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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    KS Archived Plays (as promised)

    «First Previous 151617 ... 404142 Next Last»
    fupm
    Chickenzpick
    KScapping
    Daran.T
    themob
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    «First Previous 151617 ... 404142 Next Last»
     
    fupm
    fupm
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 7:38 PM ET #351

    yepp gamblers that are betting over their heads get way too involved and attached to one loss!

    it puts them in a tail spin leading to more losses out of spontaneous irrational thinking/gambling.  Chasing their last loss! 

    when I lose a game by a backdoor cover or some BS it's a great way to be brought back to down reality....anything'$ po$$ible! 

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    yepp gamblers that are betting over their heads get way too involved and attached to one loss!

    it puts them in a tail spin leading to more losses out of spontaneous irrational thinking/gambling.  Chasing their last loss! 

    when I lose a game by a backdoor cover or some BS it's a great way to be brought back to down reality....anything'$ po$$ible! 

     
    Chickenzpick
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 7:49 PM ET #352

    HOPE YU POSTED THEM SOON MY BOOK STARTED CLOSED AT 7 P.M CT THANKS
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    HOPE YU POSTED THEM SOON MY BOOK STARTED CLOSED AT 7 P.M CT THANKS
     
    Chickenzpick
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 7:49 PM ET #353

    HOPE YU POSTED THEM SOON MY BOOK STARTED CLOSED AT 7 P.M CT THANKS
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    HOPE YU POSTED THEM SOON MY BOOK STARTED CLOSED AT 7 P.M CT THANKS
     
    fupm
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 8:01 PM ET #354

    cowboys and under for me....good luckl  FUPM!

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    cowboys and under for me....good luckl  FUPM!

     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 8:04 PM ET #355

    NYG’s/Eli Manning  vs teams top 25 hits/hurries/sack (combined) percentage pass rusher, or top 20 hits/hurries/sacks D linemen:  vs Green Bay, loss 35 pts scored  (Clay Matthews  14.88%),   vs NO , loss 24 pts scored (sedrick Ellis 5.75%), vs. Philly , loss 10 pts scored (Cullin Jenkins 11.44%), vs san fran loss 20 pts scored (Justin Smith 11.58%) and (ray McDonald 9.26%), vs NE won 24 pts scored (Vince Wilfork 4.60%), vs Miami won 20 pts scored (Randy Starks 7.32%), vs Buffalo won 24 pts scored (Marcell Dareus 8.99%) and (Dwan Edwards 7.50%), vs Seattle lost 25 points scored (Alan Branch 4.35%), AND (Brandon Mebane 4.15%),  Arizona won 31pts scored (Darnell Docket 10.51%), Philly again (above).

    Dallas has a healthier DeMarcus Ware playing tonight who has H/H/S % of 14.76%.

     

    Teams with a total H/H/S percentage of 10% or more Eli/NYG are 2-3 with an average team scoring of 24 pts.  On the road 1-1 with an ave team scoring of 25.5.  Considering that this Dallas Defense has the second highest combined H/H/S ratio % that the Giants have faced, I feel that Eli will have a hard time going down field in comparison to his normal ease (Giant’s lead the NFL in pass plays of 40 yds or more, but Dallas has given up less 40 yd pass plays than all but 3 NFL teams—NYG’s being one of them incidently.   Vs top 10 rush defenses Eli/NYG’s are 2-1 but averaged only 22 pts, and and the combined score of those 3 games is 64-64.

     

     

    I am making this point to illustrate the fact that NY should be held to 18-21 points in this game, so the easy question is…Can Dallas score 26 or more points in this game….answer that and we have a winner. 

    NYG’s average allowing 26.2 pts per game (season), and the NFL worst 34.7 in their last 3 games.  Dallas has failed to score 31 or more pts just once in the last 4 meetings (24 pts).  NYG’s are 29th and Dallas is 7th in the NFL in passing offense.

    Short answer:  Yes, Dallas should score 31+pts in this game, and hold NYG’s to 21 or less.

