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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Week #14 Game of the week Cinci +7 @ Minnesota

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    Wakko4Flacco
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    Wakko4Flacco
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    Posted: Dec. 8, 2009 - 11:24 PM ET #1

    Cincy getting 7 points against a team that is potentially going to go into a mini slump? Brett Farve is always good for this towards the end of a season. This is a no brainer for me nothing else to be said I will take my shot with the points. Marvin Lewis will have his team prepared to put themselves in position to secure their playoff spot here. Cincy IMO has one of the best secondarys in the NFL this year and I expect some INTs coming their way.

    Cinci +7  I absolutely love this spot.

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    Cincy getting 7 points against a team that is potentially going to go into a mini slump? Brett Farve is always good for this towards the end of a season. This is a no brainer for me nothing else to be said I will take my shot with the points. Marvin Lewis will have his team prepared to put themselves in position to secure their playoff spot here. Cincy IMO has one of the best secondarys in the NFL this year and I expect some INTs coming their way.

    Cinci +7  I absolutely love this spot.

     
    coldsnap55
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    Posted: Dec. 8, 2009 - 11:58 PM ET #2

    I agree with the Favre statement late in the season.

    One thing that bothers me is that it's the Bengals first game on turf this year.

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    I agree with the Favre statement late in the season.

    One thing that bothers me is that it's the Bengals first game on turf this year.

     
    Rocktober1954
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 3:07 AM ET #3

    I like Cincy to take this game. They've showed up very well in big games this year. At the very least, I think they will cover.
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    I like Cincy to take this game. They've showed up very well in big games this year. At the very least, I think they will cover.
     
    Bucks10
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 6:23 AM ET #4

    Bengals getting some love from a Ravens fan. What is going on here? Who Dey!
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    Bengals getting some love from a Ravens fan. What is going on here? Who Dey!
     
    Wakko4Flacco
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 6:49 AM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by Bucks10:

    Bengals getting some love from a Ravens fan. What is going on here? Who Dey!

    Money is money already picked  a few good spots with the Bungels this year

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bucks10:

    Bengals getting some love from a Ravens fan. What is going on here? Who Dey!

    Money is money already picked  a few good spots with the Bungels this year

     
    jesron1269
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 9:51 AM ET #6

    Keep in mind that CIN hasn't covered in what three weeks (or maybe four weeks).  MIN returning home after road loss has always been a good bet.  MIN has stopped the run which is what CIN likes to do so you are going to trust Carson Palmer who has thrown more picks than TDs in the past month to torch the MIN secondary who was exposed on SNF?  I am pretty sure you and everyone else is going to think the same thing.

    I would lay off the game personally as I could see MIN killing CIN or losing straight up.  If you must play the game make a small play on the CIN ML as there is value there but if MIN wins the probably win by more than a TD at home.  BOL on whatever you decide but as you know if it looks too good to be true it probably is too good to be true.  Take this for what it is worth I have been perfect ATS with MIN games this year until the AZ game.  So I guess I am now 11-1, which isn't that bad as I know my team.

    As what I am going to play.  I think I honestly might just take this game off but if you ask me my lean I would probably lean MIN -7 at home off an aweful road loss now playing a team who has not covered a game in about a month.
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    Keep in mind that CIN hasn't covered in what three weeks (or maybe four weeks).  MIN returning home after road loss has always been a good bet.  MIN has stopped the run which is what CIN likes to do so you are going to trust Carson Palmer who has thrown more picks than TDs in the past month to torch the MIN secondary who was exposed on SNF?  I am pretty sure you and everyone else is going to think the same thing.

    I would lay off the game personally as I could see MIN killing CIN or losing straight up.  If you must play the game make a small play on the CIN ML as there is value there but if MIN wins the probably win by more than a TD at home.  BOL on whatever you decide but as you know if it looks too good to be true it probably is too good to be true.  Take this for what it is worth I have been perfect ATS with MIN games this year until the AZ game.  So I guess I am now 11-1, which isn't that bad as I know my team.

