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LOUIS IV's MONDAY NFL PICK

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Posted: #1

Sports Quote of Day

 

"You need to play with supreme confidence, or else you'll lose again, and then losing becomes a habit."
Joe Paterno


 

NFL Record 22-16     + 28.8 units

Sunday 4-1

 

Winners

  The Miami Dolphins +6.5  (5 units)

****  I think the Jets are garbage team.  I think that Miami is garbage as well.  Thus, I'll take the team with the points in this shit matchup.  Sanchez is one of the worst QB's out there.  He MAY shut me up tonight, good for him,  but I bet against the JETS because of him being at the helm almost every chance I get.  Need that Miami D to step it up and force Sanchez into some turnovers.

gL covers

 
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wow no replies yet?? i think the jets morale is low this yr.. i don't know if miami has all the fundamentals to win the game here, but i do see miami as well keeping it within the number with their defense and a few field goals...

0-4 can still surprise the gay jets imo
my initial lean here is for your play so gl
 
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Nice yesterday bud .BOL 
 
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 Jets will be hungry after 3 straight road games...Great trends.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by phark:

 Jets will be hungry after 3 straight road games...Great trends.

MIA will be hungry after not playing for 2 weeks and sitting at 0-4... hunger for the win is not a valid reason.  If anything, MIA would like to end the embarrassment of continuing a winless season, so if we were going to go on hunger for the win alone, MIA for win.

Two garbage teams anyways, which will make for a snooze of a game.

MIA +7 locked in to cap a 9-1 week 6.
 
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Yesterday I placed 5 units on Chicago -2 (my max bet) and also teased Chicago +4 & Jets -.5 for 500.

I actually think the FINS will be able to keep it close, so this is what I am debating;

(1) Leave it be, let the 500 ride on the Jets winning SU

(2) Take Fins +7.5 (at my book) for 500, thus risking $50 to win $1,000

(3) Place $250 on the Fins (Worse case I lose / $250 (if the Fins win).. best case win $750 (Jets win / Fins cover 7pt middle).. or Win $250 Jets win / cover the spread..

Louis, what would you do?

 
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Quote Originally Posted by phark:

 Jets will be hungry after 3 straight road games...Great trends.

They always seem hungry, hunger too me is not the issue.  There issue is they have a qb that blows.  Like I said, he may show me up tonight, God Bless him if he does.  I think if Miami plays with any fire on D this can easily be a 3 point game either way. 

 
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Quote Originally Posted by Louis_IV:

They always seem hungry, hunger too me is not the issue.  There issue is they have a qb that blows.  Like I said, he may show me up tonight, God Bless him if he does.  I think if Miami plays with any fire on D this can easily be a 3 point game either way. 

You tell 'em Louis.

 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by apeterson8809:

Yesterday I placed 5 units on Chicago -2 (my max bet) and also teased Chicago +4 & Jets -.5 for 500.

I actually think the FINS will be able to keep it close, so this is what I am debating;

(1) Leave it be, let the 500 ride on the Jets winning SU

(2) Take Fins +7.5 (at my book) for 500, thus risking $50 to win $1,000

(3) Place $250 on the Fins (Worse case I lose / $250 (if the Fins win).. best case win $750 (Jets win / Fins cover 7pt middle).. or Win $250 Jets win / cover the spread..

Louis, what would you do?

stay put, jets likely win, cheer for them to win outright get paid on the 500 tease.  No need to complicate things, hedge or do anything else.  Profit/Live to fight again next week.

 
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you will be 5-1 by midnight go dolphin go !
 
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Posted: #15
good luck Louis IV
 
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Posted: #16
Good luck Louis!
 
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every one keeps talking about Sanchez. lets no forget Henne is out for the season. So do we really see Matt Moore keeping this close. There is no running game in Miami. Best scenario I like is teasing the Jets down to -1 and teasing the under to 49.
 
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BOL Louis.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by astewaart1982:

every one keeps talking about Sanchez. lets no forget Henne is out for the season. So do we really see Matt Moore keeping this close. There is no running game in Miami. Best scenario I like is teasing the Jets down to -1 and teasing the under to 49.

seems like an optimal scenario.  However, I don't play teasars.  I learned early in my sports picking career to never play teasers. You pick up certain things over your time in this underworld.  The book pays you even money to win two plays that in many cases you would have won straight up.  I was with a fella yesterday that played 5 seperate teasers, lost all 5.  Some you win some you lose.  I don't play them, never will.

 
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Quote Originally Posted by astewaart1982:

every one keeps talking about Sanchez. lets no forget Henne is out for the season. So do we really see Matt Moore keeping this close. There is no running game in Miami. Best scenario I like is teasing the Jets down to -1 and teasing the under to 49.

seems like an optimal scenario.  However, I don't play teasars.  I learned early in my sports picking career to never play teasers. You pick up certain things over your time in this underworld.  The book pays you even money to win two plays that in many cases you would have won straight up.  I was with a fella yesterday that played 5 seperate teasers, lost all 5.  Some you win some you lose.  I don't play them, never will.

 
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Posted: #21
Both teams are horrible. Moore can't be any worse than Henne. Daniel Thomas will have a work load tonight. A lot runs up the gut by Thomas and screens to Bush. I'll take the team with time of rest and preparation + the points. Will be a close game. GL 
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by Louis_IV:

They always seem hungry, hunger too me is not the issue.  There issue is they have a qb that blows.  Like I said, he may show me up tonight, God Bless him if he does.  I think if Miami plays with any fire on D this can easily be a 3 point game either way. 


How can you talk about the jets having a qb that blows, have you realized that the dolphins are starting Matt Moore?!?!... Plus, if you look at Sanchez numbers they really arent very bad. Just everyone lets sportscenter do their thinking for them and is buying the jets hate. 

Matt Moore WILL blow this game, jets D comes up big.

Jets -7 BIG
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by aahuerta:


How can you talk about the jets having a qb that blows, have you realized that the dolphins are starting Matt Moore?!?!... Plus, if you look at Sanchez numbers they really arent very bad. Just everyone lets sportscenter do their thinking for them and is buying the jets hate. 

Matt Moore WILL blow this game, jets D comes up big.

Jets -7 BIG

hey Jets may win and cover, would not surprise me...

I firmly believe Sanchez sucks balls though

Sportscenterdoing MY thinking....good one...

 
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Quote Originally Posted by astewaart1982:

every one keeps talking about Sanchez. lets no forget Henne is out for the season. So do we really see Matt Moore keeping this close. There is no running game in Miami. Best scenario I like is teasing the Jets down to -1 and teasing the under to 49.
If D.Thomas is healthy he's averaging 4.9 YPC in the games he's played this year and eclipsed the 100 yrd mark in both games. Mia is getting healthy on their O line as well so I think if anyone has trouble moving the ball on the ground tonight its gonna be the jets against one of the league's deepest and best D lines in Miami
 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Louis_IV:

Sports Quote of Day

 

"You need to play with supreme confidence, or else you'll lose again, and then losing becomes a habit."
Joe Paterno


 

NFL Record 22-16     + 28.8 units

Sunday 4-1

 

Winners

  The Miami Dolphins +6.5  (5 units)

****  I think the Jets are garbage team.  I think that Miami is garbage as well.  Thus, I'll take the team with the points in this shit matchup.  Sanchez is one of the worst QB's out there.  He MAY shut me up tonight, good for him,  but I bet against the JETS because of him being at the helm almost every chance I get.  Need that Miami D to step it up and force Sanchez into some turnovers.

gL covers



miami has defesne i didnt know tht...?
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