Tampa Bay @ Green Bay Tampa Bay Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road Green Bay Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Buffalo @ Kansas City Buffalo Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games Buffalo is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games Kansas City Kansas City is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games Kansas City is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
0
Sunday, January 24
Tampa Bay @ Green Bay Tampa Bay Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road Green Bay Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Buffalo @ Kansas City Buffalo Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games Buffalo is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games Kansas City Kansas City is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games Kansas City is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
In the first 50 games of the AFC Championship, favorites have gone 36-14 straight up and 29-20-1 against the spread.
There have been seven games where the favorite has won but it did not win by enough points to cover the spread.
2018 - New England (-7.5) 24 Jacksonville 20 2012 - New England (-7) 23 Baltimore 20 2008 - New England (-14) 21 San Diego 12 1996 - Pittsburgh (-12) 20 Indianapolis 16 1992 - Buffalo (-11) 10 Denver 7 1978 - Denver (-3.5) 20 Oakland 17 1976 - Pittsburgh (-6) 16 Oakland 10
AFC Championship Over Under Results
Since the 1986-87 AFC Championship game, the 'over/under' results have gone 17-17 in the title game. Over the last nine seasons, the 'under' is on a 6-3 run in this conference title game but Kansas City has helped the 'over' go 2-0 the past two years.
There have been six totals in AFC Championship betting history that have closed at 50 points or higher and we've seen a stalemate (3-3) with the total results. That includes the 2019 installment as Kansas City defeated Tennessee 35-24 from Arrowhead Stadium.
0
AFC Championship Betting Results
In the first 50 games of the AFC Championship, favorites have gone 36-14 straight up and 29-20-1 against the spread.
There have been seven games where the favorite has won but it did not win by enough points to cover the spread.
2018 - New England (-7.5) 24 Jacksonville 20 2012 - New England (-7) 23 Baltimore 20 2008 - New England (-14) 21 San Diego 12 1996 - Pittsburgh (-12) 20 Indianapolis 16 1992 - Buffalo (-11) 10 Denver 7 1978 - Denver (-3.5) 20 Oakland 17 1976 - Pittsburgh (-6) 16 Oakland 10
AFC Championship Over Under Results
Since the 1986-87 AFC Championship game, the 'over/under' results have gone 17-17 in the title game. Over the last nine seasons, the 'under' is on a 6-3 run in this conference title game but Kansas City has helped the 'over' go 2-0 the past two years.
There have been six totals in AFC Championship betting history that have closed at 50 points or higher and we've seen a stalemate (3-3) with the total results. That includes the 2019 installment as Kansas City defeated Tennessee 35-24 from Arrowhead Stadium.
In the first 20 games of the NFC Championship, favorites have gone 33-17 straight up and 27-22-1 against the spread.
There have been six games in the NFC Championship where the favorite has won but failed to cover the closing point-spread.
2015 - Seattle (-8.5) 28 Green Bay 22 (OT) 2010 - New Orleans (-4) 31 Minnesota 28 (OT) 2000 - St. Louis (-14.5) 11 Tampa Bay 6 1984 - Washington (-10.5) 24 San Francisco 21 1982 - San Francisco (-3) 28 Dallas 27 1975 - Minnesota (-4) 14 L.A. Rams 10
Two of the above NFC Championship games where the point-spread mattered also went to overtime (OT) and the home team both won those matches. We have seen six NFC title games go to overtime and the road team has gone 4-2 overall.
The 2018-19 NFC Championship was one of the title games that was tied after regulation. In that outcome, the Los Angeles Rams defeated the New Orleans Saints 26-23 from the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in Louisiana.
0
NFC Championship Betting Results
In the first 20 games of the NFC Championship, favorites have gone 33-17 straight up and 27-22-1 against the spread.
There have been six games in the NFC Championship where the favorite has won but failed to cover the closing point-spread.
2015 - Seattle (-8.5) 28 Green Bay 22 (OT) 2010 - New Orleans (-4) 31 Minnesota 28 (OT) 2000 - St. Louis (-14.5) 11 Tampa Bay 6 1984 - Washington (-10.5) 24 San Francisco 21 1982 - San Francisco (-3) 28 Dallas 27 1975 - Minnesota (-4) 14 L.A. Rams 10
Two of the above NFC Championship games where the point-spread mattered also went to overtime (OT) and the home team both won those matches. We have seen six NFC title games go to overtime and the road team has gone 4-2 overall.
