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phixer's nfl

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Posted: #1626
 
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Posted: #1627
My two cents:
Ravens-PItt, Under, Full Unit
Ravens ATS, Half Unit

In case you haven't gathered from my previous posts, I'm agnostic about the fixing idea. I don't think any game can be 100% fixed - there is inescapable randomness when 350 lb bodies are moving so fast. I also wouldn't bet than any game is 100% clean. So I'm basing these picks on simple trends.
 
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Posted: #1628
Quote Originally Posted by thegooseisout:

My two cents:
Ravens-PItt, Under, Full Unit
Ravens ATS, Half Unit

In case you haven't gathered from my previous posts, I'm agnostic about the fixing idea. I don't think any game can be 100% fixed - there is inescapable randomness when 350 lb bodies are moving so fast. I also wouldn't bet than any game is 100% clean. So I'm basing these picks on simple trends.

I agree with your assessment of the fixing of games not being 100% either way.  Don't think Gary Kubiak is working so hard as to suffer a "mini-stroke"  and all coaches and QB's are watching hours and hours of film if they have any inkling whatsoever that outcomes are somehow pre-determined. 

But I do think the League via the refs. or other ways can influence certain outcomes if they chose to.

I gotta say I am leaning Pitts. +3 and under right now, btw.

 
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Posted: #1629

exactly how many had strokes in the past 20 years. not many and not as many as your avg hard working everyday dad trying to pay the bills. I dont see the high ratio of strokes in the nfl due to work ethics vs avg joe.

 

 
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Posted: #1630

does anyone remember the guy who died training for the big show in the wwf wrestling? I think its safe to say wrestling is fake yet they do practice long hours to get it right. it has to look good or no one buys it.

you cant fake a grand slam in bball, a 60 yard field goal thats good or a one handed catch for a td with no time on the clock but theres sure many ways to make it look like you tried when you lose.

 
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Posted: #1631
Phixer,
How often would you say the game is fixed for the favorite and the side that has most money on to win.  For example, yesterday's MNF SF@WSH.  Most wagers were on SF moneyline and point spread, they were also the favorite yet vegas let them win. How often would you say vegas lets the favorite and "public" money win?
 
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Posted: #1632
I respect the thread and Phixer's plays...he thinks about what should happen and possible consequences...however....I just shake my head at some of the questions on here....people act like he has all these answers....how often will Vegas let the public win....how would he know....lol
 
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Posted: #1633
I think yesterdays game was their way of showing nothing is fixed. the game played out and the line was off by a mile and it shows when the fix isnt in no body can constantly predict games within 1 point all the time if its not set up.
 
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Posted: #1634
Yeah... Theoretically, if most of the games were fixed, they'd have to have a few where the public cleans up... They know that most degens are gonna put that money right back into wagering anyways.

I dunno though. It's hard to say how deep the conspiracy runs.

It's easy to tell that the refs try and call the game in a manner that leads to excitement. But whether it goes much deeper than that... It's hard to say.
 
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Posted: #1635
I've noticed that these big prime-time games reek of phixers MUCH more than just your random Sunday game though.
 
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Posted: #1636
Quote Originally Posted by Holdieinone:

I respect the thread and Phixer's plays...he thinks about what should happen and possible consequences...however....I just shake my head at some of the questions on here....people act like he has all these answers....how often will Vegas let the public win....how would he know....lol

I also respect this thread, phixer's plays and his point of view.  Thats why I asked him "how often does HE think(as in his own opinion) Vegas lets the public win?" The awnser would be his own opinion and his point of view! Im not trying to ask him when will vegas let the public win.  Im simply trying to ask what his own personal opinion would be.
 
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Posted: #1637
Fuzzrod: could you please RELAX. Your like an emotional female - your all over the place. One day you try to start a new, "better" thread, the next you disagree with everything, the next you slightly change your mind and give phix some credit, and the next your all over his nuts again arguing whatever side you think he would take.

Just chill out your emotions and viewpoints change every single game and it just makes you look like a fool.
 
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Posted: #1638
Quote Originally Posted by EVD17:

Fuzzrod: could you please RELAX. Your like an emotional female - your all over the place. One day you try to start a new, "better" thread, the next you disagree with everything, the next you slightly change your mind and give phix some credit, and the next your all over his nuts again arguing whatever side you think he would take.

Just chill out your emotions and viewpoints change every single game and it just makes you look like a fool.
   now this should be post in a lot of threads on here....     ty!  gl ryno
 
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Posted: #1639
Quote Originally Posted by EVD17:

Fuzzrod: could you please RELAX. Your like an emotional female - your all over the place. One day you try to start a new, "better" thread, the next you disagree with everything, the next you slightly change your mind and give phix some credit, and the next your all over his nuts again arguing whatever side you think he would take.