    As what I am going to play.  I think I honestly might just take this game off but if you ask me my lean I would probably lean MIN -7 at home off an aweful road loss now playing a team who has not covered a game in about a month.
     
    suckerpunch0814
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 10:38 AM ET #7

    I actually think the better play is on the Vikings -7.  The Vikings are a better team than the Bengals and they are coming off of a tough loss that should result in an "attitude adjustment" this week. 
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    I actually think the better play is on the Vikings -7.  The Vikings are a better team than the Bengals and they are coming off of a tough loss that should result in an "attitude adjustment" this week. 
     
    PokerBeerKush
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 10:42 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by suckerpunch0814:

    I actually think the better play is on the Vikings -7.  The Vikings are a better team than the Bengals and they are coming off of a tough loss that should result in an "attitude adjustment" this week. 


    so ur saying minni will annihilate cinci?
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    Quote Originally Posted by suckerpunch0814:

    I actually think the better play is on the Vikings -7.  The Vikings are a better team than the Bengals and they are coming off of a tough loss that should result in an "attitude adjustment" this week. 


    so ur saying minni will annihilate cinci?
     
    Wizerguy
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 10:52 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:

    Keep in mind that CIN hasn't covered in what three weeks (or maybe four weeks).  MIN returning home after road loss has always been a good bet.  MIN has stopped the run which is what CIN likes to do so you are going to trust Carson Palmer who has thrown more picks than TDs in the past month to torch the MIN secondary who was exposed on SNF?  I am pretty sure you and everyone else is going to think the same thing.

    I would lay off the game personally as I could see MIN killing CIN or losing straight up.  If you must play the game make a small play on the CIN ML as there is value there but if MIN wins the probably win by more than a TD at home.  BOL on whatever you decide but as you know if it looks too good to be true it probably is too good to be true.  Take this for what it is worth I have been perfect ATS with MIN games this year until the AZ game.  So I guess I am now 11-1, which isn't that bad as I know my team.

    As what I am going to play.  I think I honestly might just take this game off but if you ask me my lean I would probably lean MIN -7 at home off an aweful road loss now playing a team who has not covered a game in about a month.

    Good point, I looked into this game.Cinn Offense doesnt impress me on the road especilaly vs good defensive teams even though the snuck a few wins out against Balt and Pitt

    Its a game I lay off on

    - The storms will come, the storms will pass -
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    Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:

    Keep in mind that CIN hasn't covered in what three weeks (or maybe four weeks).  MIN returning home after road loss has always been a good bet.  MIN has stopped the run which is what CIN likes to do so you are going to trust Carson Palmer who has thrown more picks than TDs in the past month to torch the MIN secondary who was exposed on SNF?  I am pretty sure you and everyone else is going to think the same thing.

    I would lay off the game personally as I could see MIN killing CIN or losing straight up.  If you must play the game make a small play on the CIN ML as there is value there but if MIN wins the probably win by more than a TD at home.  BOL on whatever you decide but as you know if it looks too good to be true it probably is too good to be true.  Take this for what it is worth I have been perfect ATS with MIN games this year until the AZ game.  So I guess I am now 11-1, which isn't that bad as I know my team.

    As what I am going to play.  I think I honestly might just take this game off but if you ask me my lean I would probably lean MIN -7 at home off an aweful road loss now playing a team who has not covered a game in about a month.

    Good point, I looked into this game.Cinn Offense doesnt impress me on the road especilaly vs good defensive teams even though the snuck a few wins out against Balt and Pitt

    Its a game I lay off on

     
    saintsfan504
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 11:22 AM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by Wakko4Flacco:

    Cincy getting 7 points against a team that is potentially going to go into a mini slump? Brett Farve is always good for this towards the end of a season. This is a no brainer for me nothing else to be said I will take my shot with the points. Marvin Lewis will have his team prepared to put themselves in position to secure their playoff spot here. Cincy IMO has one of the best secondarys in the NFL this year and I expect some INTs coming their way.

