Hey boys - well we've all been waiting for the playoffs and quite frankly wasn't sure we'd get to this point with COVID. I have some leans on some plays for the upcoming weekend but would love to hear some thoughts from some of you.
Some interesting opening lines - I'm thinking a couple of them are going to move a few points as we move through out the week.
Let's have some discussion on you best play for the upcoming weekend.. GL boys time to put the nail in the bookies coffin this weekend
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Hey boys - well we've all been waiting for the playoffs and quite frankly wasn't sure we'd get to this point with COVID. I have some leans on some plays for the upcoming weekend but would love to hear some thoughts from some of you.
Some interesting opening lines - I'm thinking a couple of them are going to move a few points as we move through out the week.
Let's have some discussion on you best play for the upcoming weekend.. GL boys time to put the nail in the bookies coffin this weekend
Wait for Goff to be announced out and then grab the Rams at +6 or maybe +6.5. Also love the Ravens at -3 (buy the hook). Both games are also big revenge games for the Rams and Ravens.
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Wait for Goff to be announced out and then grab the Rams at +6 or maybe +6.5. Also love the Ravens at -3 (buy the hook). Both games are also big revenge games for the Rams and Ravens.
Wait for Goff to be announced out and then grab the Rams at +6 or maybe +6.5. Also love the Ravens at -3 (buy the hook). Both games are also big revenge games for the Rams and Ravens.
I like the thought process - Also an interesting stat out of all the wild card teams the Rams have one of the best winning percentages against other playoff teams - I'll post all the teams records..
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Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:
Wait for Goff to be announced out and then grab the Rams at +6 or maybe +6.5. Also love the Ravens at -3 (buy the hook). Both games are also big revenge games for the Rams and Ravens.
I like the thought process - Also an interesting stat out of all the wild card teams the Rams have one of the best winning percentages against other playoff teams - I'll post all the teams records..
The RAMS + whatever for a large bet and money line for a regular wager.
Wolford is no slouch, I think his ability to run adds a little is a major adjustment for opposing defenses. Thought he threw a good ball. Not easy to be thrown into a must win spot. Kupp should be back. Lot of weapons against a D that has struggled most of the season. The reason I really like the Rams is on the defensive side of the ball. Ramsey leads the leagues #1 pass D and he can pretty much neutralize DK Metcalf. 2 games, 87 yards, 0 TDs. I like the Seahawks O, but in the playoffs I will take the better defense almost every time, especially when getting points!!
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The RAMS + whatever for a large bet and money line for a regular wager.
Wolford is no slouch, I think his ability to run adds a little is a major adjustment for opposing defenses. Thought he threw a good ball. Not easy to be thrown into a must win spot. Kupp should be back. Lot of weapons against a D that has struggled most of the season. The reason I really like the Rams is on the defensive side of the ball. Ramsey leads the leagues #1 pass D and he can pretty much neutralize DK Metcalf. 2 games, 87 yards, 0 TDs. I like the Seahawks O, but in the playoffs I will take the better defense almost every time, especially when getting points!!
The RAMS + whatever for a large bet and money line for a regular wager. Wolford is no slouch, I think his ability to run adds a little is a major adjustment for opposing defenses. Thought he threw a good ball. Not easy to be thrown into a must win spot. Kupp should be back. Lot of weapons against a D that has struggled most of the season. The reason I really like the Rams is on the defensive side of the ball. Ramsey leads the leagues #1 pass D and he can pretty much neutralize DK Metcalf. 2 games, 87 yards, 0 TDs. I like the Seahawks O, but in the playoffs I will take the better defense almost every time, especially when getting points!!
No 12th man too..
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Quote Originally Posted by HockeyNight11:
The RAMS + whatever for a large bet and money line for a regular wager. Wolford is no slouch, I think his ability to run adds a little is a major adjustment for opposing defenses. Thought he threw a good ball. Not easy to be thrown into a must win spot. Kupp should be back. Lot of weapons against a D that has struggled most of the season. The reason I really like the Rams is on the defensive side of the ball. Ramsey leads the leagues #1 pass D and he can pretty much neutralize DK Metcalf. 2 games, 87 yards, 0 TDs. I like the Seahawks O, but in the playoffs I will take the better defense almost every time, especially when getting points!!
