Posted:
#601
I'M IN----K.C.---AND UNDER.....GOOD LUCK WARRIOR BROTHERS...
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don't get fooled again week 3
Posted:
#602
while I most certainly do not subscribe to the "NFL owes..." theory, money and line movement seem to agree with Phixer's conclusions (picks).
and bookies were complaining on espn about their loses on late games yesterday (on top of bloodbath in W1).
in this biz money probably the only thing that does not lie (too often).
good luck, Phixer and everybody.
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Posted:
#604
Quote Originally Posted by tuco:
while I most certainly do not subscribe to the "NFL owes..." theory, money and line movement seem to agree with Phixer's conclusions (picks).
Books made it back week2 - but what's pounding this line down to 5 now most places with Greek & Pinnacle both @ 4.5?while I most certainly do not subscribe to the "NFL owes..." theory, money and line movement seem to agree with Phixer's conclusions (picks).
and bookies were complaining on espn about their loses on late games yesterday (on top of bloodbath in W1).
in this biz money probably the only thing that does not lie (too often).
good luck, Phixer and everybody.
Vegas doesn't mind needing The Pack? Syndicates pounding KC? Squares won nicely yesterday they should be all over GB...
The pen is mightier than the pigs
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Posted:
#611
as in almost everything in life we were born into - money talks and bs walks. lines do not move themselves. someone or something moves them. someone is vegas rlm's, something is money. rlm is to invite betting to balance the book in case 1, but mostly case 2 is the case (funny phrasing lol) - in which the books already are certain what will be and lowering the line to lure in more money. either case says kc +points for me. but hey, i don't know more than i know and according to my wife i don't know $hit. so, as always - the choices are yours and so are the will to believe the nonsense i justify my record with or say that i am delusional which is perfectly fine with me.
did you ever play doom? you did of course unless you spend last 20 years in tora bora and guantanamo, first as a tourist and then as an inmate - so, you must remember when the cheat codes came in and then you could right away jump levels and walk through the walls getting as much life as you wanted. well, that is when i lost my interest in doom.
same is here. enjoy the game, enjoy the betting and profit some. only that the profits depend mostly on how well you can manage your money
i always catch myself forgetting what was i talking about...... wow...
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Posted:
#615
DOOM! i locked myself in my room at UT austin till i finished it, ordered pizzas and had to call in and pay for cheat codes
Now my line is 5 on GB, this is really getting weird with GB at home, i placed my under bets 1H and game, and i placed the Twins OVER 8, didnt get the 7.5 when i put it in, i havent placed GB side yet, ill keep it posted as a pick for my record but going to wait to in game LIVE line to lay money down, this action is odd, 4 runs on board in 2nd, hope you got in on it
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Posted:
#618
Quote Originally Posted by 808-Warrior:
I share the views on the side and total. I see a slight letdown for G.B. after Seattle revenge game, K.C. has never lost in G.B. (3-0), and since Andy Reid has been there have only lost 3 games by double digits which means they keep games close when they lose. They are a tough team, especially defensively & why I like under. The other is that of the prime time games in the NFL this year, only 1 game has gone over and that was the Dallas game in which it went over in the closing minutes. I see a 23-20 G.B. type of win.
G.L.
I share the views on the side and total. I see a slight letdown for G.B. after Seattle revenge game, K.C. has never lost in G.B. (3-0), and since Andy Reid has been there have only lost 3 games by double digits which means they keep games close when they lose. They are a tough team, especially defensively & why I like under. The other is that of the prime time games in the NFL this year, only 1 game has gone over and that was the Dallas game in which it went over in the closing minutes. I see a 23-20 G.B. type of win.
G.L.
Didn't the Wash/NYG game o over in Primetime on Thursday?
Agree with the rest of your post.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Posted:
#621
Quote Originally Posted by canesfan11:
Chiefs currently +7 (-115) and under 48.5 (-110) on Bovada fyi. Bovada is good to bet the dogs
Bovada's lines are not real - that is a screen scraper posting lines to wherever you are looking that gets them by not logging into Bovada - they don't move - but if you log in and are a sharp bettor you are getting +5. Google: Bovada different linesChiefs currently +7 (-115) and under 48.5 (-110) on Bovada fyi. Bovada is good to bet the dogs
The pen is mightier than the pigs
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Posted:
#622
Quote Originally Posted by mafioso:
UNDERSTATEMENT OF THE YEAR.
Squares ravaged, pillaged, and raped the books yesterday.
My Cousin who is a book told me as a book he lost 90% of his profits since college and NFL started
hate posting - and even more going off topic - but books make the money back during MLB anyways 
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Posted:
#623
advise: never base your betting decisions on the lines that attract you. think. they are there to attract you. my good pal here once said - scared money never wins
if you like something - and i mean you like something - get it or at least make an effort to get it if it is a woman (or the man for our female friends here), a car, a vacation or anything - get it because you like it. never because they are available... never
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Posted:
#624
Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:
Bovada's lines are not real - that is a screen scraper posting lines to wherever you are looking that gets them by not logging into Bovada - they don't move - but if you log in and are a sharp bettor you are getting +5. Google: Bovada different lines
Bovada's lines are not real - that is a screen scraper posting lines to wherever you are looking that gets them by not logging into Bovada - they don't move - but if you log in and are a sharp bettor you are getting +5. Google: Bovada different lines
I've always heard that's the case. I don't get why I have the square line when I consistently bet underdogs though. Works for me
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Posted:
#625
Bovada has had 7 the whole time (their time)
| Fav | Dog | Fav | Dog | Over | Under | Fav | Dog | Fav | Dog | ||
| 09/27 | 7:07pm | GNB-300 | KAN+250 | GNB-7 -105 | KAN+7 -115 | 49.0 -110 | 49.0 -110 | | | | |
| 09/27 | 7:11pm | GNB-290 | KAN+245 | GNB-7 -105 | KAN+7 -115 | 49.0 -110 | 49.0 -110 | | | | |
| 09/27 | 10:16pm | GNB-290 | KAN+245 | GNB-7 -110 | KAN+7 -110 | 49.0 -110 | 49.0 -110 | | | | |
| 09/27 | 11:55pm | GNB-280 | KAN+240 | GNB-7 -105 | KAN+7 -115 | 49.0 -110 | 49.0 -110 | | | | |
| 09/27 | 11:58pm | GNB-280 | KAN+240 | GNB-7 -105 | KAN+7 -115 | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | | | | |
| 09/28 | 12:12am | GNB-280 | KAN+240 | GNB-7 -110 | KAN+7 -110 | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | | | | |
| 09/28 | 1:19am | GNB-280 | KAN+240 | GNB-7 -115 | KAN+7 -105 | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | | | | |
| 09/28 | 6:13am | GNB-290 | KAN+245 | GNB-7 -115 | KAN+7 -105 | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | | | | |
| 09/28 | 9:22am | GNB-265 | KAN+225 | GNB-7 -115 | KAN+7 -105 | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | | | | |
| 09/28 | 9:30am | GNB-265 | KAN+225 | GNB-7 -110 | KAN+7 -110 | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | | | | |
The pen is mightier than the pigs
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