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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Some tech angles week 1

    123456 Next Last»
    Indigo999
    DoctorSuccess
    mrusso
    maxwagers781
    lordbettington
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    123456 Next Last»
     
    Indigo999
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2020 - 8:52 PM ET #1

    I am putting these out to the general public....most of those that comment will be positive, although sometimes I get pretty surprised that some will give me some harsh admonitions that "systems don't work, technical angles are for suckers", etc., etc.   IF YOU DON'T LIKE IT, fade them and use them to your advantage and move on.   Just as there is a lot of different ways to make a million bucks, so are there many different ways to handicap....chose what works for you.

    Will the season start on time?  Will a possible lessening of attendance affect the history of these,...we don't know.

    Week 1 angles.

    1)  Play ON a week 1  away dog that won 4, 5 or 6 regular season games last year....63-34 ATS.....Cardlnals, Dolphins and Browns  

    Those teams are 25-12 ATS if the game is a divisional match-up

     

    2)  We are looking at an week 1 away dog that finished last year with less wins than their week one opponent.

    AD and game number=1 and PRSW-o:PRSW<0 (sportsdatabase or killersports.com)

    Those teams have been 105-75 ATS

    If our play ON team from the previous query won 4, 5, 6 or 7 games last year, this moves to 70-35 ATS

    AD and game number=1 and 3<PRSW<8 and PRSW<o:PRSW

    Divisional games are 29-16 ATS and non-divisional games have been 41-19 ATS

    Away dogs of <7 points have been 44-15 ATS

    ON Dolphins, Jets and Bucs

     

     

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    I am putting these out to the general public....most of those that comment will be positive, although sometimes I get pretty surprised that some will give me some harsh admonitions that "systems don't work, technical angles are for suckers", etc., etc.   IF YOU DON'T LIKE IT, fade them and use them to your advantage and move on.   Just as there is a lot of different ways to make a million bucks, so are there many different ways to handicap....chose what works for you.

    Will the season start on time?  Will a possible lessening of attendance affect the history of these,...we don't know.

    Week 1 angles.

    1)  Play ON a week 1  away dog that won 4, 5 or 6 regular season games last year....63-34 ATS.....Cardlnals, Dolphins and Browns  

    Those teams are 25-12 ATS if the game is a divisional match-up

     

    2)  We are looking at an week 1 away dog that finished last year with less wins than their week one opponent.

    AD and game number=1 and PRSW-o:PRSW<0 (sportsdatabase or killersports.com)

    Those teams have been 105-75 ATS

    If our play ON team from the previous query won 4, 5, 6 or 7 games last year, this moves to 70-35 ATS

    AD and game number=1 and 3<PRSW<8 and PRSW<o:PRSW

    Divisional games are 29-16 ATS and non-divisional games have been 41-19 ATS

    Away dogs of <7 points have been 44-15 ATS

    ON Dolphins, Jets and Bucs

     

     

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2020 - 8:54 PM ET #2

    3)  On the other hand teams that won more games than their week one opponent in the regular season last year and are week 1 away dogs have been 19-37 ATS if they won >7 games last season

    AD and game number=1 and PRSW>o:PRSW and PRSW>7

    AGAINST Bears, Packers and Titans

     

     

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    3)  On the other hand teams that won more games than their week one opponent in the regular season last year and are week 1 away dogs have been 19-37 ATS if they won >7 games last season

    AD and game number=1 and PRSW>o:PRSW and PRSW>7

    AGAINST Bears, Packers and Titans

     

     

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2020 - 8:55 PM ET #3

    4)  Another method of playing week one games is to calculate the average margin from the season previous and to go AGAINST the perceived advantage when there is greater than 6 point difference.

    So to get the average points difference from last season, we do this (and this will also work from game 8 onwards when taking away dogs only).

    team and season=2019 and playoffs=0

    Home                               Away                       Calculated home team line

    Vikings (+6.50)                Packers (+3.94)             -5.54

    Broncos (-2.12)                Titans (+4.44)               +3.56        * ON Broncos if line is -2.5, or -3

    Chiefs (+8.94)                 Texans (-.44)                -12.38

    Ravens (+15.56)              Browns (-3.62)              -22.18        * Play on Browns

    Giants (-6.88)                  Steelers (-.88)                +3

    Falcons (-1.12)                Seahawks (.44)              -1.44

    Saints (7.31)                    Bucs (.56)                     -9.75         Play on Bucs if line drops to 3.5

