KS Archived Plays (as promised)

any late game ? Ks i pick jet and new england,give me some advice,thank you.

KS-

thanks for the winners, You are the man. You keep posting and I will keep listening!!!

Carolina

Thanks buddy

Yates vs Atlanta:  In the first quarter Yates once again held the ball too long and was sacked/fumbled and James Sanders picked it up and returned it for a touchdown (called back / negated).  With 10:13 to go in the 2^nd  on 3^rd and goal in Yates connected with Dreessen for a 3 yard TD which was rightfully challenged but upheld.  In this game Yates completed 48% of his passes for 188 yards.

Yates vs Jax: Yates passed for 127 yards in this game.  Jax is another team defense that was decimated by injuries in the last month (line and secondary)

Wade Phillips:  Phillips is on medical leave for a ‘medical procedure’ this week.  Phillips is the play called for the Houston defense, and that is a huge missing piece in this game.  To exemplify how important Phillips is to this squad: In 2010 (pre-phillips era) Houstons defense was ranked 30^th in the League, and since Phillips took over the defense (and play calling) they ascended to #1)  This will bode well for Cam Newton.

Carolina Panthers:   The Panthers average scoring 24 pts per game.  The Panthers averaged passing 57.62% of their offensive plays (season), but have balanced that percentage to 50% over their last 3 games (coincidently they have went 2-1 ATS since that time).  In the last 3 games Newton has thrown 3 TDs and 2 INTs which is much improved from his season TD/INT ration of 15/16.  In those 3 games Newtons QB rating has improved from his season’s rating of 81.1 to an average of 89.9. 

Interesting notes:  3 of 4 of the panther  victories have come against rookie QB’s.  Houston have given up 50% more sacks per game since Yates has started than when Schaub was quarterbacking this squad.  Over the last 3 games, Carolina has averaged scoring 29 pts per game in comparison to Houston’s 19 per game.  Granted, the Texans have played better defenses than the Panthers have.

Redzone scoring:  Over the past 3 games, Carolina has converted 88.89%  TD’s in the RZ in comparison to the Texans 55.56%. 

Time of possession:  in the last 3 games, Carolina has controlled the ball 54.58% compared to Houston’s 52.89

Motivation:  Texans have locked up a playoff spot, and have a 3 game lead in the AFC South over the Titans.  Carolina has accepted that there will be no playoff spot for them this season, but they are motivated and believe in next year.  This is one of the Panther’s last 2 chances to beat playoff bound team with a winning record.  This team has not given up this season—indicative by the improvements that have been making late in the season.

Sharps/Squares:  53% of the Squares are on Houston, and it appears that a few Sharp dollars are coming in (intermittently) on the Panthers.

Summary:  Carolina is going to have to get to Yates.  Carolina does not have any consistent (combined) Hits/Hurries/Sacks leaders on the team, but they do average 2 sacks per game.  In their 3 of the Panther’s 4 victories (vs rookie QB’s) they sacked the QB a total of 8 times.   Houston is without their most important player this week—Wade Phllips—and I think that is going to aid Cam Newton greatly.  Carolina has begun to balance their attack, they are scoring better, and they would love to show their value vs a winning quality team.  TJ Yates is just not as good as the media is making him out to be (he has potential to be  a starter in this league though.  I think Houston will continue to try to run the ball, but Newton is going to put more pts up than the betting public is expecting, and Yates may have to rely on the pass more than the Texan Coaching staff would want.  Carolina was a 6.5 (or more) Dog 4 times this season and the are 3-1 ATS in those games (Houston was laying 6.5—or more—chalk 3 times this season and are 2-1 ATS in those games, but only one of those were without Schaub (Jax and they only covered the line by 1).  I like Carolina to win this game SU, but I will only lay a small bet on the ML…primary plays below:

Carolina +3.5 first half

Carolina +6 game

Carolina 27 – Houston 17