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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Tennessee @ Pittsburgh TNF

    «First Previous 123
    Raiders22
    ArtSchlichterJr
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    Sidehatch
    Buffalobob89074
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    Raiders22
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 12:04 AM ET #51

    Quote Originally Posted by ArtSchlichterJr:

    Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22: @nuggins @ArtSchlichterJr  I do not want to hijack this guy's thread and turn it into anything drawn out. I bumped the old thread about this up to the top, in case you guys want to add on over there. Good points you guys make -- I just disagree on some of them.I understand...  To each his own..  But for some of us Pitt  fans who have had to endure Tomlin standing on that sideline with that shit face look while the clock runs down before the half.. Kicking fg's on 4th and one down 14 in the 4th quarter.. Then  kicking the only two coaches with talent out of town makes it hard for us..  Besides those two... Tomlins coaching tree is as laughable as his in game adjustments (none)..

    Yessir.  As the Raiders can tell you -- be careful wishing for a coaching change.  Things may not be what they seem with a new guy.  You do not want to start a run of trying new guys every year or two like the Raiders are going to do.

    an_roll_laugh

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    Quote Originally Posted by ArtSchlichterJr:

    Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22: @nuggins @ArtSchlichterJr  I do not want to hijack this guy's thread and turn it into anything drawn out. I bumped the old thread about this up to the top, in case you guys want to add on over there. Good points you guys make -- I just disagree on some of them.I understand...  To each his own..  But for some of us Pitt  fans who have had to endure Tomlin standing on that sideline with that shit face look while the clock runs down before the half.. Kicking fg's on 4th and one down 14 in the 4th quarter.. Then  kicking the only two coaches with talent out of town makes it hard for us..  Besides those two... Tomlins coaching tree is as laughable as his in game adjustments (none)..

    Yessir.  As the Raiders can tell you -- be careful wishing for a coaching change.  Things may not be what they seem with a new guy.  You do not want to start a run of trying new guys every year or two like the Raiders are going to do.

    an_roll_laugh

     
    ArtSchlichterJr
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 12:10 AM ET #52

    Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22:

    Quote Originally Posted by ArtSchlichterJr: Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22: @nuggins @ArtSchlichterJr  I do not want to hijack this guy's thread and turn it into anything drawn out. I bumped the old thread about this up to the top, in case you guys want to add on over there. Good points you guys make -- I just disagree on some of them.I understand...  To each his own..  But for some of us Pitt  fans who have had to endure Tomlin standing on that sideline with that shit face look while the clock runs down before the half.. Kicking fg's on 4th and one down 14 in the 4th quarter.. Then  kicking the only two coaches with talent out of town makes it hard for us..  Besides those two... Tomlins coaching tree is as laughable as his in game adjustments (none).. Yessir.  As the Raiders can tell you -- be careful wishing for a coaching change.  Things may not be what they seem with a new guy.  You do not want to start a run of trying new guys every year or two like the Raiders are going to do.
    peace_5...GL hang in there ... Grew up in the times when the Raiders and Steelers games  were special..  Was standing on the 1st concourse wall in the end zone as Franco made his "immaculate reception " vs the Hated Raiders.. Never forget it... RIP Franco...  peace_5

    Be careful with the axe Eugene.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22:

    Quote Originally Posted by ArtSchlichterJr: Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22: @nuggins @ArtSchlichterJr  I do not want to hijack this guy's thread and turn it into anything drawn out. I bumped the old thread about this up to the top, in case you guys want to add on over there. Good points you guys make -- I just disagree on some of them.I understand...  To each his own..  But for some of us Pitt  fans who have had to endure Tomlin standing on that sideline with that shit face look while the clock runs down before the half.. Kicking fg's on 4th and one down 14 in the 4th quarter.. Then  kicking the only two coaches with talent out of town makes it hard for us..  Besides those two... Tomlins coaching tree is as laughable as his in game adjustments (none).. Yessir.  As the Raiders can tell you -- be careful wishing for a coaching change.  Things may not be what they seem with a new guy.  You do not want to start a run of trying new guys every year or two like the Raiders are going to do.
    peace_5...GL hang in there ... Grew up in the times when the Raiders and Steelers games  were special..  Was standing on the 1st concourse wall in the end zone as Franco made his "immaculate reception " vs the Hated Raiders.. Never forget it... RIP Franco...  peace_5

     
    nuggins
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 12:15 AM ET #53

    Where you from Art? I'm from Latrobe

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    Where you from Art? I'm from Latrobe