    Redskins (-10.56)            Eagles  (1.94)                 +9.5

    Rams (1.88)                    Cowboys (7.06)              +2.18

    Raiders (-6.62)                Panthers (-8.12)              -1.5

    Patriots (12.18)               Dolphins (-11.75)            -26.93     * Dolphins +6.5

    Lions (-5.12)                   Bears (-1.12)                   +1

    Jaguars (-6.06)                Colts (-.75)                     +2.31

    49ers (10.56)                  Cardinals (-5.06)              -18.62   *Cardinals +8

    Bengals (-8.81)               Chargers (-.50)                +5.31

    Bills (3.44)                      Jets (-5.19)                      -11.63   ON Jets if line drops to 5.5                          

     

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    4)  Another method of playing week one games is to calculate the average margin from the season previous and to go AGAINST the perceived advantage when there is greater than 6 point difference.

    So to get the average points difference from last season, we do this (and this will also work from game 8 onwards when taking away dogs only).

    team and season=2019 and playoffs=0

    Home                               Away                       Calculated home team line

    Vikings (+6.50)                Packers (+3.94)             -5.54

    Broncos (-2.12)                Titans (+4.44)               +3.56        * ON Broncos if line is -2.5, or -3

    Chiefs (+8.94)                 Texans (-.44)                -12.38

    Ravens (+15.56)              Browns (-3.62)              -22.18        * Play on Browns

    Giants (-6.88)                  Steelers (-.88)                +3

    Falcons (-1.12)                Seahawks (.44)              -1.44

    Saints (7.31)                    Bucs (.56)                     -9.75         Play on Bucs if line drops to 3.5

    Redskins (-10.56)            Eagles  (1.94)                 +9.5

    Rams (1.88)                    Cowboys (7.06)              +2.18

    Raiders (-6.62)                Panthers (-8.12)              -1.5

    Patriots (12.18)               Dolphins (-11.75)            -26.93     * Dolphins +6.5

    Lions (-5.12)                   Bears (-1.12)                   +1

    Jaguars (-6.06)                Colts (-.75)                     +2.31

    49ers (10.56)                  Cardinals (-5.06)              -18.62   *Cardinals +8

    Bengals (-8.81)               Chargers (-.50)                +5.31

    Bills (3.44)                      Jets (-5.19)                      -11.63   ON Jets if line drops to 5.5                          

     

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2020 - 9:14 PM ET #4

    5)  In the last 30 seasons, a regular season non-divisional away favorite that will be a home dog their next game have been 51-90 ATS, 6-11 ATS game 1s.....AGAINST Chargers.

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    5)  In the last 30 seasons, a regular season non-divisional away favorite that will be a home dog their next game have been 51-90 ATS, 6-11 ATS game 1s.....AGAINST Chargers.

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2020 - 9:22 PM ET #5

    6)  A game 1 away divisional favorite that made the playoffs last season versus a team that didn't make the playoffs.

    tpS(playoffs)>0 and AF and DIV and game number=1 and opS(playoffs)=0

    5-12 ATS, 8-8 straight up.....VERSUS Eagles

     

    7) A game 1 away non-divisional favorite that made the playoff last season versus a team that didn't make the playoffs.

    tpS(playoffs)>0 and AF and not DIV and game number=1 and opS(playoffs)=0

    18-11 ATS.....ON Seahawks

     

     

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    6)  A game 1 away divisional favorite that made the playoffs last season versus a team that didn't make the playoffs.

    tpS(playoffs)>0 and AF and DIV and game number=1 and opS(playoffs)=0

    5-12 ATS, 8-8 straight up.....VERSUS Eagles

     

    7) A game 1 away non-divisional favorite that made the playoff last season versus a team that didn't make the playoffs.

    tpS(playoffs)>0 and AF and not DIV and game number=1 and opS(playoffs)=0

    18-11 ATS.....ON Seahawks

     

     

     
    DoctorSuccess
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2020 - 10:58 PM ET #6

    Love it! Thank you for posting!

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    Love it! Thank you for posting!

     
    mrusso
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2020 - 12:38 AM ET #7

    I look at everything, that being said, week one is and always has been my test week. Some years I don't even play outside of a an office pool. Which isn't to say you cant win week one, I just like to know what I'm working with. But always looking for an edge, regardless of the week. Thx for ur input Indigo!

    "I'm afraid all we may have done is awakened a sleeping giant."
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    I look at everything, that being said, week one is and always has been my test week. Some years I don't even play outside of a an office pool. Which isn't to say you cant win week one, I just like to know what I'm working with. But always looking for an edge, regardless of the week. Thx for ur input Indigo!

