Posted:
#576
YTD: 15-7-2 +5.81u
POD: 2-2 -0.19u
beautiful way to end the first month of ball 
cheers boys
NFL LOCKED IN!
Posted:
#578
TNF
YTD: 15-7-2 +5.81u
POD: 2-2 -0.19u
Buccaneers +10 -132 x1.32u
i dont wanna talk yalls ear off but i kinda have to so yall get where im coming from.
some will ask "so youre backing an undrafted, played 6 years in college, threw 2 meatball subs on rye bread toasted both sides with light mayo and lettuce in his debut? the answer is yes. i think daniels cleans up alot of his mistakes in his second start and buccs step up on defense to do enough to keep this game manageable. if daniels is playing ahead of the chains and not turning over the ball and really trying to dominate TOP (time of possession) i think they have a great chance at keeping this game within 10. if buccs can weather that early onslaught of the cowboys offense they always turtle and get conservative to just secure the win. cowboys by a touchdown
Posted:
#583
NFL
Browns ML +118 x1u
its genuinely shocking how many people believe the jets are "due". this team and organization is quite literally known for being bad for decades and now they assemble a geno smith led shit-house and expecting a different result.
the browns have a similar narrative around them but heres where theres a twist, when watson was in his prime we were putting him in the same conversation as the mahomes of the league and were seeing flashes of it week by week. his confidence is building back up and no one is talking about this browns defense enough. they are getting pressure and i think geno struggles dealing with it. another week where the browns defense carries and watson does enough for a W.
Posted:
#584
NFL
Patriots -3 -130 x1.3u
this is the typical spot we see regression from one team (raiders) and we start to see progression from the other (patriots). in most spots and scenarios i have completely canned the entire "let down spot after a big win" narrative. i think if anything this fires the patriots up for a very winnable game at home and theres still so much more room for redemption. drake was simply playing horrible football but now hes on the up and also getting healthy pieces back on offense, patriots win this game by 7.
Posted:
#585
NFL
Detroit -5.5 -110 x1.1u
i made a vow to myself this season atleast in the early part of it, when it makes sense.. im laying all dead numbers. its passed being a key number and its in this weird range of not knowing what to think of detroit right now. even though we faded them last week with the panthers im not fully out on goff and detroit yet. i dont see them losing this game outright so i think it just comes down to how much they wanna win by. this offense is still capable of humming its just silly coaching decisions and mistakes dan needs to clean up. lions win by 8 in a get right spot.
Posted:
#588
NFL 
POD
Ravens +3.5 -118 x2.36u
im either very confused or my 3rd eye is wide open. what would the spread be if lamar was in this game? ravens -3? -2.5? i love lamar and hes an obvious game changer but in the market hes not worth a 6pt swing. hes just not. some of yall might not agree but its ok. its my genuine opinion. especially when you have a more than serviceable back up that can go win this game outright imo. huntley has proven he can run and manage the offense. everyone just saw what the falcons did to a piss poor saints team in primetime so recency bias is at an all time high and it shows in the line. this is a 3pt game EITHER WAY. dont surprised when ravens steal this one on the road.
Posted:
#592
MNF POD
Bills/Rams u54.5 -108 x2.16u
i mean 9/10 the public sees the bills and automatically thinks "over".. respectfully cant blame them, but this is a game where i think both teams dont wanna go tuddy for tuddy. for this under to hit for us, 1 side has to attempt to dominate TOP (time of possession) and ironically i think it will be the bills. establishing the run, having long extended drives and not giving the rams the ball.. i think this is the typical "when two great forces collide" and the game just naturally slows down.
30-20
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