    Dallas 38  NYG 21

    Dallas -4.5

    NYG OVER 50.5

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    NYG’s/Eli Manning  vs teams top 25 hits/hurries/sack (combined) percentage pass rusher, or top 20 hits/hurries/sacks D linemen:  vs Green Bay, loss 35 pts scored  (Clay Matthews  14.88%),   vs NO , loss 24 pts scored (sedrick Ellis 5.75%), vs. Philly , loss 10 pts scored (Cullin Jenkins 11.44%), vs san fran loss 20 pts scored (Justin Smith 11.58%) and (ray McDonald 9.26%), vs NE won 24 pts scored (Vince Wilfork 4.60%), vs Miami won 20 pts scored (Randy Starks 7.32%), vs Buffalo won 24 pts scored (Marcell Dareus 8.99%) and (Dwan Edwards 7.50%), vs Seattle lost 25 points scored (Alan Branch 4.35%), AND (Brandon Mebane 4.15%),  Arizona won 31pts scored (Darnell Docket 10.51%), Philly again (above).

    Dallas has a healthier DeMarcus Ware playing tonight who has H/H/S % of 14.76%.

     

    Teams with a total H/H/S percentage of 10% or more Eli/NYG are 2-3 with an average team scoring of 24 pts.  On the road 1-1 with an ave team scoring of 25.5.  Considering that this Dallas Defense has the second highest combined H/H/S ratio % that the Giants have faced, I feel that Eli will have a hard time going down field in comparison to his normal ease (Giant’s lead the NFL in pass plays of 40 yds or more, but Dallas has given up less 40 yd pass plays than all but 3 NFL teams—NYG’s being one of them incidently.   Vs top 10 rush defenses Eli/NYG’s are 2-1 but averaged only 22 pts, and and the combined score of those 3 games is 64-64.

     

     

    I am making this point to illustrate the fact that NY should be held to 18-21 points in this game, so the easy question is…Can Dallas score 26 or more points in this game….answer that and we have a winner. 

    NYG’s average allowing 26.2 pts per game (season), and the NFL worst 34.7 in their last 3 games.  Dallas has failed to score 31 or more pts just once in the last 4 meetings (24 pts).  NYG’s are 29th and Dallas is 7th in the NFL in passing offense.

    Short answer:  Yes, Dallas should score 31+pts in this game, and hold NYG’s to 21 or less.

    Dallas 38  NYG 21

    Dallas -4.5

    NYG OVER 50.5

     
    Daran.T
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 8:09 PM ET #356

    Hmmm...I don't know mang...looks like more of a defensive stance tonight with Dallas.  Your reasoning is sound, but I like the Under based on the crazy OVERs earlier today.

    Dallas -4.5

    NYG OVER 50.5
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    Hmmm...I don't know mang...looks like more of a defensive stance tonight with Dallas.  Your reasoning is sound, but I like the Under based on the crazy OVERs earlier today.

    Dallas -4.5

    NYG OVER 50.5
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 8:10 PM ET #357

    Quote Originally Posted by Daran.T:

    Hmmm...I don't know mang...looks like more of a defensive stance tonight with Dallas.  Your reasoning is sound, but I like the Under based on the crazy OVERs earlier today.

    Dallas -4.5

    NYG OVER 50.5

    Go with the gut; as always...peace 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daran.T:

    Hmmm...I don't know mang...looks like more of a defensive stance tonight with Dallas.  Your reasoning is sound, but I like the Under based on the crazy OVERs earlier today.

    Dallas -4.5

    NYG OVER 50.5

    Go with the gut; as always...peace 
     
    themob
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 8:11 PM ET #358

    DAL
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    DAL
     
    TexansSwagga
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 8:14 PM ET #359

    I'm in KS   Lets get this money
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    I'm in KS   Lets get this money
     
    h0nghyquang
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 8:17 PM ET #360

     I am on it....
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     I am on it....
     