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 8, 2020 - 4:13 AM ET #8

    Thanks guys....

    In the last 30 years, a team with a coach, coaching his very first game as head man has been an away favorite 27 times.

    They have covered 12 and lost ATS 15 times.....the Cowboys are in this situation in game 1. 

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    Thanks guys....

    In the last 30 years, a team with a coach, coaching his very first game as head man has been an away favorite 27 times.

    They have covered 12 and lost ATS 15 times.....the Cowboys are in this situation in game 1. 

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2020 - 8:15 PM ET #9

    Week 1 divisional away dogs

     

    Won at least 4 away games last season, now game 1 divisional away dog.

    tpS(W@A, N=8)>4 and AD and DIV and game number=1

    4-14 ATS......AGAINST Bucs, Packers

     

    Won less than 3 road games last season, now game 1 road divisional dog

    tpS(W@A, N=8)<3 and AD and DIV and game number=1

    26-14 ATS.....ON Jets, Dolphins and Browns

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    Week 1 divisional away dogs

     

    Won at least 4 away games last season, now game 1 divisional away dog.

    tpS(W@A, N=8)>4 and AD and DIV and game number=1

    4-14 ATS......AGAINST Bucs, Packers

     

    Won less than 3 road games last season, now game 1 road divisional dog

    tpS(W@A, N=8)<3 and AD and DIV and game number=1

    26-14 ATS.....ON Jets, Dolphins and Browns

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2020 - 8:23 PM ET #10

    Week 1 away non-divisional favorites

    The away favorite  week one, did not make the playoffs last season and won less than 4 road games last season.

    tpS(W@A, N=8) <4 and AF and not DIV and game number = 1 and tpS(playoffs)=0 (using sportsdatabase.com)

    9-16 ATS, 11-13 straight up....AGAINST Raiders, Chargers, Cowboys, Steelers

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    Week 1 away non-divisional favorites

    The away favorite  week one, did not make the playoffs last season and won less than 4 road games last season.

    tpS(W@A, N=8) <4 and AF and not DIV and game number = 1 and tpS(playoffs)=0 (using sportsdatabase.com)

    9-16 ATS, 11-13 straight up....AGAINST Raiders, Chargers, Cowboys, Steelers

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2020 - 4:36 AM ET #11

    A team's game numbers 1, 2 or 3, Sunday afternoon games only.

    A home favorite who won 2 or less games at home last season.

    tpS(W@H) <= 2.0 and HF and month = 9 and game number < 4 and day = Sunday and snf = 0

    16-32 ATS....AGAINST:  

      1) Lions -1'       week 1 

      2) Bucs -8'        week 2

      3) Cardinals -3  week 3

      4) Chargers -6'  week 3

     

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    A team's game numbers 1, 2 or 3, Sunday afternoon games only.

    A home favorite who won 2 or less games at home last season.

    tpS(W@H) <= 2.0 and HF and month = 9 and game number < 4 and day = Sunday and snf = 0

    16-32 ATS....AGAINST:  

      1) Lions -1'       week 1 

      2) Bucs -8'        week 2

      3) Cardinals -3  week 3

      4) Chargers -6'  week 3

     

     
    maxwagers781
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2020 - 8:58 AM ET #12

    Looking hard at the bears/lions

    Nuthin but a g thang baby
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    Looking hard at the bears/lions

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2020 - 9:41 PM ET #13

    in the last 5 years, 17 teams won at least 12 games and exceeded their regular season win total by 3 games or more.

    How did they do the following season?

    PRSWL-PRSW<-3 and team and season and playoffs=0 and PRSW>11

    The median amount of wins for that team was 9 the following season.

    Teams in that category this season.......49ers, Packers and Ravens

     

    There have been 7 teams that have had a season win total of 9 of greater, and won 2 or less games than their regular season win line.

    RSWL>=9 and PRSWL-PRSW>2 and team and season and playoffs=0

    How did those teams do the following year?....four or those teams won 11 or more games the following year and 3 won 8 or less....Browns, Chargers

     

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    in the last 5 years, 17 teams won at least 12 games and exceeded their regular season win total by 3 games or more.

    How did they do the following season?

    PRSWL-PRSW<-3 and team and season and playoffs=0 and PRSW>11

    The median amount of wins for that team was 9 the following season.

    Teams in that category this season.......49ers, Packers and Ravens

     

    There have been 7 teams that have had a season win total of 9 of greater, and won 2 or less games than their regular season win line.

