Posted:
#551
KS! Great break-down! Thanks for the insight...good luck
0
KS Archived Plays (as promised)
Posted:
#552
Quote Originally Posted by bikemcr:
KScapping I have much respect for your work and your attitude . I would like your advice on money managment as a % of bankroll . Also do you flat or unit bet ?
KScapping I have much respect for your work and your attitude . I would like your advice on money managment as a % of bankroll . Also do you flat or unit bet ?
Hi bikemcr... it really is predicated on how big/small your bankroll is now, what your goals are in sports wagering, and which game (how you have it rated) you are playing. A basic rule is that you should keep your play--at any one time--below 5% (though that can be exceeded in the right/particular situation). I sent you a friend request, and can answer that based on your particular situation without baring your details on here..... BoL 2 U...
0
.
Posted:
#558
Quote Originally Posted by 46989:
I never like teasers unless it takes a TD out of play.... if you tease this you are only taking a FG out of play...your call/differing philosophies are cool... but this game at a 7 pt Temple win pushes you, so you are not really taking that TD out of play (for instance... if it were Temple -7.5 it would be a decent Teaser if I was not confident that Temple wins by over a TD) just my way of thinking...GL 2 U either way Ks
Im liking Temple and Dallas teased down to -1 each. What do you think?
Good luck today.
0
Posted:
#562
UTAH STATE VS
OHIO:
Home field
advantage? Although this game is being played in neutral Boise, Idaho; Ohio
fans will have to travel about 1,700 more miles to this venue than the Utah
State fans do. The fan base should be
75% (or more) for Utah State. Not so
much a neutral field after all.
Utah State offense
vs Ohio defense: Utah State ranks 6th (averaging n the
country in Rushing yards per game vs. Ohio’s 32nd ranked rushing
defense (allowing 128 per game), and only 92nd in passing yards per
game. Utah States passing game is ranked 92nd
(passing for only 177 yds. Per game) vs. Ohio’s 80th ranked group
(allowing 245 yds. Per game)
Ohio offense vs.
Utah State’s defense: Ohio’s
running attack is ranked 23rd in the country (ave. 203 per game on
the ground) vs Utah State’s 41st
ranked run stopping crew (allowing 137.4
rushing yds per game). Ohio’s passing
team is ranked 36th (averaging 256 per game) vs Utah State’s 81st
ranked crew (allowing 245 per game)
Sifting through
these two teams run/pass matchup:
Let’s first look at these two team’s ave TOP; Ohio tends to control the
possessions of their games (30:18 per game, and have controlled an average of
33 minutes in their last 3 games). Utah
State only averages 28:20 TOP per game, and that number is nearly identical to
their last 3 game tendency as well. Ohio’s
defense has faced an average of 70.7 plays per game, compared to Utah States
75.8 plays per game that their defense had faced. Hence, Utah’s 55th ranked defense
might actually be better than Ohio’s 49th ranked squad; they are on
the field more, and face more plays so of course they will tend to give up more
yards per game. Defensive yards per play:
Ohio 5.3 (and 5.7 over their last 3 gms)
vs Utah States 5.1 (5.8 over their last 3 gms).
Slight advantage to Utah St.
Offensive scoring
vs defensive scores allowed: Ohio averages scoring 31.1 per game vs Utah
State’s 29.3 pts allowed (26.7 over last 3 gms) . Utah State averages scoring 32.7 per game vs
Ohio’s 23.7 pts allowed per game (21.7 over last 3).
Utah State’s
notable games: U.S. tore up a
good Wyoming Cowboys team apart 63-19 while racking up 548 yds total (318 on
the ground). Chuckie Keeton threw for 5
TDs while completing 15 of 20 passes.
U.St. lost—as heavy favorites— outright to Colorado State at
home. U.St. were -3 in turnovers in that
game. NOTE: Utah State has lost ATS
and SU only 3 times this season, and they were a total of -3 in turnover margin
in those games (combined).
Turnovers: Utah State is 114th in Fumbles
lost this season (losing an average of 1.4 per game), and Ohio is 102nd
(losing 1.2 per game. Both defenses average
recovering almost 1 fumble per game.
Looks as though Chuckie Keeton will start today (back injury), he
averages throwing only 1 int per 86 passing attempts. Tyler Tettleton averages 1 int per 38
attempts.
History:
Utah St. is 1-4 in
Bowl games, and their last Bowl win was in the Las Vegas Bowl in 1993 vs Ball
St. (42-33). Their last Bowl game was
in 1997.
Ohio is 0-5 in their Bowl game history. Their last Bowl game was last year in the New
Orleans Bowl (lost 48-21 to Troy)
Summary: U.ST. is on
a 5 game winning streak after opening the season with a lost late-game lead vs
Auburn. Ohio on the other hand is still
licking their wounds from their loss to Northen Illinois where they blew an
early 20-0 lead for the MAC Championship just a week and a half ago. The Altitude is yet another advantage for U.
St. Boise is bout 2000 feet more above
Athens, yet this is business as usual for U. St. I think turnovers will be huge
in this game, and I see Utah State coming out with a +2 in this department. This is basically a home game for U. St due
to proximity. Though Ohio has only
allowed 110 yards rushing per game, I see Utah state running for 200+ yards in
this one. I see Utah State by 7.5 in this one.
Utah State -1
0
Posted:
#566
@ djmpadre1 cheers! 
@ Already got it in @ -1 …lol… basically meaningless line
movement… either way the SU winner is the ATS winner … BoL
@ atl4tigerfan… tis is true… just another reason why there
are more opportunities for edges, and it is harder to cap College FB vs
NFL (you can pose that type of argument
in an array of different stats)
…. GL 2 U 
0
Posted:
#573
Quote Originally Posted by rick3117:
Saw your writeup on Temple after the game had started Great Job. Came to a lot of the same conclusions that you did, and ended up buying the hook.
GL Rick, and thanks buddy! Saw your writeup on Temple after the game had started Great Job. Came to a lot of the same conclusions that you did, and ended up buying the hook.
I am also on Utah
Good luck tonight,
I am also on ULL but waiting to see if I get +7 by gametime, a little late movement.
0
Hot Forum Topics
