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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Dead serious....help me pick my ALL IN play....serious responses only and quickly please...

    «First Previous 12345
    Smoke_O
    supadame
    JDro
    wilofusion
    dytide
    ...
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    «First Previous 12345
     
    Smoke_O
    Smoke_O
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 12:44 AM ET #101

    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke_O:

    Dont take the Over in the Giants game...Kurt Warner's kryptonite is a fast pass rush which the Giants have plenty of. Lay 7 points but for 2morrow take the Over. MNF is always a shootout...dont know why but it always is.

    Damn I wish I was around to TRY to talk you out of the Under. 3 Kick returns for TDs in the 1st half ....only on MNF.

    Best of Luck  

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke_O:

    Dont take the Over in the Giants game...Kurt Warner's kryptonite is a fast pass rush which the Giants have plenty of. Lay 7 points but for 2morrow take the Over. MNF is always a shootout...dont know why but it always is.

    Damn I wish I was around to TRY to talk you out of the Under. 3 Kick returns for TDs in the 1st half ....only on MNF.

    Best of Luck  

     
    supadame
    supadame
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 12:50 AM ET #102

    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke_O:

    Damn I wish I was around to TRY to talk you out of the Under. 3 Kick returns for TDs in the 1st half ....only on MNF.

    Best of Luck  

    Under was the play actually. The rhythm and flow of the game was definitely under. It took three lightning strikes to take that game over, which is unheard of in an NFL game.

    Sometimes it's better to be more lucky than good.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke_O:

    Damn I wish I was around to TRY to talk you out of the Under. 3 Kick returns for TDs in the 1st half ....only on MNF.

    Best of Luck  

    Under was the play actually. The rhythm and flow of the game was definitely under. It took three lightning strikes to take that game over, which is unheard of in an NFL game.

    Sometimes it's better to be more lucky than good.

     
    Smoke_O
    Smoke_O
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 1:23 AM ET #103

    Quote Originally Posted by supadame:

    Under was the play actually. The rhythm and flow of the game was definitely under. It took three lightning strikes to take that game over, which is unheard of in an NFL game.

    Sometimes it's better to be more lucky than good.

    Yeh Under was the play when MNF has gone Over 19-4-1 the last 2 years  .......like I said MNF is always a shootout

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by supadame:

    Under was the play actually. The rhythm and flow of the game was definitely under. It took three lightning strikes to take that game over, which is unheard of in an NFL game.

    Sometimes it's better to be more lucky than good.

    Yeh Under was the play when MNF has gone Over 19-4-1 the last 2 years  .......like I said MNF is always a shootout

     
    JDro
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 1:28 AM ET #104

    exactly supadame.  It really sucks going out like this..but you know what..honestly...in a way it feels better to KNOW I was on the right side...I capped this game correctly..I DO pick solid angles and analysis...I was my own worst enemy this time with br management and simply need to get away for awhile to see if I even miss it.

    But yes, anyone who thinks OVER was the "correct" play tonight doesn't understand 1 single thing about capping.  Ask Estes.  He hit the OVER tonight. I am sure he'll tell you he was damn lucky and that the correct total side to be on was the UNDER.

    I still got "it" boys, I just need to see if I still even want to have "it." LOL.  Prob cash out my last $200 and pay for an elephant trek excursion through the rainforest on my Asia vacation next year with it.  THAT will feel good.

    Later guys, I'll let this thread die now.  Splooge, Bob, jmb, weeble and a bagillion other peeps PLEASE don't be offended if I didn't mention you, you guys have made this a great place to be.  Time to bounce and see if I can do this again down the road in a healthier way.  And if not, it means I'm enjoying real life too much, eh? 

    BOL TO ALL 
    Reply
    exactly supadame.  It really sucks going out like this..but you know what..honestly...in a way it feels better to KNOW I was on the right side...I capped this game correctly..I DO pick solid angles and analysis...I was my own worst enemy this time with br management and simply need to get away for awhile to see if I even miss it.