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 12:19 AM ET #54

    Quote Originally Posted by ArtSchlichterJr:

    Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22: Quote Originally Posted by ArtSchlichterJr: Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22: @nuggins @ArtSchlichterJr  I do not want to hijack this guy's thread and turn it into anything drawn out. I bumped the old thread about this up to the top, in case you guys want to add on over there. Good points you guys make -- I just disagree on some of them.I understand...  To each his own..  But for some of us Pitt  fans who have had to endure Tomlin standing on that sideline with that shit face look while the clock runs down before the half.. Kicking fg's on 4th and one down 14 in the 4th quarter.. Then  kicking the only two coaches with talent out of town makes it hard for us..  Besides those two... Tomlins coaching tree is as laughable as his in game adjustments (none).. Yessir.  As the Raiders can tell you -- be careful wishing for a coaching change.  Things may not be what they seem with a new guy.  You do not want to start a run of trying new guys every year or two like the Raiders are going to do. ...GL hang in there ... Grew up in the times when the Raiders and Steelers games  were special..  Was standing on the 1st concourse wall in the end zone as Franco made his "immaculate reception " vs the Hated Raiders.. Never forget it... RIP Franco...

    Never forget that he did NOT catch that ball either... an_light

    an_roll_laugh

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    Quote Originally Posted by ArtSchlichterJr:

    Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22: Quote Originally Posted by ArtSchlichterJr: Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22: @nuggins @ArtSchlichterJr  I do not want to hijack this guy's thread and turn it into anything drawn out. I bumped the old thread about this up to the top, in case you guys want to add on over there. Good points you guys make -- I just disagree on some of them.I understand...  To each his own..  But for some of us Pitt  fans who have had to endure Tomlin standing on that sideline with that shit face look while the clock runs down before the half.. Kicking fg's on 4th and one down 14 in the 4th quarter.. Then  kicking the only two coaches with talent out of town makes it hard for us..  Besides those two... Tomlins coaching tree is as laughable as his in game adjustments (none).. Yessir.  As the Raiders can tell you -- be careful wishing for a coaching change.  Things may not be what they seem with a new guy.  You do not want to start a run of trying new guys every year or two like the Raiders are going to do. ...GL hang in there ... Grew up in the times when the Raiders and Steelers games  were special..  Was standing on the 1st concourse wall in the end zone as Franco made his "immaculate reception " vs the Hated Raiders.. Never forget it... RIP Franco...

    Never forget that he did NOT catch that ball either... an_light

    an_roll_laugh

     
    Sidehatch
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 1:34 AM ET #55

    Quote Originally Posted by Buffalobob89074:

    YTD 8-4Tennessee Titans +3Following another miserable performance by the Steeler offense they now might well be without Pickett (ribs) at QB and will be without the finest FS in the NFL in Minkah Fitzpatrick (hamstring). It will be a game-time decision on Pickett but usually when a player is injured and he doesn't return, that is an indication that he will miss at least the following game. For me, it doesn't matter either way as both Pickett and Trubisky blow. In all due fairness to the Steelers, the torrential downpour affected their sucky offense on Sunday and the refs made a few suspicious/unfair calls against them (I had Jax in that one so just being objective). They had 4 straight 3 and outs and Diontae Johnson had two key drops in the first series. He should fire his hypnotist if he is still on the payroll. Pickett was erratic and ineffectual and he missed a wide open DJ in the end zone as he threw behind him. Trubisky came in right before the half and he drove them down in the second half for their only TD but also threw 3 interceptions and the one killer one down by 7 he threw into triple coverage and it led to a Jax field goal putting the game out of reach. At one point the Steelers were +3 in takeaways during the game against Jax and they were still losing. The Steeler D without Fitzpatrick can be had as he not only prevented the long bombs but he was also one of their top tacklers. The Titans are winless on the road and they have a rook QB that had a big game last week. I am not counting on him having 4 TDs but only one or two might seal the deal this week. That Pittsburgh secondary can be had IMO and has only the one good CB and he is the rook Porter Junior. Steelers' Points For 113 Points against 147 which for me is a telling stat and the Steeler D has been on the field for more time than only one other team (Jets) and they seem to be getting gassed. If the Titans can have a semblance of a run game, it is lights out for the Steelers IMO and they will go down to defeat.

