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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    CRAZY STATS FOR TONIGHT GAMES

    thuagame
    mingher
    Uconn34
    salsaboy27
    tboon
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 2058
    Posts: 16
     
    thuagame
    thuagame
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    Posts: 10
    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 2:47 PM ET #1

    Hello all, i been tracking these stats for years and just want to let you guy know cause it happen on tonight game

    these base on ATS record ONLY using final line of Covers.

    Teams that in the same division almost never win all ATS in the same week if Iam not mistaken, this is why i took chance and hit big with Seattle yesterday against Minn ( Packers, Detroit,Chicago all won on 1.pm games)

    tonight saints ( carolina, tampa, atlanta all won ats yesterday)

    on the other side are the same, teams in same division almost never lose ATS all in the same week, as i recall it might did happen only once last year.

    tonight philly ( dal, was, giant all lost ats yesterday)


    perfect storm or spot?

    the same for any division and has been like this for years

    this dont apply if any team having bye week, the other 3 might lose all or will all

    BOL guys


    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Hello all, i been tracking these stats for years and just want to let you guy know cause it happen on tonight game

    these base on ATS record ONLY using final line of Covers.

    Teams that in the same division almost never win all ATS in the same week if Iam not mistaken, this is why i took chance and hit big with Seattle yesterday against Minn ( Packers, Detroit,Chicago all won on 1.pm games)

    tonight saints ( carolina, tampa, atlanta all won ats yesterday)

    on the other side are the same, teams in same division almost never lose ATS all in the same week, as i recall it might did happen only once last year.

    tonight philly ( dal, was, giant all lost ats yesterday)


    perfect storm or spot?

    the same for any division and has been like this for years

    this dont apply if any team having bye week, the other 3 might lose all or will all

    BOL guys


     
    mingher
    mingher
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 2:58 PM ET #2

    interesting angle
    Reply
    interesting angle
     
    Uconn34
    Uconn34
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    Posts: 8005
    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 3:12 PM ET #3

    Not bad thanks
    Reply
    Not bad thanks
     
    salsaboy27
    salsaboy27
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 3:15 PM ET #4

    Philly going big! bookie gonna get try to get their money back tonight from the dog. Vick's like a dog back into a corner and he will come out biting with a lot of fight.
    Reply
    Philly going big! bookie gonna get try to get their money back tonight from the dog. Vick's like a dog back into a corner and he will come out biting with a lot of fight.
     
    tboon
    tboon
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    Posts: 2394
    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 3:24 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by salsaboy27:

    Philly going big! bookie gonna get try to get their money back tonight from the dog. Vick's like a dog back into a corner and he will come out biting with a lot of fight.

    Vick was insinuating last week after the Falcons game that he shouldn't be the starting QB for the Eagles. He's clearly lost his confidence and it's not likely to get better against a desperate Saints team led by Drew Brees at home in prime time. IMHO

    cheers

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by salsaboy27:

    Philly going big! bookie gonna get try to get their money back tonight from the dog. Vick's like a dog back into a corner and he will come out biting with a lot of fight.

    Vick was insinuating last week after the Falcons game that he shouldn't be the starting QB for the Eagles. He's clearly lost his confidence and it's not likely to get better against a desperate Saints team led by Drew Brees at home in prime time. IMHO

    cheers

     
    T_Rav1088
    T_Rav1088
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 3:25 PM ET #6

    This is a gambler's fallacy.  No offense but this angle is just stupid.  If I flip a coin 9 times in a row and it lands heads, it doesn't mean the 10th time is any more likely to land heads b/c of a pattern, or any more likely to land tails b/c of the law of averages. 

    Not really sure what's gonna happen tonight, I'm personally staying away, but this is a poor poor angle to play if its your only edge.  If you can explain why NY Dallas and washington not covering, or Carolina, Atlanta and tampa actually covering helps, i'll gladly listen.  If anything, yesterday tells me the watered down NFC east is just a bit overrated.

    Reply

    This is a gambler's fallacy.  No offense but this angle is just stupid.  If I flip a coin 9 times in a row and it lands heads, it doesn't mean the 10th time is any more likely to land heads b/c of a pattern, or any more likely to land tails b/c of the law of averages. 

