All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

NFL 2025 Season ATS Picks Thread

Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 2208
Posts: 45
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 323
Posted: #26

Thanks, Snowshoes.

 

-frisco

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 38
Posted: #27

Thanks all, let’s keep it rolling.

GL

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 38
Posted: #28

NFL Week 5 Adding:  Cheifs -3 (-118) Sports 411

GL

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 323
Posted: #29

Snow,

In your 20 years of handicapping, what's your take on buying points? Generally, it's -EV isn't it?


Thanks,

frisco

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2015
Posts: 4515
Posted: #30

an_cheers

I refuse to belong to any organization that will have me as a member.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 38
Posted: #31

@friscogiants

 Hey, good question.  It all depends on what your push probabilities are for each number and the value associated.  There are price constraints based on those probabilites that should be adhered to. Also, each point's assigned value will generally be greater with lower totals.  My model's script spits out a EV based on a number of factors including the asbolute difference between my models line and the actual line and the specific key numbers we are rolling on or off of.  I have absolutely no affiliation with them but Unabated.com has a "compare lines" tool that will do the work for you as well.  I think there are some free ones out there also - do a google search and you may find something.  Hope that helps.  

GL

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 323
Posted: #32

I can already tell that you're a different handi-capping beast. Thank you for typing all that out. Good luck this season - I will definitely be tagging along side you but probably less disciplined than the only 3% per play bankroll limit. Ha!

-frisco

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 38
Posted: #33

@friscogiants

 Anytime, best of luck!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 38
Posted: #34

NFL Week 4 Recap:  6-0 for +18.0% of bankroll

NFL YTD:  14-5 on full plays, 0-1 on props for +23.7% total

 
Covers Rehab
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2025
Posts: 41
Posted: #35

Snowshoes has a firm grip on capping the nfl

6-0 week ! an_clap

And hitting 73.68 % of his nfl plays so far. I  wait for the cold weather & snowy condition type of games where you will be even more comfortable 


an_worship

 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 38
Posted: #36

@WedgieHunters

 lol good one 

 
Covers Rehab
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2025
Posts: 41
Posted: #37

an_clap

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 38
Posted: #38

NFL Week 5 Adding: Minnesota/Cleveland Under 36.5 (-107) (Sports 411)

GL

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 38
Posted: #39

NFL week 5 Adding:  Vikings -3 (-123) Bet 105

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 38
Posted: #40

NFL week 5 Adding:  2-team 6-point teaser:  Rams -1 and Commanders +9 (-120) (Sports 411)

GL

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 38
Posted: #41

NFL Week 5 Adding:  Bengals +10.5 (-113) Bet105

GL

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 323
Posted: #42

ugh, wish you weren't on the Bengals.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 38
Posted: #43

NFL Week 6 Play:  Steelers -4 (-117) (sports 411)

GL

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 38
Posted: #44

NFL Week 6 Adding:  Dolphins +6 (-112) (Sports 411)

GL

 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 38
Posted: #45

NFL Week 6 Added:  Cowboys -3 (-117) (Sports 411)

GL

All Forums | NFL Betting Forum
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.