    Agree, I capped this to take Tenn as well for some of the same points you made. Not a lock or anything close to that, but one of those ones that stood out to play.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Buffalobob89074:

    YTD 8-4Tennessee Titans +3Following another miserable performance by the Steeler offense they now might well be without Pickett (ribs) at QB and will be without the finest FS in the NFL in Minkah Fitzpatrick (hamstring). It will be a game-time decision on Pickett but usually when a player is injured and he doesn't return, that is an indication that he will miss at least the following game. For me, it doesn't matter either way as both Pickett and Trubisky blow. In all due fairness to the Steelers, the torrential downpour affected their sucky offense on Sunday and the refs made a few suspicious/unfair calls against them (I had Jax in that one so just being objective). They had 4 straight 3 and outs and Diontae Johnson had two key drops in the first series. He should fire his hypnotist if he is still on the payroll. Pickett was erratic and ineffectual and he missed a wide open DJ in the end zone as he threw behind him. Trubisky came in right before the half and he drove them down in the second half for their only TD but also threw 3 interceptions and the one killer one down by 7 he threw into triple coverage and it led to a Jax field goal putting the game out of reach. At one point the Steelers were +3 in takeaways during the game against Jax and they were still losing. The Steeler D without Fitzpatrick can be had as he not only prevented the long bombs but he was also one of their top tacklers. The Titans are winless on the road and they have a rook QB that had a big game last week. I am not counting on him having 4 TDs but only one or two might seal the deal this week. That Pittsburgh secondary can be had IMO and has only the one good CB and he is the rook Porter Junior. Steelers' Points For 113 Points against 147 which for me is a telling stat and the Steeler D has been on the field for more time than only one other team (Jets) and they seem to be getting gassed. If the Titans can have a semblance of a run game, it is lights out for the Steelers IMO and they will go down to defeat.

    Agree, I capped this to take Tenn as well for some of the same points you made. Not a lock or anything close to that, but one of those ones that stood out to play.

     
    Buffalobob89074
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 2:14 AM ET #56

    @Sidehatch

     peace_5

    Anyone who promotes any form of censorship is an enemy of human freedom. Free America!!!
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    @Sidehatch

     peace_5

     
    szhcik
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 3:06 AM ET #57

    @Buffalobob89074

     that threepoints could be huge rook qbs brain will get scrambed and wellpitts qb ait great....tennessee pittsburgh low scoring..gotta like the playoff calbre team outright..but cant argue taking three as long as the tie wins.draws...etc...gl bff bob...

    Sweet home ALABAMA
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    @Buffalobob89074

     that threepoints could be huge rook qbs brain will get scrambed and wellpitts qb ait great....tennessee pittsburgh low scoring..gotta like the playoff calbre team outright..but cant argue taking three as long as the tie wins.draws...etc...gl bff bob...

     
    Buffalobob89074
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 3:09 AM ET #58

    @szhcik

     an_cheers

    Anyone who promotes any form of censorship is an enemy of human freedom. Free America!!!
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    @szhcik

     an_cheers

     
    Buffalobob89074
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 3:14 AM ET #59

    ADDING: 

    Bengals -1 1/2 

    The Bills' D is missing Milano, White, Jones and on the road catching red hot Cincy? an_speechless

    Anyone who promotes any form of censorship is an enemy of human freedom. Free America!!!
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    ADDING: 

    Bengals -1 1/2 

    The Bills' D is missing Milano, White, Jones and on the road catching red hot Cincy? an_speechless

     
    Silverstones
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 9:51 AM ET #60

    Looks like Pickett plays don't understand the logic in this it's a game I have no interest in betting.

