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NFL Sunday Funday Week 7.....

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Posts: 94

vanzack

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Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:05 AM ET #26

Quote Originally Posted by smellybunty:

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Quote Originally Posted by smellybunty: Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Quote Originally Posted by MrBator: Vanzack, you are one of the few backing the Super Bowl champs today. I've heard that the Chargers play a lot of close games. I've heard this everywhere, from everyone. You know what that means.... For those backing the Chargers.... How are they going to stop the Chiefs? Yes, I have also heard all week the Chargers keep things close. But I would like a chargers backer to explain one simple thing to me... What single advantage does their defense have in stopping KC? I just think KC does whatever they want on offense. GL today KC simply doesn't cover. They are 0-8 ats last 8 after DD victory Yeah, and the Chargers are 0-10 after that crazed lady is in the stands. These trends are just looking for patterns in randomness. Unless you can tell me why that would be significant? As in causation. Not correlation. KC doesn't have the killer instinct they had with Mahomes the first couple of years. They know it is all about postseason. Unlike the Pats who in 2007 wanted to win every game by 500, then went 18-0 wearing themself out only to lose the SB. Postseason matters not covering every game because you play 100% all out every game. They also don't have those same crazy weapons they did earlier in Mahomes career. They had speed everywhere with a big target in Kelce and almost scored at will covering covering. Similarly with why Dolphins are tending to cover at home.

I think we are going to have to agree to disagree on the significance of what you posted here.

I like to look at stats and matchups. Im not quite sure that human beings have in their minds that they will play less than 100% because they are saving it for the playoffs.

And the weapons for Mahomes is all baked in.

But all good. Respect.

peace_5

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vanzack

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Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:07 AM ET #27

Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Lions/Baltimore thoughts? Vans total of the week?

Yeah - I like the Ravens here. But I won't personally bet against the Lions yet. But it would be Ravens or nothing for me.

Total of the week is 0-1 although it probably shouldve won last week. This week would be Colts / Browns under 40.5

peace_5

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kcblitzkrieg

Captain

Joined: Jan, 2008

Posts: 7997

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:10 AM ET #28

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by brn2loslive2win: @vanzack Interested in your take on the Eagles game. Looks like it’s your favorite play of the weekend. Quickly... Huge advantage for the Eagles rushing attack. And that is what the eagles want to do - and do best. Not thrilled betting against an offense like the Dolphins, but when a team can control the game the way the Eagles can tonight with Strength on weakness rushing - it usually works out to good things.

Nice thread title this week an_wink cool

SNF should be a great matchup, Miami is going to have major issues stopping/slowing down Philly run game which should open up the PA for AJ and Devonte downfield...Lane Johnson back tonight big boost....Jalen Carter supposed to play as well on the other side of the ball. Iggles are missing starting Safety and Slot corner so I'd expect McDaniels to be scheming to get Tyreek and company in position to take advantage of that.

Philly has only had 2 previous home games this year....put up over 30 points in both vs lesser defenses than this Phins one. They do it again here with a Dub and likely the Over here too 34-30 type of game....GL all peace_5

You will not survive here. You are not a wolf, and this is the land of wolves now...

vanzack

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Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:12 AM ET #29

Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg:

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Quote Originally Posted by brn2loslive2win: @vanzack Interested in your take on the Eagles game. Looks like it’s your favorite play of the weekend. Quickly... Huge advantage for the Eagles rushing attack. And that is what the eagles want to do - and do best. Not thrilled betting against an offense like the Dolphins, but when a team can control the game the way the Eagles can tonight with Strength on weakness rushing - it usually works out to good things. Nice thread title this week SNF should be a great matchup, Miami is going to have major issues stopping/slowing down Philly run game which should open up the PA for AJ and Devonte downfield...Lane Johnson back tonight big boost....Jalen Carter supposed to play as well on the other side of the ball. Iggles are missing starting Safety and Slot corner so I'd expect McDaniels to be scheming to get Tyreek and company in position to take advantage of that. Philly has only had 2 previous home games this year....put up over 30 points in both vs lesser defenses than this Phins one. They do it again here with a Dub and likely the Over here too 34-30 type of game....GL all

Agree with Eagles analysis.

The Sunday Funday title seemed to be used by about 10 people today so I thought I would join in...

peace_5

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smellybunty

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Joined: Sep, 2018

Posts: 9767

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:15 AM ET #30

Chiefs also 1-8 ats as a favorite or dog of 7 or less at home.

A coincidence I guess.

Of course they can still cover. It is no lock or anything.

vanzack

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Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:16 AM ET #31

Quote Originally Posted by smellybunty:

Chiefs also 1-8 ats as a favorite or dog of 7 or less at home

sleep2

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Ethiopia

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Joined: Nov, 2020

Posts: 1702

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:18 AM ET #32

I super love your pick van....really do this week except buffo -7.5 and chief -5.5

Dont have to much info to convence you except line make no sense....bufflo give 8@home but 7.5 away....seem like new england might win str8

The other intel is kc-5.5... usually kc give 5.5 away but to give 5.5 home is fishy...it should have been 7.5 to 9.5

Just my 5 cent thought....

