Posted:
#501
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KS Archived Plays (as promised)
Posted:
#507
Quote Originally Posted by SHIFTYbook9:
ks capz, as I can see, you already do not need me to tell ya this but i will anyway.. when people start hating thats a good thing, just think to yourself i love being hated it lets me know that i made it...
gl capping brother ill be following
hey thanks Shiftybook. I don't give those people a second thought. I just do what I do. very BOL 2 U ks capz, as I can see, you already do not need me to tell ya this but i will anyway.. when people start hating thats a good thing, just think to yourself i love being hated it lets me know that i made it...gl capping brother ill be following
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Posted:
#508
KScapping-Okay listen dude, love the picks and am really glad you're on here doing this and I've always thought lots of you. However, if I see you respond once more to any of the "haters" I'm outs and don't with your threads. Just drop it and move on. The bickering is extremely childish. I know it's hard to just take it but let your darn record speak for itself. The more you respond the more you lose credibility. It's like fatboy Ryan yelling back at the Fan "fuck off." Have class and move on. Let them hate. It is only because they can't be in your situation most of the time just like that shit fan yelling at ryan is "only" a fan. That fan prolly does shit all and does he make millions like Ryan?
Let it go, move on and realize you do more and are already better then most people on here.
Thank you!
Let it go, move on and realize you do more and are already better then most people on here.
Thank you!
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Posted:
#509
Quote Originally Posted by minion0812:
KScapping-Okay listen dude, love the picks and am really glad you're on here doing this and I've always thought lots of you. However, if I see you respond once more to any of the "haters" I'm outs and don't with your threads. Just drop it and move on. The bickering is extremely childish. I know it's hard to just take it but let your darn record speak for itself. The more you respond the more you lose credibility. It's like fatboy Ryan yelling back at the Fan "fuck off." Have class and move on. Let them hate. It is only because they can't be in your situation most of the time just like that shit fan yelling at ryan is "only" a fan. That fan prolly does shit all and does he make millions like Ryan?
Let it go, move on and realize you do more and are already better then most people on here.
Thank you!
Hey minion. I agree whole-heartedly, but I am not sure when I, recently, had 'argued' with a hater. I made a concerted effort to ignore them, and most recently just asked one a question. Anyway, thanks for the time in responding and good point made. GL 2 U Sir....KScapping-Okay listen dude, love the picks and am really glad you're on here doing this and I've always thought lots of you. However, if I see you respond once more to any of the "haters" I'm outs and don't with your threads. Just drop it and move on. The bickering is extremely childish. I know it's hard to just take it but let your darn record speak for itself. The more you respond the more you lose credibility. It's like fatboy Ryan yelling back at the Fan "fuck off." Have class and move on. Let them hate. It is only because they can't be in your situation most of the time just like that shit fan yelling at ryan is "only" a fan. That fan prolly does shit all and does he make millions like Ryan?
Let it go, move on and realize you do more and are already better then most people on here.
Thank you!
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Posted:
#510
Quote Originally Posted by KScapping:
Hey minion. I agree whole-heartedly, but I am not sure when I, recently, had 'argued' with a hater. I made a concerted effort to ignore them, and most recently just asked one a question. Anyway, thanks for the time in responding and good point made. GL 2 U Sir....
Hey minion. I agree whole-heartedly, but I am not sure when I, recently, had 'argued' with a hater. I made a concerted effort to ignore them, and most recently just asked one a question. Anyway, thanks for the time in responding and good point made. GL 2 U Sir....
No, no, not really saying you have recently fought back but just in general and if I see it again. You are too good for that crap just ignore and shut em up with picks. You will see quite quickly with winning picks that people will talk shit and stand up for you without you having to worry.
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Posted:
#512
Yo KS please stop entertaining these degenerate gamblers by even acknowledging them! 
Your plays and write-ups are well rehearsed and speak for themselves regardless of the outcome! 
Now let's get back to making my monies! FUPM tonight as Jackassville is brought back down to a humbling ego check and true reality! 
Hotlanta and the UNDER! 
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Posted:
#516
Jacksonville @ Atlanta Write up:
Let’s look at the
probable strategies of both teams:
Jacksonville would
love nothing more than to win this game by slowing it down and cramming MJD
down the Falcons throats all game long.
Jacksonville’s Mel Tucker might as well be coaching a superbowl each
week for the remainder of the season. He
has been given the thumbs up to interview for the HC position at the season’s
end. Will Tucker go for what he would
prefer, or what makes the most sense?