    Good luck with your Titans + 3 maybe it's the right side .

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    Looks like Pickett plays don't understand the logic in this it's a game I have no interest in betting.

    Good luck with your Titans + 3 maybe it's the right side .

     
    Silverstones
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 9:59 AM ET #61

    Quote Originally Posted by Buffalobob89074:

    ADDING:  Bengals -1 1/2  The Bills' D is missing Milano, White, Jones and on the road catching red hot Cincy?

    Cincinnati is my only bet Sunday the bye week did Burrows good he look liked himself for the first time last week.  

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by Buffalobob89074:

    ADDING:  Bengals -1 1/2  The Bills' D is missing Milano, White, Jones and on the road catching red hot Cincy?

    Cincinnati is my only bet Sunday the bye week did Burrows good he look liked himself for the first time last week.  

     

     
    Buffalobob89074
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 11:30 AM ET #62

    @Silverstones

    Owner Art Rooney has stressed for many years to the GM and Tomlin that a good run game is essential. This is the ranking of the Steelers' run offense for the past 7 years:

    2017 25th
    2018 24th
    2019 30th
    2020 32nd
    2021 29th
    2022 25th
    2023 29th

    I rest my case. 

    Anyone who promotes any form of censorship is an enemy of human freedom. Free America!!!
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    @Silverstones

    Owner Art Rooney has stressed for many years to the GM and Tomlin that a good run game is essential. This is the ranking of the Steelers' run offense for the past 7 years:

    2017 25th
    2018 24th
    2019 30th
    2020 32nd
    2021 29th
    2022 25th
    2023 29th

    I rest my case. 

     
    Buffalobob89074
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 11:33 AM ET #63

    Quote Originally Posted by Silverstones:

    Cincinnati is my only bet Sunday the bye week did Burrows good he look liked himself for the first time last week.


    I was on Burrows last week. Won by 14 but now only a 1.5 favorite? As a line reader this worries me but not enough to get off of them. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Silverstones:

    Cincinnati is my only bet Sunday the bye week did Burrows good he look liked himself for the first time last week.


    I was on Burrows last week. Won by 14 but now only a 1.5 favorite? As a line reader this worries me but not enough to get off of them. 

     
    Buffalobob89074
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 11:44 AM ET #64

    Quote Originally Posted by szhcik:

    @Buffalobob89074  that threepoints could be huge rook qbs brain will get scrambed and wellpitts qb ait great....tennessee pittsburgh low scoring..gotta like the playoff calbre team outright..but cant argue taking three as long as the tie wins.draws...etc...gl bff bob...


    Essential that the Titans can run the ball. Derrick Henry is ranked 5th in yardage so far with +500 yards. Steelers on average are giving up 137 per game on the ground so I like my chances.

    Cam Heyward, if he plays will shore up the run D for the Steelers but he might not be in all world shape first game back.

    Early on I don't expect Revis will throw any long bombs like last week as the Steeler pass rush can be devastating. Should be an intriguing matchup as both teams need the win to stay in contention. Should be a close one and maybe low scoring.

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    Quote Originally Posted by szhcik:

    @Buffalobob89074  that threepoints could be huge rook qbs brain will get scrambed and wellpitts qb ait great....tennessee pittsburgh low scoring..gotta like the playoff calbre team outright..but cant argue taking three as long as the tie wins.draws...etc...gl bff bob...


    Essential that the Titans can run the ball. Derrick Henry is ranked 5th in yardage so far with +500 yards. Steelers on average are giving up 137 per game on the ground so I like my chances.

    Cam Heyward, if he plays will shore up the run D for the Steelers but he might not be in all world shape first game back.

    Early on I don't expect Revis will throw any long bombs like last week as the Steeler pass rush can be devastating. Should be an intriguing matchup as both teams need the win to stay in contention. Should be a close one and maybe low scoring.