    But yes, anyone who thinks OVER was the "correct" play tonight doesn't understand 1 single thing about capping.  Ask Estes.  He hit the OVER tonight. I am sure he'll tell you he was damn lucky and that the correct total side to be on was the UNDER.

    I still got "it" boys, I just need to see if I still even want to have "it." LOL.  Prob cash out my last $200 and pay for an elephant trek excursion through the rainforest on my Asia vacation next year with it.  THAT will feel good.

    Later guys, I'll let this thread die now.  Splooge, Bob, jmb, weeble and a bagillion other peeps PLEASE don't be offended if I didn't mention you, you guys have made this a great place to be.  Time to bounce and see if I can do this again down the road in a healthier way.  And if not, it means I'm enjoying real life too much, eh? 

    BOL TO ALL 
     
    JDro
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 1:29 AM ET #105

    Smoke...how can you call a game that needed THREE punt return TDs to beat the over a "Shootout" LMAO!!

    now THAT is the way I want to remember Covers!! thanks bro! 
    Reply
    Smoke...how can you call a game that needed THREE punt return TDs to beat the over a "Shootout" LMAO!!

    now THAT is the way I want to remember Covers!! thanks bro! 
     
    wilofusion
    wilofusion
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 2:38 AM ET #106

    don't stress bro heres a site that might help you make some money goldkeygames.com they are about 2-3 most of the time for the silver key  so i wouldn't ride every pick. this week was also bad for me but don't stress just get back on it when you're ready
    Reply
    don't stress bro heres a site that might help you make some money goldkeygames.com they are about 2-3 most of the time for the silver key  so i wouldn't ride every pick. this week was also bad for me but don't stress just get back on it when you're ready
     
    supadame
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 2:43 AM ET #107

    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke_O:

    Yeh Under was the play when MNF has gone Over 19-4-1 the last 2 years  .......like I said MNF is always a shootout

    A shootout is when offenses run up and down the field for 4 quarters. Backs run wild, QB's throw for 3-4 hundred each and 3-4 touchdowns. Punters never see the field. There's 8-9 hundred yards of total offense.

    There were three offensive TD's scored tonight.

    The Saints and Giants scored 10 offensive TD's on Sunday, with over 800 yards of total offense. That was a shootout.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke_O:

    Yeh Under was the play when MNF has gone Over 19-4-1 the last 2 years  .......like I said MNF is always a shootout

    A shootout is when offenses run up and down the field for 4 quarters. Backs run wild, QB's throw for 3-4 hundred each and 3-4 touchdowns. Punters never see the field. There's 8-9 hundred yards of total offense.

    There were three offensive TD's scored tonight.

    The Saints and Giants scored 10 offensive TD's on Sunday, with over 800 yards of total offense. That was a shootout.

     
    dytide
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 11:03 AM ET #108

    I was rooting so hard for this under to hit for you.

    It's a damn shame because it was the right play.

     

     

    Reply

    I was rooting so hard for this under to hit for you.

    It's a damn shame because it was the right play.

     

     

     
    dsanch8
    dsanch8
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 11:22 AM ET #109

    Play tomorrow's game and take TULSA over utep.

    Then you will have money to play INDY and NYG on a 2 game parlay this Sunday.
    Reply
    Play tomorrow's game and take TULSA over utep.

    Then you will have money to play INDY and NYG on a 2 game parlay this Sunday.
     
    dsanch8
    dsanch8
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 11:23 AM ET #110

    I'm trying not to steer you wrong. Right now I'm 22-11 for the year on NCAAF and NFL games.
    Reply
    I'm trying not to steer you wrong. Right now I'm 22-11 for the year on NCAAF and NFL games.
     
