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NFL WEEK 13 ........…..........2023

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Posted: #26

Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:

Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Wash +10 (-120) over Dolphins --- 1.2 units Wash reverse 3 out of 4 Bator method. Wash given up most points all season in back to back games , (76) Teams off 17 or more loss VS team winning by 17 or more is 60% in past 20 years, nice regression indicator Here.   Got to like Wash. Actually, killersports data shows p:margin > 17 and op:margin < 17 (816-857) 48.8%, non actionable imo. .............................................gl claw   That is what scares me a bit about doing those datA bases. I'd rather look up the data myself to be sure of it. But that takes sooooo much time. I'd have a lot of things to look upon n data based if I knew how  Someday I'll learn it but trusting it is another thing   In the offseason, Check out SDQL protocols that KillerSports.com uses. A bit cumbersome,but WELL WORTH the hassle You can literally check a 30 year+ data base for almost anything your mind can think of.

 

Thank you, I will definitely check it out .........peace_5

 
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Posted: #27

Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999:

Going back to 2003 (20 years) a team off at least a 17 point loss playing a team off at least a 17 point win is 102-68 ATS, 60%......42-23-1 ATS as a home dog, 15-8 ATS if the line is greater than 7.     p:margin<-16 and op:margin>16 and season>2003

 

 

That's what was posted on you tube.

If 42-23 is home dog that means 60-45 ATS when not a home dog, or ,57% so pretty close . With line greater then 7 is 65% but small sample of games

 

Thanks for posting the info.............peace_5

 
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Posted: #28

@saigon........peace_5

 

@WilliamMunny.............9ers baby .......peace_5

 

 
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Posted: #29

@saigon........peace_5

 

@WilliamMunny.............9ers baby .......peace_5

Quote Originally Posted by AP0519:

@theclaw    Not familiar with this “reverse 3 out of 4 Bator method rule.” You mind explaining, much appreciated. or is this it: “Teams off 17 or more loss VS team winning by 17 or more is 60% in past 20 years, nice regression indicator Here.”

 

When I get a chance 

 

 
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Posted: #30

Seahawks+9 over Boys --- 2.2 units

 

Seahawks ML +345 --- .5 units

Boys TT UNDER 28.5 --- 1.1 units

Seahawks +6.5 1st half --- 1.1 units

Seahawks ML +250 1st half --- .5 unit

 

 

 
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Posted: #31

Dallas Bator method fade , a bounce Factor fade, plus Dallas off the most points scored in any 3 consecutive games with 2 of 3 games being the most points and 2cd most points scored all season.

 
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Posted: #32

We can also say Dallas is a incredible 5 out of 6 Bator method fade. Doubt this comes up very often, that's how much Boys have reach a peak that few teams ever reach.

Seahawks should be in this game with a great shot to win SU...............bigsmile

 

I definitely would not take Dallas in the survivor contest this week.

But somebody will. I'm quite sure of that.

 
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Posted: #33

@theclaw

 an_clapan_clapan_clapSeattle 

 
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Posted: #34

peace_5

Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
 
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Posted: #35

@Fuse..............peace_5

 

 
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Posted: #36

Quote Originally Posted by insatiable:

@theclaw  Seattle

 

peace_5........................an_cheers

 
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Posted: #37

Thursday night.......

1st half --- 2-0, won 2.25 units

Game --- 1-2, won .4 units

 

Regression is a wonderful thing ...........bigsmile

We need to keep in mind this kind and of result was expected based on the spot and history so DO NOT read anything into this game.

Dallas can and will beat teams with winning records before it is all said and done.

I'm sure we will hear how they can't in the weeks ahead and many will unknowingly point to this game as proof they struggled VS a team came in only 6-5.

 
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Posted: #38

Texans -3 over Broncos --- 1.1 units

 

Broncos playing very well recently after a horrendous start to the season. But now they enter the "regression zone".  Time to fade the Broncos.

 
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Posted: #39

Boys still keep scoring loads of points, surprised by this but likely they regress next week on offense.

Then we'll hear how playing a team with great record they can't score 

I like Boys over the Eagles next week but their offense not regressing is a little concerning. Would have to at least consider the under in the game.

 
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Posted: #40

Had this game circled for the past few weeks…Dallas

 
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Posted: #41

@theclaw

 Good call on Seattle an_cheers

 
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Posted: #42

Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

Boys still keep scoring loads of points, surprised by this but likely they regress next week on offense. Then we'll hear how playing a team with great record they can't score  I like Boys over the Eagles next week but their offense not regressing is a little concerning. Would have to at least consider the under in the game.

 

Dallas pretty much gave Eagles that 1st game......mostly certain I will be on Dallas next week. Good luck on your remaining plays for this week.

 
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Posted: #43

Congratulations on SEA.  Good luck with HOU.

 
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Posted: #44

Jets +2 over Falcons --- 1.1 units

Jets 1st half +.5 --- 1.1 units

 
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Posted: #45

Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

Jets +2 over Falcons --- 1.1 units Jets 1st half +.5 --- 1.1 units

Same here but ML

peace_5

 
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Posted: #46

Quote Originally Posted by sportschat:

@theclaw  Good call on Seattle

peace_5

 
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Posted: #47

Quote Originally Posted by joesap27:

Had this game circled for the past few weeks…Dallas

 

Yep ..............peace_5

 
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Posted: #48

Quote Originally Posted by patric:

Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Boys still keep scoring loads of points, surprised by this but likely they regress next week on offense. Then we'll hear how playing a team with great record they can't score  I like Boys over the Eagles next week but their offense not regressing is a little concerning. Would have to at least consider the under in the game.   Dallas pretty much gave Eagles that 1st game......mostly certain I will be on Dallas next week. Good luck on your remaining plays for this week.

 

Yep, Dallas outplayed the Eagles but damn Eagles got lucky again. 

 
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Posted: #49

Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

Congratulations on SEA.  Good luck with HOU.

 

Thanks ...............peace_5

 
 
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Posted: #50

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Jets +2 over Falcons --- 1.1 units Jets 1st half +.5 --- 1.1 units Same here but ML

 

Yes, I could have taken ML as well, it's the right play..................peace_5

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