Atlanta has a susceptible secondary, but a stellar run defense ranked 5th
in the league. Will Tucker let Blane
Gabbert start out throwing to catch the Falcon’s in surprise and attack their Achilles
heel? And how about Mike Smith? Is he going to unleash Matty Ryan’s arm vs a
excessively beat up secondary of the Jags?
hmmmmmmmm
Breakdown of
standard game strategies:
Jacksonville runs 63.7 offensive plays per game / Atlanta runs 66.9
offensive plays per game. Jacksonville
controls an average of 30:42 TOP (last 3 32:03), and Atlanta has averaged 31.44
(last 30:06).
Jacksonville runs the
ball 49.15% of their offensive plays (43.14% last 3), while Atlanta runs 42.07%
(and only 37.88% in the last 3 games)
About Mel Tucker: Tucker was named Defensive Coordinator in
2009. In 2008 the Jags were ranked 17th
overall in the NFL, Tuckers Jacksonville squad was ranked 23rd
overall after his inaugural season of 2009, in 2010 the Jags D dropped to 28th
of 32 teams, now in 2011 his unit’s ranking jumped to a whopping 4th
overall in the NFL. This defensive unit
has allowed only 19.4 pts per game (7th in the NFL), and only 302
yards per game (4th in the NFL). Is this defense as good as it appears in the
rankings, or is there more to the story?
Let’s look at who the Jags played this season. The Jags average opponent rankings in pts. Per
game is 14th. The Jags have a
substantially better run stopping group than they do pass stopping. Vs
teams that are ranked 10th in passing, or higher, the Jags have
given up an average of 335.5 yards per game and 21 pts per game.
Jags defensive trends:
The Jags D was scoured by Phillip Rivers passing attack, and the running
game went uninhibited as well. In that
game the Jags we down 5 defensive starters.
During the second half the MNF announcers were doing their best to keep
us from turning on Big Bang Theory reruns.
Last weeks win over Tampa was not the offensive prowess it
may look like…. tampa turned the ball over 7 times, nuff said.
San Diego game: Rivers
completed 79% of his passes for 3 scores and almost 300 yards in the air. This opened up the running game for SD to
average a stellar 5.3 yards per carry.
Ryan Mathews averaged 8.6 yards per carry on 13 attempts.
Recent injuries to
the Jags D: Rashean Matis
(CB/IR), , John Chick (DE/IR), Matt Roth (DE/OUT), and Aaron Kampman (DE/IR),
Derek Cox (CB/IR), Will Middleton (CB/IR).
They have been so banged up in the secondary as of the last month or so
that they signed a corner that was released by Tampa Bay (that says it all) in
August, and benched him during the TB game in lew of Morgan Trent was signed about
a month ago. In short, I have no clue
what Tucker is going to do with this ‘patch work’ secondary, and cannot see how
the Jags are going to possibly be able to pressure Matty ‘Ice’ with any semblance
of consistency tonight.
MJD chasing the elusive rushing title: The offensive line of
the Jags have stated as a matter of factly that their focus is to get MJD the
rushing title. He is in a battle with
Philadelphia’s L. McCoy, yet against the lowly Buc’s MJD only averaged 3.1 ypc
(vs the Buc’s 28th ranked rush D that gave up 4.6 per attempt this
season. Why is that? No threat of being passed on. Though Blane Gabbert broke a rare 200+
passing yards vs the Buc’s there is still an opponent’s desire to make the Jags
beat them with Gabbert’s arm, so they load the box.
0
Posted:
#517
Let’s look at Atlanta’s
rushing defense:
Atlanta opponent rushing yds per attempt (not counting the
74 Diangelo Williams run) 23-157 car,
44-162 texans, Minnesota (toby gerhart
season rushes 81 with a 4.2 ypc average) 24-64….. if not for that one run Atlanta’s
defense would be 90 rushes for 3.4 ypc over
their last 3 games. This would have them
ranked in a 4 way tie for 4th best in the NFL over the last 3
games. (this is going against teams some
very good rushing teams –ypc/ranking) Minnesota
Carolina 5.1/ranked 3rd , Houston 3.8/13th, and
Minnesota 5.2/2nd.
Mike Smith: One
thing you have to give to Mike Smith; he always closes out a regular season
better than he starts it. This is on the
forefront of my mind because last season I started playing him that way, and it
has put money in my pocket. I see
nothing but proof that this will once again be the case (stats/rankings
improving over last 3 games compared to the season) Atlanta has improved in the last 3 games over
their season in: Opponent yards per
game, opponent 3rd downs per game, opponent 4th downs per
game, opponents 3rd down conversion %, opponent pts per game,
offensive TD’s per game.
