My model line is Ravens -3.5(assuming Lamar is out), -6.5 if Lamar is in. Had 1.5 to 2 pt of value when it was above 5, now down to 4. I think he'll be out another week and be back for the Bengals game.
10 trends with 7 to 3 tally in favor of Baltimore.
Situational factor seem to be favor of Browns with Ravens off an OT. However, Ravens 7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS after playing OT overall since 2018 with Lamar also 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS after an OT win and 1-1 SUATS off an OT win then playing next game on road like they are now but this will be first time doing it on back to back road games so this will be interesting. That was part of one of those 10 trends
Health factor in favor of Ravens they may get Trey Hendrickson back for this game and possibly Jakobi Lane. Bateman not practicing 2 days in a row so I could see Lane taking his spot. Browns injury report looks a bit worse. Browns #1 and #2 RBs are banged up, not that it'll make much of a difference also one of their starting LBs too.
Still like Browns barely, with Huntley in they might just chill and go through the motions. Bills vs Raiders I'm interested in as well. I believe Bills are the opposite of Ravens, they still win after OT but don't cover games.
I take that back, Bills and JA are 3-0 SUATS after an OT game but the next game was at home naturally an easy win, but JA finally gets his first OT win of his career and this time it will be on the road, so this will be interesting too. I got the stat mixed up with the Rams, the Rams would be a bad bet after OT. I am looking at the Cards to keep the game close but not official yet
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