    Cinci +7  I absolutely love this spot.

    I think Cincy might win,  and Minny defense didn't look to sharp on Sunday.

    With the loss of EJ Henderson and their CB, Winfield and Safety Tyrell Johnson, that is going to hurt them, and Cincy pass game is solid. This will be another physical game for the Vikings and I expect the same results.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Wakko4Flacco:

    Cincy getting 7 points against a team that is potentially going to go into a mini slump? Brett Farve is always good for this towards the end of a season. This is a no brainer for me nothing else to be said I will take my shot with the points. Marvin Lewis will have his team prepared to put themselves in position to secure their playoff spot here. Cincy IMO has one of the best secondarys in the NFL this year and I expect some INTs coming their way.

    Cinci +7  I absolutely love this spot.

    I think Cincy might win,  and Minny defense didn't look to sharp on Sunday.

    With the loss of EJ Henderson and their CB, Winfield and Safety Tyrell Johnson, that is going to hurt them, and Cincy pass game is solid. This will be another physical game for the Vikings and I expect the same results.

     
    jesron1269
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 11:30 AM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by saintsfan504:

    I think Cincy might win,  and Minny defense didn't look to sharp on Sunday.

    With the loss of EJ Henderson and their CB, Winfield and Safety Tyrell Johnson, that is going to hurt them, and Cincy pass game is solid. This will be another physical game for the Vikings and I expect the same results.



    Sure MIN could lose I said so in my post above but if Winfield doesn't play it will have no effect because he has been out for a while now (he is set to come back anytime now so don't count him out yet).  The loss of EJ is worst in that he helped plug holes for the run game but one thing MIN has is good LBs so perhaps they will minimize that loss.  Terrell Johnson isn't out (or at least I have not seen any such report saying this).  By the way, if MIN defense didn't look sharp for the first time this season in a long time why would you want to take a chance against them at home?  Leave the game alone because there are some really good games on this card.  BOL!
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    Quote Originally Posted by saintsfan504:

    I think Cincy might win,  and Minny defense didn't look to sharp on Sunday.

    With the loss of EJ Henderson and their CB, Winfield and Safety Tyrell Johnson, that is going to hurt them, and Cincy pass game is solid. This will be another physical game for the Vikings and I expect the same results.



    Sure MIN could lose I said so in my post above but if Winfield doesn't play it will have no effect because he has been out for a while now (he is set to come back anytime now so don't count him out yet).  The loss of EJ is worst in that he helped plug holes for the run game but one thing MIN has is good LBs so perhaps they will minimize that loss.  Terrell Johnson isn't out (or at least I have not seen any such report saying this).  By the way, if MIN defense didn't look sharp for the first time this season in a long time why would you want to take a chance against them at home?  Leave the game alone because there are some really good games on this card.  BOL!
     
    saintsfan504
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 11:34 AM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:



    Sure MIN could lose I said so in my post above but if Winfield doesn't play it will have no effect because he has been out for a while now (he is set to come back anytime now so don't count him out yet).  The loss of EJ is worst in that he helped plug holes for the run game but one thing MIN has is good LBs so perhaps they will minimize that loss.  Terrell Johnson isn't out (or at least I have not seen any such report saying this).  By the way, if MIN defense didn't look sharp for the first time this season in a long time why would you want to take a chance against them at home?  Leave the game alone because there are some really good games on this card.  BOL!

    The reason i am on Cincy is because of their run game, I know you guys are 2nd or 3rd against the run,but losing EJ, it's going to be a challenge. Larry Johnson and Ced Benson, might loosen this defense up and open up the passing game

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    Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:



    Sure MIN could lose I said so in my post above but if Winfield doesn't play it will have no effect because he has been out for a while now (he is set to come back anytime now so don't count him out yet).  The loss of EJ is worst in that he helped plug holes for the run game but one thing MIN has is good LBs so perhaps they will minimize that loss.  Terrell Johnson isn't out (or at least I have not seen any such report saying this).  By the way, if MIN defense didn't look sharp for the first time this season in a long time why would you want to take a chance against them at home?  Leave the game alone because there are some really good games on this card.  BOL!