The 2018-19 NFC Championship was one of the title games that was tied after regulation. In that outcome, the Los Angeles Rams defeated the New Orleans Saints 26-23 from the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in Louisiana.
Since the 1987-88 NFC Championship game, the 'over' has gone 19-14 in the title game. Over the last six seasons, the 'over' is on a 5-1 run in this conference title game.
There have been five totals in NFC Championship betting history that have closed at 50 points or higher and the attacks lived up to the expectations as the 'over' has gone 4-1. The most recent NFC edition between the Rams and Saints was one of those contests and that game stayed 'under' the total. Even though that game saw an extra session (OT), total bettors have seen the 'over' go 4-2 in the six NFC Championships that went to overtime
0
NFC Championship Over Under Results
Since the 1987-88 NFC Championship game, the 'over' has gone 19-14 in the title game. Over the last six seasons, the 'over' is on a 5-1 run in this conference title game.
There have been five totals in NFC Championship betting history that have closed at 50 points or higher and the attacks lived up to the expectations as the 'over' has gone 4-1. The most recent NFC edition between the Rams and Saints was one of those contests and that game stayed 'under' the total. Even though that game saw an extra session (OT), total bettors have seen the 'over' go 4-2 in the six NFC Championships that went to overtime
Without being too committed this early in the week, it's not hard to figure out from this piece on the historical perspectives on how these Super Bowl matchups come to be, the Super Bowl matchup I'm already leaning towards.
The majority of those trends focus on who NOT to be backing, and when the most common answers to the team(s) that fit those roles are either Tampa Bay and/or Kansas City, the only answer that's left is us seeing a Green Bay vs Buffalo Super Bowl this year.
90%+ of the time we at least one #1 seed in the Super Bowl when both make the Championship Game, and it's only both #1's a little better than 50% of the time.
There are enough knocks on KC and/or a KC/Tampa Super Bowl that going with Buffalo makes plenty of sense even before getting to the Mahomes health question, and that's how it likely stays for me this week.
Going to be hard for that thought to change much this week from where I'm sitting, even with the most positive Mahomes health news there could be.
I am interested to see how the market reacts the rest of this week, though, as I'm sure positive Mahomes news only gives out a better number on the Bills.
Tampa could end up in the public underdog role as well, which makes Green Bay all the more attractive to my eyes.
0
Without being too committed this early in the week, it's not hard to figure out from this piece on the historical perspectives on how these Super Bowl matchups come to be, the Super Bowl matchup I'm already leaning towards.
The majority of those trends focus on who NOT to be backing, and when the most common answers to the team(s) that fit those roles are either Tampa Bay and/or Kansas City, the only answer that's left is us seeing a Green Bay vs Buffalo Super Bowl this year.
90%+ of the time we at least one #1 seed in the Super Bowl when both make the Championship Game, and it's only both #1's a little better than 50% of the time.
There are enough knocks on KC and/or a KC/Tampa Super Bowl that going with Buffalo makes plenty of sense even before getting to the Mahomes health question, and that's how it likely stays for me this week.
Going to be hard for that thought to change much this week from where I'm sitting, even with the most positive Mahomes health news there could be.
I am interested to see how the market reacts the rest of this week, though, as I'm sure positive Mahomes news only gives out a better number on the Bills.
Tampa could end up in the public underdog role as well, which makes Green Bay all the more attractive to my eyes.
When going through those past Conference Championship rematches, the more interesting angle did have to do with the side though.
In those 23 games, 16 times the NFL team that didn't cover the number in the regular season game, did so in the Conference Championship. (See Table Above)
Obviously that's great news for Packers fans this week (and Bills fans), as history has shown that same season revenge in the Conference Championship has tended to work against the number.
Green Bay does have the benefit of being at home this time around, one that definitely means more in Green Bay in January, and as I said before, I'm not sure all this Tampa love is all that warranted after beating who they've beaten (and what physical shape they were in) in the playoffs to get here.
0
When going through those past Conference Championship rematches, the more interesting angle did have to do with the side though.
In those 23 games, 16 times the NFL team that didn't cover the number in the regular season game, did so in the Conference Championship. (See Table Above)
Obviously that's great news for Packers fans this week (and Bills fans), as history has shown that same season revenge in the Conference Championship has tended to work against the number.