     
    Buffalobob89074
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 11:54 AM ET #65

    @Silverstones

     Pittsburgh's top tackler is out with hamstring injury (Fitzpatrick). What other free safety leads his team in tackles? cool

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    @Silverstones

     Pittsburgh's top tackler is out with hamstring injury (Fitzpatrick). What other free safety leads his team in tackles? cool

     
    ORSO
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 12:25 PM ET #66

    Not having Fitzpatrick hurts but they do get Haywood back that will definitely help the run d and pass rush

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    Not having Fitzpatrick hurts but they do get Haywood back that will definitely help the run d and pass rush

     
    kcblitzkrieg
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 12:32 PM ET #67

    Steelers dead last in the league at RZ scoring attempts and bottom 5 in RZ scoring.  

     Titans 29th in RZ scoring but middle of pack in attempts.  

    Defensively the Titans are 2nd in league in RZ scoring but 26th in attempts.  Steelers 6th in attempts and 12th scoring.  

    So you have two teams that are near the bottom of the league in RZ scoring attempts and TD conversions offensively and near top of league in RZ scoring allowed.  Sounds like a recipe for an Under.  Although at 36.5/37 you don't get totals much lower than that so not a lot of value there to begin with.  

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    Steelers dead last in the league at RZ scoring attempts and bottom 5 in RZ scoring.  

     Titans 29th in RZ scoring but middle of pack in attempts.  

    Defensively the Titans are 2nd in league in RZ scoring but 26th in attempts.  Steelers 6th in attempts and 12th scoring.  

    So you have two teams that are near the bottom of the league in RZ scoring attempts and TD conversions offensively and near top of league in RZ scoring allowed.  Sounds like a recipe for an Under.  Although at 36.5/37 you don't get totals much lower than that so not a lot of value there to begin with.  

    Prime time Unders 9-1 last 10.  

     
    Silverstones
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 1:08 PM ET #68

    Quote Originally Posted by Buffalobob89074:

    Quote Originally Posted by Silverstones: Cincinnati is my only bet Sunday the bye week did Burrows good he look liked himself for the first time last week.I was on Burrows last week. Won by 14 but now only a 1.5 favorite? As a line reader this worries me but not enough to get off of them.

    You might be right on this with the line I don't like Buffalo but there's a revenge angle to this game. I like a few college games probably won't be NFL this week.

    GL tonight buddy  

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    Quote Originally Posted by Buffalobob89074:

    Quote Originally Posted by Silverstones: Cincinnati is my only bet Sunday the bye week did Burrows good he look liked himself for the first time last week.I was on Burrows last week. Won by 14 but now only a 1.5 favorite? As a line reader this worries me but not enough to get off of them.

    You might be right on this with the line I don't like Buffalo but there's a revenge angle to this game. I like a few college games probably won't be NFL this week.

    GL tonight buddy  

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2023 - 2:57 PM ET #69

    @Buffalobob89074

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Buffalobob89074:

    @Silverstones Owner Art Rooney has stressed for many years to the GM and Tomlin that a good run game is essential. This is the ranking of the Steelers' run offense for the past 7 years:2017 25th2018 24th2019 30th2020 32nd2021 29th2022 25th2023 29thI rest my case.

    I get what you are saying.  But I am not sure exactly what numbers you are looking at.  The efficiency numbers have them a bit better in 2021 and 2022.  I also think it is slightly better this year.

     

    I think a big issue is how inefficient Pickett has been with the ball and I pointed out some of that in the previous post.  

     

    You can also argue that the offense is too predictable because of Pickett’s lack of development.

     

    A rushing game is not as necessary in today’s game but he may be correct that his team needs it more than other teams do.  Earlier because he needed to take pressure off of an aging Big Ben and now because he has a subpar QB learning the game.