    The reason i am on Cincy is because of their run game, I know you guys are 2nd or 3rd against the run,but losing EJ, it's going to be a challenge. Larry Johnson and Ced Benson, might loosen this defense up and open up the passing game

     
    jesron1269
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 11:37 AM ET #13

    If CIN wins it will be due to the passing game.  Trust me on this that Ced Benson will not run all over MIN (I have Ced Benson in my big money keeper fantasy football league with playoffs starting this week so I really would not mind being wrong).  But if you wanted enough CIN games this year (again I am the idiot who drafted Carson Palmer as my starting QB in the same league) you would know that he is struggling mightly this past few games.  Could he break out of it YES will he we will see.  But if CIN trys to win the game via the ground I would unload on MIN.  They they are playing right into MIN's hands.  Something tells me that Marvin Lewis is smarter than that though.
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    If CIN wins it will be due to the passing game.  Trust me on this that Ced Benson will not run all over MIN (I have Ced Benson in my big money keeper fantasy football league with playoffs starting this week so I really would not mind being wrong).  But if you wanted enough CIN games this year (again I am the idiot who drafted Carson Palmer as my starting QB in the same league) you would know that he is struggling mightly this past few games.  Could he break out of it YES will he we will see.  But if CIN trys to win the game via the ground I would unload on MIN.  They they are playing right into MIN's hands.  Something tells me that Marvin Lewis is smarter than that though.
     
    saintsfan504
    saintsfan504
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 11:51 AM ET #14

    You might have a point, considering that Minny gave up 285 pass yds, but they also gave up113 yds on the ground with two average RB"S. We swill see how Minny bounces back after that loss. I think Cincy looked past their last 2 opponents and they will be ready for this challenge.
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    You might have a point, considering that Minny gave up 285 pass yds, but they also gave up113 yds on the ground with two average RB"S. We swill see how Minny bounces back after that loss. I think Cincy looked past their last 2 opponents and they will be ready for this challenge.
     
    jesron1269
    jesron1269
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 11:58 AM ET #15

    Maybe... CIN is a good team and looking forward to the game.  But I just don't think I see a good enough angle to take on this game to bet it.  If I bet anything as I stated above I might take the CIN ML very small and be happy with the result either way.
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    Maybe... CIN is a good team and looking forward to the game.  But I just don't think I see a good enough angle to take on this game to bet it.  If I bet anything as I stated above I might take the CIN ML very small and be happy with the result either way.
     
    MDAAKD
    MDAAKD
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 1:19 PM ET #16

    Not too worried about the Vikings in this spot. 
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    Not too worried about the Vikings in this spot. 
     
    jesron1269
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 2:39 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by MDAAKD:

    Not too worried about the Vikings in this spot. 


    You might be right but ATS I don't know.  Like I said it could go either way.  It is way to pricey to play MIN ML so why not take a shot on the CIN ML small and be happy either way.  I might just lay off a MIN game for once too and try to enjoy it without any action.  LOL and skol Vikes!
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    Quote Originally Posted by MDAAKD:

    Not too worried about the Vikings in this spot. 


    You might be right but ATS I don't know.  Like I said it could go either way.  It is way to pricey to play MIN ML so why not take a shot on the CIN ML small and be happy either way.  I might just lay off a MIN game for once too and try to enjoy it without any action.  LOL and skol Vikes!
     
    saintsfan504
    saintsfan504
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 3:21 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by MDAAKD:

    Not too worried about the Vikings in this spot. 

     

    Don't take Cincy too lightly, they beat a Ravens defense twice and a Pitt defense twice with Palu in 1 gm i think

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    Quote Originally Posted by MDAAKD:

    Not too worried about the Vikings in this spot. 

