Posted:
#51
Glyde - I read your post earlier just didn't have a chance to respond. Great A stuff
yet again. This is what I like about this forum, just throwing stuff
back and forth with a guy know who his shit week in and week out.
Lots of games I like this week too. I'm for sure playing the ones I posted in the first post in this thread but I've basically thought about playing a side at some point this week in most of the other games.
I liked the Falcons a lot early in the week but not now. This was a team over hyped coming into last year and they were very average. Matt Ryan was supposed to be a star but he hasn't shown it yet. The Falcons (offense in particular) did not look good at all in preseason and that carried over to last week. I want to at least see a little spark before I bet them.
Same with the Jets. A couple days ago and I would have bet them at the current line but after thinking it over I will pass. Although this looks like a great spot for the Jets, if there is one thing I have learned over the last half dozen years it's that you can lose a ton of money betting against the Pats and Colts in spots that look good to do so. The Patriots have a tendency to bury teams when they are down and maybe this is a case of watching games biting me in the ass, but I watched a lot of Patriots preseason this year and I have never seen a team that fired up. Everybody was jacked, Brady looked like he wanted to kill guys and it was preseason. I saw the same thing last week, after the 1st TD he looked like he was having a seizure.
It looks like the Pats have a real chip on their shoulder this year after being overlooked by the over hyped Jets, it's one of the reasons I bet NE to win this division before the season started. I'm sure they've been sitting back all off season watching all the attention the Jets have been getting and Belichick has been coming up with a solid game plan. I can see New England coming into this game as angry, pissed off, and focused as the Jets. I still think NE is the better team so at +2.5/3 I just don't see the value for me.
This is going to be one of those games where if the Pats win there will be 20 threads on the board saying "Pats were easy money!" "Jets are overrated!" and "Sanchez sucks!" And if the Jets win there will be 20 threads saying "this line was a huge sucker bet!" "Vegas raked it in one this game!" The "Mr. I Told you so's" will be out in full force either way.
I'm still tempted to bet the Panthers. They played a really tough opponent last week and their O-line was torn apart by the Giants front 4. This is a huge step down at home against a very soft Tampa front. I expect the Panthers to be able to run here and Matt Moore to have enough time where he isn't just floating balls up in the air hoping for the best before he gets hit.
I still like the Colts too but I think I will wait before game time to play it if I do. #1 the line is slowly trending down and #2 It gives me more time to think about it. When thinking about the Ginats/Panthers game last week it occurred to me that the Giants are going to be a pretty good team this year and maybe I shouldn't write them off so quick just because Indy was shit last week. Having said that, Indy was shit last week and I look for a bounce back. Good point about the Giants if they get down early, can they hang tough not being able to run? Same question can be asked of the Jets.
That Bears/Cowboys game looks like an Under. I agree with you, the Bears offensive line is going to get blown up. But at the same time I think the Bears have a sneaky good defense themselves. Under 40.5 doesn't really turn me on though. Football is the only sport I hate betting Unders, unless there is a big wind.
I don't really have much on those Raiders and Broncos games. I look at both and say yuck, but gun to my head lean Oakland.
Good luck this week buddy.
Lots of games I like this week too. I'm for sure playing the ones I posted in the first post in this thread but I've basically thought about playing a side at some point this week in most of the other games.
I liked the Falcons a lot early in the week but not now. This was a team over hyped coming into last year and they were very average. Matt Ryan was supposed to be a star but he hasn't shown it yet. The Falcons (offense in particular) did not look good at all in preseason and that carried over to last week. I want to at least see a little spark before I bet them.
Same with the Jets. A couple days ago and I would have bet them at the current line but after thinking it over I will pass. Although this looks like a great spot for the Jets, if there is one thing I have learned over the last half dozen years it's that you can lose a ton of money betting against the Pats and Colts in spots that look good to do so. The Patriots have a tendency to bury teams when they are down and maybe this is a case of watching games biting me in the ass, but I watched a lot of Patriots preseason this year and I have never seen a team that fired up. Everybody was jacked, Brady looked like he wanted to kill guys and it was preseason. I saw the same thing last week, after the 1st TD he looked like he was having a seizure.
It looks like the Pats have a real chip on their shoulder this year after being overlooked by the over hyped Jets, it's one of the reasons I bet NE to win this division before the season started. I'm sure they've been sitting back all off season watching all the attention the Jets have been getting and Belichick has been coming up with a solid game plan. I can see New England coming into this game as angry, pissed off, and focused as the Jets. I still think NE is the better team so at +2.5/3 I just don't see the value for me.
This is going to be one of those games where if the Pats win there will be 20 threads on the board saying "Pats were easy money!" "Jets are overrated!" and "Sanchez sucks!" And if the Jets win there will be 20 threads saying "this line was a huge sucker bet!" "Vegas raked it in one this game!" The "Mr. I Told you so's" will be out in full force either way.
I'm still tempted to bet the Panthers. They played a really tough opponent last week and their O-line was torn apart by the Giants front 4. This is a huge step down at home against a very soft Tampa front. I expect the Panthers to be able to run here and Matt Moore to have enough time where he isn't just floating balls up in the air hoping for the best before he gets hit.
I still like the Colts too but I think I will wait before game time to play it if I do. #1 the line is slowly trending down and #2 It gives me more time to think about it. When thinking about the Ginats/Panthers game last week it occurred to me that the Giants are going to be a pretty good team this year and maybe I shouldn't write them off so quick just because Indy was shit last week. Having said that, Indy was shit last week and I look for a bounce back. Good point about the Giants if they get down early, can they hang tough not being able to run? Same question can be asked of the Jets.
That Bears/Cowboys game looks like an Under. I agree with you, the Bears offensive line is going to get blown up. But at the same time I think the Bears have a sneaky good defense themselves. Under 40.5 doesn't really turn me on though. Football is the only sport I hate betting Unders, unless there is a big wind.
I don't really have much on those Raiders and Broncos games. I look at both and say yuck, but gun to my head lean Oakland.
Good luck this week buddy.
0
No love for Tampa once again
. I'm expecting a great game from the two teams, but I just can't buy into the Skins yet. I could be wrong. It's happened before and it will happen again. I don't think this will be the game for it though. GL to ya man
Hook
Hot Forum Topics
