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TNF week 5 - Colts at Broncos....

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Posted: #51

Now, on the other note, u truly not at all a lil nervous backing Matt? He has looked absolutely atrocious, he has not been the same since 28-3. Now with my P. Manning football signed by him when he broke the all time single season touchdown leader in 2004 staring me in the face, every time I fade my colts in prime time it I lose. I just can’t do it, I stopped after Jags loss, should have after tying to H-Town. Matty looks worse then ever, that’s really my main angle

WHY SO SERIOUS
 
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Posted: #52

@vanzack

 Yes because colts who can't run and ate in the road work no rb, compared to raiders at home with an excellent rb. Gotcha

 
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Posted: #53

Hey Van, what's happening? it's been awhile. BOL tonight.

 
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Posted: #54

@unplucked_gem

 It’s sports anything can happen. If Broncos win by a FG I’ll take my cash back rather then handing it over, for a few extra dollars the insurance to me is worth it

WHY SO SERIOUS
 
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Posted: #55

@vanzack

 Completely agree 

WHY SO SERIOUS
 
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Posted: #56

Quote Originally Posted by xMORTICIANx:

Now, on the other note, u truly not at all a lil nervous backing Matt? He has looked absolutely atrocious, he has not been the same since 28-3. Now with my P. Manning football signed by him when he broke the all time single season touchdown leader in 2004 staring me in the face, every time I fade my colts in prime time it I lose. I just can’t do it, I stopped after Jags loss, should have after tying to H-Town. Matty looks worse then ever, that’s really my main angle

There is literally not another NFL QB that I would rather NOT back.  This guy is the worst.  I get it.

Run baby.  Run.

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Posted: #57

Quote Originally Posted by MannyWoodgrain:

@vanzack  Yes because colts who can't run and ate in the road work no rb, compared to raiders at home with an excellent rb. Gotcha

You got it buddy!

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Posted: #58

Quote Originally Posted by allboutmoney:

Hey Van, what's happening? it's been awhile. BOL tonight.

Good to see you.  So far....  good things have been happening.  But it is a long season.

GL

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Posted: #59

What do you think on the Under 42 Van?  I think that'll be my play tonight.

 
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Posted: #60

Quote Originally Posted by DinoDigger35:

What do you think on the Under 42 Van?  I think that'll be my play tonight.

Read the thread.  Lost posted about the total.

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Posted: #61
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Don't let the book set the number
 
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Posted: #62

This thread is likely far more interesting than the game will be. Two terrible QBs in prime time

Hope I’m wrong

Actually no, hope I’m right as I’m on the under

20-17 to someone

 
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Posted: #63

Quote Originally Posted by Ramanujan:

This thread is likely far more interesting than the game will be. Two terrible QBs in prime time Hope I’m wrong Actually no, hope I’m right as I’m on the under 20-17 to someone

20-17 to someone wouldnt be a decent result for me.  Not the best - but I will take it.

I think you are probably pretty close.

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Posted: #64
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Don't let the book set the number
 
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Posted: #65

I only read the first page. Your play was my lean. The issue is the Colts have had 1 solo running back who was confirmed to be out for today. Nyheim Hines is a great 3rd down back with smooth hands, but he aint JT. There is a reason why he has ran 8 plays so far in the 4 weeks, and has averaged 1.8 yards per carry. 
I dont post my play here, because I dont have one yet. I will wait to see if 8 plays is too small of a sample size and Hines takes away, or if it looks to be a constant I will certainly bet Denver or the under. 

BOL

 
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Posted: #66

Quote Originally Posted by unplucked_gem:

@vanzack  Don't take issue, I wasnt talking about your margins or betting style.  Better phrasing on my end "I too like the Colts, but I'm on the ML cause there's value there on my sheet".

No issue taken!  All good convo.  Just explaining.  Guess it didnt come out like I intended.

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Posted: #67

Quote Originally Posted by gutinstinctus:

I only read the first page. Your play was my lean. The issue is the Colts have had 1 solo running back who was confirmed to be out for today. Nyheim Hines is a great 3rd down back with smooth hands, but he aint JT. There is a reason why he has ran 8 plays so far in the 4 weeks, and has averaged 1.8 yards per carry. I dont post my play here, because I dont have one yet. I will wait to see if 8 plays is too small of a sample size and Hines takes away, or if it looks to be a constant I will certainly bet Denver or the under.  BOL

I just flat out do not put much emphasis on RB replacement value.  There might be some, but not enough to make a bet based on it.

Just my opinion...

GL

peace_5

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Posted: #68

@vanzack

 

 
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Posted: #69

@vanzack

 You are absolutely right about RB replacement..  If there are holes whoever is RB will find them..  some running backs are better at blocking those blitzing LB'S might be the bigger issue.  Hines has always played well with his limited opportunities.   BOL!!

 
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Posted: #70

@vanzack

 clover Takes balls to bet on Indy...Ryan's about as mobile as a guy in a wheelchair. Think I'll sit this one out.

BOL,

RT2

 
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Posted: #71

Van the man! Thanks a bunch for sharing bud

 
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Posted: #72

My wager is Russ is Cooking for over 12.5 yards rushing, -120.

 
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Posted: #73

@umgmu

 BOL!!  Keep the hot streak going...  Ready for MLB playoffs??

 
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Posted: #74

Quote Originally Posted by AC2002:

@vanzack  You are absolutely right about RB replacement..  If there are holes whoever is RB will find them..  some running backs are better at blocking those blitzing LB'S might be the bigger issue.  Hines has always played well with his limited opportunities.   BOL!!

peace_5

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Posted: #75

Quote Originally Posted by CravinMorehead:

Van the man! Thanks a bunch for sharing bud

an_cheers

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