    RSWL>=9 and PRSWL-PRSW>2 and team and season and playoffs=0

    How did those teams do the following year?....four or those teams won 11 or more games the following year and 3 won 8 or less....Browns, Chargers

     

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2020 - 10:25 PM ET #14

    A regular season wins line of 9 or above...how have those teams  done?

    They've gone OVER their regular season wins line 32 times and UNDER 47 times.

     

    Season wins futures for the coming season...

    1)  Ravens 11.5

    2)  Chiefs 11.5

    3)  Saints 10.5

    4)  49ers 10.5

    5)  Bucs 10

    6) Cowboys 9.5

    7) Eagles 9.5

    8) Steelers 9.5

    9) Seahawks 9.5

    10) Bils 9

    11) Patriots 9

    12) Vikings 9

    13) Packers 9

    14) Colts 9

     

    And, here's an interesting one to ponder....a team that had a regular season wins total of 9 or above the PREVIOUS season, has eclipsed that number the next season only 21 out 62 times.

     

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    A regular season wins line of 9 or above...how have those teams  done?

    They've gone OVER their regular season wins line 32 times and UNDER 47 times.

     

    Season wins futures for the coming season...

    1)  Ravens 11.5

    2)  Chiefs 11.5

    3)  Saints 10.5

    4)  49ers 10.5

    5)  Bucs 10

    6) Cowboys 9.5

    7) Eagles 9.5

    8) Steelers 9.5

    9) Seahawks 9.5

    10) Bils 9

    11) Patriots 9

    12) Vikings 9

    13) Packers 9

    14) Colts 9

     

    And, here's an interesting one to ponder....a team that had a regular season wins total of 9 or above the PREVIOUS season, has eclipsed that number the next season only 21 out 62 times.

     

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2020 - 6:10 AM ET #15

    Correction:  From post #814 directly above, I re-checked....

    Teams that had a regular season win total the previous season of >=9, went OVER their regular season win total the next season, 27 out of 66 times (40.9%).

    PRSWL>9 and team and season and playoffs=0 and RSWL

    Sorry for the miscalculation.

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    Correction:  From post #814 directly above, I re-checked....

    Teams that had a regular season win total the previous season of >=9, went OVER their regular season win total the next season, 27 out of 66 times (40.9%).

    PRSWL>9 and team and season and playoffs=0 and RSWL

    Sorry for the miscalculation.

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2020 - 6:19 AM ET #16

    Teams with a season wins total of 11.5 or more have beaten the line 7 times, lost once and tied once.

    team and season and playoffs=0 and RSWL>11 and RSWL

    Chiefs, Ravens

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    Teams with a season wins total of 11.5 or more have beaten the line 7 times, lost once and tied once.

    team and season and playoffs=0 and RSWL>11 and RSWL

    Chiefs, Ravens

     
    lordbettington
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2020 - 5:24 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999:

    A regular season wins line of 9 or above...how have those teams  done? They've gone OVER their regular season wins line 32 times and UNDER 47 times.   Season wins futures for the coming season... 1)  Ravens 11.5 2)  Chiefs 11.5 3)  Saints 10.5 4)  49ers 10.5 5)  Bucs 10 6) Cowboys 9.5 7) Eagles 9.5 8) Steelers 9.5 9) Seahawks 9.5 10) Bils 9 11) Patriots 9 12) Vikings 9 13) Packers 9 14) Colts 9   And, here's an interesting one to ponder....a team that had a regular season wins total of 9 or above the PREVIOUS season, has eclipsed that number the next season only 21 out 62 times.

    good info.  I have been using this strategy for awhile.  The only team that consistently bucked this trend has been the patriots.  If you take the patriots out of the equation the percentage is skewed much more towards the under.   I have chiefs under  ravens under,  saints and 49ers under 11 (got them early) 

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999:

    A regular season wins line of 9 or above...how have those teams  done? They've gone OVER their regular season wins line 32 times and UNDER 47 times.   Season wins futures for the coming season... 1)  Ravens 11.5 2)  Chiefs 11.5 3)  Saints 10.5 4)  49ers 10.5 5)  Bucs 10 6) Cowboys 9.5 7) Eagles 9.5 8) Steelers 9.5 9) Seahawks 9.5 10) Bils 9 11) Patriots 9 12) Vikings 9 13) Packers 9 14) Colts 9   And, here's an interesting one to ponder....a team that had a regular season wins total of 9 or above the PREVIOUS season, has eclipsed that number the next season only 21 out 62 times.