Yes no 12th man is big. It seems that home field is still factored into several of these lines even though there is no real advantage this season.
Rams 30/1 is great value I think. What are your thoughts? They would get Seattle, then GB most likely, then Saints/Bucs. I think they match up pretty well to be honest & at that price there is plenty of room to hedge. In 2 weeks dropped from 10/1 to 30/1 because of what? Goff?
Great season by the way, and good luck in the post season!
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Yes no 12th man is big. It seems that home field is still factored into several of these lines even though there is no real advantage this season.
Rams 30/1 is great value I think. What are your thoughts? They would get Seattle, then GB most likely, then Saints/Bucs. I think they match up pretty well to be honest & at that price there is plenty of room to hedge. In 2 weeks dropped from 10/1 to 30/1 because of what? Goff?
Great season by the way, and good luck in the post season!
Yes no 12th man is big. It seems that home field is still factored into several of these lines even though there is no real advantage this season. Rams 30/1 is great value I think. What are your thoughts? They would get Seattle, then GB most likely, then Saints/Bucs. I think they match up pretty well to be honest & at that price there is plenty of room to hedge. In 2 weeks dropped from 10/1 to 30/1 because of what? Goff? Great season by the way, and good luck in the post season!
I like the Rams defense and sometimes a good defense can carry a team in the playoffs. It will be interesting if they use a 1-2 punch in the playoffs regarding the QB spot. The rookie definitely provides another aspect and could see the Rams using both of them similar to the Saints. It will make the opposing defense have to prepare for another wrinkle.
GL
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Quote Originally Posted by HockeyNight11:
Yes no 12th man is big. It seems that home field is still factored into several of these lines even though there is no real advantage this season. Rams 30/1 is great value I think. What are your thoughts? They would get Seattle, then GB most likely, then Saints/Bucs. I think they match up pretty well to be honest & at that price there is plenty of room to hedge. In 2 weeks dropped from 10/1 to 30/1 because of what? Goff? Great season by the way, and good luck in the post season!
I like the Rams defense and sometimes a good defense can carry a team in the playoffs. It will be interesting if they use a 1-2 punch in the playoffs regarding the QB spot. The rookie definitely provides another aspect and could see the Rams using both of them similar to the Saints. It will make the opposing defense have to prepare for another wrinkle.
Records of teams versus other playoff bound teams Buffalo 3-2 Baltimore 3-4 Indy 3-4 Tennessee 4-4 Rams 4-2 Chicago 1-6 Seattle 2-2 New Orleans 3-2 Tampa 1-5 Cleveland 4-3 Washington 1-4 Pittsburg 5-3 Does this change your thinking at all?
Rams, Indy and Browns are all live road dogs, just based on these results. Bears and Washington, not so much. I give Tampa a pass because two of the losses were against the Saints (maybe Saints just have their number) and they beat the NFCs top seed.
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Quote Originally Posted by oldwiseone:
Records of teams versus other playoff bound teams Buffalo 3-2 Baltimore 3-4 Indy 3-4 Tennessee 4-4 Rams 4-2 Chicago 1-6 Seattle 2-2 New Orleans 3-2 Tampa 1-5 Cleveland 4-3 Washington 1-4 Pittsburg 5-3 Does this change your thinking at all?
Rams, Indy and Browns are all live road dogs, just based on these results. Bears and Washington, not so much. I give Tampa a pass because two of the losses were against the Saints (maybe Saints just have their number) and they beat the NFCs top seed.
INDY being a live dog is hilarious. Phil Rivers outdoors up in Buffalo is a live dog LOL.