Green Bay does have the benefit of being at home this time around, one that definitely means more in Green Bay in January, and as I said before, I'm not sure all this Tampa love is all that warranted after beating who they've beaten (and what physical shape they were in) in the playoffs to get here.
Really quite interesting to see the history of this one, as prior to the losses by KC and New Orleans in 2018 – two games that had unique endings to say the least – the league had been on a run of five straight times a #1 vs #1 matchup was possible in the Super Bowl, they got it.
Depending on what number you use the Patriots at in their Super Bowl 49 win over Seattle (pick, +1), the underdog in those Super Bowls was also 5-0 SU and ATS. Bad news for the favorite in a Kansas City/Green Bay Super Bowl that would be a year too late for me.
But should quarterabck Tom Brady and the Buccaneers get by Green Bay in the early game on Sunday, history suggests the Chiefs will be Brady's opponent.
Earlier in the year I touched on why that may not be the case though either, and while these past 25 times haven't always gone in chronological order as the potential betting spot we'd have here with a Tampa win early, it does go to show that a Buffalo/Tampa Super Bowl hasn't been the matchup that's connected really at all in the history of the league.
0
Really quite interesting to see the history of this one, as prior to the losses by KC and New Orleans in 2018 – two games that had unique endings to say the least – the league had been on a run of five straight times a #1 vs #1 matchup was possible in the Super Bowl, they got it.
Depending on what number you use the Patriots at in their Super Bowl 49 win over Seattle (pick, +1), the underdog in those Super Bowls was also 5-0 SU and ATS. Bad news for the favorite in a Kansas City/Green Bay Super Bowl that would be a year too late for me.
But should quarterabck Tom Brady and the Buccaneers get by Green Bay in the early game on Sunday, history suggests the Chiefs will be Brady's opponent.
Earlier in the year I touched on why that may not be the case though either, and while these past 25 times haven't always gone in chronological order as the potential betting spot we'd have here with a Tampa win early, it does go to show that a Buffalo/Tampa Super Bowl hasn't been the matchup that's connected really at all in the history of the league.
Let's not forget about an offside call negating a Brady interception and no pass interference flag thrown negating what could have been a Saints win in that lone year no #1's made it to the Super Bowl after each making the Conference Finals.
It could have easily been perfect in that regard, but Brady was already on the winning end of half of that 2018 outcome. Him being the last obstacle for Buffalo in a rare “both #1's make Conference Finals, none make Super Bowl” would be the story of all stories, and having two weeks to tell it would bring out quite the takes.
A Green Bay win in the first game though leaves the history on Kansas City getting through floating around 50%.
Obviously the status of QB Patrick Mahomes is going to be a hot topic daily this week, and even for as odd of a week as it was for the first meeting between Buffalo and KC this season - a scheduled TNF game got pushed to Monday afternoon – there is head-to-head film that will get poured over as well.
How much that changes on a normal week and Mahomes status in doubt is a vast range of possibilities right now, but any Bills Mafia member may want to pull for the Packers in the first game just in case. Brady hates the cold weather now doesn't he?
Why would Buffalo want to be up against a 96% historical angle against them, right?
0
Let's not forget about an offside call negating a Brady interception and no pass interference flag thrown negating what could have been a Saints win in that lone year no #1's made it to the Super Bowl after each making the Conference Finals.
It could have easily been perfect in that regard, but Brady was already on the winning end of half of that 2018 outcome. Him being the last obstacle for Buffalo in a rare “both #1's make Conference Finals, none make Super Bowl” would be the story of all stories, and having two weeks to tell it would bring out quite the takes.
A Green Bay win in the first game though leaves the history on Kansas City getting through floating around 50%.
Obviously the status of QB Patrick Mahomes is going to be a hot topic daily this week, and even for as odd of a week as it was for the first meeting between Buffalo and KC this season - a scheduled TNF game got pushed to Monday afternoon – there is head-to-head film that will get poured over as well.
How much that changes on a normal week and Mahomes status in doubt is a vast range of possibilities right now, but any Bills Mafia member may want to pull for the Packers in the first game just in case. Brady hates the cold weather now doesn't he?
Why would Buffalo want to be up against a 96% historical angle against them, right?
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