    Not really sure what's gonna happen tonight, I'm personally staying away, but this is a poor poor angle to play if its your only edge.  If you can explain why NY Dallas and washington not covering, or Carolina, Atlanta and tampa actually covering helps, i'll gladly listen.  If anything, yesterday tells me the watered down NFC east is just a bit overrated.

     
    seminole8
    seminole8
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    Posts: 540
    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 3:32 PM ET #7

    This has nothing to do with the actual game, just some gimmick fluke.  If you think betting this "trend" is a good angle them go for it.  I suggest looking a little deeper than just this.  BOL on your pick.
    Reply
    This has nothing to do with the actual game, just some gimmick fluke.  If you think betting this "trend" is a good angle them go for it.  I suggest looking a little deeper than just this.  BOL on your pick.
     
    langdutinh
    langdutinh
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    Posts: 42
    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 3:51 PM ET #8

    i go with saint and over
    Reply
    i go with saint and over
     
    Nole2U
    Nole2U
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    Posts: 217
    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 3:56 PM ET #9

    The same can be said with the Redskin Rule...fluke? Don't know but it has produced a pattern....just saying
    Reply
    The same can be said with the Redskin Rule...fluke? Don't know but it has produced a pattern....just saying
     
    thuagame
    thuagame
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 3:57 PM ET #10

    all opinions are respected.

    all the capper in here using all kind of trends, using all kind of numbers, RPI, yards,power rankings.....ect also considering trend of teams traveling, going into bye week and after bye..... and all kind of other stuff ....to figure out the higher percentage of winning, side with better advantage and disadvantage but still, not all thing always work out like that.

    with all being said, considering that trend to break down number, i would say at least 90%, would u rather take chance with 90% or 10%

    That why we have stats for almost everything

    stats, trends, whatever , all gambler do is gambling(taking chance)

    Reply
    all opinions are respected.

    all the capper in here using all kind of trends, using all kind of numbers, RPI, yards,power rankings.....ect also considering trend of teams traveling, going into bye week and after bye..... and all kind of other stuff ....to figure out the higher percentage of winning, side with better advantage and disadvantage but still, not all thing always work out like that.

    with all being said, considering that trend to break down number, i would say at least 90%, would u rather take chance with 90% or 10%

    That why we have stats for almost everything

    stats, trends, whatever , all gambler do is gambling(taking chance)

     
    Saigone
    Saigone
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    Posts: 185
    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 4:01 PM ET #11

    Thanks for finding that stats.  Very interesting !!!
    Reply
    Thanks for finding that stats.  Very interesting !!!
     
    thuagame
    thuagame
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    Posts: 10
    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 4:12 PM ET #12

    Vegas making very good job to balance out win and lose, all ats record on any team every year are about 50-50, or 60-40 vice versa..., u barely see any team end up with ats record more than 70% win or lose, it happen but 1 over 32 teams and once in 5 years or so.
    Reply
    Vegas making very good job to balance out win and lose, all ats record on any team every year are about 50-50, or 60-40 vice versa..., u barely see any team end up with ats record more than 70% win or lose, it happen but 1 over 32 teams and once in 5 years or so.
     
    StoneColdNinja
    StoneColdNinja
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 4:18 PM ET #13

    interesting angle, i will keep an eye out for that in the future.  
    but i will be on the saints tonight, i have learned the hard way "don't bet against brees on a primetime home game". saints are a different beast on primetime games at home. bol 
    Reply
    interesting angle, i will keep an eye out for that in the future.  
    but i will be on the saints tonight, i have learned the hard way "don't bet against brees on a primetime home game". saints are a different beast on primetime games at home. bol 
     
    thuagame
    thuagame
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    Posts: 10
    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 4:19 PM ET #14

    JUICES, Jerry Jones own a BUSENESS, so are all NFL owners,
    what sports.....sorry sports fan it all BUSINESS, 

    (Quote: u think I am rich making 15 to 20 millions a year, maybe to u guys but the guys paying me are WEALTHY)

    From a very respected athlete.
    Reply
    JUICES, Jerry Jones own a BUSENESS, so are all NFL owners,
    what sports.....sorry sports fan it all BUSINESS, 

    (Quote: u think I am rich making 15 to 20 millions a year, maybe to u guys but the guys paying me are WEALTHY)

    From a very respected athlete.
     
    thuagame
    thuagame
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    Posts: 10
    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 4:22 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by StoneColdNinja:

    interesting angle, i will keep an eye out for that in the future.  
    but i will be on the saints tonight, i have learned the hard way "don't bet against brees on a primetime home game". saints are a different beast on primetime games at home. bol 

    BOL I am all in 4 Philly
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by StoneColdNinja:

    interesting angle, i will keep an eye out for that in the future.  
    but i will be on the saints tonight, i have learned the hard way "don't bet against brees on a primetime home game". saints are a different beast on primetime games at home. bol 

    BOL I am all in 4 Philly
     
     
    hard8
    hard8
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    Posts: 1019
    Posted: Nov. 5, 2012 - 6:06 PM ET #16

    Love this stat... especially since you've checked it back for years and the angle falls on both sides.  Will be on Philly big- thanks for sharing
    Reply
    Love this stat... especially since you've checked it back for years and the angle falls on both sides.  Will be on Philly big- thanks for sharing
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