Just chill out your emotions and viewpoints change every single game and it just makes you look like a fool.
   now this should be post in a lot of threads on here....     ty!  gl ryno
 
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Posted: #1640
Quote Originally Posted by Holdieinone:

I respect the thread and Phixer's plays...he thinks about what should happen and possible consequences...however....I just shake my head at some of the questions on here....people act like he has all these answers....how often will Vegas let the public win....how would he know....lol
 
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Posted: #1641
Quote Originally Posted by EVD17:

Fuzzrod: could you please RELAX. Your like an emotional female - your all over the place. One day you try to start a new, "better" thread, the next you disagree with everything, the next you slightly change your mind and give phix some credit, and the next your all over his nuts again arguing whatever side you think he would take.

Just chill out your emotions and viewpoints change every single game and it just makes you look like a fool.

If it bugs you, don't read it. Name calling makes you look at least as ridiculous.
 
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Posted: #1642
Quote Originally Posted by EVD17:

Fuzzrod: could you please RELAX. Your like an emotional female - your all over the place. One day you try to start a new, "better" thread, the next you disagree with everything, the next you slightly change your mind and give phix some credit, and the next your all over his nuts again arguing whatever side you think he would take.

Just chill out your emotions and viewpoints change every single game and it just makes you look like a fool.


Nice Myly Cyrus avatar man lmao
 
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Posted: #1643
Waiting for Thanksgiving Dinner to be Phixed

Personally leaning
Detroit Lions
Under Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions
Oakland Raiders
Under Oakland Raiders vs. Dallas Cowboys
Over Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore
 
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Posted: #1644
A metaphor isn't exactly "name calling". Honestly Fuzzrod seems like a decent dude to admit possible fault. I just wish more people would realize that a 1 game sample size is not sufficient to prove a theory -even an entire season barely proves a theory. 

And it's Miley not myly.  Haha good luck to everyone on turkey day.  Patiently awaiting your picks phixer.  
 
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Posted: #1645
Quote Originally Posted by EVD17:

A metaphor isn't exactly "name calling". Honestly Fuzzrod seems like a decent dude to admit possible fault. I just wish more people would realize that a 1 game sample size is not sufficient to prove a theory -even an entire season barely proves a theory. 

And it's Miley not myly.  Haha good luck to everyone on turkey day.  Patiently awaiting your picks phixer.  


She is known by many names... and why am I thinkin' this thread will die an unpleasant death soon? 

In Mexico, there is a saying: "Para Buey, no se estudia".
 
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Posted: #1646
Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:


 "Para Buey, no se estudia".

I don't think the Google translation of that did it justice! 
 
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Posted: #1647
I usually don't like to use history statistics to cap games because teams change every year and each situation is unique but here is some food for thought that caught my eye for Phixer and all those thinking about the games tomorrow 

"Thanksgiving favorites (last 9 years): Won 23 of 25 games (20-5 against the spread)"
 
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Posted: #1648
Well from Mexico, NY...."In Phix, I trust"!
 
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Posted: #1649
Quote Originally Posted by EVD17:

A metaphor isn't exactly "name calling". Honestly Fuzzrod seems like a decent dude to admit possible fault. I just wish more people would realize that a 1 game sample size is not sufficient to prove a theory -even an entire season barely proves a theory. 

And it's Miley not myly.  Haha good luck to everyone on turkey day.  Patiently awaiting your picks phixer.  


Hey man, I never said that I thought mostly every game is phixed like Phixer does. The truth is, I gave what phixer wrote a lot of thought and realized that he may be onto something in certain regards. I started seeing a lot of what he wrote come to fruition and then apologized for my insults.

I still don't have a "certain" opinion one way or another. I personally think it's more of the refs working with the league than it is the players involved.... With that said I had a SUBSTANTIAL amount wagered on the Bronco's and that game had me absolutely seeing RED. I was PISSED... So I thought this thread would be a nice place to vent. That game seemed as staged as anything.

But whatever man, sall good. And my bad on the Miley thing. I really don't listen to that kinda music at all.
 
 
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Posted: #1650
few words about "phixing": well, for sure the childish approach is the last thing that interested parties act upon when dealing and wheeling. i previously gave my piece of mind about number of ways the results are being "phixed". if you care you can certainly list back and refresh your memories and after that you can either accept it fully, partially or deny it altogether. your or my opinion do not change the facts. and the facts are in front of your eyes on daily bases in sports betting. how you or interpret them is our own business and a matter of experience. one thing is for sure that i never excused or will excuse my losses or triumph after wins based on "phix" theory. i only try to be on the same page as vegas, wise guys or other interested parties in that matter. i don't judge or employ the "phix" theory for saying who are the "bad" guys, "good" guys, "stupid" or "smart". i try to keep the eye on the ball and that's all. now to this week's holiday games. 

dal - oak  over 47  1150$
det-gb under 49  1150$
bal -2.5  550$

i might have more before and at the halftimes

happy thanksgiving and happy hannukah to you all

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