    727magic
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 8:22 PM ET #361

    Dallas -4.5 over 49
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    Dallas -4.5 over 49
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 8:27 PM ET #362

    Quote Originally Posted by KScapping:


    NYG’s average allowing 26.2 pts per game (season), and the NFL worst 34.7 in their last 3 games.  Dallas has failed to score 31 or more pts just once in the last 4 meetings (24 pts).  NYG’s are 29th  in pass Defense and Dallas is 7th in the NFL in passing offense.

    Short answer:  Yes, Dallas should score 31+pts in this game, and hold NYG’s to 21 or less.

    Dallas 38  NYG 21

    Dallas -4.5

    NYG OVER 50.5

     Fixing Typo
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    Quote Originally Posted by KScapping:


    NYG’s average allowing 26.2 pts per game (season), and the NFL worst 34.7 in their last 3 games.  Dallas has failed to score 31 or more pts just once in the last 4 meetings (24 pts).  NYG’s are 29th  in pass Defense and Dallas is 7th in the NFL in passing offense.

    Short answer:  Yes, Dallas should score 31+pts in this game, and hold NYG’s to 21 or less.

    Dallas 38  NYG 21

    Dallas -4.5

    NYG OVER 50.5

     Fixing Typo
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 8:29 PM ET #363

    TexansSwagga  

    @ h0nghyquang 

    @727magic alrighty then 

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    TexansSwagga  

    @ h0nghyquang 

    @727magic alrighty then 

     
    willdog40
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 8:30 PM ET #364

    Must be a calling for me Dallas is MINUS 3 , for me
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    Must be a calling for me Dallas is MINUS 3 , for me
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 8:31 PM ET #365

    Quote Originally Posted by turtleboy:

    A win on tonights game could get me a ticket to the mainland for christmas. Lets get this KS
    Turtle

    DAMN Turtle.... I never have pressure to win.. honestly I just don't care about it once I place a bet (does not a bit of good)...but now I am feeling pressure on this one.......I don't want you to miss out on a trip to the mainland (what mainland?)
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtleboy:

    A win on tonights game could get me a ticket to the mainland for christmas. Lets get this KS
    Turtle

    DAMN Turtle.... I never have pressure to win.. honestly I just don't care about it once I place a bet (does not a bit of good)...but now I am feeling pressure on this one.......I don't want you to miss out on a trip to the mainland (what mainland?)
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 8:38 PM ET #366

    TO ALL...thanks for the love, the agreeing, and disagreeing .... watching the game looking / hoping for a middle/protection middle @ halftime..... will respond to all after the game BoL 2 Us 
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    TO ALL...thanks for the love, the agreeing, and disagreeing .... watching the game looking / hoping for a middle/protection middle @ halftime..... will respond to all after the game BoL 2 Us 
     
    turtleboy
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 10:05 PM ET #367

    Hey KS sorry my friend dont ever want to put pressure on you. I had a play in and just wanted to see what you were thinking. Im going to St Petersberg florida. Again sorry my friend.
    Turtle
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    Hey KS sorry my friend dont ever want to put pressure on you. I had a play in and just wanted to see what you were thinking. Im going to St Petersberg florida. Again sorry my friend.
    Turtle
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 10:15 PM ET #368

    those of you wanting to try to middle this game may want to take the second half Under 25.5
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    those of you wanting to try to middle this game may want to take the second half Under 25.5
     
    Rarfuls
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 11:23 PM ET #369

    KS....what up BUDDY!!!  I was NOT with you on Cincy this morning...but rode with ya on Cowgirls//OVER tonight!!!!!

    Looking good with 5 min to play, hit the over already, lets get the rest of this done!
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    KS....what up BUDDY!!!  I was NOT with you on Cincy this morning...but rode with ya on Cowgirls//OVER tonight!!!!!

    Looking good with 5 min to play, hit the over already, lets get the rest of this done!
     
    Rarfuls
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 11:25 PM ET #370

    PS:  the only reason I wasn't on Cincy this morning was because I was too lazy to get up at 9:30 and drive to the Rock to place my bets! 
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    PS:  the only reason I wasn't on Cincy this morning was because I was too lazy to get up at 9:30 and drive to the Rock to place my bets! 
     