QB’s: Gabbert surpassed the 200 yard mark last
week, but had an abysmal 72.4 passer rating; though it is an improvement over
his season average of 65. Matty Ice had
a 120 rating last week, up from his average 88 rating. Ryan’s TD/INT ration is 23/12, while Gabbert’s
is 10/9. Both will be going against
somewhat venerable secondary’s but Matty Ice is the substantially better QB
with more to play for…and an added
bonus is that Ryan is not terrified of being contacted by pass rushers. Speaking of pass rushing…Atlanta is
ranked only 24th in defensive sacks this season, but they are
quietly below the ‘stats radar’ with 23.8% hits/hurries/sacks per opposing pass
rush this season(between Jonathan Babineaux and John Abraham)—that should be
enough to terrify Gabbert to the point of an upset stomach as you are reading
this. Jacksonville is not big on sacks
(tied for 22nd ranked), and have no substantial hits/hurries/sacks
leaders to boast of. With the DE’s
injury situation in JAX… Matty Ice should have enough time to have a tea party
on passing plays.
Trends/season
tendencies: Jacksonville has lost by 14pts only 2 times (and 2 pushes)
this season. Atlanta has won by 14 pts
only 1 time (1 push).
Squares/Sharps:
52.6% of the Squares are on the Falcons, but it seems a lot of the money
(Sharps) are heavy on them. 53% of the
Public is on the Over, yet it seems the bigger money is on the Under.
Atlanta injuries: the most predominant injury is to Michael
Turner. Though he will most likely play,
he is on a short week, and nursing a groin injury. I don’t see him getting more than 19 hand
offs tonight. His back up is Jason
Snelling, who will most likely be used intermittently on first downs, pass
blocking, and receiving. Rookie Jacquizz
Rodgers may also see a little more running plays than normal due to the short
week.
Summary:
Let’s really look at all of this as a whole. Jacksonville:
We have a interim coach who I believe is in way over his head as a HC—mediocre results,
and tutored under sub-par mentors (Del Rio and Crennel). He has a banged up team with a great running
back and decent run blocking O line. His
QB is not qualified to be at this level, is scared to death of contact, and is
going to go against a fairly healthy and proficient pass rushing team with a
weak secondary. His running game is going to be focused on by
one of the better run defenses in the NFL.
He needs to string together a second win to up his case for the HC
position. I think he will attempt over
50% passes tonight, especially in the early game. If he can get a lead he is going to try to
slow the game down with MJD. Most of the
passing attempts should be to the flat (screens), as well as short 7 yds or
less down field to loosen up the Falcons boxed line.
Falcons: Mike smith
has the better QB, and less of a running game due to Turners groin, and lack of
a proven back up which both back ups combined averaged 5.4 carries per game
this season, so we won’t see a whole lot of either running the ball. Smith is an exceptional late season HC, and
he will attack where the Jags are weak, and avoid his weakness…. He also is
going to be passing the majority of the first half trying to get an early lead and
then sit back and slow the game down and let Gabbert make the mistakes he is
destined to make.
Variables: Looking at key unforeseen injuries, what
would really throw this first half (obviously, I am interested in the first
half due to the illogical process of predicting this games beyond 2 quarters
thus far. If Gabbert went down in the
first half, it just can’t hurt Jacksonvilles passing game too much—could even
help it. If MJD went down, Gabbert would
surely pass even more than I am anticipating, to it helps on the Over first
half if he gets lucky, or tosses int’s giving the ball back to Ryan. If Turner goes down, Matty Ice throws more
than I am already anticipating; good for the Over first half. If Ryan went down, that would hurt the Over
play (first half), though I will take my chances there knowing that the Jags
will not even touch him very much in the entire game. If any key defensive injuries hit, well that
will obviously help the Over play.
Scoring:
First quarter: Atlanta
10 Jags 3
Second quarter (halftime score) Atlanta 17 Jags 6
0
Posted:
#520
@ minion0812 
@ ruiner2013 No way can I play Jax at all, and Atlanta just
doesn’t try to cover that kind of chalk, so NO WAY for a side play tonight for me
@ fupm…man! I must have responded to some of the haters
in my sleep or something, lol. This is
the second note I got from friends telling me to stop replying to the haters…gotcha
friend. No more even acknowledging them
@ over for the half, but if I had to play the total game I
would lean under at this point 
@ I am right here ruiner2013! Lol 
@souljaa thanks
man! Write up already posted! GL 
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