Any thought on greenbay vs denver..kinda leaning denver

Ethiopia

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Posts: 1702

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:19 AM ET #33

I mean kind of leaning on greenbay..sorry for the error

vanzack

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Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:21 AM ET #34

Quote Originally Posted by Ethiopia:

I super love your pick van....really do this week except buffo -7.5 and chief -5.5 Dont have to much info to convence you except line make no sense....bufflo give 8@home but 7.5 away....seem like new england might win str8 The other intel is kc-5.5... usually kc give 5.5 away but to give 5.5 home is fishy...it should have been 7.5 to 9.5 Just my 5 cent thought.... Any thought on greenbay vs denver..kinda leaning denver

This game screams stay away. You could make a case for either side - I like to make a case for neither side.

peace_5

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Ethiopia

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Posts: 1702

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:24 AM ET #35

@vanzack

I just wanna say the line say a lot...away they give 5.5 and at home 5.5 seem to me a trap...but gokd luck whatever side ya on...love ya cappers...pause

hangloose

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2008

Posts: 189

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:42 AM ET #36

Bears and Colts, Numbers play or where do you see an advantage?

Buzzard311

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Posts: 8234

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:45 AM ET #37

BOL Van, keep up the great work an_cheers

haymo

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Joined: Jul, 2007

Posts: 1825

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:45 AM ET #38

Old age seems to be catching up to you! an_eek2 JK-GL

MrFreedo

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Joined: May, 2017

Posts: 9284

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:48 AM ET #39

an_cheers

to win 1u unless noted

MRxKrazz

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2006

Posts: 11486

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 10:49 AM ET #40

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

NFL Season Record: +14.0 units Eagles -2.75 (3.5 units)Bucs -2.75 (2.5 units)Bills -7.5 (2.5 units)Chiefs -5 (2 units)Bears +2.5 (2 units)Colts +3.5 (2 units)Commanders -3 (2 units) GL all

Love the Eagles this week, both teams can score, but I believe Eagles have the better D, and their O can control the clock much better than the fins.

Bucs at this short number looks money to me, Dirty birds only play dirty at home.

I just do not see how the pats stay close to this game, it isnt snowing yet right?

Chiefs have the better QB for sure, but these divisional games with these weird odds have crazy outcome, I honestly think the bolts have a good chance to win this game, Mahomes is God like but his WR's are sadly nowhere near his level of play yet.

I am very surprise to see you play the Bears, would love to hear what you see in this game.

cool

ROCKON

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Posts: 2128

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 11:10 AM ET #41

Bring those money bags home van good luck today on Sunday Funday moneybag peace_5

D-Town

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Posts: 176667

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 11:12 AM ET #42

Best of luck Van. an_cheers

the1toturn2

All-Star

Joined: Dec, 2014

Posts: 11683

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 11:16 AM ET #43

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by the1toturn2: I have bee liking the Falcons all week What is your reasoning for the Bucs? Mostly has to do with the Falcons cannot get to the passer and is horrible against the pass. Baker can get it done when not under constant pressure - he should have time today - and the ATL secondary has been terrible. Atl has no offensive advantage - and if they fall behind Ridder is 3rd in the NFL in turnover potential. All of it adds up to a good day for TB.

I disagree with them being terrible against the pass yes their pass rush is week but they rank 8th against the pass giving up 190 yards a game

Blackjacksusan

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Posts: 1545

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 11:16 AM ET #44

BOL today Van! and all of US an_cheers

Beningo88

Hall of Fame

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Posts: 23480

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 11:17 AM ET #45

an_cheers

tboon

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Posts: 2356

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 11:17 AM ET #46

Herbert is 5-1 career versus the Chiefs

g/l

Brooklyncapper

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Joined: Sep, 2022

Posts: 27247

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 11:20 AM ET #47

@vanzack

No to commanders and bears. Can't wager on community College qb. Giants due for a win and I think with they will finally score td and grind it out today

Success is never final, failure is never fatal, and it's the courage that counts.

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Oct. 22, 2023 - 11:22 AM ET #48

Quote Originally Posted by the1toturn2:

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Quote Originally Posted by the1toturn2: I have bee liking the Falcons all week What is your reasoning for the Bucs? Mostly has to do with the Falcons cannot get to the passer and is horrible against the pass. Baker can get it done when not under constant pressure - he should have time today - and the ATL secondary has been terrible. Atl has no offensive advantage - and if they fall behind Ridder is 3rd in the NFL in turnover potential. All of it adds up to a good day for TB. I disagree with them being terrible against the pass yes their pass rush is week but they rank 8th against the pass giving up 190 yards a game

29th DVOA.

Raw stats are garbage.

peace_5

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.