    gfinger
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 11:34 AM ET #111

    If you think the Under was still the play, you should definitely stop gambling ! If you don't factor in weather, turnovers, refs, coaches, defense, offense, etc. into your plays then you are a fool. Punt returns for TD's are always possibilities in any game. Pick 6's happen all the time. It's all part of the game. You're basically saying, well if they didn't score any TD's this game, it would have been under, which was the right play. Terrible.
    Reply
    If you think the Under was still the play, you should definitely stop gambling ! If you don't factor in weather, turnovers, refs, coaches, defense, offense, etc. into your plays then you are a fool. Punt returns for TD's are always possibilities in any game. Pick 6's happen all the time. It's all part of the game. You're basically saying, well if they didn't score any TD's this game, it would have been under, which was the right play. Terrible.
     
    dsanch8
    dsanch8
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 11:38 AM ET #112

    Quote Originally Posted by supadame:

    A shootout is when offenses run up and down the field for 4 quarters. Backs run wild, QB's throw for 3-4 hundred each and 3-4 touchdowns. Punters never see the field. There's 8-9 hundred yards of total offense.

    There were three offensive TD's scored tonight.

    The Saints and Giants scored 10 offensive TD's on Sunday, with over 800 yards of total offense. That was a shootout.



    Agreed. We also got a look of what the defense is like when Dawkins isn't on the field leading and instructing the defense on what to do. Under was the play and a shootout doesn't involve 3 TDs from ST.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by supadame:

    A shootout is when offenses run up and down the field for 4 quarters. Backs run wild, QB's throw for 3-4 hundred each and 3-4 touchdowns. Punters never see the field. There's 8-9 hundred yards of total offense.

    There were three offensive TD's scored tonight.

    The Saints and Giants scored 10 offensive TD's on Sunday, with over 800 yards of total offense. That was a shootout.



    Agreed. We also got a look of what the defense is like when Dawkins isn't on the field leading and instructing the defense on what to do. Under was the play and a shootout doesn't involve 3 TDs from ST.
     
    dsanch8
    dsanch8
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 11:44 AM ET #113

    Quote Originally Posted by gfinger:

    If you think the Under was still the play, you should definitely stop gambling ! If you don't factor in weather, turnovers, refs, coaches, defense, offense, etc. into your plays then you are a fool. Punt returns for TD's are always possibilities in any game. Pick 6's happen all the time. It's all part of the game. You're basically saying, well if they didn't score any TD's this game, it would have been under, which was the right play. Terrible.


    Of course you factor ST TDs in but do you factor in 3? I got burned by the Minn/SF under earlier this year because of a blocked FG for a TD and a Percy Harvin TD return. And I can see Sproles getting in the end zone in ST but I couldn't see Royal getting in twice.

    Either Orton found a or saved a leprauchan's life to have this type of luck. Without those 2 TDs by Royal, DEN would have had a hard time winning since their offense didn't really get going until the 4th quarter.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by gfinger:

    If you think the Under was still the play, you should definitely stop gambling ! If you don't factor in weather, turnovers, refs, coaches, defense, offense, etc. into your plays then you are a fool. Punt returns for TD's are always possibilities in any game. Pick 6's happen all the time. It's all part of the game. You're basically saying, well if they didn't score any TD's this game, it would have been under, which was the right play. Terrible.


    Of course you factor ST TDs in but do you factor in 3? I got burned by the Minn/SF under earlier this year because of a blocked FG for a TD and a Percy Harvin TD return. And I can see Sproles getting in the end zone in ST but I couldn't see Royal getting in twice.

    Either Orton found a or saved a leprauchan's life to have this type of luck. Without those 2 TDs by Royal, DEN would have had a hard time winning since their offense didn't really get going until the 4th quarter.
     
    gfinger
    gfinger
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 11:51 AM ET #114

    What's to say that Royal didn't run back 3 TD's and they score on 2 of those 3 possessions with their offense? You can't say just cuz of those punt returns is why the game went over. That isn't right.
    Reply
    What's to say that Royal didn't run back 3 TD's and they score on 2 of those 3 possessions with their offense? You can't say just cuz of those punt returns is why the game went over. That isn't right.
     
    gfinger
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 11:52 AM ET #115

    Royal with 2TD's, not 3. my bad.
    Reply
    Royal with 2TD's, not 3. my bad.
     