     

    For example:

     

    2017 WAR .3 was 14th

    2018 WAR 0 was 21st

    2019 WAR -.4 was 30th

    2020 WAR -.4 was 30th

    2021 WAR .7 was 13th

    2022 WAR .4 was 14th

    2023 WAR 0.0 is 22nd

     

    2017 PAA/Play was 17th at .001

    2018 PAA/Play was 22nd at -.028

    2019 PAA/Play was 30th at -.060

    2020 PAA/Play was 30th at -.061

    2021 PAA/Play was 11th at .029

    2022 PAA/Play was 14th at 0.0

    2023 PAA/Play is 22nd at -.024

     

    2017 Pos% was 16th at 39.8

    2018 Pos% was 11th at 44.1

    2019 Pos% was 26th at 37.2

    2020 Pos% was 32nd at 34.9

    2021 Pos% was 29th at 36.7

    2022 Pos% was 10th at 44.2

    2023 Pos% is 19th at 37.8

     

    So, it helps to have an inexperienced QB to mix up plays with and one that can audible in and out of runs.

    Certainly, they need to improve the running game.  But the last two years it had shown marked improvement from the previous two years.

    But situationally it hurts to have predictable play calling and an inexperience and inefficient QB.

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    @Buffalobob89074

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Buffalobob89074:

    @Silverstones Owner Art Rooney has stressed for many years to the GM and Tomlin that a good run game is essential. This is the ranking of the Steelers' run offense for the past 7 years:2017 25th2018 24th2019 30th2020 32nd2021 29th2022 25th2023 29thI rest my case.

    I get what you are saying.  But I am not sure exactly what numbers you are looking at.  The efficiency numbers have them a bit better in 2021 and 2022.  I also think it is slightly better this year.

     

    I think a big issue is how inefficient Pickett has been with the ball and I pointed out some of that in the previous post.  

     

    You can also argue that the offense is too predictable because of Pickett’s lack of development.

     

    A rushing game is not as necessary in today’s game but he may be correct that his team needs it more than other teams do.  Earlier because he needed to take pressure off of an aging Big Ben and now because he has a subpar QB learning the game.

     

    For example:

     

    2017 WAR .3 was 14th

    2018 WAR 0 was 21st

    2019 WAR -.4 was 30th

    2020 WAR -.4 was 30th

    2021 WAR .7 was 13th

    2022 WAR .4 was 14th

    2023 WAR 0.0 is 22nd

     

    2017 PAA/Play was 17th at .001

    2018 PAA/Play was 22nd at -.028

    2019 PAA/Play was 30th at -.060

    2020 PAA/Play was 30th at -.061

    2021 PAA/Play was 11th at .029

    2022 PAA/Play was 14th at 0.0

    2023 PAA/Play is 22nd at -.024

     

    2017 Pos% was 16th at 39.8

    2018 Pos% was 11th at 44.1

    2019 Pos% was 26th at 37.2

    2020 Pos% was 32nd at 34.9

    2021 Pos% was 29th at 36.7

    2022 Pos% was 10th at 44.2

    2023 Pos% is 19th at 37.8

     

    So, it helps to have an inexperienced QB to mix up plays with and one that can audible in and out of runs.

    Certainly, they need to improve the running game.  But the last two years it had shown marked improvement from the previous two years.

    But situationally it hurts to have predictable play calling and an inexperience and inefficient QB.

     
    Buffalobob89074
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2023 - 8:37 AM ET #70

    YTD 8-4

    Tennessee Titans +3 an_burningbag (There are better games ahead to fade the Steeler pretenders) They have a rendezvous with destiny and it won't be pretty IMO. 

    YTD 8-5 

    Bengals -1 1/2 pending 

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    YTD 8-4

    Tennessee Titans +3 an_burningbag (There are better games ahead to fade the Steeler pretenders) They have a rendezvous with destiny and it won't be pretty IMO. 

    YTD 8-5 

    Bengals -1 1/2 pending 

     
     
    Buffalobob89074
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2023 - 12:09 PM ET #71

    I am buying out (canceling in other words) my Bengals bet so: 

    Updated YTD is 8-5

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    I am buying out (canceling in other words) my Bengals bet so: 

    Updated YTD is 8-5

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