     

    Don't take Cincy too lightly, they beat a Ravens defense twice and a Pitt defense twice with Palu in 1 gm i think

     
    Wakko4Flacco
    Wakko4Flacco
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 3:23 PM ET #19

    Regardless of everything that has been said here this game stood out to me more then any game this week and still does I love it.
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    Regardless of everything that has been said here this game stood out to me more then any game this week and still does I love it.
     
    si1ly
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 3:27 PM ET #20

    I love this play... I capped this game at Minni -3.5... giving a touchdown is absolutely absurd in a game that Cinci can win outright.


    BOL
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    I love this play... I capped this game at Minni -3.5... giving a touchdown is absolutely absurd in a game that Cinci can win outright.


    BOL
     
    Wakko4Flacco
    Wakko4Flacco
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 3:29 PM ET #21

    What makes me like this game even more is the concencous appears like it doesnt have a problem taking Minn -7

    Money looks 50/50 to me

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    What makes me like this game even more is the concencous appears like it doesnt have a problem taking Minn -7

    Money looks 50/50 to me

     
    saintsfan504
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 3:33 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:

    I love this play... I capped this game at Minni -3.5... giving a touchdown is absolutely absurd in a game that Cinci can win outright.


    BOL

     I totally agree buddy, I might go heavy on this one, just like i did on Arizona. Adrain Peterson is averaging 3 yds per carry the last 3 gms. Minny is hurting also in the CB dept and EJ is probably done for the season.

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    Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:

    I love this play... I capped this game at Minni -3.5... giving a touchdown is absolutely absurd in a game that Cinci can win outright.


    BOL

     I totally agree buddy, I might go heavy on this one, just like i did on Arizona. Adrain Peterson is averaging 3 yds per carry the last 3 gms. Minny is hurting also in the CB dept and EJ is probably done for the season.

     
    dytide
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 3:41 PM ET #23

    Minny coming off a bad loss..makes this a no play for me
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    Minny coming off a bad loss..makes this a no play for me
     
    Twinz2307
    Twinz2307
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 3:47 PM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by Wakko4Flacco:

    Cincy getting 7 points against a team that is potentially going to go into a mini slump? Brett Farve is always good for this towards the end of a season. This is a no brainer for me nothing else to be said I will take my shot with the points. Marvin Lewis will have his team prepared to put themselves in position to secure their playoff spot here. Cincy IMO has one of the best secondarys in the NFL this year and I expect some INTs coming their way.

    Cinci +7  I absolutely love this spot.

     Love the Bengals and will add the Chargers

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    Quote Originally Posted by Wakko4Flacco:

    Cincy getting 7 points against a team that is potentially going to go into a mini slump? Brett Farve is always good for this towards the end of a season. This is a no brainer for me nothing else to be said I will take my shot with the points. Marvin Lewis will have his team prepared to put themselves in position to secure their playoff spot here. Cincy IMO has one of the best secondarys in the NFL this year and I expect some INTs coming their way.

    Cinci +7  I absolutely love this spot.

     Love the Bengals and will add the Chargers

     
     
    IamTHEbook
    IamTHEbook
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2009 - 3:49 PM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by saintsfan504:

    I think Cincy might win,  and Minny defense didn't look to sharp on Sunday.

    With the loss of EJ Henderson and their CB, Winfield and Safety Tyrell Johnson, that is going to hurt them, and Cincy pass game is solid. This will be another physical game for the Vikings and I expect the same results. weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee shall see my friend brett throws for 3 tds 0int 30-17

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    Quote Originally Posted by saintsfan504:

    I think Cincy might win,  and Minny defense didn't look to sharp on Sunday.

    With the loss of EJ Henderson and their CB, Winfield and Safety Tyrell Johnson, that is going to hurt them, and Cincy pass game is solid. This will be another physical game for the Vikings and I expect the same results. weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee shall see my friend brett throws for 3 tds 0int 30-17

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