The other thing is, Buffalo has peaked. What goes up must come down, especially in the NFL. Have you asked yourself why this line is sitting at -6.5 instead of -7.5, after Buffalo’s strong showing the past few weeks, just smoking teams?
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Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:
INDY being a live dog is hilarious. Phil Rivers outdoors up in Buffalo is a live dog LOL.
The other thing is, Buffalo has peaked. What goes up must come down, especially in the NFL. Have you asked yourself why this line is sitting at -6.5 instead of -7.5, after Buffalo’s strong showing the past few weeks, just smoking teams?
@begginerboy Thats due to Lamar being a rookie good luck in laying your money on Rivers
Motivation shouldn’t be an issue. Initially, this is the playoffs and it’s win and advance, or lose and hit the offseason.
Moreover, the Colts enter the weekend as the heaviest underdogs in the AFC’s opening round: roughly 6.5-7 points to the 13-3, No. 2 seeded Bills.
“I’d rather be the 1 seed,’’ Reich said, “but I do feel good about our team more than anything. The pressure’s not on us. We should be loose. We should be aggressive. We should be freed up to just play our best game of the year against a really good football team.
“In reality, no one’s going to give us a chance. It’s us-against-the-world mentality, and that’s all you need. When you’re with this team the way I am day-in and day-out, you would know where I get the confidence from to feel like we’ve got the team to beat anybody in this tournament.’’
Reich’s confidence also is rooted in having been associated with 11-plus win teams during a career that spans nearly three decades as a player and coach.
He’s been part of teams that piled up at least 11 wins eight times. On six of those occasions, that team reached the Super Bowl: the 2017 world champion Philadelphia Eagles (13-3); the ’09 Colts (14-2) that lost in the Super Bowl to New Orleans; the ’08 (12-4) and ’07 (13-3) Colts; and the Buffalo Bills from 1990-93 that reached four straight Super Bowls, each time with at least 11 regular-season wins.
“You win 11 games in this league,’’ Reich said, “you’ve got a team that can get there, and we really believe that.
“You’ve got to get in. You’ve got to take advantage, seize the moment, seize that opportunity. I don’t care what seed you are. We’re the 7 seed. Big deal. We’ve got to seize the opportunity.’’
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Quote Originally Posted by ROCKON:
@begginerboy Thats due to Lamar being a rookie good luck in laying your money on Rivers
Motivation shouldn’t be an issue. Initially, this is the playoffs and it’s win and advance, or lose and hit the offseason.
Moreover, the Colts enter the weekend as the heaviest underdogs in the AFC’s opening round: roughly 6.5-7 points to the 13-3, No. 2 seeded Bills.
“I’d rather be the 1 seed,’’ Reich said, “but I do feel good about our team more than anything. The pressure’s not on us. We should be loose. We should be aggressive. We should be freed up to just play our best game of the year against a really good football team.
“In reality, no one’s going to give us a chance. It’s us-against-the-world mentality, and that’s all you need. When you’re with this team the way I am day-in and day-out, you would know where I get the confidence from to feel like we’ve got the team to beat anybody in this tournament.’’
Reich’s confidence also is rooted in having been associated with 11-plus win teams during a career that spans nearly three decades as a player and coach.
He’s been part of teams that piled up at least 11 wins eight times. On six of those occasions, that team reached the Super Bowl: the 2017 world champion Philadelphia Eagles (13-3); the ’09 Colts (14-2) that lost in the Super Bowl to New Orleans; the ’08 (12-4) and ’07 (13-3) Colts; and the Buffalo Bills from 1990-93 that reached four straight Super Bowls, each time with at least 11 regular-season wins.
“You win 11 games in this league,’’ Reich said, “you’ve got a team that can get there, and we really believe that.
“You’ve got to get in. You’ve got to take advantage, seize the moment, seize that opportunity. I don’t care what seed you are. We’re the 7 seed. Big deal. We’ve got to seize the opportunity.’’
