WEEK 5 SDQL

Can you guys post "play on" team names when you you throw a stat. Some of us dont understand the codes.

Good stuff, thanks for the info and pics. 

Right you are pal.

Interestingly if you eliminate fg = 6  (1-8) you improve the result considerably

@jowchoo

 season>=2000 and p:W and p:FG>=4 and p:TD=0 and p:FG!=6. (19-10) ATS

65%  imho this trend is actionable.....gl

Btw the Minnesota is the play on here

Adding another 6% play

A two team 6.5 pt teaser -120

Houston -1 and Green bay +7.5

hoody look at this:

season>=2000 and p:W and p:FG>=4 and p:TD=0 and p:FG!=6 and F

(14-2-1) ATS  87%...............................sweet

Based on the above trend:

Play on MINNESOTA -2.5 (4%)

Thx you jowchoo and hoodie. 

@jowchoo

 thoughts on bal being +3.5 now or do you still like them at -3

You are kidding right? Sometimes making very early wager works against you due to injuries.This is one of those!

maybe your system likes huntley who knows.  

Here is a nice Overs query that is not involved this week.

season>=2024 and p:TD=3 and p:margin>line and H and week>3 and 49.5>total>39.5 and line>-13.5 and day!=Friday  (37-17) over

p:margin>line = ats winner

H = at home

(p:TD=3) =team previous game they scored 3 TDs

(day!=Friday) = exclude Fridays

Another OVERS query going forward (70%)  19-8 over

season>=2024 and p:TD=3 and p:margin<line and A and 51.5<total<40.5 and 9.5>line>2.5 and day!=Thursday

this query is better than #37 and even though there are no plays this week,the sample size over the last two

years is large enough to anticipate some profits this year...It is a very nice two way query.

season>=2024 and p:TD=3 and p:margin>p:line and H and week>3 and 49.5>total>39.5 and line>-13.5 and day!=Friday

(34-17) ATS  66%

(35-14-2) O/U  71.4%

day!=Thursday works better:

season>=2024 and p:TD=3 and p:margin>p:line and H and week>3 and 49.5>total>39.5 and line>-13.5 and day!=Thursday

(32-15) ATS 68.1%

(33-12-2) OU 73.3%

There were no Friday games in this sample.

Adding 2 6.5 teasers -120 for 4% each

1. JAX -1/ CIN -.5

2. JAX-1/ HOU -.5

Thx DBW

I am expecting this to produce several units of profit this year..........................................................gl

@jowchoo

 good work explaining your calculations.

Very helpful even for experienced folks like myself .

Thank you for posting. 

@jowchoo

 play on min--u allready have a play on no!

@DMD252 

This was base on what I’ve asked him to look up the play would be on Minny with 4+ FG but I don’t think he is actually playing that since he already has the other side earlier in the wk taking New Orleans.

CXL the NO play earlier

the saints play was 2% on mon.  not this week

@countrycrock

 Yes correct