    good info.  I have been using this strategy for awhile.  The only team that consistently bucked this trend has been the patriots.  If you take the patriots out of the equation the percentage is skewed much more towards the under.   I have chiefs under  ravens under,  saints and 49ers under 11 (got them early) 

     

     
    DoctorSuccess
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2020 - 5:30 PM ET #18

    I love seeing these trends. Where I live it's been a two-week war zone. Entire city streets looted and burned. Complete lawlessness with local police departments told to stand down. This kind of football analysis helps take my mind off the mess. I don't think I'll ever be more happy about a preview magazine than I will when Marc Lawrence's and Lindy's magazines go on sale. If only to act as a temporary distraction. Although, I can't really support the NFL anymore. Everything that brings humor, fun, joy, or even relief to life, the left destroys.

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    I love seeing these trends. Where I live it's been a two-week war zone. Entire city streets looted and burned. Complete lawlessness with local police departments told to stand down. This kind of football analysis helps take my mind off the mess. I don't think I'll ever be more happy about a preview magazine than I will when Marc Lawrence's and Lindy's magazines go on sale. If only to act as a temporary distraction. Although, I can't really support the NFL anymore. Everything that brings humor, fun, joy, or even relief to life, the left destroys.

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2020 - 9:28 PM ET #19

    Lordb.....yes, I went back and the Patriots are something like 8-0 in going over their totals, so the actual percentage of overs is much less when you subtract the Patriots.  I'm not a futures guy, but if I played future wins o/u I'd take out the elite teams (Ravens and Chiefs) and the Belichicks and play UNDER on every other team with a win total of over or equal to 9.

    Sorry to hear about the issues close by DocS....unfortunately, there will be 3-4 years of continued issues in the USA and another financial meltdown in approximately 6-7 years in the United States.

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    Lordb.....yes, I went back and the Patriots are something like 8-0 in going over their totals, so the actual percentage of overs is much less when you subtract the Patriots.  I'm not a futures guy, but if I played future wins o/u I'd take out the elite teams (Ravens and Chiefs) and the Belichicks and play UNDER on every other team with a win total of over or equal to 9.

    Sorry to hear about the issues close by DocS....unfortunately, there will be 3-4 years of continued issues in the USA and another financial meltdown in approximately 6-7 years in the United States.

     
    mrusso
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2020 - 12:55 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    I love seeing these trends. Where I live it's been a two-week war zone. Entire city streets looted and burned. Complete lawlessness with local police departments told to stand down. This kind of football analysis helps take my mind off the mess. I don't think I'll ever be more happy about a preview magazine than I will when Marc Lawrence's and Lindy's magazines go on sale. If only to act as a temporary distraction. Although, I can't really support the NFL anymore. Everything that brings humor, fun, joy, or even relief to life, the left destroys.

    The "Left" meaning sum sort of extreme political agenda does not apply to "hoodlums" who, first of all couldn't even spell "politics," and are point blank simply "criminals" who are just taking advantage of the protests and mob mentality that comes with it. 

    Yes, anything positive is welcome, sports has always been my outlet, although playing is what I'd rather be doing. Best of luck to you and stay safe!

    "I'm afraid all we may have done is awakened a sleeping giant."
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    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    I love seeing these trends. Where I live it's been a two-week war zone. Entire city streets looted and burned. Complete lawlessness with local police departments told to stand down. This kind of football analysis helps take my mind off the mess. I don't think I'll ever be more happy about a preview magazine than I will when Marc Lawrence's and Lindy's magazines go on sale. If only to act as a temporary distraction. Although, I can't really support the NFL anymore. Everything that brings humor, fun, joy, or even relief to life, the left destroys.

    The "Left" meaning sum sort of extreme political agenda does not apply to "hoodlums" who, first of all couldn't even spell "politics," and are point blank simply "criminals" who are just taking advantage of the protests and mob mentality that comes with it. 

    Yes, anything positive is welcome, sports has always been my outlet, although playing is what I'd rather be doing. Best of luck to you and stay safe!

     
    lordbettington
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2020 - 5:55 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    I love seeing these trends. Where I live it's been a two-week war zone. Entire city streets looted and burned. Complete lawlessness with local police departments told to stand down. This kind of football analysis helps take my mind off the mess. I don't think I'll ever be more happy about a preview magazine than I will when Marc Lawrence's and Lindy's magazines go on sale. If only to act as a temporary distraction. Although, I can't really support the NFL anymore. Everything that brings humor, fun, joy, or even relief to life, the left destroys.