    Johnboy0417
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 12:32 PM ET #116

    u guys celebrate that u were on the right side, i'll be in the corner counting my benjamins...1, 2, 3...
    Reply
    u guys celebrate that u were on the right side, i'll be in the corner counting my benjamins...1, 2, 3...
     
    DOVJAK
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 1:24 PM ET #117

    Reply
     
    chadpatt59
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 5:45 PM ET #118

    I tried to tell you!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Reply
    I tried to tell you!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
     
    Splooge
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2009 - 10:26 AM ET #119

    Later JDro enjoyed talking NFL w/ ya. BOL w/ whatever and hope to see ya back at some point.  Unfortunately finding a healty way to do this thing usually requires complete and absolute understanding from those around you otherwise it's not worth the stress and guilt that comes w/ doing it right. Peace bro 
    Reply
    Later JDro enjoyed talking NFL w/ ya. BOL w/ whatever and hope to see ya back at some point.  Unfortunately finding a healty way to do this thing usually requires complete and absolute understanding from those around you otherwise it's not worth the stress and guilt that comes w/ doing it right. Peace bro 
     
    makedatmoola
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2009 - 11:44 AM ET #120

    Quote Originally Posted by Johnboy0417:

    u guys celebrate that u were on the right side, i'll be in the corner counting my benjamins...1, 2, 3...

     This....how and the hell are you going to argue that you made the right play when you lost money, and other guys like Johnboy won money.  Clear your head and come back strong in a few weeks

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Johnboy0417:

    u guys celebrate that u were on the right side, i'll be in the corner counting my benjamins...1, 2, 3...

     This....how and the hell are you going to argue that you made the right play when you lost money, and other guys like Johnboy won money.  Clear your head and come back strong in a few weeks

     
    Crashdavis565
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    Posts: 15772
    Posted: Oct. 22, 2009 - 11:19 AM ET #121

    Great thread -

    Hindsight is 20/20

    Have to admit, like the over on MNF and now that everyone knows that probably time to switch to the under.

    Ultimately, the people seem to lose........

    Hope you find peace my man and that post about even when we win we lose is so so so so dead on.

    Gambling does take a little piece of you each day

    Reply

    Great thread -

    Hindsight is 20/20

    Have to admit, like the over on MNF and now that everyone knows that probably time to switch to the under.

    Ultimately, the people seem to lose........

    Hope you find peace my man and that post about even when we win we lose is so so so so dead on.

    Gambling does take a little piece of you each day

     
    Crashdavis565
    Crashdavis565
    MVP
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 15772
    Posted: Oct. 22, 2009 - 11:33 AM ET #122

    Truly-

    I thnk you win if you can actually walk away from the shit.

    Very hard to do. Probably everyone of us on here has said that a million times and cannot do it. My last was the meaningless touchdown in the VT -Colorado game that wiped out my 10 unit sure MFing winner in the blink of an eye as the time expired.

    Swore it off forever, made it two weeks..........

    Hope you make it bro and you take good care of what is important to you.

                        

    Reply

    Truly-

    I thnk you win if you can actually walk away from the shit.

    Very hard to do. Probably everyone of us on here has said that a million times and cannot do it. My last was the meaningless touchdown in the VT -Colorado game that wiped out my 10 unit sure MFing winner in the blink of an eye as the time expired.

    Swore it off forever, made it two weeks..........

    Hope you make it bro and you take good care of what is important to you.

                        

     
    DOVJAK
    DOVJAK
    Hall of Fame
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 26036
    Posted: Oct. 22, 2009 - 6:08 PM ET #123

    Reply
     
     
    dhtakemoto
    dhtakemoto
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2009
    Posts: 1712
    Posted: Oct. 22, 2009 - 6:30 PM ET #124

    Damn, that's not a good game to use as a defining moment.  BOL
    Reply
    Damn, that's not a good game to use as a defining moment.  BOL
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