NFL WEEK 13 ........…..........2023

Season --- 20-9-1, won 10.75 units

9ers -2.5 (-115) over Eagles --- 1.15 units

Good luck Claw.  

Your regression model on the Eagles must be at level 9 hazard stage. That pot is boiling hot, the lid is about to shoot to the kitchen ceiling. 

Best of Luck Claw 

@theclaw

 Your thoughts on MNF? 

@theclaw

SF is now -3, congratulations on grabbing a better line.

Good luck.

@D-Town

@Fuse

@Bonekrusher

@insatiable

@kidd22

............................................

Yea, wanted to grab that quickly before hitting the 3.

Key was line already moved against 9ers so I'd suspect it would only go higher not lower

Actually sac, my main regression indicators have had no fades on the Eagles.

To be a fade requires extreme levels of play, Eagles haven't do anything close to that.

What do they have, like 4 or 5 straight 1 score close wins ?

However, every key indicator that has high correlation to winning and has predictive value says Eagles are not a 10-1 team, not even close.

They seem to be more lucky then good.

Interesting thing about this is , teams can continue to do this in regular season, not very  likely,  but they will  every now and again, Vikings did it last year.

Come playoff time though it's a different story for these teams.

I see Eagles losing SU in first playoff game.

Wash +10 (-120) over Dolphins --- 1.2 units

Wash reverse 3 out of 4 Bator method.

Wash given up most points all season in back to back games , (76)

Teams off 17 or more loss VS team winning by 17 or more is 60% in past 20 years, nice regression indicator Here.

Got to like Wash.

3 out of 4 Bator method is 4-2-1 ATs this season.

Actually, killersports data shows

p:margin > 17 and op:margin < 17

(816-857) 48.8%, non actionable imo. .............................................gl claw                                                   

@theclaw

 No play on Seahawks Bator double blowout system?

@theclaw

Interesting because you tube showing different result

Waiting out the line hoping it goes to 9.5 and buy up to 10 if (-120)

Very doubtful I'll need it, Seahawks may win SU.

@Supat125...........

That is what scares me a bit about doing those datA bases.

I'd rather look up the data myself to be sure of it. But that takes sooooo much time.

I'd have a lot of things to look upon n data based if I knew how 

Someday I'll learn it but trusting it is another thing 

Love SF 

GL

@theclaw

 Not familiar with this “reverse 3 out of 4 Bator method rule.” You mind explaining, much appreciated.

or is this it: “Teams off 17 or more loss VS team winning by 17 or more is 60% in past 20 years, nice regression indicator Here.”

In the offseason, Check out SDQL protocols that KillerSports.com uses. A bit cumbersome,but WELL WORTH the hassle

You can literally check a 30 year+ data base for almost anything your mind can think of.

Going back to 2003 (20 years) a team off at least a 17 point loss playing a team off at least a 17 point win is 102-68 ATS, 60%......42-23-1 ATS as a home dog, 15-8 ATS if the line is greater than 7.

p:margin<-16 and op:margin>16 and season>2003