    Stay safe.

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    Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

    I love seeing these trends. Where I live it's been a two-week war zone. Entire city streets looted and burned. Complete lawlessness with local police departments told to stand down. This kind of football analysis helps take my mind off the mess. I don't think I'll ever be more happy about a preview magazine than I will when Marc Lawrence's and Lindy's magazines go on sale. If only to act as a temporary distraction. Although, I can't really support the NFL anymore. Everything that brings humor, fun, joy, or even relief to life, the left destroys.

    Stay safe.

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 15, 2020 - 5:25 AM ET #22

    Alright, here's another.

    Criteria:

    1)  Team did not make playoffs last season

    2)  Is a game number 1 underdog

    3)  Had a worse regular season record last season than their week 1 opponent

    Away dog division   41-28 ATS, 19-54 straight up, average line +6.5......Jets, Browns, Bucs, Cards, Dolphins

    Away dog non-div   56-36 ATS, 33-60 straight up, average line +6.6

    Home dog not-div   34-35 ATS, 20-49 straight up, average line +4.1.......Bengals, Falcons, Panthers, Giants

    Home dog division   31-25 ATS, 21-34 straight up, average line +4.........Jaguars, Redskins  

     

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    Alright, here's another.

    Criteria:

    1)  Team did not make playoffs last season

    2)  Is a game number 1 underdog

    3)  Had a worse regular season record last season than their week 1 opponent

    Away dog division   41-28 ATS, 19-54 straight up, average line +6.5......Jets, Browns, Bucs, Cards, Dolphins

    Away dog non-div   56-36 ATS, 33-60 straight up, average line +6.6

    Home dog not-div   34-35 ATS, 20-49 straight up, average line +4.1.......Bengals, Falcons, Panthers, Giants

    Home dog division   31-25 ATS, 21-34 straight up, average line +4.........Jaguars, Redskins  

     

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 15, 2020 - 5:35 AM ET #23

    If we exclude Monday night, teams that made the playoffs last season and are an away underdog have been 12-33 ATS in game 1s.

    game number = 1 and tpS(playoffs)>0 and D and day!=Monday and site

    AGAINST Texans, Packers

     

    Teams that made the playoffs last season and are a game 1 underdog have been 7-3 ATS.

    game number = 1 and tpS(playoffs)>0 and D and day=Monday

    Texans

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    If we exclude Monday night, teams that made the playoffs last season and are an away underdog have been 12-33 ATS in game 1s.

    game number = 1 and tpS(playoffs)>0 and D and day!=Monday and site

    AGAINST Texans, Packers

     

    Teams that made the playoffs last season and are a game 1 underdog have been 7-3 ATS.

    game number = 1 and tpS(playoffs)>0 and D and day=Monday

    Texans

     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 15, 2020 - 5:36 AM ET #24

    If we exclude Monday night, teams that made the playoffs last season and are an away underdog have been 12-33 ATS in game 1s.

    game number = 1 and tpS(playoffs)>0 and D and day!=Monday and site=away

    AGAINST Texans, Packers  

     

     

    Teams that made the playoffs last season and are a game 1 underdog on Monday night have been 7-3 ATS.

    game number = 1 and tpS(playoffs)>0 and D and day=Monday

    Texans

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    If we exclude Monday night, teams that made the playoffs last season and are an away underdog have been 12-33 ATS in game 1s.

    game number = 1 and tpS(playoffs)>0 and D and day!=Monday and site=away

    AGAINST Texans, Packers  

     

     

    Teams that made the playoffs last season and are a game 1 underdog on Monday night have been 7-3 ATS.

    game number = 1 and tpS(playoffs)>0 and D and day=Monday

    Texans

     
     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: Jun. 15, 2020 - 5:52 AM ET #25

    A home dog where neither team involved made the playoffs last season

    game number = 1 and tpS(playoffs)=0 and opS(playoffs)=0 and HD

    47-40 ATS     30-57 o/u ................Bengals, Rams, Giants, Panthers, Giants

    If the total is >40 this moves to 10-28 o/u (-4.38)

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    A home dog where neither team involved made the playoffs last season

    game number = 1 and tpS(playoffs)=0 and opS(playoffs)=0 and HD

    47-40 ATS     30-57 o/u ................Bengals, Rams, Giants, Panthers, Giants

    If the total is >40 this moves to 10-28 o/u (-4.38)

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