    Daran.T
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 11:42 PM ET #371

    Wow, that was crazy.  Good freaking call KS...good call.  Didn't think that was a showy 1st half. 
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    Wow, that was crazy.  Good freaking call KS...good call.  Didn't think that was a showy 1st half. 
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 11:57 PM ET #372

    what a game....worth the price of admission... ahh 2-2 today; lost juice.... on to tomorrow 
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    what a game....worth the price of admission... ahh 2-2 today; lost juice.... on to tomorrow 
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2011 - 12:24 AM ET #373

    Overview:
    This Thread: 20-7 (74.1%)
    All Forum Posted Plays: 50-29 (63.3%)

     As suggested, and promised; I am archiving my all my plays here (NFL or not).  PLAYS before this point can be found in my post (first word in Subject line is "PLAY"), or on my profile (on Blog).  BOL 2 ALL 

    Thread play/results (in order of above posts) :  Oklahoma State -3.5, Michigan State +9.5, Miami Dolphins -3.5, Miami Dolphins first half -2.5, Cleveland Browns +7, Saints/Lions second half Under 27. SAN DIEGO / JAX OVER 19.5 FIRST HALF, SAN DIEGO / JAX OVER 39.5, SAN DIEGO / JAX OVER 21 SECOND HALF, Minnesota Wild (NHL) +1.5 gls -180, Washington +8 (NCAABB), Villanova / Missouri Over 149.5, Florida -11.5 (NCAABB), TEMPLE -11, DEPAUL -5, ST. BONAVENTURE +12,  BROWNS @ STEELERS OVER 40, SIENA +13.5, WASHINGTON CAPS -155 <<<WITH A WINNING -1.5 PL RECOMMEND), NCAABB Washington +8.5, NCAAFB: Army/Navy Under 28.5 first half,NCAAFB  Army +4 second half, NCAABB: Pennsylvania +8.5, Cincy Bengals -3, SF 49ers @ Az Cardinals Over 39.5, NYG's @ Dallas Cowboys Over 50.5, Dallas Cowboys -4.5
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    Overview:
    This Thread: 20-7 (74.1%)
    All Forum Posted Plays: 50-29 (63.3%)

     As suggested, and promised; I am archiving my all my plays here (NFL or not).  PLAYS before this point can be found in my post (first word in Subject line is "PLAY"), or on my profile (on Blog).  BOL 2 ALL 

    Thread play/results (in order of above posts) :  Oklahoma State -3.5, Michigan State +9.5, Miami Dolphins -3.5, Miami Dolphins first half -2.5, Cleveland Browns +7, Saints/Lions second half Under 27. SAN DIEGO / JAX OVER 19.5 FIRST HALF, SAN DIEGO / JAX OVER 39.5, SAN DIEGO / JAX OVER 21 SECOND HALF, Minnesota Wild (NHL) +1.5 gls -180, Washington +8 (NCAABB), Villanova / Missouri Over 149.5, Florida -11.5 (NCAABB), TEMPLE -11, DEPAUL -5, ST. BONAVENTURE +12,  BROWNS @ STEELERS OVER 40, SIENA +13.5, WASHINGTON CAPS -155 <<<WITH A WINNING -1.5 PL RECOMMEND), NCAABB Washington +8.5, NCAAFB: Army/Navy Under 28.5 first half,NCAAFB  Army +4 second half, NCAABB: Pennsylvania +8.5, Cincy Bengals -3, SF 49ers @ Az Cardinals Over 39.5, NYG's @ Dallas Cowboys Over 50.5, Dallas Cowboys -4.5
     
    jabbadon
    jabbadon
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2011 - 12:37 AM ET #374

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    KScapping
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2011 - 3:24 AM ET #375

    Hey fellas... I posted an article entitled "Why isn’t handicapping at +70% possible?  Who said is was not possible anyway?..."  if anyone is interested in reading it.  Here is the link: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101208503&page=1  

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    Hey fellas... I posted an article entitled "Why isn’t handicapping at +70% possible?  Who said is was not possible anyway?..."  if anyone is interested in reading it.  Here is the link: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101208503&page=1  

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