The San Diego Chargers have won 16 consecutive December games.

can you change that avatar, please.

I agree with this.  However, this line did throw me off as I believed Ten would be a slight dog.  I'm on SD too and am not putting to much thought into the spread.  I did that in the Indy/Jack game, questioning why Indy was laying just 3 in a game where they should have been at least 6 pt faves and it cost me.  Sometimes it's just hard for us to believe there are such things as soft lines.  Neverhtless, there are such things and I just hope this turns out to be one of them as opposed to a sucker bet.  GL choi as I get the feeling will be one of the few on SD on this forum as most believe it's to good to be true.

Well, that's why in sportsbetting,,,it's never a dull moment. But this line is doing exactly what it was intended to do and that was to stop you in your tracks as you have mentioned. The line is forcing you to overthink this game and make you    that's i feel some ppl tend to get caught up capping the spread only and not the matchup, trends, and game itself. You need to combine all those variables to help you make the best decision on this game...BUT....by no means am I an expert capper. Just a guy who do his homework diligently.

, and thanks..... i wouldnt have looked at this over if you hadnt brought it up..... both teams avg 30+ppg over last 8-9gms

fellas, this line is right on, +1-3 either side seems justified imho.... check the #s, TEN is on fire with v.young and playing as good as SD is at the moment...... forget about soft lines, line movement or traps..... these are 2 good teams that have been playing winning football for the last 2 months

all the way up what chau?

im taking TEN now just on principle.....

If the oddsmakers gave out a number such as Chargers -3, the public would have eaten up the home dog, playoff implication, Titans in this spot. So they throw the Chargers points instead, luring the public into "the better team, getting points". Tennessee is the right side in this football game.  

I truly believe this is a great spot for the Titans, and not so much for the Chargers. San Diego can afford to come out "flat" and I believe after ripping off 9 straight (vs quality teams), coupled with Denver losing at home to Oakland, they will indeed play a sloppy game.

The Titans on the otherhand, are coming off a season saving win over a very scrappy Miami team, in OT to boot. They have no time to think about it, or letting up, as they are right back in the same situation, vs another very good football team. One team has MUCH more to play for this Thurs, and that team happens to be playing at home aswell. Great spot for an underrated team.

Vince Young is the X-factor. The Chargers D is suspect. Chris Johnson will find many holes to run rampant. The Chargers have good speed on their defensive ends, however this is what offenses like the Titans feed off of. They'll allow the outside pressure to come and run the draw right passed them up the gut. Again, perfect opportunity for VInce to run the QB draw aswell. Titans will be 2nd and short and 3rd and short all game, and Vince converts those short yardage situations better than most. They will control the ball and the clock, and the Chargers D will be spending a lot of time on the field, on their heels.  Not a great situation when the 4th Q comes around, they're behind on the scoreboard, and find themselves chasing around the fastest back in football.

This is a throwaway game for the Chargers, with the Skins at Qualcomm on deck. Chargers finish 12-4, and make a nice run in the playoffs. But this Thursday is a terrible spot for an over-confident team, facing a very desperate team with their backs against a wall...not to mention 2000 miles away from home.

Like i said, the Bolts finish 12-4 with a loss @ Tenn, and win vs Wash. That locks up the bye and home-field vs anyone not named the Colts.

This is the definition of a throwaway game . Picture Car-Minn from Sunday night. The Packers loss to the Steelers, is much like the Broncos loss to the Raiders, it seals the division for both the Vikes and Bolts. Look how flat and sloppy the Vikes played on the road on Sunday night . Same will happen in this spot. The Titans simply have MUCH more to play for, on their home field, with a team that matches up very well with the Chargers. The AFC West is arguably the worst division in football, while the AFC South is one of the strongest. 

They are over-confident because they have just beaten a number of very good football teams, are playing at a very high calibre, and have now seen themselves lock up the division, as Denver slides further from the playoffs. Do they want this win? Of course they do. Do they need this win? No. Do the Titans need this win? Yes, they're season depends on it.

This has nothing to do with the calibre of football team the Chargers are. NOTHING. They are an elite squad

No matter how you swing it, the Chargers are in the perfect spot for a letdown, vs a very good, well coached, desperate, football team.

PS - you have been doing extremely well, keep up the good work

no you have not ever seen a 3 point dog listed as (+165) on the ML... you might have seen a 3 pt fav listed as (-165), but not the other way around... ever!

My only worry is MNF was super Over but the books have readjusted the #s from 43 on MNF to 47 on Thurs night hoping ppl will continue to bite the Under. The Under trends have been red hot on Thurs night action til the Colts/Jags last week.

It was favorite OVER on MNF so hopefully the trend will be dog OVER on Thursday night. It was favorite OVER last Thurs.

If the oddsmakers gave out a number such as Chargers -3, the public would have eaten up the home dog, playoff implication, Titans in this spot. So they throw the Chargers points instead, luring the public into "the better team, getting points". Tennessee is the right side in this football game.  

But the thing is,,,not everyone like to bet dogs and the logic would be too easy imo. Tenn -3 spread will force ppl to thinking Tenn is a better team and a division home team at that.

I think there are a good amount of ppl out there thinking "Tenn is -3? hmmmm, Vegas must know something we don't" ,,,etc.....

I hate capping a game and throwing in the angle of "Vegas might know something we don't", etc...all that does is confused me even more, I leave that angle out and rely on all other variables.

It's true Chargers are due for a loss but the same argument can be apply for Tenn too. Both teams have had some closed calls but came through at the end. This one is tough to cap imo.

That's a better one. Thanks, chau.

lol, that was pretty sick I thought. Don't know what that guy was thinking.

Rain/Wind in the forcast for Nashville tomorrow. Wind will be at SSE 23mph.