pathetic and you feel the need to make me look bad to reinforce your pathetic mind. If you got beat up in high school, or your girlfriend cheated, or you lost all your money at sports, I am truly sorry for you. Get some help and get a life.[/quote]
LOL.
Posted:
#1138
Hi, General
First i want to say that i come here to see your picks everynight no matter what.
Second i want to explain for this fool, that even a kid can came here and post a bunch of picks and still have profit in the end of the week. its possible. But waht insnt possibel is that kid came here and post a bunch of picks every single week and in the end of the season still have profit.
And General, u dont bet on all picks u tell us? why u dont bet them all?
Its possible u say wich one of them u going to bet everynight?
Posted:
#1143
Just to be clear, every pick I post here is a pick I would bet. I would never post plays I think are -EV. Some days I just can't get bets in time. Others I play actually more. Some days I will take a parlay. It all really depends on the flow.
When I have a bad weak, I am in research mode. I look into why plays failed. I re-evaluate and try to optimize.
If some internet loser comes in and calls me a losing player after 2 months of posting, he is an idiot. A 2 month sample size is a drop in the bucket. Any logical intelligent person would understand it is about the long run, it's about managing your money and betting +EV plays. And just for the record, I have posted a profit overall in NBA, MLB, and NHL singles despite this idiots claims. It may not be much yet, but at least I am not a losing player. There can be months of winning streaks, losing streaks, and voids breaking even.
I am not here to provide picks to get people rich. I am here to talk to the betters, have some good constructive conversation, and give my advice.
Will post NHL plays in 10 minutes. Sorry to cut it close but my wife hosted a baby shower and I had to run around picking up food and supplies all day.
tiring day...
Posted:
#1145
Today's Plays: Sunday November 16th, 2014 - All lines are from Pinnacle Sports at the time of post
WPG@NAS UNDER 5 1.88 (-113)
SJ ML 1.80 (-125)
DAL@CHI OVER 5.5 2.00 (+100)
MTL@DET OVER 5.5 2.31 (+131)
ANA PL -1.5 2.52 (+152)
ARI@EDM OVER 5.5 2.05 (+105)
Parlay: 1 unit
SJ ML 1.80 (-125)
DAL@CHI OVER 5.5 2.00 (+100)
ANA PL -1.5 2.52 (+152)
9.07:1, +807, $100 to win $907, $807 profit
6 plays, 1 parlay
7 units total. As always, flat bet $100 each. Good luck
Posted:
#1148
Quote Originally Posted by Rack_Em1:
This guy is a joke. He starts the thread claiming he's never had a losing season and begins posting plays. Any logical person would assume those are the ones he plays. Then when he starts losing he comes and says he doesn't take everything he posts. What a joke.
This guy is a joke. He starts the thread claiming he's never had a losing season and begins posting plays. Any logical person would assume those are the ones he plays. Then when he starts losing he comes and says he doesn't take everything he posts. What a joke.
You're life is a joke. You can't even read.
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