POWER RATINGS I .............................................
PR I is more pass heavy, off and def carry the same weight. I gave 2 ratings for some teams, explanation to follow
1. 9ers 11.51 ... w/Purdy's passing stats
9ers 10.91 ..... Purdy adjusted
2. Eagles 10.22 .......w/Hurts
3. Bills 6.83
4. Boys 6.5 ...... not including final game
5. Bengals 5.68
6. KC 5.26
7. Dolphins 4.56 .... w/Tua
Boys 4.19 ............ including final game
8. Ravens 3.58 ........ w/Lamar
9. Seahawks 2.73
10. Jags 2.37
11. Gmen .65
12. Chargers (-.47)
Ravens (-.53) ......... w/Huntley
13. Bucs (-1.56)
14. Vikes (-1.78)
15. Dolphins (-5.1) ...w/S Thompson
MY LINES......................................
9ers -11.78 over Seahawks ........ w/Purdy
9ers -11.18 over Seahawks ...... w/Purdy adjusted
Bills -14.93 over Dolphs w/ST
Boys -6.06 over Bucs not including final game
Boys -2.75 including final game
Bengals -5.1 over Ravens ....... w/Lamar
Bengals -9.21 over Ravens ........w/Huntley
Vikes -.57 over Giants
No plays at this point using PR I .............................................
Purdy has only a handful of games so with a small sample size I adjust his rating back closer to team ave
Did the Boys have much to play for in final game ? Both 9ers and Eagles were not going to lose to the weak opps they played and with Giants not playing some starters, not realistic. Could Eagles have lost to those Giants, well they got out to a big lead , they almost could of but from Boys stand-point I doubt they showed up with any amount of desire and intensity. So I will consider this in the ratings.
Huge difference between Tua and S Thompson, ST would rate the worst QB in QBPR every year and his dreadfully bad ave per pass would easily be one of worst in history, he is terrible but with a small sample size of games I ave him back some with team ave to represent how good the team around him is. I really liked the Bills when line dropped below 10 even if Tua played based on other info which I'll be posting soon but didn't get here to post that play at -9.5
I'll some games now and post info later to catch the better line hopefully.............................................
Boys -2.5 over Bucs --- 1.1 units
Bucs are not good neither is Brady, I saw online someone say Bucs receivers are getting healthy and the defense has been playing better, I looked at recent games and Brady was not al;l that good. VS Panthers he did have a 127 QBPR but other then that his only above ave rating was 92.2 when league ave is around 90, then he was well uinder league ave, like 71 and 63. In the final game he did post a 106 but played maybe half the game, we don't know if he could have sustained that full game, but even if he did his ave per pass was small. I watch a good number of Bucs games this year and the receivers drop passes left and right. Brady repeatedly getting fustrated with them.
Because Brady has always beaten the Boys is why I like the Boys even more. Look at all the great teams Brady played on when he beat the Boys and he was in his prime or at least playing well, that is not the case at all here, now Boys are the better team and I'm sure they heard about how Brady has beaten them every time and as the better team will be highly motivated to put this to bed. Throw in the Boys final game meltdown and you have a good spot to back the Boys and likely a better line.
....... Yep
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