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2015 NFL playoff thread...

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Participants:

Posts: 257

LVTruck

Legend

Joined: Mar, 2011

Posts: 37280

Posted: Jan. 23, 2015 - 6:17 PM ET #176

Solid Year Van.....GL on the SB

broncofn

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2007

Posts: 1651

Posted: Jan. 23, 2015 - 7:03 PM ET #177

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Thanks for the nice words.

Think I might be out in Vegas for the SB! Still have some strings to pull but it might happen.

But the contest for sure next year.

Great job as always van! If you end up going to Vegas, pm me. I will be out there also. Good luck on the SB and look fwd to your write up and thoughts.

Skipster

Captain

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 6422

Posted: Jan. 23, 2015 - 8:59 PM ET #178

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Hey mafia - I know you have participated in my threads all season - thanks for that. Hope at some point you were tailing me. It was a good year.

GL in the SB. Will post my pick soon.

I was certainly trailing you down the stretch.

diondimucci

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2006

Posts: 12934

Posted: Jan. 24, 2015 - 1:39 AM ET #179

van, thanks for ur picks on championship sunday. i leaned opposite on both, then when i saw pack cover easily, i knew indy was the wrong side also, and u were spot on both games. really appreciate it, it resulted in a big positive swing that has lasted all week.

TheFootball77

Banned

Joined: Jun, 2012

Posts: 706

Posted: Jan. 24, 2015 - 2:00 AM ET #180

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

1. NE might not have to run it at all. I agree they will have trouble running the ball - but their pass will set up their run. They are not in a run to pass situation here - they will need to consistently be hitting their short routes for the run to work. Will they be able to do that?

2. It only makes NE one dimensional if they cant throw. I think your analysis is correct - but backwards - in that I don't think NE will come out and try to "establish the run". They will run if the pass is working early.

3. Seattles running game gets progressively better during the game than any team in the NFL. Seattle will do the opposite of NE - they will run to pass - and the barrage gets better and better as the game goes on. Can NE withstand it?

I am going to write up my thoughts soon....

Everyone but the Patriots defense is getting talked about....

mafia13

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 1415

Posted: Jan. 24, 2015 - 2:29 AM ET #181

Quote Originally Posted by TheFootball77:

Everyone but the Patriots defense is getting talked about....

Overreaction. How quickly we forget what balty did to them. Forsett 129 yards 5.4 avg.

TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55617

Posted: Jan. 24, 2015 - 8:45 AM ET #182

Quote Originally Posted by mafia13:

Overreaction. How quickly we forget what balty did to them. Forsett 129 yards 5.4 avg.

Thats all due to the fact NE had to respect the Smiths on the outside and deep.....something they wont have to do vs Seattle

SharpShooter8

Rookie

Joined: Sep, 2006

Posts: 949

Posted: Jan. 24, 2015 - 10:23 AM ET #183

Brandon Browner was a starter on Seattle's defense last year! I suspect he has had two roles this week. NE assistant coach on both sides of the ball.

Another fact about Brandon Browner. "On December 18, 2013, the NFL erroneously reported Browner was facing an indefinite suspension for again violating the NFL's performance enhancing drug rules.^[4] The suspension kept him from playing in Super Bowl XLVIII against the Denver Broncos."

Think he wants to play in the Superbowl against his former teammates? I DO.

SharpShooter8

Rookie

Joined: Sep, 2006

Posts: 949

Posted: Jan. 24, 2015 - 10:26 AM ET #184

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Thanks.

Although adding value to this site is not a high bar

Agreed! There is few "must reads" in this Forum - you are one of them. Looking forward to your write-up and prediction.

User358183b

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 46395

Posted: Jan. 24, 2015 - 11:47 AM ET #185

Post Deleted

The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.

User358183b

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 46395

Posted: Jan. 24, 2015 - 11:59 AM ET #186

Post Deleted

The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.

CokeBooger

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2006

Posts: 33

Posted: Jan. 24, 2015 - 12:50 PM ET #187

Very nice playoff season sir -- Wishing you the best with your SuperBowl plays -- have been following your system closely.

iamnotpeterose

Prospect

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 274

Posted: Jan. 24, 2015 - 2:43 PM ET #188

Quote Originally Posted by CokeBooger:

Very nice playoff season sir -- Wishing you the best with your SuperBowl plays -- have been following your system closely.

. Could be the best name I've seen on here and I echo coke boogers sentiments, already on ne, but I want to see vans pick.

daysbtwin

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2009

Posts: 1654

Posted: Jan. 24, 2015 - 10:43 PM ET #189

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

What is this line going to do?

Don't know whether to start dripping in now or to wait it out.

I don't follow, Van.

Do you really see this line moving significantly in either direction?

IMO not a chance it gets near 3 points either way so shouldn't we be concerned mainly with getting low juice?

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Jan. 25, 2015 - 9:21 AM ET #190

Quote Originally Posted by LVTruck:

Solid Year Van.....GL on the SB

Thanks Truck.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Jan. 25, 2015 - 9:21 AM ET #191

Quote Originally Posted by broncofn:

Great job as always van! If you end up going to Vegas, pm me. I will be out there also. Good luck on the SB and look fwd to your write up and thoughts.

Will do. Still trying to work out some details, but it is looking good for Vegas.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Jan. 25, 2015 - 9:49 AM ET #192

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Jan. 25, 2015 - 9:51 AM ET #193

Holy s hit.

You have got to be kidding me.

I wrote a huge writeup on the SB and the post is blank?

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Jan. 25, 2015 - 9:55 AM ET #194

Maybe the mods can see if they can recover that post. But I am not writing it again.

Here is a summary...

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Jan. 25, 2015 - 9:55 AM ET #195

WTF is going on?

I wrote it up again, and again it is blank. Jeesh.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Jan. 25, 2015 - 9:56 AM ET #196

GL all.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Jan. 25, 2015 - 9:58 AM ET #197

I cant post. Literally every time I post who is going to win this game it goes blank. The post above said:

7-3 in playoffs (with GB marked as a loss), up 14.225 units (including juice)

Seattle PK +100 (4 units)

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Jan. 25, 2015 - 10:01 AM ET #198

Here is the summary:

I use a lot of adjusted stats. Seattle rushing game is #1 in the leagues (by far), and NE rushing D is #20. This matchup is worth 12 net points to Seattle alone.

NE will have to throw to run. Seattle will shut down the pass enough to make the run non-existent.

Seattle 31-21

I wrote up a huge writeup above, then wrote a summary of the writeup, and for some reason Covers software wont let me post it and I didn't keep a copy and I am not doing it again. I will discuss any part of it, but am too frustrated right now to rewrite it all.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.