The RAMS + whatever for a large bet and money line for a regular wager. Wolford is no slouch, I think his ability to run adds a little is a major adjustment for opposing defenses. Thought he threw a good ball. Not easy to be thrown into a must win spot. Kupp should be back. Lot of weapons against a D that has struggled most of the season. The reason I really like the Rams is on the defensive side of the ball. Ramsey leads the leagues #1 pass D and he can pretty much neutralize DK Metcalf. 2 games, 87 yards, 0 TDs. I like the Seahawks O, but in the playoffs I will take the better defense almost every time, especially when getting points!!
Wolford not that good. Didn't the rams defense score 9 of the rams points? The Rams offense only scored 9 points. Wilson won't make those mistakes.
Also Arizona QB went out early. No idea who replaced him, but not good.
Seattle -41/2
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Quote Originally Posted by HockeyNight11:
The RAMS + whatever for a large bet and money line for a regular wager. Wolford is no slouch, I think his ability to run adds a little is a major adjustment for opposing defenses. Thought he threw a good ball. Not easy to be thrown into a must win spot. Kupp should be back. Lot of weapons against a D that has struggled most of the season. The reason I really like the Rams is on the defensive side of the ball. Ramsey leads the leagues #1 pass D and he can pretty much neutralize DK Metcalf. 2 games, 87 yards, 0 TDs. I like the Seahawks O, but in the playoffs I will take the better defense almost every time, especially when getting points!!
Wolford not that good. Didn't the rams defense score 9 of the rams points? The Rams offense only scored 9 points. Wilson won't make those mistakes.
Also Arizona QB went out early. No idea who replaced him, but not good.
Quote Originally Posted by ROCKON: @begginerboy Thats due to Lamar being a rookie good luck in laying your money on Rivers Philip Rivers is 13-6 ATS as an underdog of 6.5 or more. Philip Rivers is 26-12 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 or more. Bills are 11-34 ATS after playing the Miami Dolphins since 1998. Bills are 25-36 ATS in their last 61 home games vs. a team with a winning record.ok
That could be the shocker of the weekend right there. I know the books would also to see this happen.
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Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:
Quote Originally Posted by ROCKON: @begginerboy Thats due to Lamar being a rookie good luck in laying your money on Rivers Philip Rivers is 13-6 ATS as an underdog of 6.5 or more. Philip Rivers is 26-12 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 or more. Bills are 11-34 ATS after playing the Miami Dolphins since 1998. Bills are 25-36 ATS in their last 61 home games vs. a team with a winning record.ok
That could be the shocker of the weekend right there. I know the books would also to see this happen.
Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet: INDY being a live dog is hilarious. Phil Rivers outdoors up in Buffalo is a live dog LOL. The other thing is, Buffalo has peaked. What goes up must come down, especially in the NFL. Have you asked yourself why this line is sitting at -6.5 instead of -7.5, after Buffalo’s strong showing the past few weeks, just smoking teams?
Beggin - this is a good point - Sometimes lines are telling you which way Vegas would like you to bet. I do think the public has seen what's Buffalo has done to teams the last few weeks, really domination. Keep in mind Buffalo is young and if Indy puts any pressure on Buffalo or gets an early lead, how do they respond? Remember the playoffs is a different animal and Buffalo is supposed to win. I think the game is much closer than people think with Indy..
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Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:
Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet: INDY being a live dog is hilarious. Phil Rivers outdoors up in Buffalo is a live dog LOL. The other thing is, Buffalo has peaked. What goes up must come down, especially in the NFL. Have you asked yourself why this line is sitting at -6.5 instead of -7.5, after Buffalo’s strong showing the past few weeks, just smoking teams?
Beggin - this is a good point - Sometimes lines are telling you which way Vegas would like you to bet. I do think the public has seen what's Buffalo has done to teams the last few weeks, really domination. Keep in mind Buffalo is young and if Indy puts any pressure on Buffalo or gets an early lead, how do they respond? Remember the playoffs is a different animal and Buffalo is supposed to win. I think the game is much closer than people think with Indy..
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